Tampa Bay Buccaneers

1st in NFC South (1 - 0 - 0)

Next Game

Mon, Sep 15 19:00 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bucky Irving Receptions Made Props • Tampa Bay

Bucky Irving
B. Irving
running back RB • Tampa Bay
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.5
Best Odds

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buccaneers to pass on 59.7% of their opportunities: the 10th-highest rate on the slate this week. The Buccaneers offense has played at the 4th-fastest tempo in football (in a neutral context) since the start of last season, averaging 25.11 seconds per play. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season. The Texans safeties grade out as the worst collection of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.

Bucky Irving

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.5
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.5

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buccaneers to pass on 59.7% of their opportunities: the 10th-highest rate on the slate this week. The Buccaneers offense has played at the 4th-fastest tempo in football (in a neutral context) since the start of last season, averaging 25.11 seconds per play. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season. The Texans safeties grade out as the worst collection of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.

All Matchup props

Mike Evans Receptions Made Props • Tampa Bay

Mike Evans
M. Evans
wide receiver WR • Tampa Bay
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5
Best Odds

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buccaneers to pass on 59.7% of their opportunities: the 10th-highest rate on the slate this week. The Buccaneers offense has played at the 4th-fastest tempo in football (in a neutral context) since the start of last season, averaging 25.11 seconds per play. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. Our trusted projections expect Mike Evans to notch 9.1 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 95th percentile when it comes to wide receivers. Mike Evans profiles as one of the best pass-catching WRs since the start of last season, averaging an excellent 5.2 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 87th percentile.

Mike Evans

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buccaneers to pass on 59.7% of their opportunities: the 10th-highest rate on the slate this week. The Buccaneers offense has played at the 4th-fastest tempo in football (in a neutral context) since the start of last season, averaging 25.11 seconds per play. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. Our trusted projections expect Mike Evans to notch 9.1 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 95th percentile when it comes to wide receivers. Mike Evans profiles as one of the best pass-catching WRs since the start of last season, averaging an excellent 5.2 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 87th percentile.

All Matchup props

Nico Collins Receptions Made Props • Houston

Nico Collins
N. Collins
wide receiver WR • Houston
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.7
Best Odds

The predictive model expects the Houston Texans to call the 5th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game versus the Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: most in football. The predictive model expects Nico Collins to notch 9.0 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile when it comes to wide receivers. With an excellent 5.3 adjusted catches per game (89th percentile) since the start of last season, Nico Collins rates among the top WRs in the league in the league.

Nico Collins

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.7
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.7

The predictive model expects the Houston Texans to call the 5th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game versus the Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: most in football. The predictive model expects Nico Collins to notch 9.0 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile when it comes to wide receivers. With an excellent 5.3 adjusted catches per game (89th percentile) since the start of last season, Nico Collins rates among the top WRs in the league in the league.

All Matchup props

Dalton Schultz Receptions Made Props • Houston

Dalton Schultz
D. Schultz
tight end TE • Houston
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.6
Best Odds

The predictive model expects the Houston Texans to call the 5th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game versus the Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: most in football. With a high 77.2% Route% (88th percentile) since the start of last season, Dalton Schultz places as one of the TEs with the highest volume in football. The predictive model expects Dalton Schultz to total 5.3 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 84th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Dalton Schultz

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.6
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.6

The predictive model expects the Houston Texans to call the 5th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game versus the Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: most in football. With a high 77.2% Route% (88th percentile) since the start of last season, Dalton Schultz places as one of the TEs with the highest volume in football. The predictive model expects Dalton Schultz to total 5.3 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 84th percentile when it comes to TEs.

All Matchup props

Cade Otton Receptions Made Props • Tampa Bay

Cade Otton
C. Otton
tight end TE • Tampa Bay
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.8
Best Odds

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buccaneers to pass on 59.7% of their opportunities: the 10th-highest rate on the slate this week. The Buccaneers offense has played at the 4th-fastest tempo in football (in a neutral context) since the start of last season, averaging 25.11 seconds per play. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. The model projects Cade Otton to notch 4.3 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 77th percentile when it comes to tight ends. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

Cade Otton

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.8
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.8

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buccaneers to pass on 59.7% of their opportunities: the 10th-highest rate on the slate this week. The Buccaneers offense has played at the 4th-fastest tempo in football (in a neutral context) since the start of last season, averaging 25.11 seconds per play. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. The model projects Cade Otton to notch 4.3 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 77th percentile when it comes to tight ends. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

All Matchup props

Sterling Shepard Receptions Made Props • Tampa Bay

Sterling Shepard
S. Shepard
wide receiver WR • Tampa Bay
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.00
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Sterling Shepard has gone over 2.5 in 1 of his last 1 games.

Emeka Egbuka Receptions Made Props • Tampa Bay

Emeka Egbuka
E. Egbuka
wide receiver WR • Tampa Bay
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.00
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Emeka Egbuka has gone over 4.5 in 0 of his last 1 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
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