Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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At a -8.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are big underdogs in this game, implying much more of a focus on throwing than their typical game plan.. Opposing QBs have thrown for the 9th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (232.0 per game) vs. the Buccaneers defense since the start of last season.. Since the start of last season, the anemic Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has allowed the 6th-most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing offenses: a whopping 0.38 YAC.

Our trusted projections expect the Browns as the 10th-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 44.9% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

This game's spread indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Buccaneers, who are a massive favorite by 8.5 points.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to run on 48.9% of their downs: the 4th-highest frequency on the slate this week.. Baker Mayfield grades out as one of the top QBs in the league at picking up extra running yardage, averaging an outstanding 2.83 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while grading out in the 95th percentile.

At a -8.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are big underdogs in this game, implying much more of a focus on throwing than their typical game plan.. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been torched for the most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (42.0) versus RBs since the start of last season.. Since the start of last season, the feeble Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has yielded a monstrous 90.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the worst rate in the league.

At a -8.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are big underdogs in this game, implying much more of a focus on throwing than their typical game plan.. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has conceded the 7th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (58.0) to TEs since the start of last season.. Since the start of last season, the anemic Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has conceded a whopping 78.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 7th-largest rate in football.

When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Cleveland's unit has been terrific last year, grading out as the 8th-best in the NFL.

At a -8.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are big underdogs in this game, implying much more of a focus on throwing than their typical game plan.

Cade Otton has run a route on 86.8% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 97th percentile when it comes to TEs.. In regards to air yards, Cade Otton ranks in the lofty 77th percentile among TEs since the start of last season, totaling a striking 24.0 per game.. With an excellent 32.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (79th percentile) since the start of last season, Cade Otton stands among the best TE receiving threats in the league.. Cade Otton ranks as one of the bottom TEs in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while ranking in the 2nd percentile.. When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Cleveland's unit has been terrific last year, grading out as the 8th-best in the NFL.

When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Cleveland's unit has been terrific last year, grading out as the 8th-best in the NFL.

Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns to be the 10th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast the Browns to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.3 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.. In regards to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Cleveland Browns profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.. As it relates to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Tampa Bay's collection of DEs has been easily exploitable last year, profiling as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

Cade Otton has run a route on 86.8% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 97th percentile when it comes to TEs.. Cade Otton comes in as one of the leading TEs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 3.3 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 84th percentile.. When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Cleveland's unit has been terrific last year, grading out as the 8th-best in the NFL.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see just 121.8 offensive plays called: the 2nd-fewest on the slate this week.. As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Cleveland's DE corps has been exceptional since the start of last season, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

Our trusted projections expect the Browns as the 10th-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 44.9% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Browns as the 10th-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 44.9% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The projections expect Deshaun Watson to accumulate 5.4 rush attempts this week, on average: the 9th-most out of all QBs.

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When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Cleveland's unit has been terrific last year, grading out as the 8th-best in the NFL.

At a -8.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are big underdogs in this game, implying much more of a focus on throwing than their typical game plan.. While Deshaun Watson has earned 33.3% of his team's red zone carries in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be much less involved in Cleveland's rushing attack near the goal line in this week's contest at 24.0%.. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has given up the 8th-most TDs through the air in the league: 1.72 per game since the start of last season.. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties profile as the 30th-worst safety corps in the NFL last year in regard to run defense.

The Buccaneers rank as the 6th-most pass-focused team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year with a 77.8% red zone pass rate.. Since the start of last season, the daunting Browns run defense has surrendered a measly 0.78 TDs on the ground per game to opposing teams: the 9th-smallest rate in the league.. As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Cleveland's DE corps has been exceptional since the start of last season, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

The Buccaneers rank as the 6th-most pass-focused team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year with a 77.8% red zone pass rate.. Since the start of last season, the shaky Cleveland Browns defense has conceded a monstrous 0.22 receiving TDs per game to opposing running backs: the 9th-worst rate in the NFL.. Since the start of last season, the daunting Browns run defense has surrendered a measly 0.78 TDs on the ground per game to opposing teams: the 9th-smallest rate in the league.. As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Cleveland's DE corps has been exceptional since the start of last season, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

At a -8.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are big underdogs in this game, implying much more of a focus on throwing than their typical game plan.. Since the start of last season, the anemic Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has conceded a whopping 78.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 7th-largest rate in football.. Since the start of last season, the anemic Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has conceded a massive 0.72 receiving TDs per game to opposing tight ends: the 3rd-highest rate in the league.. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties profile as the 30th-worst safety corps in the NFL last year in regard to run defense.

At a -8.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are big underdogs in this game, implying much more of a focus on throwing than their typical game plan.. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties profile as the 30th-worst safety corps in the NFL last year in regard to run defense.

At a -8.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are big underdogs in this game, implying much more of a focus on throwing than their typical game plan.. Since the start of last season, the feeble Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has yielded a monstrous 90.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the worst rate in the league.. Since the start of last season, the anemic Buccaneers defense has yielded a staggering 0.22 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing RBs: the 9th-biggest rate in the NFL.. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties profile as the 30th-worst safety corps in the NFL last year in regard to run defense.

The Buccaneers rank as the 6th-most pass-focused team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year with a 77.8% red zone pass rate.. In regards to air yards, Cade Otton ranks in the lofty 77th percentile among TEs since the start of last season, totaling a striking 24.0 per game.. Cade Otton places in the 79th percentile when it comes to tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) with a staggering 29.5 mark since the start of last season.. Since the start of last season, the daunting Browns run defense has surrendered a measly 0.78 TDs on the ground per game to opposing teams: the 9th-smallest rate in the league.. As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Cleveland's DE corps has been exceptional since the start of last season, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

The Buccaneers rank as the 6th-most pass-focused team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year with a 77.8% red zone pass rate.. The Browns defense has given up the 5th-most receiving touchdowns in football to wideouts: 1.11 per game since the start of last season.. Since the start of last season, the daunting Browns run defense has surrendered a measly 0.78 TDs on the ground per game to opposing teams: the 9th-smallest rate in the league.. As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Cleveland's DE corps has been exceptional since the start of last season, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

This game's spread indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Buccaneers, who are a massive favorite by 8.5 points.. Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 51.1% of their chances: the 4th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see just 121.8 offensive plays called: the 2nd-fewest on the slate this week.. The projections expect Baker Mayfield to throw 29.2 passes in this week's game, on average: the fewest among all QBs.. Opposing teams have averaged 28.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense since the start of last season: 2nd-fewest in the league.