Pittsburgh Steelers

2nd in AFC North (6 - 5 - 0)

Next Game

BUFBuffalo Buffalo
at
Pittsburgh PITPittsburgh
Sun, Nov 30 16:25 ET

BUF @ PIT Picks

NFL Picks
Score a Touchdown
Kenneth Gainwell logo Kenneth Gainwell Score a Touchdown (Yes: +230)
Best Odds
 +240 FanDuel
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
 +220
 +230
 +240
 -
 +230

Jaylen Warren is still the starter, but Kenneth Gainwell has been cutting into his workload. He’s played roughly half the snaps for two straight weeks and actually out-rushed Warren 92–68 last week on eight fewer carries. There shouldn’t be a 100-point gap between their TD prices in this matchup. Buffalo’s run defense is shaky, and I keep thinking back to the Tampa game where Sean Tucker gashed them with ease. With Pittsburgh’s quarterback banged up, both backs can put up numbers, but the value sits with Gainwell. Over the last three games, he has twice as many inside-the-10 carries as Warren.

Rushing Yards
Josh Allen logo Josh Allen o28.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Best Odds
o28.5 -114 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst
o28.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
 -
o28.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o28.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
o28.5  -115
These are quick bet odds

Allen has used his legs to take a chunk out of blitz-happy opponents more than a few times this season. He’s played eight games against teams in the Top 10 in blitz rate, topping 30 yards rushing in six of those outings and averaging more than 36 yards rushing per contest.

Read Full Analysis
Score a Touchdown
Jaylen Warren logo
Jaylen Warren Score a Touchdown (Yes: +145)
Projection 0.57 (Yes)
Best Odds
 +145 FanDuel
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 +130
 +115
 +145
 -
 +135
The Steelers are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.. The projections expect the Steelers as the 10th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 59.8% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Steelers ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year.. Jaylen Warren's 96.2% Adjusted Catch% this season signifies a substantial improvement in his receiving proficiency over last season's 89.6% mark.
+145 at FanDuel
Passing Completions
Aaron Rodgers logo
Aaron Rodgers o19.5 Passing Completions (+105)
Projection 21.59 (Over)
Best Odds
o19.5 +105 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o19.5  +105
These are quick bet odds
 -
o19.5  -108
These are quick bet odds
o20.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
o19.5  -114
The Steelers are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.. The projections expect the Steelers as the 10th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 59.8% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Steelers ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year.. The Buffalo Bills cornerbacks grade out as the 3rd-worst CB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.
+105 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Passing Attempts
Aaron Rodgers logo
Aaron Rodgers o30.5 Passing Attempts (-106)
Projection 33.56 (Over)
Best Odds
o30.5 -106 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
EV Model Rating
o30.5  -125
These are quick bet odds
 -
o30.5  -106
These are quick bet odds
o31.5  -105
These are quick bet odds
o30.5  -121
The Steelers are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.. The projections expect the Steelers as the 10th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 59.8% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
-106 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Passing Yards
Aaron Rodgers logo
Aaron Rodgers o199.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Projection 232.13 (Over)
Best Odds
o199.5 -112 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o199.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
 -
o201.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o202.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o201.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
The Steelers are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.. The projections expect the Steelers as the 10th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 59.8% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Steelers ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year.. The Buffalo Bills cornerbacks grade out as the 3rd-worst CB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.
-112 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Passing Yards
Josh Allen logo
Josh Allen u235.5 Passing Yards (-113)
Projection 221.77 (Under)
Best Odds
u237.5 -114 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u235.5  -113
These are quick bet odds
 -
u237.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
u233.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
u235.5  -122
These are quick bet odds
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical game plan.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Pittsburgh's unit has been terrific this year, grading out as the 6th-best in football.
-114 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Interceptions Thrown
Josh Allen logo
Josh Allen u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (+106)
Projection 0.4 (Under)
Best Odds
u0.5 +106 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
u0.5  +106
These are quick bet odds
 -
u0.5  -102
u0.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
u0.5  -108
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical game plan.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Pittsburgh's unit has been terrific this year, grading out as the 6th-best in football.
+106 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Jaylen Warren logo
Jaylen Warren o7.5 Receiving Yards (-105)
Projection 16.58 (Over)
Best Odds
o7.5 -105 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
 -
o7.5  -105
These are quick bet odds
 -
The Steelers are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.. The projections expect the Steelers as the 10th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 59.8% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. This week, Jaylen Warren is forecasted by the predictive model to finish in the 78th percentile among running backs with 3.0 targets.. In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Steelers ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year.. With an impressive 17.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (79th percentile) this year, Jaylen Warren places as one of the best running backs in the pass game in the NFL.
-105 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Jonnu Smith logo
Jonnu Smith o16.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 26.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o16.5 -115 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
 -
o16.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
 -
The Steelers are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.. The projections expect the Steelers as the 10th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 59.8% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Steelers ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year.. The Bills linebackers project as the 9th-worst LB corps in football this year in pass coverage.
-115 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Khalil Shakir logo
Khalil Shakir o46.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 56.98 (Over)
Best Odds
o46.5 -115 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
 -
o46.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
 -
Opposing offenses have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Steelers defense this year: most in football.. The leading projections forecast Khalil Shakir to garner 7.6 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 85th percentile among WRs.. With a remarkable 21.3% Target% (78th percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir has been as one of the wideouts with the highest volume in the NFL.. As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 2nd-best in football this year.. Khalil Shakir grades out as one of the best wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging a terrific 48.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 76th percentile.
-115 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
DK Metcalf logo
DK Metcalf o51.5 Receiving Yards (-118)
Projection 59.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o50.5 -110 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o50.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
 -
 -
o51.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
o50.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
The Steelers are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.. The projections expect the Steelers as the 10th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 59.8% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. DK Metcalf has run a route on 93.2% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile among wideouts.. In this week's game, DK Metcalf is forecasted by the model to find himself in the 85th percentile among WRs with 7.6 targets.. In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Steelers ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year.
-110 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds

Place your Bet from Covers in seconds with QuickBet.

Look for this icon

*Participating sportsbooks only. Only available in regulated states.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.
Spread

66% picking Buffalo

66%
34%

Total Picks BUF 394, PIT 207

Spread
BUF
PIT
Spread
-2.5 -161
+3.5 -118
Total

61% picking Buffalo vs Pittsburgh to go Over

61%
39%

Total PicksBUF 206, PIT 130

Total
Over
Under
Total
45.5 -106
46 -110

Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
Spread

'stom5900' is picking Buffalo to cover (-4.5)

stom5900 is #1 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (10-1-0) and +8700 units on the season.

Spread
BUF
PIT
Spread
-2.5 -161
+3.5 -118
Total

'stom5900' picks Buffalo vs Pittsburgh to go Over (47.5)

stom5900 is #1 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (10-1-0) and +8700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
45.5 -106
46 -110
Spread

'saintsnola15' is picking Buffalo to cover (-4.5)

saintsnola15 is #10 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (7-3-0) and +4970 units on the season.

Spread
BUF
PIT
Spread
-2.5 -161
+3.5 -118
Total

'saintsnola15' picks Buffalo vs Pittsburgh to go Over (47.5)

saintsnola15 is #10 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (7-3-0) and +4970 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
45.5 -106
46 -110
Spread

'bigsmoke21169' is picking Buffalo to cover (-4.5)

bigsmoke21169 is #2 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (8-2-0) and +6850 units on the season.

Spread
BUF
PIT
Spread
-2.5 -161
+3.5 -118
Spread

'charro23' is picking Buffalo to cover (-4.5)

charro23 is #2 on picking games that Buffalo is in with a record of (10-1-0) and +5470 units on the season.

Spread
BUF
PIT
Spread
-2.5 -161
+3.5 -118
Total

'charro23' picks Buffalo vs Pittsburgh to go Under (47.5)

charro23 is #2 on picking games that Buffalo is in with a record of (10-1-0) and +5470 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
45.5 -106
46 -110
Total

'bigsmoke21169' picks Buffalo vs Pittsburgh to go Under (47.5)

bigsmoke21169 is #2 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (8-2-0) and +6850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
45.5 -106
46 -110
Total

'Kansas2014' picks Buffalo vs Pittsburgh to go Under (47.5)

Kansas2014 is #3 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (8-3-0) and +5750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
45.5 -106
46 -110
Spread

'gokou31' is picking Pittsburgh to cover (+3.5)

gokou31 is #3 on picking games that Buffalo is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +4900 units on the season.

Spread
BUF
PIT
Spread
-2.5 -161
+3.5 -118
Spread

'Kansas2014' is picking Buffalo to cover (-3.5)

Kansas2014 is #3 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (8-3-0) and +5750 units on the season.

Spread
BUF
PIT
Spread
-2.5 -161
+3.5 -118
Spread

'livelywee55' is picking Buffalo to cover (-4.5)

livelywee55 is #4 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (8-2-0) and +5400 units on the season.

Spread
BUF
PIT
Spread
-2.5 -161
+3.5 -118
Spread

'RAZORAZE283' is picking Pittsburgh to cover (+3.0)

RAZORAZE283 is #6 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +5350 units on the season.

Spread
BUF
PIT
Spread
-2.5 -161
+3.5 -118
Total

'RAZORAZE283' picks Buffalo vs Pittsburgh to go Under (47.0)

RAZORAZE283 is #6 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +5350 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
45.5 -106
46 -110
Spread

'BetoCM' is picking Pittsburgh to cover (+3.5)

BetoCM is #7 on picking games that Buffalo is in with a record of (5-0-0) and +4350 units on the season.

Spread
BUF
PIT
Spread
-2.5 -161
+3.5 -118
Total

'BetoCM' picks Buffalo vs Pittsburgh to go Under (47.5)

BetoCM is #7 on picking games that Buffalo is in with a record of (5-0-0) and +4350 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
45.5 -106
46 -110
Spread

'midsro49' is picking Pittsburgh to cover (+4.5)

midsro49 is #8 on picking games that Buffalo is in with a record of (9-2-0) and +4200 units on the season.

Spread
BUF
PIT
Spread
-2.5 -161
+3.5 -118
Total

'midsro49' picks Buffalo vs Pittsburgh to go Under (47.5)

midsro49 is #8 on picking games that Buffalo is in with a record of (9-2-0) and +4200 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
45.5 -106
46 -110
Total

'bugsy1958' picks Buffalo vs Pittsburgh to go Under (47.5)

bugsy1958 is #8 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (8-3-0) and +5250 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
45.5 -106
46 -110
Spread

'bugsy1958' is picking Buffalo to cover (-3.5)

bugsy1958 is #8 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (8-3-0) and +5250 units on the season.

Spread
BUF
PIT
Spread
-2.5 -161
+3.5 -118
Spread

'bluorch158' is picking Buffalo to cover (-4.5)

bluorch158 is #9 on picking games that Buffalo is in with a record of (8-3-0) and +4020 units on the season.

Spread
BUF
PIT
Spread
-2.5 -161
+3.5 -118
Total

'bluorch158' picks Buffalo vs Pittsburgh to go Over (47.5)

bluorch158 is #9 on picking games that Buffalo is in with a record of (8-3-0) and +4020 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
45.5 -106
46 -110
Total

'Bazooks813973' picks Buffalo vs Pittsburgh to go Under (47.5)

Bazooks813973 is #9 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (5-4-0) and +5130 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
45.5 -106
46 -110
Spread

'Bazooks813973' is picking Buffalo to cover (-3.5)

Bazooks813973 is #9 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (5-4-0) and +5130 units on the season.

Spread
BUF
PIT
Spread
-2.5 -161
+3.5 -118

Pages Related to This Topic

Best Betting Sites US
PA Sportsbooks
Rhode Island Sports Betting
Pennsylvania Real Money Online Casinos
Best Football Betting Sites
Best Sportsbook Promos
Best Pennsylvania Sportsbook Promotions
Super Bowl Betting Sites
Pennsylvania online casino bonuses
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Office Pools
The Covers community has
810,221
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 30 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2025 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.