Pittsburgh Steelers

1st in AFC North (6 - 2 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Nov 15 20:20 ET

PIT @ CIN Picks

NFL Picks
Spread
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail CIN -3.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Bengals have allowed the fourth-lowest rushing success rate through three games out of their Week 6 bye, and the Cinny offense is clicking with 37.3 points per game and the highest EPA per dropback during the stretch. Pittsburgh entered its Week 9 bye relying on the running game while ranked 22nd in passing DVOA with the fifth-lowest EPA per dropback, so look for the Cincinnati defense to make enough stops for the offense to pull away in this critical AFC North bout.

Passing Yards
Joe Burrow logo
Joe Burrow o287.5 Passing Yards (-113) Projection 321.42 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.5% of their chances: the greatest rate on the slate this week.. In this game, Joe Burrow is predicted by the model to wind up with the 2nd-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 39.1. . Joe Burrow's 307.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year signifies a meaningful growth in his passing talent over last year's 196.0 mark.. Joe Burrow's 73.6% Adjusted Completion% this year represents an impressive improvement in his passing precision over last year's 70.3% figure.. Opposing offenses have passed for the 5th-most adjusted yards in football (254.0 per game) versus the Steelers defense this year.
Passing Yards
Aaron Rodgers logo
Aaron Rodgers u239.5 Passing Yards (-112) Projection 228.25 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 4 out of 5
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are expected by the projection model to call just 62.8 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.. Aaron Rodgers's 62.0% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a material reduction in his throwing precision over last year's 67.1% mark.
Rushing Yards
Chase Brown logo
Chase Brown o43.5 Rushing Yards (-112) Projection 50.71 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.. Among all RBs, Chase Brown ranks in the 92nd percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 61.7% of the workload in his offense's ground game.. With an excellent record of 49.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (80th percentile), Chase Brown ranks as one of the leading RBs in the league this year.
Receiving Yards
Mike Gesicki logo
Mike Gesicki o23.5 Receiving Yards (-108) Projection 35.64 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.5% of their chances: the greatest rate on the slate this week.. Mike Gesicki has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (59.6% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (48.6%).. When talking about air yards, Mike Gesicki grades out in the towering 90th percentile among TEs this year, totaling a superb 37.0 per game.. Mike Gesicki's 38.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year signifies a significant boost in his receiving proficiency over last year's 22.0 rate.. This year, the shaky Steelers pass defense has surrendered a whopping 82.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 3rd-worst rate in the NFL.
Receiving Yards
Jaylen Warren logo
Jaylen Warren u25.5 Receiving Yards (-114) Projection 17.86 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are expected by the projection model to call just 62.8 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.. Jaylen Warren has accrued a feeble -6.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 5th percentile when it comes to running backs.. With a poor 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (2nd percentile) last year, Jaylen Warren stands as one of the best pass-game running backs in the NFL in space.. The Bengals pass defense has performed very well when opposing running backs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 5.91 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 8th-fewest in the NFL.
Receiving Yards
Germie Bernard logo
Germie Bernard o47.5 Receiving Yards (-115) Projection 55.73 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 4 out of 5
At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their standard approach.. The model projects the Steelers to be the 4th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a colossal 58.4 per game on average).. The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line profiles as the 4th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.. When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Cincinnati's collection of LBs has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 5th-worst in the league.
Receptions Made
Jaylen Warren logo
Jaylen Warren u2.5 Receptions Made (+130) Projection 2.32 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 4 out of 5
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are expected by the projection model to call just 62.8 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.
Passing Completions
Joe Burrow logo
Joe Burrow o26.5 Passing Completions (-109) Projection 29.19 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 4 out of 5
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.5% of their chances: the greatest rate on the slate this week.. In this game, Joe Burrow is predicted by the model to wind up with the 2nd-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 39.1. . Joe Burrow's 73.6% Adjusted Completion% this year represents an impressive improvement in his passing precision over last year's 70.3% figure.
Anytime Touchdown
Joe Burrow logo
Joe Burrow Score a Touchdown (Yes: +750) Projection 0.24 (Yes)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.5% of their chances: the greatest rate on the slate this week.. The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.6% red zone pass rate.. In this game, Joe Burrow is predicted by the model to wind up with the 2nd-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 39.1. . Joe Burrow's 73.6% Adjusted Completion% this year represents an impressive improvement in his passing precision over last year's 70.3% figure.. Joe Burrow has been one of the leading touchdown passers in the NFL this year, averaging a fantastic 2.88 per game while checking in at the 100th percentile.
Anytime Touchdown
Germie Bernard logo
Germie Bernard Score a Touchdown (Yes: +280) Projection 0.44 (Yes)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their standard approach.. The model projects the Steelers to be the 4th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-oriented team in football in the red zone (64.0% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Pittsburgh Steelers.. The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a colossal 58.4 per game on average).. The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line profiles as the 4th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

46% picking Pittsburgh

46%
54%

Total Picks PIT 178, CIN 206

Spread
PIT
CIN
Total

66% picking Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati to go Over

66%
34%

Total PicksPIT 155, CIN 81

Total
Over
Under

PIT @ CIN · Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
SPREAD
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
CIN -3.5 spread
-6.54 PROJECTION
-3.0 DIFFERENCE
18.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
CIN -3.5 spread

PROJECTION

-6.54 PROJECTION
-3.0 DIFFERENCE
18.13% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-3.5 +100
Hard Rock Bet logo
TOTAL
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
Under 49.0 Total
46.10 UNDER PROJECTION
-2.9 DIFFERENCE
19.27% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
Under 49.0 Total

PROJECTION

46.10 UNDER PROJECTION
-2.9 DIFFERENCE
19.27% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

u49.5 -108
BetMGM logo
PASSING YARDS
Joe Burrow logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
J. Burrow (QB) o287.5 Passing Yards
321.42 OVER PROJECTION
+33.9 DIFFERENCE
25.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Joe Burrow logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
J. Burrow (QB) o287.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

321.42 OVER PROJECTION
+33.9 DIFFERENCE
25.95% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.5% of their chances: the greatest rate on the slate this week.. In this game, Joe Burrow is predicted by the model to wind up with the 2nd-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 39.1. . Joe Burrow's 307.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year signifies a meaningful growth in his passing talent over last year's 196.0 mark.. Joe Burrow's 73.6% Adjusted Completion% this year represents an impressive improvement in his passing precision over last year's 70.3% figure.. Opposing offenses have passed for the 5th-most adjusted yards in football (254.0 per game) versus the Steelers defense this year.

o285.5 -115
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
PASSING YARDS
Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) u239.5 Passing Yards
228.25 UNDER PROJECTION
-11.3 DIFFERENCE
21.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) u239.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

228.25 UNDER PROJECTION
-11.3 DIFFERENCE
21.39% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are expected by the projection model to call just 62.8 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.. Aaron Rodgers's 62.0% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a material reduction in his throwing precision over last year's 67.1% mark.

u240.5 -114
FanDuel logo
RUSHING YARDS
Chase Brown logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
C. Brown (RB) o43.5 Rushing Yards
50.71 OVER PROJECTION
+7.2 DIFFERENCE
23.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Chase Brown logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
C. Brown (RB) o43.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

50.71 OVER PROJECTION
+7.2 DIFFERENCE
23.76% EV

ANALYSIS

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.. Among all RBs, Chase Brown ranks in the 92nd percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 61.7% of the workload in his offense's ground game.. With an excellent record of 49.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (80th percentile), Chase Brown ranks as one of the leading RBs in the league this year.

o40.5 -140
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RUSHING YARDS
Jaylen Warren logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
J. Warren (RB) o61.5 Rushing Yards
62.40 OVER PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jaylen Warren logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
J. Warren (RB) o61.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

62.40 OVER PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
9% EV

ANALYSIS

The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a colossal 58.4 per game on average).. Our trusted projections expect Jaylen Warren to accrue 14.5 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs.. After comprising 58.3% of his offense's rushing play calls last year, Jaylen Warren has played a bigger part in the rushing attack this year, currently making up 69.3%.. Jaylen Warren's 82.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season reflects a noteable progression in his running ability over last season's 50.0 rate.. This year, the formidable Cincinnati Bengals run defense has allowed a feeble 4.68 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing offenses: the 24th-smallest rate in the NFL.

o60.5 -120
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Mike Gesicki logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
M. Gesicki (TE) o23.5 Receiving Yards
35.64 OVER PROJECTION
+12.1 DIFFERENCE
26.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Mike Gesicki logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
M. Gesicki (TE) o23.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

35.64 OVER PROJECTION
+12.1 DIFFERENCE
26.18% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.5% of their chances: the greatest rate on the slate this week.. Mike Gesicki has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (59.6% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (48.6%).. When talking about air yards, Mike Gesicki grades out in the towering 90th percentile among TEs this year, totaling a superb 37.0 per game.. Mike Gesicki's 38.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year signifies a significant boost in his receiving proficiency over last year's 22.0 rate.. This year, the shaky Steelers pass defense has surrendered a whopping 82.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 3rd-worst rate in the NFL.

o20.5 -140
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Jaylen Warren logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
J. Warren (RB) u25.5 Receiving Yards
17.86 UNDER PROJECTION
-7.6 DIFFERENCE
25.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jaylen Warren logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
J. Warren (RB) u25.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

17.86 UNDER PROJECTION
-7.6 DIFFERENCE
25.66% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are expected by the projection model to call just 62.8 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.. Jaylen Warren has accrued a feeble -6.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 5th percentile when it comes to running backs.. With a poor 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (2nd percentile) last year, Jaylen Warren stands as one of the best pass-game running backs in the NFL in space.. The Bengals pass defense has performed very well when opposing running backs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 5.91 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 8th-fewest in the NFL.

u25.5 -112
DraftKings logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Germie Bernard logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
G. Bernard (WR) o47.5 Receiving Yards
55.73 OVER PROJECTION
+8.2 DIFFERENCE
22.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Germie Bernard logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
G. Bernard (WR) o47.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

55.73 OVER PROJECTION
+8.2 DIFFERENCE
22.93% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their standard approach.. The model projects the Steelers to be the 4th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a colossal 58.4 per game on average).. The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line profiles as the 4th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.. When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Cincinnati's collection of LBs has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 5th-worst in the league.

o45.5 -125
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Chase Brown logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
C. Brown (RB) o24.5 Receiving Yards
26.72 OVER PROJECTION
+2.2 DIFFERENCE
15.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Chase Brown logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
C. Brown (RB) o24.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

26.72 OVER PROJECTION
+2.2 DIFFERENCE
15.68% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.5% of their chances: the greatest rate on the slate this week.. With an impressive 57.9% Route Participation Rate (95th percentile) this year, Chase Brown places as one of the pass-catching running backs with the highest volume in the league.. In this week's game, Chase Brown is projected by the projection model to finish in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs with 5.5 targets.. Chase Brown comes in as one of the best RB receiving threats this year, averaging a fantastic 26.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 89th percentile.. The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has allowed the 2nd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (44.0) versus running backs this year.

o23.5 -114
FanDuel logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Ja'Marr Chase logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
J. Chase (WR) o90.5 Receiving Yards
94.04 OVER PROJECTION
+3.5 DIFFERENCE
12.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ja'Marr Chase logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
J. Chase (WR) o90.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

94.04 OVER PROJECTION
+3.5 DIFFERENCE
12.47% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.5% of their chances: the greatest rate on the slate this week.. With a remarkable 98.5% Route Participation Rate (99th percentile) this year, Ja'Marr Chase has been as one of the WRs with the biggest workloads in the league.. In this week's contest, Ja'Marr Chase is anticipated by the projection model to find himself in the 99th percentile among wide receivers with 11.7 targets.. After accumulating 101.0 air yards per game last year, Ja'Marr Chase has shown good development this year, now boasting 106.0 per game.. With a stellar 83.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (95th percentile) this year, Ja'Marr Chase has been as one of the top wide receivers in the league in the league.

o88.5 -115
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RECEPTIONS MADE
Jaylen Warren logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
J. Warren (RB) u2.5 Receptions Made
2.32 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
19.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jaylen Warren logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
J. Warren (RB) u2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.32 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
19.17% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are expected by the projection model to call just 62.8 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.

u3.5 -160
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Mike Gesicki logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
M. Gesicki (TE) o2.5 Receptions Made
2.84 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.14% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Mike Gesicki logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
M. Gesicki (TE) o2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.84 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.14% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.5% of their chances: the greatest rate on the slate this week.. Mike Gesicki has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (59.6% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (48.6%).. This year, the shaky Steelers pass defense has surrendered a whopping 82.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 3rd-worst rate in the NFL.

o2.5 +116
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RECEPTIONS MADE
Pat Freiermuth logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
P. Freiermuth (TE) o2.5 Receptions Made
3.11 OVER PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
5.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Pat Freiermuth logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
P. Freiermuth (TE) o2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.11 OVER PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
5.77% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their standard approach.. The model projects the Steelers to be the 4th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a colossal 58.4 per game on average).. Pat Freiermuth has run fewer routes this season (70.6% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (55.7%).. In this contest, Pat Freiermuth is projected by the model to rank in the 77th percentile among TEs with 4.5 targets.

o2.5 -125
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RECEPTIONS MADE
Chase Brown logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
C. Brown (RB) u4.5 Receptions Made
4.13 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Chase Brown logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
C. Brown (RB) u4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.13 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.96% EV

ANALYSIS

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Pittsburgh's LB corps has been very good this year, ranking as the 6th-best in the league.

u4.5 -140
DraftKings logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Ja'Marr Chase logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
J. Chase (WR) u8.5 Receptions Made
8.02 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
4.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ja'Marr Chase logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
J. Chase (WR) u8.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

8.02 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
4.02% EV

ANALYSIS

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. This year, the tough Steelers defense has surrendered a meager 62.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 10th-best rate in the league.. As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Pittsburgh's LB corps has been very good this year, ranking as the 6th-best in the league.

u8.5 -140
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RECEPTIONS MADE
Germie Bernard logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
G. Bernard (WR) u4.5 Receptions Made
4.41 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-9.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Germie Bernard logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
G. Bernard (WR) u4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.41 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-9.96% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are expected by the projection model to call just 62.8 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.

u4.5 -135
bet365 logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Jaylen Warren logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
J. Warren (RB) u14.5 Rushing Attempts
14.01 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jaylen Warren logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
J. Warren (RB) u14.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

14.01 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.94% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their standard approach.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Steelers to run on 37.1% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.. Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are expected by the projection model to call just 62.8 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.

u14.5 -105
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RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Chase Brown logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
C. Brown (RB) o11.5 Rushing Attempts
12.13 OVER PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
7.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Chase Brown logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
C. Brown (RB) o11.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

12.13 OVER PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
7.08% EV

ANALYSIS

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.. Among all RBs, Chase Brown ranks in the 92nd percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 61.7% of the workload in his offense's ground game.

o11.5 +102
FanDuel logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Joe Burrow logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
J. Burrow (QB) u39.5 Passing Attempts
37.37 UNDER PROJECTION
-2.1 DIFFERENCE
14.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Joe Burrow logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
J. Burrow (QB) u39.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

37.37 UNDER PROJECTION
-2.1 DIFFERENCE
14.24% EV

ANALYSIS

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

u39.5 -120
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PASSING ATTEMPTS
Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) u36.5 Passing Attempts
34.65 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.9 DIFFERENCE
13.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) u36.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

34.65 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.9 DIFFERENCE
13.45% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are expected by the projection model to call just 62.8 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.

u36.5 -130
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PASSING COMPLETIONS
Joe Burrow logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
J. Burrow (QB) o26.5 Passing Completions
29.19 OVER PROJECTION
+2.7 DIFFERENCE
16.98% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
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Joe Burrow logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
J. Burrow (QB) o26.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

29.19 OVER PROJECTION
+2.7 DIFFERENCE
16.98% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.5% of their chances: the greatest rate on the slate this week.. In this game, Joe Burrow is predicted by the model to wind up with the 2nd-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 39.1. . Joe Burrow's 73.6% Adjusted Completion% this year represents an impressive improvement in his passing precision over last year's 70.3% figure.

o26.5 -108
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PASSING COMPLETIONS
Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) u22.5 Passing Completions
20.67 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.8 DIFFERENCE
13.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
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Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) u22.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

20.67 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.8 DIFFERENCE
13.12% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are expected by the projection model to call just 62.8 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.. Aaron Rodgers's 62.0% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a material reduction in his throwing precision over last year's 67.1% mark.

u22.5 -125
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ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Joe Burrow logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
J. Burrow (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.24 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
26.62% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
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Joe Burrow logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
J. Burrow (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.24 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
26.62% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.5% of their chances: the greatest rate on the slate this week.. The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.6% red zone pass rate.. In this game, Joe Burrow is predicted by the model to wind up with the 2nd-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 39.1. . Joe Burrow's 73.6% Adjusted Completion% this year represents an impressive improvement in his passing precision over last year's 70.3% figure.. Joe Burrow has been one of the leading touchdown passers in the NFL this year, averaging a fantastic 2.88 per game while checking in at the 100th percentile.

+750
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ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Germie Bernard logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
G. Bernard (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.44 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
24.38% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
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Germie Bernard logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
G. Bernard (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.44 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
24.38% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their standard approach.. The model projects the Steelers to be the 4th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-oriented team in football in the red zone (64.0% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Pittsburgh Steelers.. The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a colossal 58.4 per game on average).. The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line profiles as the 4th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

+285
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ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Chase Brown logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
C. Brown (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.58 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
13.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
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Chase Brown logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
C. Brown (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.58 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
13.49% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.5% of their chances: the greatest rate on the slate this week.. The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.6% red zone pass rate.. While Chase Brown has accounted for 6.8% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more important option in Cincinnati's passing attack near the end zone in this contest at 12.6%.. Chase Brown's 20.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) ranks among the league leaders: 92nd percentile for running backs.. Chase Brown's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 81.1% to 95.6%.

+105
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ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Ja'Marr Chase logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
J. Chase (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.56 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-1.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
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Ja'Marr Chase logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
J. Chase (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.56 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-1.34% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.5% of their chances: the greatest rate on the slate this week.. The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.6% red zone pass rate.. With an exceptional 34.2% Red Zone Target% (98th percentile) this year, Ja'Marr Chase has been among the wide receivers with the biggest workloads near the end zone in football.. After accumulating 101.0 air yards per game last year, Ja'Marr Chase has shown good development this year, now boasting 106.0 per game.. Ja'Marr Chase slots into the 97th percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) with a remarkable 74.3 mark this year.

-120
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ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jaylen Warren logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
J. Warren (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.45 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-8.61% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
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Jaylen Warren logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
J. Warren (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.45 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-8.61% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their standard approach.. The model projects the Steelers to be the 4th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-oriented team in football in the red zone (64.0% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Pittsburgh Steelers.. The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a colossal 58.4 per game on average).. Jaylen Warren's 16.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 10.5.

+105
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ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Mike Gesicki logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
M. Gesicki (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.24 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-13.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
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Mike Gesicki logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
M. Gesicki (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.24 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-13.12% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.5% of their chances: the greatest rate on the slate this week.. The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.6% red zone pass rate.. When talking about air yards, Mike Gesicki grades out in the towering 90th percentile among TEs this year, totaling a superb 37.0 per game.. With a terrific rate of 0.86 per game through the air (99th percentile), Mike Gesicki has been as one of the top receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL among TEs this year.. This year, the shaky Steelers pass defense has surrendered a whopping 82.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 3rd-worst rate in the NFL.

+260
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ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.05 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-16.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
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Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.05 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-16.07% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their standard approach.. The model projects the Steelers to be the 4th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-oriented team in football in the red zone (64.0% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Pittsburgh Steelers.. The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a colossal 58.4 per game on average).. In this week's contest, Aaron Rodgers is expected by the predictive model to wind up with the 9th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 36.4.

+1800
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INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Joe Burrow logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
J. Burrow (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.46 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
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Joe Burrow logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
J. Burrow (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.46 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.1% EV

ANALYSIS

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Pittsburgh's defense grades out as the 9th-best in football this year as it relates to generating interceptions, accumulating 0.85 per game.. As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Pittsburgh's LB corps has been very good this year, ranking as the 6th-best in the league.

u0.5 -108
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INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.67 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
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Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.67 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.9% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their standard approach.. The model projects the Steelers to be the 4th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a colossal 58.4 per game on average).. In this week's contest, Aaron Rodgers is expected by the predictive model to wind up with the 9th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 36.4. . The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line profiles as the 4th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

o0.5 -105
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  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
SPREAD
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
CIN -3.5 spread
-6.54 PROJECTION
-3.0 DIFFERENCE
18.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
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Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
CIN -3.5 spread

PROJECTION

-6.54 PROJECTION
-3.0 DIFFERENCE
18.13% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-3.5 +100
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TOTAL
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
Under 49.0 Total
46.10 UNDER PROJECTION
-2.9 DIFFERENCE
19.27% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
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Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
Under 49.0 Total

PROJECTION

46.10 UNDER PROJECTION
-2.9 DIFFERENCE
19.27% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

u49.5 -108
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PASSING YARDS
Joe Burrow logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
J. Burrow (QB) o287.5 Passing Yards
321.42 OVER PROJECTION
+33.9 DIFFERENCE
25.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
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Joe Burrow logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
J. Burrow (QB) o287.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

321.42 OVER PROJECTION
+33.9 DIFFERENCE
25.95% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.5% of their chances: the greatest rate on the slate this week.. In this game, Joe Burrow is predicted by the model to wind up with the 2nd-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 39.1. . Joe Burrow's 307.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year signifies a meaningful growth in his passing talent over last year's 196.0 mark.. Joe Burrow's 73.6% Adjusted Completion% this year represents an impressive improvement in his passing precision over last year's 70.3% figure.. Opposing offenses have passed for the 5th-most adjusted yards in football (254.0 per game) versus the Steelers defense this year.

o285.5 -115
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PASSING YARDS
Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) u239.5 Passing Yards
228.25 UNDER PROJECTION
-11.3 DIFFERENCE
21.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
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Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) u239.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

228.25 UNDER PROJECTION
-11.3 DIFFERENCE
21.39% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are expected by the projection model to call just 62.8 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.. Aaron Rodgers's 62.0% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a material reduction in his throwing precision over last year's 67.1% mark.

u240.5 -114
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RUSHING YARDS
Chase Brown logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
C. Brown (RB) o43.5 Rushing Yards
50.71 OVER PROJECTION
+7.2 DIFFERENCE
23.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
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Chase Brown logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
C. Brown (RB) o43.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

50.71 OVER PROJECTION
+7.2 DIFFERENCE
23.76% EV

ANALYSIS

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.. Among all RBs, Chase Brown ranks in the 92nd percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 61.7% of the workload in his offense's ground game.. With an excellent record of 49.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (80th percentile), Chase Brown ranks as one of the leading RBs in the league this year.

o40.5 -140
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RUSHING YARDS
Jaylen Warren logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
J. Warren (RB) o61.5 Rushing Yards
62.40 OVER PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
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Jaylen Warren logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
J. Warren (RB) o61.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

62.40 OVER PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
9% EV

ANALYSIS

The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a colossal 58.4 per game on average).. Our trusted projections expect Jaylen Warren to accrue 14.5 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs.. After comprising 58.3% of his offense's rushing play calls last year, Jaylen Warren has played a bigger part in the rushing attack this year, currently making up 69.3%.. Jaylen Warren's 82.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season reflects a noteable progression in his running ability over last season's 50.0 rate.. This year, the formidable Cincinnati Bengals run defense has allowed a feeble 4.68 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing offenses: the 24th-smallest rate in the NFL.

o60.5 -120
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RECEIVING YARDS
Mike Gesicki logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
M. Gesicki (TE) o23.5 Receiving Yards
35.64 OVER PROJECTION
+12.1 DIFFERENCE
26.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Mike Gesicki logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
M. Gesicki (TE) o23.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

35.64 OVER PROJECTION
+12.1 DIFFERENCE
26.18% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.5% of their chances: the greatest rate on the slate this week.. Mike Gesicki has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (59.6% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (48.6%).. When talking about air yards, Mike Gesicki grades out in the towering 90th percentile among TEs this year, totaling a superb 37.0 per game.. Mike Gesicki's 38.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year signifies a significant boost in his receiving proficiency over last year's 22.0 rate.. This year, the shaky Steelers pass defense has surrendered a whopping 82.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 3rd-worst rate in the NFL.

o20.5 -140
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RECEIVING YARDS
Jaylen Warren logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
J. Warren (RB) u25.5 Receiving Yards
17.86 UNDER PROJECTION
-7.6 DIFFERENCE
25.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
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Jaylen Warren logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
J. Warren (RB) u25.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

17.86 UNDER PROJECTION
-7.6 DIFFERENCE
25.66% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are expected by the projection model to call just 62.8 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.. Jaylen Warren has accrued a feeble -6.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 5th percentile when it comes to running backs.. With a poor 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (2nd percentile) last year, Jaylen Warren stands as one of the best pass-game running backs in the NFL in space.. The Bengals pass defense has performed very well when opposing running backs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 5.91 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 8th-fewest in the NFL.

u25.5 -112
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RECEIVING YARDS
Germie Bernard logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
G. Bernard (WR) o47.5 Receiving Yards
55.73 OVER PROJECTION
+8.2 DIFFERENCE
22.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
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Germie Bernard logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
G. Bernard (WR) o47.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

55.73 OVER PROJECTION
+8.2 DIFFERENCE
22.93% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their standard approach.. The model projects the Steelers to be the 4th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a colossal 58.4 per game on average).. The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line profiles as the 4th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.. When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Cincinnati's collection of LBs has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 5th-worst in the league.

o45.5 -125
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RECEIVING YARDS
Chase Brown logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
C. Brown (RB) o24.5 Receiving Yards
26.72 OVER PROJECTION
+2.2 DIFFERENCE
15.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
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Chase Brown logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
C. Brown (RB) o24.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

26.72 OVER PROJECTION
+2.2 DIFFERENCE
15.68% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.5% of their chances: the greatest rate on the slate this week.. With an impressive 57.9% Route Participation Rate (95th percentile) this year, Chase Brown places as one of the pass-catching running backs with the highest volume in the league.. In this week's game, Chase Brown is projected by the projection model to finish in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs with 5.5 targets.. Chase Brown comes in as one of the best RB receiving threats this year, averaging a fantastic 26.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 89th percentile.. The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has allowed the 2nd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (44.0) versus running backs this year.

o23.5 -114
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RECEIVING YARDS
Ja'Marr Chase logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
J. Chase (WR) o90.5 Receiving Yards
94.04 OVER PROJECTION
+3.5 DIFFERENCE
12.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
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Ja'Marr Chase logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
J. Chase (WR) o90.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

94.04 OVER PROJECTION
+3.5 DIFFERENCE
12.47% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.5% of their chances: the greatest rate on the slate this week.. With a remarkable 98.5% Route Participation Rate (99th percentile) this year, Ja'Marr Chase has been as one of the WRs with the biggest workloads in the league.. In this week's contest, Ja'Marr Chase is anticipated by the projection model to find himself in the 99th percentile among wide receivers with 11.7 targets.. After accumulating 101.0 air yards per game last year, Ja'Marr Chase has shown good development this year, now boasting 106.0 per game.. With a stellar 83.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (95th percentile) this year, Ja'Marr Chase has been as one of the top wide receivers in the league in the league.

o88.5 -115
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RECEPTIONS MADE
Jaylen Warren logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
J. Warren (RB) u2.5 Receptions Made
2.32 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
19.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jaylen Warren logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
J. Warren (RB) u2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.32 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
19.17% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are expected by the projection model to call just 62.8 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.

u3.5 -160
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RECEPTIONS MADE
Mike Gesicki logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
M. Gesicki (TE) o2.5 Receptions Made
2.84 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.14% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
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Mike Gesicki logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
M. Gesicki (TE) o2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.84 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.14% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.5% of their chances: the greatest rate on the slate this week.. Mike Gesicki has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (59.6% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (48.6%).. This year, the shaky Steelers pass defense has surrendered a whopping 82.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 3rd-worst rate in the NFL.

o2.5 +116
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RECEPTIONS MADE
Pat Freiermuth logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
P. Freiermuth (TE) o2.5 Receptions Made
3.11 OVER PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
5.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Pat Freiermuth logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
P. Freiermuth (TE) o2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.11 OVER PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
5.77% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their standard approach.. The model projects the Steelers to be the 4th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a colossal 58.4 per game on average).. Pat Freiermuth has run fewer routes this season (70.6% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (55.7%).. In this contest, Pat Freiermuth is projected by the model to rank in the 77th percentile among TEs with 4.5 targets.

o2.5 -125
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RECEPTIONS MADE
Chase Brown logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
C. Brown (RB) u4.5 Receptions Made
4.13 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
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Chase Brown logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
C. Brown (RB) u4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.13 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.96% EV

ANALYSIS

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Pittsburgh's LB corps has been very good this year, ranking as the 6th-best in the league.

u4.5 -140
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RECEPTIONS MADE
Ja'Marr Chase logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
J. Chase (WR) u8.5 Receptions Made
8.02 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
4.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ja'Marr Chase logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
J. Chase (WR) u8.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

8.02 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
4.02% EV

ANALYSIS

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. This year, the tough Steelers defense has surrendered a meager 62.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 10th-best rate in the league.. As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Pittsburgh's LB corps has been very good this year, ranking as the 6th-best in the league.

u8.5 -140
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RECEPTIONS MADE
Germie Bernard logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
G. Bernard (WR) u4.5 Receptions Made
4.41 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-9.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Germie Bernard logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
G. Bernard (WR) u4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.41 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-9.96% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are expected by the projection model to call just 62.8 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.

u4.5 -135
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RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Jaylen Warren logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
J. Warren (RB) u14.5 Rushing Attempts
14.01 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jaylen Warren logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
J. Warren (RB) u14.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

14.01 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.94% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their standard approach.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Steelers to run on 37.1% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.. Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are expected by the projection model to call just 62.8 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.

u14.5 -105
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RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Chase Brown logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
C. Brown (RB) o11.5 Rushing Attempts
12.13 OVER PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
7.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Chase Brown logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
C. Brown (RB) o11.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

12.13 OVER PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
7.08% EV

ANALYSIS

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.. Among all RBs, Chase Brown ranks in the 92nd percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 61.7% of the workload in his offense's ground game.

o11.5 +102
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PASSING ATTEMPTS
Joe Burrow logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
J. Burrow (QB) u39.5 Passing Attempts
37.37 UNDER PROJECTION
-2.1 DIFFERENCE
14.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Joe Burrow logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
J. Burrow (QB) u39.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

37.37 UNDER PROJECTION
-2.1 DIFFERENCE
14.24% EV

ANALYSIS

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

u39.5 -120
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PASSING ATTEMPTS
Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) u36.5 Passing Attempts
34.65 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.9 DIFFERENCE
13.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) u36.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

34.65 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.9 DIFFERENCE
13.45% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are expected by the projection model to call just 62.8 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.

u36.5 -130
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PASSING COMPLETIONS
Joe Burrow logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
J. Burrow (QB) o26.5 Passing Completions
29.19 OVER PROJECTION
+2.7 DIFFERENCE
16.98% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Joe Burrow logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
J. Burrow (QB) o26.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

29.19 OVER PROJECTION
+2.7 DIFFERENCE
16.98% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.5% of their chances: the greatest rate on the slate this week.. In this game, Joe Burrow is predicted by the model to wind up with the 2nd-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 39.1. . Joe Burrow's 73.6% Adjusted Completion% this year represents an impressive improvement in his passing precision over last year's 70.3% figure.

o26.5 -108
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PASSING COMPLETIONS
Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) u22.5 Passing Completions
20.67 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.8 DIFFERENCE
13.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) u22.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

20.67 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.8 DIFFERENCE
13.12% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are expected by the projection model to call just 62.8 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.. Aaron Rodgers's 62.0% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a material reduction in his throwing precision over last year's 67.1% mark.

u22.5 -125
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ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Joe Burrow logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
J. Burrow (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.24 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
26.62% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Joe Burrow logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
J. Burrow (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.24 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
26.62% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.5% of their chances: the greatest rate on the slate this week.. The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.6% red zone pass rate.. In this game, Joe Burrow is predicted by the model to wind up with the 2nd-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 39.1. . Joe Burrow's 73.6% Adjusted Completion% this year represents an impressive improvement in his passing precision over last year's 70.3% figure.. Joe Burrow has been one of the leading touchdown passers in the NFL this year, averaging a fantastic 2.88 per game while checking in at the 100th percentile.

+750
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ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Germie Bernard logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
G. Bernard (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.44 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
24.38% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Germie Bernard logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
G. Bernard (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.44 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
24.38% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their standard approach.. The model projects the Steelers to be the 4th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-oriented team in football in the red zone (64.0% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Pittsburgh Steelers.. The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a colossal 58.4 per game on average).. The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line profiles as the 4th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

+285
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ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Chase Brown logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
C. Brown (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.58 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
13.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Chase Brown logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
C. Brown (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.58 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
13.49% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.5% of their chances: the greatest rate on the slate this week.. The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.6% red zone pass rate.. While Chase Brown has accounted for 6.8% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more important option in Cincinnati's passing attack near the end zone in this contest at 12.6%.. Chase Brown's 20.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) ranks among the league leaders: 92nd percentile for running backs.. Chase Brown's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 81.1% to 95.6%.

+105
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ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Ja'Marr Chase logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
J. Chase (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.56 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-1.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Ja'Marr Chase logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
J. Chase (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.56 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-1.34% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.5% of their chances: the greatest rate on the slate this week.. The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.6% red zone pass rate.. With an exceptional 34.2% Red Zone Target% (98th percentile) this year, Ja'Marr Chase has been among the wide receivers with the biggest workloads near the end zone in football.. After accumulating 101.0 air yards per game last year, Ja'Marr Chase has shown good development this year, now boasting 106.0 per game.. Ja'Marr Chase slots into the 97th percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) with a remarkable 74.3 mark this year.

-120
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ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jaylen Warren logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
J. Warren (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.45 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-8.61% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Jaylen Warren logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
J. Warren (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.45 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-8.61% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their standard approach.. The model projects the Steelers to be the 4th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-oriented team in football in the red zone (64.0% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Pittsburgh Steelers.. The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a colossal 58.4 per game on average).. Jaylen Warren's 16.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 10.5.

+105
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ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Mike Gesicki logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
M. Gesicki (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.24 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-13.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Mike Gesicki logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
M. Gesicki (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.24 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-13.12% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.5% of their chances: the greatest rate on the slate this week.. The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.6% red zone pass rate.. When talking about air yards, Mike Gesicki grades out in the towering 90th percentile among TEs this year, totaling a superb 37.0 per game.. With a terrific rate of 0.86 per game through the air (99th percentile), Mike Gesicki has been as one of the top receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL among TEs this year.. This year, the shaky Steelers pass defense has surrendered a whopping 82.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 3rd-worst rate in the NFL.

+260
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ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.05 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-16.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.05 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-16.07% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their standard approach.. The model projects the Steelers to be the 4th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-oriented team in football in the red zone (64.0% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Pittsburgh Steelers.. The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a colossal 58.4 per game on average).. In this week's contest, Aaron Rodgers is expected by the predictive model to wind up with the 9th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 36.4.

+1800
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INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Joe Burrow logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
J. Burrow (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.46 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Joe Burrow logo
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail
J. Burrow (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.46 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.1% EV

ANALYSIS

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Pittsburgh's defense grades out as the 9th-best in football this year as it relates to generating interceptions, accumulating 0.85 per game.. As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Pittsburgh's LB corps has been very good this year, ranking as the 6th-best in the league.

u0.5 -108
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INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.67 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.67 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.9% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their standard approach.. The model projects the Steelers to be the 4th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a colossal 58.4 per game on average).. In this week's contest, Aaron Rodgers is expected by the predictive model to wind up with the 9th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 36.4. . The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line profiles as the 4th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

o0.5 -105
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Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'vupham' is picking Pittsburgh to cover (+4.5)

vupham is #7 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +3800 units on the season.

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'vupham' picks Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati to go Over (47.5)

vupham is #7 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +3800 units on the season.

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'qlh' is picking Cincinnati to cover (-4.5)

qlh is #8 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +3800 units on the season.

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'qlh' picks Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati to go Over (47.5)

qlh is #8 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +3800 units on the season.

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