Pittsburgh Steelers

1st in AFC North (7 - 6 - 0)

Next Game

MIAMiami Miami
at
Pittsburgh PITPittsburgh
Mon, Dec 15 20:15 ET

MIA @ PIT Picks

NFL Picks
Total
Miami Dolphins logo Pittsburgh Steelers logo u42.5 (-110)
Best Odds
u42.5 -110 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: yesterday
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst
u42.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
u41.5  -110
u42.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
u42.0  -110
These are quick bet odds
u41.5  -106
These are quick bet odds

Achane has powered this Miami attack during this streak, with the Dolphins handing off at the highest rate in the league the past three games. That’s keep gains short and the clock ticking, translating into a healthy chunk of TOP for the Fins. The Dolphins will go run-heavy again on Monday, especially if conditions stink, as to keep the heat from QB Tua Tagovailoa. Pittsburgh brings blitz at a Top 5 rate and is among the leaders in sacks and QB hits. The Steelers attack has lacked explosive plays with Aaron Rodgers under center. He enters Week 15 with the second lowest intended air yards per attempt among qualified QBs and the offense has the sixth fewest completions of 20 yards or more – just behind the Dolphins.

Passing Yards
Tua Tagovailoa logo
Tua Tagovailoa o190.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 205.55 (Over)
Best Odds
o190.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o199.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o190.5  -110
o199.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
 -
o197.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
A passing game script is implied by the Dolphins being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football.. Opposing offenses have thrown for the 5th-most adjusted yards in football (259.0 per game) against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year.
-110 at bet365
Passing Yards
Aaron Rodgers logo
Aaron Rodgers o214.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 226.02 (Over)
Best Odds
o210.5 -114 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 21 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o212.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o214.5  -110
o210.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
 -
o212.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
The Steelers offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 3rd-highest level in the NFL against the Miami Dolphins defense this year (74.4% Adjusted Completion%).
-114 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Jaylen Waddle logo
Jaylen Waddle o56.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 63.15 (Over)
Best Odds
o56.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
 -
o56.5  -110
 -
 -
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A passing game script is implied by the Dolphins being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football.. In this game, Jaylen Waddle is expected by the predictive model to slot into the 92nd percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.4 targets.. After accumulating 56.0 air yards per game last season, Jaylen Waddle has shown good development this season, currently sitting at 84.0 per game.. Jaylen Waddle's 65.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 43.8.
-110 at bet365
Receiving Yards
De'Von Achane logo
De'Von Achane o28.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 32.86 (Over)
Best Odds
o28.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 14 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
o28.5  -110
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 -
 -
A passing game script is implied by the Dolphins being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football.. De'Von Achane's 74.2% Route Participation% this year signifies a meaningful progression in his passing game usage over last year's 61.2% figure.. The leading projections forecast De'Von Achane to total 6.4 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 97th percentile among RBs.. De'Von Achane has compiled a staggering 3.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile among RBs. (This might not seem too impressive, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
-110 at bet365
Rushing Yards
Jaylen Warren logo
Jaylen Warren o49.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Projection 62.32 (Over)
Best Odds
o49.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
 -
o49.5  -110
 -
 -
 -
A rushing game script is implied by the Steelers being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest.. In this week's contest, Jaylen Warren is projected by the predictive model to position himself in the 81st percentile when it comes to RBs with 15.7 carries.. Jaylen Warren has been a more integral piece of his offense's rushing attack this season (62.4% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (25.6%).. Jaylen Warren has rushed for substantially more adjusted yards per game (50.0) this season than he did last season (33.0).. Opposing teams have rushed for the 5th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (134 per game) against the Miami Dolphins defense this year.
-110 at bet365
Rushing Attempts
Aaron Rodgers logo
Aaron Rodgers u1.5 Rushing Attempts (-150)
Projection 1.07 (Under)
Best Odds
u1.5 -150 bet365
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
 -
u1.5  -150
 -
 -
 -
Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to have only 125.1 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.. The smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a mere 50.8 per game on average).. This week, Aaron Rodgers is predicted by the projection model to garner the 3rd-fewest carries among all QBs with 1.6. . Taking on just 3.7% of his team's run game usage this year (12th percentile among QBs), Aaron Rodgers's immobility makes him no threat on the ground.. The Miami Dolphins linebackers rank as the 6th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.
-150 at bet365
Rushing Yards
De'Von Achane logo
De'Von Achane u80.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Projection 72.56 (Under)
Best Odds
u80.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 14 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
u80.5  -110
 -
 -
 -
A passing game script is implied by the Dolphins being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.. Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Dolphins are forecasted by the predictive model to run only 62.0 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-fewest among all teams this week.. The Dolphins have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 52.4 plays per game.. The Pittsburgh defensive ends project as the 2nd-best DE corps in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.
-110 at bet365

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Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.
Spread

66% picking Pittsburgh

34%
66%

Total Picks MIA 138, PIT 267

Spread
MIA
PIT
Spread
+3.5 -108
-3.5 +101

Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
Spread

'stom5900' is picking Pittsburgh to cover (-3.0)

stom5900 is #1 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (11-2-0) and +9650 units on the season.

Spread
MIA
PIT
Spread
+3.5 -108
-3.5 +101
Total

'stom5900' picks Miami vs Pittsburgh to go Over (41.5)

stom5900 is #1 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (11-2-0) and +9650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
41.5 -116
42 -117
Spread

'bigsmoke21169' is picking Pittsburgh to cover (-3.0)

bigsmoke21169 is #2 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +7800 units on the season.

Spread
MIA
PIT
Spread
+3.5 -108
-3.5 +101
Total

'bigsmoke21169' picks Miami vs Pittsburgh to go Over (42.5)

bigsmoke21169 is #2 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +7800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
41.5 -116
42 -117
Total

'bugsy1958' picks Miami vs Pittsburgh to go Over (41.5)

bugsy1958 is #4 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (10-3-0) and +6200 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
41.5 -116
42 -117
Spread

'bugsy1958' is picking Pittsburgh to cover (-3.5)

bugsy1958 is #4 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (10-3-0) and +6200 units on the season.

Spread
MIA
PIT
Spread
+3.5 -108
-3.5 +101
Spread

'Bazooks813973' is picking Pittsburgh to cover (-3.0)

Bazooks813973 is #5 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (7-4-0) and +6080 units on the season.

Spread
MIA
PIT
Spread
+3.5 -108
-3.5 +101
Total

'Bazooks813973' picks Miami vs Pittsburgh to go Under (42.5)

Bazooks813973 is #5 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (7-4-0) and +6080 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
41.5 -116
42 -117
Spread

'GodOfGambler64' is picking Pittsburgh to cover (-3.5)

GodOfGambler64 is #5 on picking games that Miami is in with a record of (7-3-0) and +5200 units on the season.

Spread
MIA
PIT
Spread
+3.5 -108
-3.5 +101
Spread

'spiveytexas61' is picking Pittsburgh to cover (-3.0)

spiveytexas61 is #6 on picking games that Miami is in with a record of (8-4-1) and +5150 units on the season.

Spread
MIA
PIT
Spread
+3.5 -108
-3.5 +101
Total

'spiveytexas61' picks Miami vs Pittsburgh to go Over (41.5)

spiveytexas61 is #6 on picking games that Miami is in with a record of (8-4-1) and +5150 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
41.5 -116
42 -117
Spread

'livelywee55' is picking Pittsburgh to cover (-3.0)

livelywee55 is #6 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (8-3-0) and +5850 units on the season.

Spread
MIA
PIT
Spread
+3.5 -108
-3.5 +101
Total

'livelywee55' picks Miami vs Pittsburgh to go Under (41.5)

livelywee55 is #6 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (8-3-0) and +5850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
41.5 -116
42 -117
Total

'BetoCM' picks Miami vs Pittsburgh to go Under (41.5)

BetoCM is #8 on picking games that Miami is in with a record of (6-0-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
41.5 -116
42 -117
Spread

'BetoCM' is picking Pittsburgh to cover (-3.5)

BetoCM is #8 on picking games that Miami is in with a record of (6-0-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Spread
MIA
PIT
Spread
+3.5 -108
-3.5 +101
Total

'OGScotty' picks Miami vs Pittsburgh to go Under (41.5)

OGScotty is #9 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +5400 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
41.5 -116
42 -117
Spread

'OGScotty' is picking Pittsburgh to cover (-3.5)

OGScotty is #9 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +5400 units on the season.

Spread
MIA
PIT
Spread
+3.5 -108
-3.5 +101

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