Pittsburgh Steelers

1st in AFC North (9 - 6 - 0)

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Sun, Dec 28 13:00 ET

PIT @ CLE Picks

NFL Picks
Score a Touchdown
Jaylen Warren logo Jaylen Warren Score a Touchdown (Yes: +220)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Make this price make sense. Warren is coming off a two-touchdown performance with 143 rushing yards against Detroit, continues to handle the majority of the workload, and owns the red-zone carries. He was priced as short as +110 for a TD just two games ago, and this number sits roughly 70 cents longer than where he closed last week. The matchup only strengthens the case. Cleveland isn’t a dominant offense capable of forcing negative game script, and the Browns were just gashed by James Cook for 117 yards and two scores on 16 carries. With plenty on the line for Pittsburgh and DK Metcalf sidelined, the Steelers may lean even more on Warren, who has been their most reliable offensive weapon entering Week 17. Even at +150, this would still be worth a bet.

Total
Pittsburgh Steelers logo Cleveland Browns logo o34.5 (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 days ago
Sam Farley image
Sam Farley
Betting Analyst

The Over is 5-2 in games in which the Steelers are the road team and with such a low total, we can see both teams score enough to cover.

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Cleveland Browns logo CLE +4.5 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 days ago
Sam Farley image
Sam Farley
Betting Analyst
Passing Attempts
Aaron Rodgers logo
Aaron Rodgers o30.5 Passing Attempts (+100)
Projection 32.65 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to run the 10th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Passing Yards
Aaron Rodgers logo
Aaron Rodgers o190.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 197.54 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to run the 10th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. The Pittsburgh O-line ranks as the 7th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.. Aaron Rodgers's 67.2% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a significant boost in his throwing precision over last season's 63.8% rate.
Interceptions Thrown
Shedeur Sanders logo
Shedeur Sanders u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (+158)
Projection 0.43 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
When talking about protecting the passer (and the ramifications it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the 2nd-worst in football this year.. When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Pittsburgh's group of CBs has been one of the most skilled this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.
Receiving Yards
Jerry Jeudy logo
Jerry Jeudy o28.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 31.26 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
At a -3-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their standard game plan.. Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns to run the 10th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. Opposing offenses have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 3rd-most in football.. Jerry Jeudy has run a route on 91.2% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 88th percentile among wideouts.. The leading projections forecast Jerry Jeudy to earn 6.2 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 75th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
Rushing Yards
Shedeur Sanders logo
Shedeur Sanders o12.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Projection 17 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns to run the 10th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
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Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

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66% picking Pittsburgh

66%
34%

Total Picks PIT 350, CLE 184

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66% picking Pittsburgh vs Cleveland to go Over

66%
34%

Total PicksPIT 208, CLE 107

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Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'stom5900' is picking Pittsburgh to cover (-3.5)

stom5900 is #1 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (12-3-0) and +9550 units on the season.

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'stom5900' picks Pittsburgh vs Cleveland to go Over (34.5)

stom5900 is #1 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (12-3-0) and +9550 units on the season.

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'Haloman' is picking Pittsburgh to cover (-3.0)

Haloman is #10 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (12-3-0) and +5550 units on the season.

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'Haloman' picks Pittsburgh vs Cleveland to go Over (33.5)

Haloman is #10 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (12-3-0) and +5550 units on the season.

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'tolro234' is picking Cleveland to cover (+4.5)

tolro234 is #2 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (11-4-0) and +7650 units on the season.

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'bigsmoke21169' picks Pittsburgh vs Cleveland to go Over (34.5)

bigsmoke21169 is #2 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (10-4-0) and +7700 units on the season.

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'bigsmoke21169' is picking Cleveland to cover (+4.5)

bigsmoke21169 is #2 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (10-4-0) and +7700 units on the season.

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'tolro234' picks Pittsburgh vs Cleveland to go Under (34.0)

tolro234 is #2 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (11-4-0) and +7650 units on the season.

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'bugsy1958' picks Pittsburgh vs Cleveland to go Over (34.5)

bugsy1958 is #3 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (12-3-0) and +7150 units on the season.

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'bugsy1958' is picking Pittsburgh to cover (-4.5)

bugsy1958 is #3 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (12-3-0) and +7150 units on the season.

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'livelywee55' is picking Cleveland to cover (+4.5)

livelywee55 is #4 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (9-4-0) and +6800 units on the season.

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'livelywee55' picks Pittsburgh vs Cleveland to go Under (34.5)

livelywee55 is #4 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (9-4-0) and +6800 units on the season.

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'pittsburghphil' is picking Pittsburgh to cover (-4.5)

pittsburghphil is #5 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (10-5-0) and +6600 units on the season.

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'pittsburghphil' picks Pittsburgh vs Cleveland to go Over (34.5)

pittsburghphil is #5 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (10-5-0) and +6600 units on the season.

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'Nitetripper' is picking Cleveland to cover (+4.5)

Nitetripper is #6 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (0-0-0) and +6450 units on the season.

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'OGScotty' picks Pittsburgh vs Cleveland to go Over (34.5)

OGScotty is #7 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (7-3-0) and +5850 units on the season.

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'mrsc328' is picking Pittsburgh to cover (-4.0)

mrsc328 is #7 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (8-2-1) and +6250 units on the season.

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'mrsc328' picks Pittsburgh vs Cleveland to go Under (34.0)

mrsc328 is #7 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (8-2-1) and +6250 units on the season.

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