Pittsburgh Steelers

1st in AFC North (9 - 6 - 0)

Next Game

PITPittsburgh Pittsburgh
at
Cleveland CLECleveland
Sun, Dec 28 13:00 ET

PIT @ CLE Picks

NFL Picks
MoneyLine
Cleveland Browns logo CLE (+146)
Best Odds
 +165 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: yesterday
Sam Farley image
Sam Farley
Betting Analyst
 +154
These are quick bet odds
 +160
 +160
These are quick bet odds
 +165
These are quick bet odds
 +160
These are quick bet odds

The Browns have given up the second-fewest scrimmage yards per game (277.8), have the third-most sacks, and have the soon-to-be DMVP in Myles Garrett.

They’ve improved on offense, too, with Shedeur Sanders, averaging 16.6 points per game, only marginally more than the 15.8 they average without him. 

However, you have to take their current injuries into account, and they pass the eye test a lot more with Sanders at QB.

He might not be the long-term answer, but he’s solid enough to get the Browns and their excellent defense across the line on home soil.

Read Full Analysis
Score a Touchdown
Jaylen Warren logo Jaylen Warren Score a Touchdown (Yes: +220)
Best Odds
 +190 FanDuel
Pick made: 3 days ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
 +170
 +170
 +190
 +165
 +170

Make this price make sense. Warren is coming off a two-touchdown performance with 143 rushing yards against Detroit, continues to handle the majority of the workload, and owns the red-zone carries. He was priced as short as +110 for a TD just two games ago, and this number sits roughly 70 cents longer than where he closed last week. The matchup only strengthens the case. Cleveland isn’t a dominant offense capable of forcing negative game script, and the Browns were just gashed by James Cook for 117 yards and two scores on 16 carries. With plenty on the line for Pittsburgh and DK Metcalf sidelined, the Steelers may lean even more on Warren, who has been their most reliable offensive weapon entering Week 17. Even at +150, this would still be worth a bet.

Total
Pittsburgh Steelers logo Cleveland Browns logo o34.5 (-112)
Best Odds
o34.5 -110 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 5 days ago
Sam Farley image
Sam Farley
Betting Analyst
o34.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o34.5  -115
o35.5  -108
These are quick bet odds
o34.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
o34.5  -118
These are quick bet odds

The Over is 5-2 in games in which the Steelers are the road team and with such a low total, we can see both teams score enough to cover.

Spread
Cleveland Browns logo CLE +4.5 (-115)
Best Odds
+3.5 -110 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 5 days ago
Sam Farley image
Sam Farley
Betting Analyst
+3.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
+3.5  -115
+3.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
+3.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
+3.5  -110
These are quick bet odds

The Steelers are 3-4 ATS on the road this season and 1-2 ATS when they’re road favorites. So we're taking an improving Browns.

Passing Attempts
Aaron Rodgers logo
Aaron Rodgers o29.5 Passing Attempts (+115)
Projection 33.1 (Over)
Best Odds
o28.5 -118 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o28.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
o29.5  -135
o28.5  -138
These are quick bet odds
o28.5  -130
These are quick bet odds
o29.5  +115
Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
-118 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Passing Yards
Aaron Rodgers logo
Aaron Rodgers o180.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 193.57 (Over)
Best Odds
o180.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o185.5  -111
These are quick bet odds
o180.5  -110
o187.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o180.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o184.5  -102
These are quick bet odds
Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. The Pittsburgh O-line ranks as the 7th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.. Aaron Rodgers's 67.2% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a significant boost in his throwing precision over last season's 63.8% rate.
-110 at bet365
Interceptions Thrown
Shedeur Sanders logo
Shedeur Sanders u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (+155)
Projection 0.42 (Under)
Best Odds
u0.5 +155 bet365
Pick made: 11 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u0.5  +152
These are quick bet odds
u0.5  +155
u0.5  +154
u0.5  +150
These are quick bet odds
u0.5  +145
The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.. When talking about protecting the passer (and the ramifications it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the worst in football this year.. When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Pittsburgh's group of CBs has been one of the most skilled this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.
+155 at bet365
Receiving Yards
Jerry Jeudy logo
Jerry Jeudy o27.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 31.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o27.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o30.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o27.5  -110
o29.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o27.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o29.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
At a -3-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their standard game plan.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing offenses have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 3rd-most in football.. Jerry Jeudy has run a route on 91.2% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 88th percentile among wideouts.. The Steelers defense has surrendered the 6th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (161.0) versus wideouts this year.
-110 at bet365
Receiving Yards
Dylan Sampson logo
Dylan Sampson o17.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 20.59 (Over)
Best Odds
o15.5 -112 FanDuel
Pick made: 35 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o16.5  -110
o17.5  -110
o15.5  -112
o17.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
o16.5  -114
At a -3-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their standard game plan.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing offenses have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 3rd-most in football.. The Steelers pass defense has allowed the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (85.8%) vs. RBs this year (85.8%).. As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Pittsburgh's unit has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 9th-worst in the league.
-112 at FanDuel
Rushing Yards
Aaron Rodgers logo
Aaron Rodgers o0.5 Rushing Yards (+135)
Projection 2.81 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +135 bet365
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
o0.5  +135
 -
o0.5  +125
These are quick bet odds
 -
The Steelers are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.. Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being forecasted in this game) typically lead to lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and higher run volume.
+135 at bet365
Rushing Yards
Dylan Sampson logo
Dylan Sampson o39.5 Rushing Yards (+100)
Projection 48.56 (Over)
Best Odds
o39.5 +100 bet365
Pick made: 15 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o43.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o39.5  +100
o41.5  -112
o43.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o42.5  -115
The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.. The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
+100 at bet365
Rushing Yards
Shedeur Sanders logo
Shedeur Sanders o13.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Projection 16.97 (Over)
Best Odds
o12.5 -118 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o14.5  -107
These are quick bet odds
o13.5  -115
o13.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o12.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
o13.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.. The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
-118 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds

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Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.
Spread

64% picking Pittsburgh

64%
36%

Total Picks PIT 549, CLE 308

Spread
PIT
CLE
Spread
-3.5 +101
+4.0 -139
Total

63% picking Pittsburgh vs Cleveland to go Over

63%
37%

Total PicksPIT 334, CLE 198

Total
Over
Under
Total
35.0 -106
35.5 -108

Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
Spread

'stom5900' is picking Pittsburgh to cover (-3.5)

stom5900 is #1 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (12-3-0) and +9550 units on the season.

Spread
PIT
CLE
Spread
-3.5 +101
+4.0 -139
Total

'stom5900' picks Pittsburgh vs Cleveland to go Over (34.5)

stom5900 is #1 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (12-3-0) and +9550 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
35.0 -106
35.5 -108
Spread

'Haloman' is picking Pittsburgh to cover (-3.0)

Haloman is #10 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (12-3-0) and +5550 units on the season.

Spread
PIT
CLE
Spread
-3.5 +101
+4.0 -139
Total

'Haloman' picks Pittsburgh vs Cleveland to go Over (33.5)

Haloman is #10 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (12-3-0) and +5550 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
35.0 -106
35.5 -108
Spread

'tolro234' is picking Cleveland to cover (+4.5)

tolro234 is #2 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (11-4-0) and +7650 units on the season.

Spread
PIT
CLE
Spread
-3.5 +101
+4.0 -139
Total

'bigsmoke21169' picks Pittsburgh vs Cleveland to go Over (34.5)

bigsmoke21169 is #2 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (10-4-0) and +7700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
35.0 -106
35.5 -108
Spread

'bigsmoke21169' is picking Cleveland to cover (+4.5)

bigsmoke21169 is #2 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (10-4-0) and +7700 units on the season.

Spread
PIT
CLE
Spread
-3.5 +101
+4.0 -139
Total

'tolro234' picks Pittsburgh vs Cleveland to go Under (34.0)

tolro234 is #2 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (11-4-0) and +7650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
35.0 -106
35.5 -108
Total

'bugsy1958' picks Pittsburgh vs Cleveland to go Over (34.5)

bugsy1958 is #3 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (12-3-0) and +7150 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
35.0 -106
35.5 -108
Spread

'bugsy1958' is picking Pittsburgh to cover (-4.5)

bugsy1958 is #3 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (12-3-0) and +7150 units on the season.

Spread
PIT
CLE
Spread
-3.5 +101
+4.0 -139
Spread

'livelywee55' is picking Cleveland to cover (+4.5)

livelywee55 is #4 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (9-4-0) and +6800 units on the season.

Spread
PIT
CLE
Spread
-3.5 +101
+4.0 -139
Total

'livelywee55' picks Pittsburgh vs Cleveland to go Under (34.5)

livelywee55 is #4 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (9-4-0) and +6800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
35.0 -106
35.5 -108
Spread

'pittsburghphil' is picking Pittsburgh to cover (-4.5)

pittsburghphil is #5 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (10-5-0) and +6600 units on the season.

Spread
PIT
CLE
Spread
-3.5 +101
+4.0 -139
Total

'pittsburghphil' picks Pittsburgh vs Cleveland to go Over (34.5)

pittsburghphil is #5 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (10-5-0) and +6600 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
35.0 -106
35.5 -108
Total

'RAZORAZE283' picks Pittsburgh vs Cleveland to go Over (34.0)

RAZORAZE283 is #5 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (9-1-0) and +6250 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
35.0 -106
35.5 -108
Spread

'Nitetripper' is picking Cleveland to cover (+4.5)

Nitetripper is #6 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (0-0-0) and +6450 units on the season.

Spread
PIT
CLE
Spread
-3.5 +101
+4.0 -139
Total

'OGScotty' picks Pittsburgh vs Cleveland to go Over (34.5)

OGScotty is #7 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (7-3-0) and +5850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
35.0 -106
35.5 -108
Spread

'mrsc328' is picking Pittsburgh to cover (-4.0)

mrsc328 is #7 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (8-2-1) and +6250 units on the season.

Spread
PIT
CLE
Spread
-3.5 +101
+4.0 -139
Total

'mrsc328' picks Pittsburgh vs Cleveland to go Under (34.0)

mrsc328 is #7 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (8-2-1) and +6250 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
35.0 -106
35.5 -108
Spread

'kmorriss' is picking Cleveland to cover (+3.0)

kmorriss is #8 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (8-1-0) and +5850 units on the season.

Spread
PIT
CLE
Spread
-3.5 +101
+4.0 -139
Spread

'HOLLANDANDITALY' is picking Pittsburgh to cover (-3.0)

HOLLANDANDITALY is #8 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (8-3-0) and +5650 units on the season.

Spread
PIT
CLE
Spread
-3.5 +101
+4.0 -139
Total

'kmorriss' picks Pittsburgh vs Cleveland to go Over (34.0)

kmorriss is #8 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (8-1-0) and +5850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
35.0 -106
35.5 -108
Total

'Cartrevic' picks Pittsburgh vs Cleveland to go Over (34.5)

Cartrevic is #9 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (11-4-0) and +5550 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
35.0 -106
35.5 -108
Spread

'Cartrevic' is picking Pittsburgh to cover (-3.5)

Cartrevic is #9 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (11-4-0) and +5550 units on the season.

Spread
PIT
CLE
Spread
-3.5 +101
+4.0 -139

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