Pittsburgh Steelers

1st in AFC North (5 - 4 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Nov 16 13:00 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Chase Brown Score a Touchdown Props • Cincinnati

Chase Brown
C. Brown
running back RB • Cincinnati
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.63
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.63
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Cincinnati Bengals will be forced to use backup QB Joe Flacco in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. A throwing game script is implied by the Bengals being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's game. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 67.4% of their downs: the greatest rate among all teams this week. At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (64.0% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Cincinnati Bengals. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 133.6 total plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.

Chase Brown

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.63
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.63

The Cincinnati Bengals will be forced to use backup QB Joe Flacco in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. A throwing game script is implied by the Bengals being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's game. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 67.4% of their downs: the greatest rate among all teams this week. At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (64.0% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Cincinnati Bengals. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 133.6 total plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.

All Matchup props

Ja'Marr Chase Score a Touchdown Props • Cincinnati

Ja'Marr Chase
J. Chase
wide receiver WR • Cincinnati
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.61
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.61
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Cincinnati Bengals will be forced to use backup QB Joe Flacco in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. A throwing game script is implied by the Bengals being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's game. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 67.4% of their downs: the greatest rate among all teams this week. At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (64.0% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Cincinnati Bengals. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 133.6 total plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.

Ja'Marr Chase

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.61
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.61

The Cincinnati Bengals will be forced to use backup QB Joe Flacco in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. A throwing game script is implied by the Bengals being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's game. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 67.4% of their downs: the greatest rate among all teams this week. At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (64.0% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Cincinnati Bengals. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 133.6 total plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.

All Matchup props

DK Metcalf Score a Touchdown Props • Pittsburgh

DK Metcalf
D. Metcalf
wide receiver WR • Pittsburgh
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.42
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.42
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 133.6 offensive plays run: the highest number among all games this week. With a remarkable 23.1% Red Zone Target Share (87th percentile) this year, DK Metcalf rates among the wideouts with the biggest workloads near the end zone in the NFL. DK Metcalf's 61.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 88th percentile for WRs. The Steelers O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board. With a fantastic ratio of 0.50 per game through the air (93rd percentile), DK Metcalf ranks among the top receiving TD-scorers in football among wide receivers this year.

DK Metcalf

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.42
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.42

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 133.6 offensive plays run: the highest number among all games this week. With a remarkable 23.1% Red Zone Target Share (87th percentile) this year, DK Metcalf rates among the wideouts with the biggest workloads near the end zone in the NFL. DK Metcalf's 61.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 88th percentile for WRs. The Steelers O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board. With a fantastic ratio of 0.50 per game through the air (93rd percentile), DK Metcalf ranks among the top receiving TD-scorers in football among wide receivers this year.

All Matchup props

Jonnu Smith Score a Touchdown Props • Pittsburgh

Jonnu Smith
J. Smith
tight end TE • Pittsburgh
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.24
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.24
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 133.6 offensive plays run: the highest number among all games this week. The Steelers O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board. This year, the shaky Cincinnati Bengals defense has conceded a whopping 1.33 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing tight ends: the largest rate in football. When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Cincinnati's collection of LBs has been dreadful this year, projecting as the worst in the league.

Jonnu Smith

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.24
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.24

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 133.6 offensive plays run: the highest number among all games this week. The Steelers O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board. This year, the shaky Cincinnati Bengals defense has conceded a whopping 1.33 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing tight ends: the largest rate in football. When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Cincinnati's collection of LBs has been dreadful this year, projecting as the worst in the league.

All Matchup props

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo