Pittsburgh Steelers

1st in AFC North (10 - 7 - 0)

Next Game

Mon, Jan 12 20:15 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Woody Marks Score a Touchdown Props • Houston

Woody Marks
W. Marks
running back RB • Houston
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.43
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.43
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to have 133.8 offensive plays called: the most on the slate this week. The Houston Texans have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 60.4 plays per game. Opposing offenses have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football. Opposing teams have rushed for the 3rd-fewest TDs in football (0.59 per game) versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year. The Steelers defensive ends rank as the 2nd-best group of DEs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

Woody Marks logo

Woody Marks

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.43
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.43

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to have 133.8 offensive plays called: the most on the slate this week. The Houston Texans have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 60.4 plays per game. Opposing offenses have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football. Opposing teams have rushed for the 3rd-fewest TDs in football (0.59 per game) versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year. The Steelers defensive ends rank as the 2nd-best group of DEs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

All Matchup props

Nico Collins Score a Touchdown Props • Houston

Nico Collins
N. Collins
wide receiver WR • Houston
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.44
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.44
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to have 133.8 offensive plays called: the most on the slate this week. The Houston Texans have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 60.4 plays per game. Opposing offenses have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football. Nico Collins has been a big part of his team's pass game near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 25.7% this year, which ranks in the 94th percentile among WRs. As it relates to air yards, Nico Collins grades out in the lofty 96th percentile among wide receivers this year, accumulating a colossal 104.0 per game.

Nico Collins logo

Nico Collins

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.44
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.44

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to have 133.8 offensive plays called: the most on the slate this week. The Houston Texans have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 60.4 plays per game. Opposing offenses have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football. Nico Collins has been a big part of his team's pass game near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 25.7% this year, which ranks in the 94th percentile among WRs. As it relates to air yards, Nico Collins grades out in the lofty 96th percentile among wide receivers this year, accumulating a colossal 104.0 per game.

All Matchup props

Pat Freiermuth Score a Touchdown Props • Pittsburgh

Pat Freiermuth
P. Freiermuth
tight end TE • Pittsburgh
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.19
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.19
Best Odds
Projection Rating

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their usual approach. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.9% of their chances: the greatest frequency among all teams this week. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to see 133.8 offensive plays run: the highest number among all games this week. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Pittsburgh Steelers ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year. Opposing teams have rushed for the 8th-fewest touchdowns in football (0.76 per game) against the Houston Texans defense this year.

Pat Freiermuth logo

Pat Freiermuth

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.19
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.19

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their usual approach. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.9% of their chances: the greatest frequency among all teams this week. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to see 133.8 offensive plays run: the highest number among all games this week. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Pittsburgh Steelers ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year. Opposing teams have rushed for the 8th-fewest touchdowns in football (0.76 per game) against the Houston Texans defense this year.

All Matchup props

Kenneth Gainwell Score a Touchdown Props • Pittsburgh

Kenneth Gainwell
K. Gainwell
running back RB • Pittsburgh
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.32
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.32
Best Odds
Projection Rating

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their usual approach. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.9% of their chances: the greatest frequency among all teams this week. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to see 133.8 offensive plays run: the highest number among all games this week. Kenneth Gainwell has been a key part of his team's offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 20.7% this year, which places him in the 99th percentile when it comes to RBs. Kenneth Gainwell's 23.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 7.4.

Kenneth Gainwell logo

Kenneth Gainwell

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.32
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.32

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their usual approach. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.9% of their chances: the greatest frequency among all teams this week. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to see 133.8 offensive plays run: the highest number among all games this week. Kenneth Gainwell has been a key part of his team's offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 20.7% this year, which places him in the 99th percentile when it comes to RBs. Kenneth Gainwell's 23.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 7.4.

All Matchup props

DK Metcalf Score a Touchdown Props • Pittsburgh

DK Metcalf
D. Metcalf
wide receiver WR • Pittsburgh
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.29
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.29
Best Odds
Projection Rating

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their usual approach. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.9% of their chances: the greatest frequency among all teams this week. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to see 133.8 offensive plays run: the highest number among all games this week. DK Metcalf rates in the 90th percentile among WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) with a colossal 63.6 mark this year. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Pittsburgh Steelers ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year.

DK Metcalf logo

DK Metcalf

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.29
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.29

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their usual approach. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.9% of their chances: the greatest frequency among all teams this week. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to see 133.8 offensive plays run: the highest number among all games this week. DK Metcalf rates in the 90th percentile among WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) with a colossal 63.6 mark this year. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Pittsburgh Steelers ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year.

All Matchup props

Dalton Schultz Score a Touchdown Props • Houston

Dalton Schultz
D. Schultz
tight end TE • Houston
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.24
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.24
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to have 133.8 offensive plays called: the most on the slate this week. The Houston Texans have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 60.4 plays per game. Opposing offenses have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football. With a sizeable 14.1% Red Zone Target Rate (75th percentile) this year, Dalton Schultz has been as one of the tight ends with the most usage near the goal line in football. Dalton Schultz has posted a massive 40.0 air yards per game this year: 90th percentile among tight ends.

Dalton Schultz logo

Dalton Schultz

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.24
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.24

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to have 133.8 offensive plays called: the most on the slate this week. The Houston Texans have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 60.4 plays per game. Opposing offenses have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football. With a sizeable 14.1% Red Zone Target Rate (75th percentile) this year, Dalton Schultz has been as one of the tight ends with the most usage near the goal line in football. Dalton Schultz has posted a massive 40.0 air yards per game this year: 90th percentile among tight ends.

All Matchup props

C.J. Stroud Score a Touchdown Props • Houston

C.J. Stroud
C. Stroud
quarterback QB • Houston
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.08
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.08
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to have 133.8 offensive plays called: the most on the slate this week. The Houston Texans have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 60.4 plays per game. Opposing offenses have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football. This year, the shaky Pittsburgh Steelers defense has been gouged for a staggering 1.76 TDs through the air per game to opposing offenses: the 2nd-largest rate in football. Opposing teams have rushed for the 3rd-fewest TDs in football (0.59 per game) versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year.

C.J. Stroud logo

C.J. Stroud

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.08
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.08

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to have 133.8 offensive plays called: the most on the slate this week. The Houston Texans have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 60.4 plays per game. Opposing offenses have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football. This year, the shaky Pittsburgh Steelers defense has been gouged for a staggering 1.76 TDs through the air per game to opposing offenses: the 2nd-largest rate in football. Opposing teams have rushed for the 3rd-fewest TDs in football (0.59 per game) versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year.

All Matchup props

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo