Pittsburgh Steelers

NFL Player Props

The Steelers are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script. The projections expect the Steelers as the 10th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 59.8% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Steelers ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year. Jaylen Warren's 96.2% Adjusted Catch% this season signifies a substantial improvement in his receiving proficiency over last season's 89.6% mark.

Opposing offenses have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Steelers defense this year: most in football. When talking about air yards, James Cook grades out in the lofty 91st percentile among running backs this year, accruing a whopping 3.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more notable than it sounds since most RBs average negative air yards). As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 2nd-best in football this year. James Cook's 96.0% Adjusted Completion% this season marks an impressive improvement in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 84.7% figure. The Steelers pass defense has been torched for the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (89%) to RBs this year (89.0%).

Opposing offenses have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Steelers defense this year: most in football. As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 2nd-best in football this year. Josh Allen's 69.9% Adjusted Completion% this season represents a material progression in his throwing accuracy over last season's 64.7% mark. This year, the shaky Pittsburgh Steelers defense has given up a whopping 73.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 8th-worst rate in football. The opposing side have rushed for the 7th-fewest touchdowns in football (0.73 per game) vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year.