Pittsburgh Steelers

1st in AFC North (8 - 6 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Dec 21 16:25 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Amon-Ra St. Brown Score a Touchdown Props • Detroit

Amon-Ra St. Brown
A. St. Brown
wide receiver WR • Detroit
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.84
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.84
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are forecasted by the model to run 67.3 total plays in this game: the 4th-most on the slate this week. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down. Opposing offenses have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game versus the Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football. With a high 42.9% Red Zone Target Rate (100th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown has been as one of the wide receivers with the biggest workloads near the end zone in football. After accumulating 68.0 air yards per game last season, Amon-Ra St. Brown has seen a big uptick this season, currently pacing 87.0 per game.

Amon-Ra St. Brown logo

Amon-Ra St. Brown

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.84
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.84

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are forecasted by the model to run 67.3 total plays in this game: the 4th-most on the slate this week. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down. Opposing offenses have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game versus the Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football. With a high 42.9% Red Zone Target Rate (100th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown has been as one of the wide receivers with the biggest workloads near the end zone in football. After accumulating 68.0 air yards per game last season, Amon-Ra St. Brown has seen a big uptick this season, currently pacing 87.0 per game.

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How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
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