Pittsburgh Steelers

1st in AFC North (4 - 2 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Oct 26 20:20 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jaylen Warren Score a Touchdown Props • Pittsburgh

Jaylen Warren
J. Warren
running back RB • Pittsburgh
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.72
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.72
Best Odds
Projection Rating

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs this week, implying more of a focus on throwing than their usual approach. The leading projections forecast the Steelers as the 7th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 60.4% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the most passes in football (42.5 per game) this year. The model projects Jaylen Warren to be a much smaller piece of his team's run game near the end zone this week (72.5% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (88.2% in games he has played). The projections expect Jaylen Warren to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing attack near the end zone in this week's contest (11.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (5.6% in games he has played).

Jaylen Warren

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.72
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.72

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs this week, implying more of a focus on throwing than their usual approach. The leading projections forecast the Steelers as the 7th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 60.4% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the most passes in football (42.5 per game) this year. The model projects Jaylen Warren to be a much smaller piece of his team's run game near the end zone this week (72.5% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (88.2% in games he has played). The projections expect Jaylen Warren to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing attack near the end zone in this week's contest (11.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (5.6% in games he has played).

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Romeo Doubs Score a Touchdown Props • Green Bay

Romeo Doubs
R. Doubs
wide receiver WR • Green Bay
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.44
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.44
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has been something of pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (41.0 per game) this year. With an exceptional 25.0% Red Zone Target Rate (93rd percentile) this year, Romeo Doubs has been among the wideouts with the biggest workloads near the end zone in football. Romeo Doubs has put up far more air yards this year (81.0 per game) than he did last year (66.0 per game). Romeo Doubs's 59.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 48.6. Romeo Doubs grades out in the 95th percentile among wideouts as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a fantastic 0.57 per game.

Romeo Doubs

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.44
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.44

The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has been something of pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (41.0 per game) this year. With an exceptional 25.0% Red Zone Target Rate (93rd percentile) this year, Romeo Doubs has been among the wideouts with the biggest workloads near the end zone in football. Romeo Doubs has put up far more air yards this year (81.0 per game) than he did last year (66.0 per game). Romeo Doubs's 59.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 48.6. Romeo Doubs grades out in the 95th percentile among wideouts as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a fantastic 0.57 per game.

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Josh Jacobs Score a Touchdown Props • Green Bay

Josh Jacobs
J. Jacobs
running back RB • Green Bay
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.77
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.77
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has been something of pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (41.0 per game) this year. While Josh Jacobs has received 0.0% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Green Bay's pass game near the end zone this week at 7.4%. The Steelers pass defense has conceded the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (88.2%) versus RBs this year (88.2%). This year, the formidable Steelers run defense has conceded a puny 0.67 rushing TDs per game to opposing squads: the 10th-smallest rate in the NFL.

Josh Jacobs

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.77
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.77

The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has been something of pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (41.0 per game) this year. While Josh Jacobs has received 0.0% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Green Bay's pass game near the end zone this week at 7.4%. The Steelers pass defense has conceded the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (88.2%) versus RBs this year (88.2%). This year, the formidable Steelers run defense has conceded a puny 0.67 rushing TDs per game to opposing squads: the 10th-smallest rate in the NFL.

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Tucker Kraft Score a Touchdown Props • Green Bay

Tucker Kraft
T. Kraft
tight end TE • Green Bay
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.4
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.4
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has been something of pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (41.0 per game) this year. After accruing 19.0 air yards per game last year, Tucker Kraft has seen marked improvement this year, now sitting at 26.0 per game. Tucker Kraft's 35.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 27.6. With an excellent ratio of 0.57 per game through the air (95th percentile), Tucker Kraft rates as one of the best receiving TD-scorers in the league among TEs this year. This year, the weak Steelers defense has yielded a colossal 74.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 8th-largest rate in the NFL.

Tucker Kraft

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.4
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.4

The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has been something of pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (41.0 per game) this year. After accruing 19.0 air yards per game last year, Tucker Kraft has seen marked improvement this year, now sitting at 26.0 per game. Tucker Kraft's 35.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 27.6. With an excellent ratio of 0.57 per game through the air (95th percentile), Tucker Kraft rates as one of the best receiving TD-scorers in the league among TEs this year. This year, the weak Steelers defense has yielded a colossal 74.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 8th-largest rate in the NFL.

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DK Metcalf Score a Touchdown Props • Pittsburgh

DK Metcalf
D. Metcalf
wide receiver WR • Pittsburgh
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.34
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.34
Best Odds
Projection Rating

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs this week, implying more of a focus on throwing than their usual approach. The leading projections forecast the Steelers as the 7th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 60.4% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the most passes in football (42.5 per game) this year. The projections expect DK Metcalf to be much more involved in his team's pass attack near the end zone in this contest (21.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (16.0% in games he has played). DK Metcalf rates in the 93rd percentile for WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) with a superb 66.9 figure this year.

DK Metcalf

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.34
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.34

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs this week, implying more of a focus on throwing than their usual approach. The leading projections forecast the Steelers as the 7th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 60.4% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the most passes in football (42.5 per game) this year. The projections expect DK Metcalf to be much more involved in his team's pass attack near the end zone in this contest (21.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (16.0% in games he has played). DK Metcalf rates in the 93rd percentile for WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) with a superb 66.9 figure this year.

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Jonnu Smith Score a Touchdown Props • Pittsburgh

Jonnu Smith
J. Smith
tight end TE • Pittsburgh
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.2
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs this week, implying more of a focus on throwing than their usual approach. The leading projections forecast the Steelers as the 7th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 60.4% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the most passes in football (42.5 per game) this year. This year, the poor Green Bay Packers defense has surrendered a colossal 0.83 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing tight ends: the 3rd-worst rate in football. This year, the fierce Packers run defense has allowed a feeble 0.50 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing offenses: the 6th-smallest rate in football.

Jonnu Smith

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.2
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.2

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs this week, implying more of a focus on throwing than their usual approach. The leading projections forecast the Steelers as the 7th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 60.4% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. The Green Bay Packers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the most passes in football (42.5 per game) this year. This year, the poor Green Bay Packers defense has surrendered a colossal 0.83 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing tight ends: the 3rd-worst rate in football. This year, the fierce Packers run defense has allowed a feeble 0.50 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing offenses: the 6th-smallest rate in football.

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Jordan Love Score a Touchdown Props • Green Bay

Jordan Love
J. Love
quarterback QB • Green Bay
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.06
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.06
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has been something of pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (41.0 per game) this year. Jordan Love's passing precision has gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 65.9% to 69.5%. This year, Jordan Love has not scored any TDs on the ground. This year, the weak Steelers defense has yielded a colossal 74.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 8th-largest rate in the NFL. This year, the formidable Steelers run defense has conceded a puny 0.67 rushing TDs per game to opposing squads: the 10th-smallest rate in the NFL.

Jordan Love

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.06
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.06

The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has been something of pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (41.0 per game) this year. Jordan Love's passing precision has gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 65.9% to 69.5%. This year, Jordan Love has not scored any TDs on the ground. This year, the weak Steelers defense has yielded a colossal 74.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 8th-largest rate in the NFL. This year, the formidable Steelers run defense has conceded a puny 0.67 rushing TDs per game to opposing squads: the 10th-smallest rate in the NFL.

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How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
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