Las Vegas Raiders

4th in AFC West (2 - 12 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Dec 21 16:25 ET

LV @ HOU Picks

NFL Picks
Passing Completions
Geno Smith logo
Geno Smith o19.5 Passing Completions (+120)
Projection 23.35 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
At a -14-point disadvantage, the Raiders are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 66.6% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The leading projections forecast Geno Smith to throw 38.6 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 3rd-most among all QBs.
Passing Completions
C.J. Stroud logo
C.J. Stroud o19.5 Passing Completions (-115)
Projection 22.01 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.24 seconds per play.. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. C.J. Stroud's 64.7% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a noteable improvement in his passing precision over last year's 61.0% figure.. This year, the porous Las Vegas Raiders defense has allowed a staggering 73.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 7th-highest rate in the NFL.. As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Las Vegas's group of safeties has been awful this year, ranking as the 4th-worst in football.
Passing Attempts
Geno Smith logo
Geno Smith o32.5 Passing Attempts (-105)
Projection 36.94 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
At a -14-point disadvantage, the Raiders are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 66.6% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The leading projections forecast Geno Smith to throw 38.6 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 3rd-most among all QBs.
Passing Yards
Geno Smith logo
Geno Smith o188.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 233.52 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
At a -14-point disadvantage, the Raiders are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 66.6% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The leading projections forecast Geno Smith to throw 38.6 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 3rd-most among all QBs.
Passing Yards
C.J. Stroud logo
C.J. Stroud o222.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 256.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.24 seconds per play.. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. C.J. Stroud's 64.7% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a noteable improvement in his passing precision over last year's 61.0% figure.. This year, the porous Las Vegas Raiders defense has allowed a staggering 73.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 7th-highest rate in the NFL.. This year, the anemic Raiders defense has been torched for the 7th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing offenses: a monstrous 7.96 yards.
Receiving Yards
Tre Tucker logo
Tre Tucker o24.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 44.81 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
At a -14-point disadvantage, the Raiders are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 66.6% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Receiving Yards
Brock Bowers logo
Brock Bowers o51.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 68.04 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
At a -14-point disadvantage, the Raiders are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 66.6% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Receiving Yards
Nico Collins logo
Nico Collins o60.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 76.32 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.24 seconds per play.. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. In this game, Nico Collins is expected by the model to rank in the 89th percentile among WRs with 8.0 targets.. With an impressive 25.1% Target Rate (88th percentile) this year, Nico Collins ranks among the wide receivers with the biggest workloads in the league.. As it relates to air yards, Nico Collins ranks in the towering 95th percentile among wide receivers this year, totaling a monstrous 103.0 per game.
Receiving Yards
Ashton Jeanty logo
Ashton Jeanty o22.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 29.76 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
At a -14-point disadvantage, the Raiders are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 66.6% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Receiving Yards
Dalton Schultz logo
Dalton Schultz o42.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 50.79 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.24 seconds per play.. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. In this contest, Dalton Schultz is anticipated by our trusted projection set to land in the 93rd percentile among tight ends with 6.9 targets.. When talking about air yards, Dalton Schultz ranks in the towering 93rd percentile among TEs this year, averaging a whopping 43.0 per game.. Dalton Schultz's 40.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 34.5.
Quick Bet information modal

Place your Bet from Covers in seconds with QuickBet.

Look for this icon

*Participating sportsbooks only. Only available in regulated states.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

68% picking Houston

32%
68%

Total Picks LV 144, HOU 306

Spread
LV
HOU

Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

Spread

'ptrixie' is picking Houston to cover (-14.0)

ptrixie is #1 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (12-2-0) and +7700 units on the season.

Spread
LV
HOU
Total

'ptrixie' picks Las Vegas vs Houston to go Under (38.0)

ptrixie is #1 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (12-2-0) and +7700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'sweeton60' is picking Houston to cover (-12.5)

sweeton60 is #4 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (10-4-0) and +5710 units on the season.

Spread
LV
HOU
Total

'sweeton60' picks Las Vegas vs Houston to go Under (37.5)

sweeton60 is #4 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (10-4-0) and +5710 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'blueminer000' is picking Houston to cover (-14.0)

blueminer000 is #7 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (8-4-0) and +5150 units on the season.

Spread
LV
HOU
Total

'blueminer000' picks Las Vegas vs Houston to go Over (38.0)

blueminer000 is #7 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (8-4-0) and +5150 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'Rebelair90' is picking Houston to cover (-14.0)

Rebelair90 is #9 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (3-1-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Spread
LV
HOU
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo