Las Vegas Raiders

NFL Player Props

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Raiders are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach. The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL. This year, the fierce Jaguars run defense has yielded a measly 0.57 TDs on the ground per game to the opposing side: the 8th-best rate in football.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 61.1% of their plays: the 7th-highest clip on the slate this week. The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to be the 10th-most pass-focused team in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.3% red zone pass rate. The most plays in football have been run by the Jaguars this year (a colossal 61.3 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Travis Etienne has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 13.8% this year, which puts him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.