Las Vegas Raiders
Picks

4th in AFC West (2 - 9 - 0)

Next Game

at

LACL.A. Chargers

Sun, Nov 30 16:25 ET

LV @ LAC Picks

Total

u41.5 (-112)

Best Odds

Pick made: yesterday

The Raiders are the NFL's lowest scoring team, averaging just 15 points per game, and won't put up enough points to hit the Over on the total.

Spread

LAC -9.5 (-110)

Best Odds

Pick made: yesterday

The Chargers are 2-0-1 ATS against their divisional rivals.

Passing Completions

Geno Smith o20.5 Passing Completions (-107)

Projection 22.89 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 6 hours ago

EV Model Rating

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being an enormous -9.5-point underdog in this game.. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 62.3% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

-107 at Caesars

Passing Attempts

Justin Herbert u32.5 Passing Attempts (-113)

Projection 29.79 (Under)

Best Odds

Pick made: 6 hours ago

EV Model Rating

This week's spread implies an extreme running game script for the Chargers, who are a heavy favorite by 9.5 points.. The projections expect this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 121.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The model projects Justin Herbert to throw 32.1 passes in this contest, on average: the 9th-fewest among all quarterbacks.

-113 at FanDuel

Passing Yards

Geno Smith o203.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Projection 232.62 (Over)

Best Odds

o203.5 -114

Pick made: 6 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o204.5 -113

o203.5 -114

o206.5 -118

o204.5 -115

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being an enormous -9.5-point underdog in this game.. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 62.3% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

-114 at FanDuel

Passing Yards

Justin Herbert o235.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Projection 244.85 (Over)

Best Odds

o235.5 -114

Pick made: 6 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o236.5 -112

o235.5 -114

o241.5 -115

o237.5 -115

Right now, the 3rd-most pass-focused team in football (64.4% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Chargers.. The largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers this year (a massive 60.0 per game on average).. Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) usually prompt increased passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and lower rush volume.. The Las Vegas Raiders safeties profile as the 4th-worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

-114 at FanDuel

Interceptions Thrown

Geno Smith u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (+160)

Projection 0.44 (Under)

Best Odds

Pick made: 8 hours ago

EV Model Rating

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Raiders are projected by the projections to call only 60.6 offensive plays in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.. The Raiders have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 48.2 plays per game.

Receiving Yards

Tre Tucker o36.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Projection 53.32 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being an enormous -9.5-point underdog in this game.. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 62.3% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Receiving Yards

Oronde Gadsden o40.5 Receiving Yards (-118)

Projection 53.53 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

Right now, the 3rd-most pass-focused team in football (64.4% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Chargers.. The largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers this year (a massive 60.0 per game on average).. Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) usually prompt increased passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and lower rush volume.. The Las Vegas Raiders safeties profile as the 4th-worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

Receiving Yards

Brock Bowers o55.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 66.15 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being an enormous -9.5-point underdog in this game.. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 62.3% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Rushing Yards

Geno Smith o8.5 Rushing Yards (-120)

Projection 17.5 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 8 hours ago

EV Model Rating

Rushing Yards

Justin Herbert o18.5 Rushing Yards (-118)

Projection 24.67 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

This week's spread implies an extreme running game script for the Chargers, who are a heavy favorite by 9.5 points.. The largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers this year (a massive 60.0 per game on average).. The predictive model expects Justin Herbert to total 5.1 rush attempts in this game, on balance: the 9th-most among all QBs.. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Las Vegas's unit has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 4th-worst in the league. in the league.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Spread

70% picking L.A. Chargers

30% 30%

70% 70%

Total Picks LV 106, LAC 245

Spread

LV

LAC

Spread

Total

63% picking Las Vegas vs L.A. Chargers to go Over

63% 63%

38% 38%

Total PicksLV 120, LAC 72

Total

Over

Under

Total

Top User Picks

More Picks

Spread

'sweeton60' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+8.5)

sweeton60 is #1 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (9-2-0) and +5860 units on the season.

Spread

LV

LAC

Spread

Total

'sweeton60' picks Las Vegas vs L.A. Chargers to go Under (41.5)

sweeton60 is #1 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (9-2-0) and +5860 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Spread

'skunty4' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (-9.5)

skunty4 is #1 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (10-1-0) and +6850 units on the season.

Spread

LV

LAC

Spread

Total

'robert78lodz' picks Las Vegas vs L.A. Chargers to go Over (41.5)

robert78lodz is #4 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (6-1-0) and +5350 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Spread

'Hesonfie24' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (-9.5)

Hesonfie24 is #4 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (7-1-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Spread

LV

LAC

Spread

Total

'Hesonfie24' picks Las Vegas vs L.A. Chargers to go Over (41.0)

Hesonfie24 is #4 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (7-1-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Spread

'peacy454' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (-8.5)

peacy454 is #5 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (10-1-0) and +4820 units on the season.

Spread

LV

LAC

Spread

Total

'peacy454' picks Las Vegas vs L.A. Chargers to go Under (41.5)

peacy454 is #5 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (10-1-0) and +4820 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Spread

'Kozman06' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (-9.5)

Kozman06 is #6 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (8-3-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Spread

LV

LAC

Spread

Total

'Kozman06' picks Las Vegas vs L.A. Chargers to go Over (41.0)

Kozman06 is #6 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (8-3-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

Spread

'hungcodon' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (-8.5)

hungcodon is #8 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (6-3-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Spread

LV

LAC

Spread

Spread

'adamort22' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+8.5)

adamort22 is #8 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (6-5-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Spread

LV

LAC

Spread

Total

'adamort22' picks Las Vegas vs L.A. Chargers to go Under (41.5)

adamort22 is #8 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (6-5-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

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