Las Vegas Raiders

4th in AFC West (2 - 9 - 0)

Next Game

LVLas Vegas Las Vegas
at
Los Angeles LACL.A. Chargers
Sun, Nov 30 16:25 ET

LV @ LAC Picks

NFL Picks
Total
Las Vegas Raiders logo Los Angeles Chargers logo u41.5 (-112)
Best Odds
u41.5 -118 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Sam Farley image
Sam Farley
Betting Analyst
u40.5  -108
These are quick bet odds
u40.5  -110
u41.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
u41.0  -110
These are quick bet odds
u40.5  -103
These are quick bet odds

The Raiders are the NFL's lowest scoring team, averaging just 15 points per game, and won't put up enough points to hit the Over on the total.

Receptions Made
Tre Tucker logo
Tre Tucker o3.5 Receptions Made (+105)
Projection 4.29 (Over)
Best Odds
o3.5 +105 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o3.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
 -
o3.5  -108
These are quick bet odds
o3.5  +105
These are quick bet odds
o3.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being an enormous -9.5-point underdog in this game.. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 62.4% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
+105 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Passing Completions
Geno Smith logo
Geno Smith o20.5 Passing Completions (-108)
Projection 22.74 (Over)
Best Odds
o20.5 -108 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
o20.5  -109
These are quick bet odds
 -
o20.5  -108
These are quick bet odds
o20.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
o20.5  -112
An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being an enormous -9.5-point underdog in this game.. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 62.4% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
-108 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Passing Attempts
Justin Herbert logo
Justin Herbert u32.5 Passing Attempts (-113)
Projection 30.06 (Under)
Best Odds
u32.5 -113 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
u32.5  -126
These are quick bet odds
 -
u32.5  -113
These are quick bet odds
u31.5  -125
These are quick bet odds
u32.5  -132
This week's spread implies an extreme running game script for the Chargers, who are a heavy favorite by 9.5 points.. The projections expect this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 122.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The model projects Justin Herbert to throw 32.4 passes in this contest, on average: the 9th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
-113 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Passing Yards
Geno Smith logo
Geno Smith o201.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Projection 230.17 (Over)
Best Odds
o201.5 -112 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o201.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
 -
o203.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o207.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o204.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being an enormous -9.5-point underdog in this game.. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 62.4% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
-112 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Passing Yards
Justin Herbert logo
Justin Herbert o235.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Projection 246.79 (Over)
Best Odds
o235.5 -112 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o235.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
 -
o235.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o243.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o237.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
Right now, the 3rd-most pass-focused team in football (64.6% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Chargers.. The 7th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers this year (a massive 60.0 per game on average).. Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) usually prompt increased passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and lower rush volume.. Justin Herbert checks in as one of the leading QBs in the league this year, averaging an outstanding 236.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 83rd percentile.. This year, the weak Las Vegas Raiders defense has been gouged for the 6th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to the opposing side: a monstrous 7.91 yards.
-112 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Interceptions Thrown
Geno Smith logo
Geno Smith u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (+155)
Projection 0.45 (Under)
Best Odds
u0.5 +155 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
 -
u0.5  +155
These are quick bet odds
 -
Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Raiders are projected by the projections to call only 61.1 offensive plays in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.. The Raiders have called the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 54.8 plays per game.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.. The Las Vegas offensive line ranks as the 9th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all pass game metrics across the board.. Los Angeles's defense profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL this year when it comes to causing interceptions, notching 0.86 per game.
+155 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Tre Tucker logo
Tre Tucker o35.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 52 (Over)
Best Odds
o35.5 -115 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o39.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
 -
o37.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o35.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o38.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being an enormous -9.5-point underdog in this game.. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 62.4% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
-115 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Brock Bowers logo
Brock Bowers o54.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 65.12 (Over)
Best Odds
o54.5 -115 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o56.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
 -
o58.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o54.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o57.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being an enormous -9.5-point underdog in this game.. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 62.4% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers profile as the 3rd-worst LB corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
-115 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Oronde Gadsden logo
Oronde Gadsden o45.5 Receiving Yards (-118)
Projection 53.37 (Over)
Best Odds
o43.5 -114 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o43.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
 -
o43.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o45.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
o43.5  -117
These are quick bet odds
Right now, the 3rd-most pass-focused team in football (64.6% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Chargers.. The 7th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers this year (a massive 60.0 per game on average).. Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) usually prompt increased passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and lower rush volume.. The Las Vegas Raiders safeties profile as the 2nd-worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.
-114 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Rushing Yards
Geno Smith logo
Geno Smith o4.5 Rushing Yards (-120)
Projection 16.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o4.5 -120 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
 -
o4.5  -120
These are quick bet odds
 -
The Chargers defense has had the 10th-worst efficiency against opposing ground games this year, surrendering 4.83 adjusted yards-per-carry.
-120 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds

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Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.
Spread

71% picking L.A. Chargers

29%
71%

Total Picks LV 137, LAC 332

Spread
LV
LAC
Spread
+10.5 -139
-8.5 -105
Total

61% picking Las Vegas vs L.A. Chargers to go Over

61%
39%

Total PicksLV 168, LAC 109

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.5 -109
41.5 -119

Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
Spread

'sweeton60' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+8.5)

sweeton60 is #1 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (9-2-0) and +5860 units on the season.

Spread
LV
LAC
Spread
+10.5 -139
-8.5 -105
Total

'sweeton60' picks Las Vegas vs L.A. Chargers to go Under (41.5)

sweeton60 is #1 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (9-2-0) and +5860 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.5 -109
41.5 -119
Spread

'skunty4' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (-9.5)

skunty4 is #1 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (10-1-0) and +6850 units on the season.

Spread
LV
LAC
Spread
+10.5 -139
-8.5 -105
Total

'skunty4' picks Las Vegas vs L.A. Chargers to go Over (40.5)

skunty4 is #1 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (10-1-0) and +6850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.5 -109
41.5 -119
Total

'robert78lodz' picks Las Vegas vs L.A. Chargers to go Over (41.5)

robert78lodz is #4 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (6-1-0) and +5350 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.5 -109
41.5 -119
Spread

'Hesonfie24' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (-9.5)

Hesonfie24 is #4 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (7-1-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Spread
LV
LAC
Spread
+10.5 -139
-8.5 -105
Total

'Hesonfie24' picks Las Vegas vs L.A. Chargers to go Over (41.0)

Hesonfie24 is #4 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (7-1-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.5 -109
41.5 -119
Spread

'peacy454' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (-8.5)

peacy454 is #5 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (10-1-0) and +4820 units on the season.

Spread
LV
LAC
Spread
+10.5 -139
-8.5 -105
Total

'peacy454' picks Las Vegas vs L.A. Chargers to go Under (41.5)

peacy454 is #5 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (10-1-0) and +4820 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.5 -109
41.5 -119
Spread

'Kozman06' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (-9.5)

Kozman06 is #6 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (8-3-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Spread
LV
LAC
Spread
+10.5 -139
-8.5 -105
Total

'Kozman06' picks Las Vegas vs L.A. Chargers to go Over (41.0)

Kozman06 is #6 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (8-3-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.5 -109
41.5 -119
Spread

'hungcodon' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (-8.5)

hungcodon is #8 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (6-3-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Spread
LV
LAC
Spread
+10.5 -139
-8.5 -105
Spread

'adamort22' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+8.5)

adamort22 is #8 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (6-5-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Spread
LV
LAC
Spread
+10.5 -139
-8.5 -105
Total

'adamort22' picks Las Vegas vs L.A. Chargers to go Under (41.5)

adamort22 is #8 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (6-5-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.5 -109
41.5 -119
Total

'hungcodon' picks Las Vegas vs L.A. Chargers to go Over (40.5)

hungcodon is #8 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (6-3-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.5 -109
41.5 -119

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