Las Vegas Raiders

4th in AFC West (2 - 10 - 0)

Next Game

DENDenver Denver
at
Las Vegas LVLas Vegas
Sun, Dec 7 16:05 ET

DEN @ LV Picks

NFL Picks
Spread
Denver Broncos logo DEN -7.5 (-106)
Best Odds
-7.5 -110 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: yesterday
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
-7.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
-7.5  -110
-7.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
-7.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
-7.5  -110
These are quick bet odds

The Raiders have been outscored by double-digits in three consecutive games and have also lost six straight to drop to 2-10 on the season. Even worse, Las Vegas quarterback Geno Smith has been among the worst in the league during the stretch with a miniscule 6.2 yards per attempt and -0.147 EPA per play. Denver continues to send out a stingy defense allowing the fewest yards per play and fourth-fewest points per game. Of course, the Broncos have rolled off nine consecutive wins, too.

Passing Attempts
Geno Smith logo
Geno Smith o28.5 Passing Attempts (-115)
Projection 35.44 (Over)
Best Odds
o28.5 -115 bet365
Pick made: 14 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o29.5  -117
These are quick bet odds
o28.5  -115
o30.5  -102
These are quick bet odds
o28.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o29.5  -110
An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being an enormous -7.5-point underdog in this week's contest.. The projections expect the Raiders to be the 4th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to have 130.8 offensive plays run: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. The Denver Broncos defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (37.2 per game) this year.
-115 at bet365
Passing Attempts
Bo Nix logo
Bo Nix o30.5 Passing Attempts (-120)
Projection 34.91 (Over)
Best Odds
o30.5 -120 bet365
Pick made: 14 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o32.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o30.5  -120
o31.5  -138
These are quick bet odds
o30.5  -125
These are quick bet odds
o31.5  -122
At the present time, the 7th-most pass-centric offense in football (63.5% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Broncos.. Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Broncos are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 65.9 total plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
-120 at bet365
Passing Yards
Geno Smith logo
Geno Smith o198.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 240.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o198.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 14 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o199.5  -109
These are quick bet odds
o198.5  -110
o201.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o198.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o199.5  -124
These are quick bet odds
An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being an enormous -7.5-point underdog in this week's contest.. The projections expect the Raiders to be the 4th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to have 130.8 offensive plays run: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. The Denver Broncos defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (37.2 per game) this year.
-110 at bet365
Passing Yards
Bo Nix logo
Bo Nix o216.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 253.21 (Over)
Best Odds
o216.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 14 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o223.5  -111
These are quick bet odds
o216.5  -110
o221.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o216.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o219.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
At the present time, the 7th-most pass-centric offense in football (63.5% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Broncos.. Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Broncos are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 65.9 total plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. The Denver Broncos offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.. The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has displayed bad efficiency this year, allowing 7.91 adjusted yards-per-target: the 7th-most in the league.
-110 at bet365
Receiving Yards
Tre Tucker logo
Tre Tucker o33.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 49.73 (Over)
Best Odds
o33.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
o33.5  -110
 -
o33.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
 -
An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being an enormous -7.5-point underdog in this week's contest.. The projections expect the Raiders to be the 4th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to have 130.8 offensive plays run: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. The Denver Broncos defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (37.2 per game) this year.
-110 at bet365
Receiving Yards
Courtland Sutton logo
Courtland Sutton o48.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 59.4 (Over)
Best Odds
o48.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
o48.5  -110
 -
o48.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
 -
At the present time, the 7th-most pass-centric offense in football (63.5% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Broncos.. Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Broncos are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 65.9 total plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. The model projects Courtland Sutton to total 7.1 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 81st percentile when it comes to WRs.. The Denver Broncos offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.
-110 at bet365
Receiving Yards
Brock Bowers logo
Brock Bowers o59.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 69.86 (Over)
Best Odds
o59.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 14 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
o59.5  -110
 -
o59.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
 -
An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being an enormous -7.5-point underdog in this week's contest.. The projections expect the Raiders to be the 4th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to have 130.8 offensive plays run: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. The Denver Broncos defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (37.2 per game) this year.
-110 at bet365
Receiving Yards
Ashton Jeanty logo
Ashton Jeanty o23.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 30.21 (Over)
Best Odds
o23.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
o23.5  -110
 -
o23.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
 -
An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being an enormous -7.5-point underdog in this week's contest.. The projections expect the Raiders to be the 4th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to have 130.8 offensive plays run: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. The Denver Broncos defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (37.2 per game) this year.
-110 at bet365
Rushing Yards
Ashton Jeanty logo
Ashton Jeanty o53.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Projection 68.83 (Over)
Best Odds
o53.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 14 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
o53.5  -110
 -
o53.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
 -
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to have 130.8 offensive plays run: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.. When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Denver's group of DEs has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the worst in the league. in the league.
-110 at bet365
Rushing Yards
RH
RJ Harvey o42.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Projection 54.71 (Over)
Best Odds
o42.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 14 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
o42.5  -110
 -
o42.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
 -
An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Broncos being an enormous 7.5-point favorite this week.. Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Broncos are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 65.9 total plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.. The Raiders defensive tackles project as the 4th-worst group of DTs in football this year with their run defense.
-110 at bet365

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Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.
Spread

67% picking Denver

67%
33%

Total Picks DEN 268, LV 134

Spread
DEN
LV
Spread
-7.5 +105
+7.5 -108

Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
Spread

'lsbellmom' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+8.0)

lsbellmom is #1 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +7800 units on the season.

Spread
DEN
LV
Spread
-7.5 +105
+7.5 -108
Total

'lsbellmom' picks Denver vs Las Vegas to go Under (40.5)

lsbellmom is #1 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +7800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.0 -112
40.5 -104
Total

'Dalmeetz48' picks Denver vs Las Vegas to go Over (39.5)

Dalmeetz48 is #2 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (10-2-0) and +6750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.0 -112
40.5 -104
Spread

'Dalmeetz48' is picking Denver to cover (-8.0)

Dalmeetz48 is #2 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (10-2-0) and +6750 units on the season.

Spread
DEN
LV
Spread
-7.5 +105
+7.5 -108
Spread

'manomanomano551' is picking Denver to cover (-8.0)

manomanomano551 is #3 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (11-1-0) and +6250 units on the season.

Spread
DEN
LV
Spread
-7.5 +105
+7.5 -108
Total

'manomanomano551' picks Denver vs Las Vegas to go Over (39.5)

manomanomano551 is #3 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (11-1-0) and +6250 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.0 -112
40.5 -104
Spread

'hungcodon' is picking Denver to cover (-8.0)

hungcodon is #4 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (7-3-0) and +5750 units on the season.

Spread
DEN
LV
Spread
-7.5 +105
+7.5 -108
Total

'hungcodon' picks Denver vs Las Vegas to go Over (40.5)

hungcodon is #4 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (7-3-0) and +5750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.0 -112
40.5 -104
Total

'whooped' picks Denver vs Las Vegas to go Under (40.5)

whooped is #5 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (10-2-0) and +5750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.0 -112
40.5 -104
Total

'bostonutah' picks Denver vs Las Vegas to go Under (40.5)

bostonutah is #5 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (8-3-0) and +5750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.0 -112
40.5 -104
Spread

'whooped' is picking Denver to cover (-7.5)

whooped is #5 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (10-2-0) and +5750 units on the season.

Spread
DEN
LV
Spread
-7.5 +105
+7.5 -108
Spread

'bostonutah' is picking Denver to cover (-7.5)

bostonutah is #5 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (8-3-0) and +5750 units on the season.

Spread
DEN
LV
Spread
-7.5 +105
+7.5 -108
Total

'jeffrichter' picks Denver vs Las Vegas to go Under (40.5)

jeffrichter is #6 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (6-2-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.0 -112
40.5 -104
Total

'pittsburghphil' picks Denver vs Las Vegas to go Under (40.5)

pittsburghphil is #6 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +5700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.0 -112
40.5 -104
Spread

'pittsburghphil' is picking Denver to cover (-7.5)

pittsburghphil is #6 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +5700 units on the season.

Spread
DEN
LV
Spread
-7.5 +105
+7.5 -108
Spread

'jeffrichter' is picking Denver to cover (-7.5)

jeffrichter is #6 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (6-2-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Spread
DEN
LV
Spread
-7.5 +105
+7.5 -108
Spread

'peacy454' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+8.0)

peacy454 is #8 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (10-2-0) and +4770 units on the season.

Spread
DEN
LV
Spread
-7.5 +105
+7.5 -108
Total

'peacy454' picks Denver vs Las Vegas to go Under (39.5)

peacy454 is #8 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (10-2-0) and +4770 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.0 -112
40.5 -104
Total

'bonny2bag' picks Denver vs Las Vegas to go Under (40.5)

bonny2bag is #8 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (9-1-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.0 -112
40.5 -104
Spread

'bonny2bag' is picking Denver to cover (-8.0)

bonny2bag is #8 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (9-1-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Spread
DEN
LV
Spread
-7.5 +105
+7.5 -108
Spread

'sweeton60' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+8.0)

sweeton60 is #9 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (9-3-0) and +4760 units on the season.

Spread
DEN
LV
Spread
-7.5 +105
+7.5 -108
Total

'sweeton60' picks Denver vs Las Vegas to go Under (39.5)

sweeton60 is #9 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (9-3-0) and +4760 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.0 -112
40.5 -104

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