Las Vegas Raiders

3rd in AFC West (4 - 5 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Nov 15 16:05 ET

SEA @ LV Picks

NFL Picks
Anytime Touchdown
Fernando Mendoza logo Fernando Mendoza Score a Touchdown (Yes: +614)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 hours ago
Josh Inglis logo
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Let's back the rookie in his first start at 7.14x, with 6.5x being a more reasonable fair price. It's not an easy matchup, but at least the Seahawks have the league's second-worst red-zone TD rate at 75% this season. The Raiders have also been awful running the ball, averaging a league-low 2.9 yards per carry, with just two red-zone rushing touchdowns from their running backs on 45 attempts. Even Kirk Cousins found the end zone last week at 16/1. If he can do it, so can the betting favorite for OROY, who scored seven rushing touchdowns on 65 actual carries at Indiana last season. Young QBs can panic near the goal line, and I'll gladly take a couple of scrambles inside the 20.

Passing Yards
Drew Lock logo
Drew Lock o200.5 Passing Yards (-115) Projection 215.41 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Seahawks may pass less this week (and call more carries) because they be rolling with backup QB Drew Lock.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. Drew Lock grades out as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in the league this year with an excellent 70.6% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 90th percentile.. The Raiders pass defense has shown weak efficiency this year, yielding 8.22 adjusted yards-per-target: the 10th-most in the NFL.. As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Las Vegas's CB corps has been terrible this year, ranking as the worst in the league.
Rushing Yards
Ashton Jeanty logo
Ashton Jeanty o34.5 Rushing Yards (-112) Projection 39.90 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
Right now, the 5th-most run-oriented offense in the league (43.0% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Raiders.. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Seattle's unit has been awful this year, projecting as the 3rd-worst in football. in football.
Rushing Yards
Zach Charbonnet logo
Zach Charbonnet o59.5 Rushing Yards (-120) Projection 62.61 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Seahawks are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Seahawks to run on 47.3% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest rate on the slate this week.. This week, Zach Charbonnet is predicted by the model to land in the 84th percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.1 carries.. Zach Charbonnet has averaged 43.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the largest marks in football when it comes to running backs (80th percentile).. This year, the poor Raiders run defense has yielded a whopping 151.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 2nd-most in football.
Receiving Yards
Tre Tucker logo
Tre Tucker o25.5 Receiving Yards (-115) Projection 40.24 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
A throwing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a -6.5-point underdog this week.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
Receiving Yards
Brock Bowers logo
Brock Bowers o58.5 Receiving Yards (-115) Projection 72.70 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
A throwing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a -6.5-point underdog this week.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
Receiving Yards
Jaxon Smith-Njigba logo
Jaxon Smith-Njigba o84.5 Receiving Yards (-115) Projection 95.56 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Seahawks may pass less this week (and call more carries) because they be rolling with backup QB Drew Lock.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. In this contest, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is forecasted by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 97th percentile among wideouts with 11.0 targets.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 101.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season reflects a meaningful boost in his receiving skills over last season's 84.0 figure.. The Las Vegas Raiders defense has been torched for the 10th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (157.0) vs. wideouts this year.
Receiving Yards
Zach Charbonnet logo
Zach Charbonnet o9.5 Receiving Yards (-113) Projection 13.50 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Seahawks may pass less this week (and call more carries) because they be rolling with backup QB Drew Lock.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. In regards to air yards, Zach Charbonnet grades out in the lofty 90th percentile among RBs since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 2.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more noteworthy than it appears since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).. The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has conceded the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (96.8%) versus RBs this year (96.8%).. The Raiders pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency against running backs this year, allowing 8.37 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-most in football.
Receiving Yards
AJ Barner logo
AJ Barner o21.5 Receiving Yards (-114) Projection 26.02 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Seahawks may pass less this week (and call more carries) because they be rolling with backup QB Drew Lock.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Las Vegas's collection of LBs has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the NFL.
Anytime Touchdown
Zach Charbonnet logo
Zach Charbonnet Score a Touchdown (Yes: +125) Projection 0.67 (Yes)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Seahawks may pass less this week (and call more carries) because they be rolling with backup QB Drew Lock.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. Zach Charbonnet has been a big part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 20.0% this year, which puts him in the 99th percentile among RBs.. In regards to air yards, Zach Charbonnet grades out in the lofty 90th percentile among RBs since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 2.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more noteworthy than it appears since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).. The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has conceded the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (96.8%) versus RBs this year (96.8%).

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

63% picking Seattle

63%
37%

Total Picks SEA 337, LV 198

Spread
SEA
LV
Total

46% picking Seattle vs Las Vegas to go Under

54%
46%

Total PicksSEA 165, LV 140

Total
Over
Under

SEA @ LV · Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
SPREAD
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
LV +6.5 spread
4.72 PROJECTION
-1.8 DIFFERENCE
13.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
LV +6.5 spread

PROJECTION

4.72 PROJECTION
-1.8 DIFFERENCE
13.16% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+6.5 -105
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
Over 40.5 Total
45.80 OVER PROJECTION
+5.3 DIFFERENCE
18.38% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
Over 40.5 Total

PROJECTION

45.80 OVER PROJECTION
+5.3 DIFFERENCE
18.38% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o40.5 -110
BetMGM logo
PASSING YARDS
Drew Lock logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
D. Lock (QB) o200.5 Passing Yards
215.41 OVER PROJECTION
+14.9 DIFFERENCE
23.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Drew Lock logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
D. Lock (QB) o200.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

215.41 OVER PROJECTION
+14.9 DIFFERENCE
23.25% EV

ANALYSIS

The Seahawks may pass less this week (and call more carries) because they be rolling with backup QB Drew Lock.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. Drew Lock grades out as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in the league this year with an excellent 70.6% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 90th percentile.. The Raiders pass defense has shown weak efficiency this year, yielding 8.22 adjusted yards-per-target: the 10th-most in the NFL.. As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Las Vegas's CB corps has been terrible this year, ranking as the worst in the league.

o200.5 -115
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RUSHING YARDS
Ashton Jeanty logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
A. Jeanty (RB) o34.5 Rushing Yards
39.90 OVER PROJECTION
+5.4 DIFFERENCE
23.06% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Ashton Jeanty logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
A. Jeanty (RB) o34.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

39.90 OVER PROJECTION
+5.4 DIFFERENCE
23.06% EV

ANALYSIS

Right now, the 5th-most run-oriented offense in the league (43.0% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Raiders.. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Seattle's unit has been awful this year, projecting as the 3rd-worst in football. in football.

o33.5 -114
FanDuel logo
RUSHING YARDS
Zach Charbonnet logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
Z. Charbonnet (RB) o59.5 Rushing Yards
62.61 OVER PROJECTION
+3.1 DIFFERENCE
22.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Zach Charbonnet logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
Z. Charbonnet (RB) o59.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

62.61 OVER PROJECTION
+3.1 DIFFERENCE
22.4% EV

ANALYSIS

The Seahawks are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Seahawks to run on 47.3% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest rate on the slate this week.. This week, Zach Charbonnet is predicted by the model to land in the 84th percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.1 carries.. Zach Charbonnet has averaged 43.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the largest marks in football when it comes to running backs (80th percentile).. This year, the poor Raiders run defense has yielded a whopping 151.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 2nd-most in football.

o59.5 -120
bet365 logo
RUSHING YARDS
Drew Lock logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
D. Lock (QB) o6.5 Rushing Yards
6.90 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Drew Lock logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
D. Lock (QB) o6.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

6.90 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

The Seahawks are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Seahawks to run on 47.3% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest rate on the slate this week.. This year, the poor Raiders run defense has yielded a whopping 151.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 2nd-most in football.. As it relates to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Las Vegas's collection of DEs has been atrocious this year, grading out as the worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

o5.5 -110
BetMGM logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Tre Tucker logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
T. Tucker (WR) o25.5 Receiving Yards
40.24 OVER PROJECTION
+14.7 DIFFERENCE
26.14% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Tre Tucker logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
T. Tucker (WR) o25.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

40.24 OVER PROJECTION
+14.7 DIFFERENCE
26.14% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a -6.5-point underdog this week.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.

o25.5 -115
DraftKings logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Brock Bowers logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
B. Bowers (TE) o58.5 Receiving Yards
72.70 OVER PROJECTION
+14.2 DIFFERENCE
25.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brock Bowers logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
B. Bowers (TE) o58.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

72.70 OVER PROJECTION
+14.2 DIFFERENCE
25.55% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a -6.5-point underdog this week.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.

o56.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Jaxon Smith-Njigba logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
J. Smith-Njigba (WR) o84.5 Receiving Yards
95.56 OVER PROJECTION
+11.1 DIFFERENCE
24.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jaxon Smith-Njigba logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
J. Smith-Njigba (WR) o84.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

95.56 OVER PROJECTION
+11.1 DIFFERENCE
24.36% EV

ANALYSIS

The Seahawks may pass less this week (and call more carries) because they be rolling with backup QB Drew Lock.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. In this contest, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is forecasted by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 97th percentile among wideouts with 11.0 targets.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 101.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season reflects a meaningful boost in his receiving skills over last season's 84.0 figure.. The Las Vegas Raiders defense has been torched for the 10th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (157.0) vs. wideouts this year.

o84.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Zach Charbonnet logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
Z. Charbonnet (RB) o9.5 Receiving Yards
13.50 OVER PROJECTION
+4.0 DIFFERENCE
23.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Zach Charbonnet logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
Z. Charbonnet (RB) o9.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

13.50 OVER PROJECTION
+4.0 DIFFERENCE
23.89% EV

ANALYSIS

The Seahawks may pass less this week (and call more carries) because they be rolling with backup QB Drew Lock.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. In regards to air yards, Zach Charbonnet grades out in the lofty 90th percentile among RBs since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 2.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more noteworthy than it appears since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).. The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has conceded the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (96.8%) versus RBs this year (96.8%).. The Raiders pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency against running backs this year, allowing 8.37 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-most in football.

o9.5 -110
BetMGM logo
RECEIVING YARDS
AJ Barner logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
A. Barner (TE) o21.5 Receiving Yards
26.02 OVER PROJECTION
+4.5 DIFFERENCE
20.27% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
AJ Barner logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
A. Barner (TE) o21.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

26.02 OVER PROJECTION
+4.5 DIFFERENCE
20.27% EV

ANALYSIS

The Seahawks may pass less this week (and call more carries) because they be rolling with backup QB Drew Lock.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Las Vegas's collection of LBs has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the NFL.

o20.5 -125
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Ashton Jeanty logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
A. Jeanty (RB) o23.5 Receiving Yards
25.92 OVER PROJECTION
+2.4 DIFFERENCE
9.72% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ashton Jeanty logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
A. Jeanty (RB) o23.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

25.92 OVER PROJECTION
+2.4 DIFFERENCE
9.72% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a -6.5-point underdog this week.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.

o23.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
AJ Barner logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
A. Barner (TE) u2.5 Receptions Made
2.46 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
14.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
AJ Barner logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
A. Barner (TE) u2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.46 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
14.77% EV

ANALYSIS

The Seahawks are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 52.6% of their downs: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.. The model projects this game to have the 2nd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 122.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

u3.5 -265
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Brock Bowers logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
B. Bowers (TE) o5.5 Receptions Made
6.15 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
14.57% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brock Bowers logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
B. Bowers (TE) o5.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

6.15 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
14.57% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a -6.5-point underdog this week.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. This year, the poor Seattle Seahawks pass defense has given up a monstrous 80.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 4th-largest rate in football.

o5.5 +110
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Tre Tucker logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
T. Tucker (WR) o2.5 Receptions Made
2.97 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
14.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Tre Tucker logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
T. Tucker (WR) o2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.97 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
14.34% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a -6.5-point underdog this week.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.

o2.5 +115
BetMGM logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Ashton Jeanty logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
A. Jeanty (RB) u4.5 Receptions Made
3.76 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
8.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ashton Jeanty logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
A. Jeanty (RB) u4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.76 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
8.93% EV

ANALYSIS

The predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 5th-least pass-oriented offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 56.9% pass rate.. The projections expect the Raiders to run the 2nd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 60.7 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. Opposing offenses have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 9th-fewest in football.. As it relates to pass protection (and the ramifications it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Raiders profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year.. The Seahawks safeties grade out as the 10th-best unit in football this year in covering receivers.

u4.5 -150
DraftKings logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Zach Charbonnet logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
Z. Charbonnet (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made
2.04 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
7.72% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Zach Charbonnet logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
Z. Charbonnet (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.04 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
7.72% EV

ANALYSIS

The Seahawks may pass less this week (and call more carries) because they be rolling with backup QB Drew Lock.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has conceded the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (96.8%) versus RBs this year (96.8%).. When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Las Vegas's collection of LBs has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the NFL.

o1.5 -150
BetRivers logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Jaxon Smith-Njigba logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
J. Smith-Njigba (WR) u7.5 Receptions Made
7.00 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
4.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jaxon Smith-Njigba logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
J. Smith-Njigba (WR) u7.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

7.00 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
4.52% EV

ANALYSIS

The Seahawks are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 52.6% of their downs: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.. The model projects this game to have the 2nd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 122.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (59.7%) to wideouts this year (59.7%).

u7.5 -125
DraftKings logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Ashton Jeanty logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
A. Jeanty (RB) u10.5 Rushing Attempts
9.69 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
13.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ashton Jeanty logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
A. Jeanty (RB) u10.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

9.69 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
13.16% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a -6.5-point underdog this week.. The projections expect the Raiders to run the 2nd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 60.7 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.

u10.5 -114
DraftKings logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Zach Charbonnet logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
Z. Charbonnet (RB) u14.5 Rushing Attempts
14.46 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-4.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Zach Charbonnet logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
Z. Charbonnet (RB) u14.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

14.46 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-4.18% EV

ANALYSIS

The Seahawks may pass less this week (and call more carries) because they be rolling with backup QB Drew Lock.. The model projects this game to have the 2nd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 122.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

u14.5 -120
bet365 logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Drew Lock logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
D. Lock (QB) o28.5 Passing Attempts
28.61 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-15.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Drew Lock logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
D. Lock (QB) o28.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

28.61 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-15.13% EV

ANALYSIS

The Seahawks may pass less this week (and call more carries) because they be rolling with backup QB Drew Lock.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

o27.5 -155
BetMGM logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Drew Lock logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
D. Lock (QB) o18.5 Passing Completions
19.27 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
-0.61% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Drew Lock logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
D. Lock (QB) o18.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

19.27 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
-0.61% EV

ANALYSIS

The Seahawks may pass less this week (and call more carries) because they be rolling with backup QB Drew Lock.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. Drew Lock grades out as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in the league this year with an excellent 70.6% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 90th percentile.. As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Las Vegas's CB corps has been terrible this year, ranking as the worst in the league.

o18.5 -130
bet365 logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Zach Charbonnet logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
Z. Charbonnet (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.67 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
22.15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Zach Charbonnet logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
Z. Charbonnet (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.67 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
22.15% EV

ANALYSIS

The Seahawks may pass less this week (and call more carries) because they be rolling with backup QB Drew Lock.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. Zach Charbonnet has been a big part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 20.0% this year, which puts him in the 99th percentile among RBs.. In regards to air yards, Zach Charbonnet grades out in the lofty 90th percentile among RBs since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 2.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more noteworthy than it appears since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).. The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has conceded the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (96.8%) versus RBs this year (96.8%).

+125
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Brock Bowers logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
B. Bowers (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.37 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
13.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brock Bowers logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
B. Bowers (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.37 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
13.26% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a -6.5-point underdog this week.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. This year, the poor Seattle Seahawks pass defense has given up a monstrous 80.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 4th-largest rate in football.

+210
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jaxon Smith-Njigba logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
J. Smith-Njigba (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.56 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
9.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jaxon Smith-Njigba logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
J. Smith-Njigba (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.56 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
9.83% EV

ANALYSIS

The Seahawks may pass less this week (and call more carries) because they be rolling with backup QB Drew Lock.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been an integral part of his team's offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 32.3% this year, which puts him in the 96th percentile among wide receivers.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba ranks in the 100th percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive volume) with a monstrous 90.9 figure this year.. With an excellent 76.2% Adjusted Catch% (96th percentile) this year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba stands among the best possession receivers in the league among wide receivers.

+110
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Tre Tucker logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
T. Tucker (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.19 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
8.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Tre Tucker logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
T. Tucker (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.19 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
8.67% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a -6.5-point underdog this week.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.

+500
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Ashton Jeanty logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
A. Jeanty (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.34 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-4.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Ashton Jeanty logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
A. Jeanty (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.34 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-4.55% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a -6.5-point underdog this week.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. This year, the shaky Seahawks defense has been gouged for a monstrous 0.22 receiving TDs per game to opposing running backs: the 9th-highest rate in football.

+185
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
AJ Barner logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
A. Barner (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.22 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-15.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
AJ Barner logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
A. Barner (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.22 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-15.04% EV

ANALYSIS

The Seahawks may pass less this week (and call more carries) because they be rolling with backup QB Drew Lock.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. This year, the feeble Raiders defense has conceded a massive 0.89 receiving TDs per game to opposing TEs: the 3rd-largest rate in the league.

+285
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Drew Lock logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
D. Lock (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.44 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Drew Lock logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
D. Lock (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.44 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.19% EV

ANALYSIS

The Seahawks are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 52.6% of their downs: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.. The model projects this game to have the 2nd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 122.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Drew Lock has logged just 0.02 interceptions per game this year, checking in at the 97th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.. Las Vegas's defense profiles as the 8th-best in the NFL this year when it comes to making interceptions, averaging 0.86 per game.

u1.5 -1000
theScore Bet logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
SPREAD
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
LV +6.5 spread
4.72 PROJECTION
-1.8 DIFFERENCE
13.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
LV +6.5 spread

PROJECTION

4.72 PROJECTION
-1.8 DIFFERENCE
13.16% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+6.5 -105
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
Over 40.5 Total
45.80 OVER PROJECTION
+5.3 DIFFERENCE
18.38% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
Over 40.5 Total

PROJECTION

45.80 OVER PROJECTION
+5.3 DIFFERENCE
18.38% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o40.5 -110
BetMGM logo
PASSING YARDS
Drew Lock logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
D. Lock (QB) o200.5 Passing Yards
215.41 OVER PROJECTION
+14.9 DIFFERENCE
23.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Drew Lock logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
D. Lock (QB) o200.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

215.41 OVER PROJECTION
+14.9 DIFFERENCE
23.25% EV

ANALYSIS

The Seahawks may pass less this week (and call more carries) because they be rolling with backup QB Drew Lock.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. Drew Lock grades out as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in the league this year with an excellent 70.6% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 90th percentile.. The Raiders pass defense has shown weak efficiency this year, yielding 8.22 adjusted yards-per-target: the 10th-most in the NFL.. As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Las Vegas's CB corps has been terrible this year, ranking as the worst in the league.

o200.5 -115
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RUSHING YARDS
Ashton Jeanty logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
A. Jeanty (RB) o34.5 Rushing Yards
39.90 OVER PROJECTION
+5.4 DIFFERENCE
23.06% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Ashton Jeanty logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
A. Jeanty (RB) o34.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

39.90 OVER PROJECTION
+5.4 DIFFERENCE
23.06% EV

ANALYSIS

Right now, the 5th-most run-oriented offense in the league (43.0% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Raiders.. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Seattle's unit has been awful this year, projecting as the 3rd-worst in football. in football.

o33.5 -114
FanDuel logo
RUSHING YARDS
Zach Charbonnet logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
Z. Charbonnet (RB) o59.5 Rushing Yards
62.61 OVER PROJECTION
+3.1 DIFFERENCE
22.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Zach Charbonnet logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
Z. Charbonnet (RB) o59.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

62.61 OVER PROJECTION
+3.1 DIFFERENCE
22.4% EV

ANALYSIS

The Seahawks are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Seahawks to run on 47.3% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest rate on the slate this week.. This week, Zach Charbonnet is predicted by the model to land in the 84th percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.1 carries.. Zach Charbonnet has averaged 43.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the largest marks in football when it comes to running backs (80th percentile).. This year, the poor Raiders run defense has yielded a whopping 151.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 2nd-most in football.

o59.5 -120
bet365 logo
RUSHING YARDS
Drew Lock logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
D. Lock (QB) o6.5 Rushing Yards
6.90 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Drew Lock logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
D. Lock (QB) o6.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

6.90 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

The Seahawks are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Seahawks to run on 47.3% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest rate on the slate this week.. This year, the poor Raiders run defense has yielded a whopping 151.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 2nd-most in football.. As it relates to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Las Vegas's collection of DEs has been atrocious this year, grading out as the worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

o5.5 -110
BetMGM logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Tre Tucker logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
T. Tucker (WR) o25.5 Receiving Yards
40.24 OVER PROJECTION
+14.7 DIFFERENCE
26.14% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Tre Tucker logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
T. Tucker (WR) o25.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

40.24 OVER PROJECTION
+14.7 DIFFERENCE
26.14% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a -6.5-point underdog this week.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.

o25.5 -115
DraftKings logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Brock Bowers logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
B. Bowers (TE) o58.5 Receiving Yards
72.70 OVER PROJECTION
+14.2 DIFFERENCE
25.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brock Bowers logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
B. Bowers (TE) o58.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

72.70 OVER PROJECTION
+14.2 DIFFERENCE
25.55% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a -6.5-point underdog this week.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.

o56.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Jaxon Smith-Njigba logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
J. Smith-Njigba (WR) o84.5 Receiving Yards
95.56 OVER PROJECTION
+11.1 DIFFERENCE
24.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jaxon Smith-Njigba logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
J. Smith-Njigba (WR) o84.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

95.56 OVER PROJECTION
+11.1 DIFFERENCE
24.36% EV

ANALYSIS

The Seahawks may pass less this week (and call more carries) because they be rolling with backup QB Drew Lock.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. In this contest, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is forecasted by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 97th percentile among wideouts with 11.0 targets.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 101.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season reflects a meaningful boost in his receiving skills over last season's 84.0 figure.. The Las Vegas Raiders defense has been torched for the 10th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (157.0) vs. wideouts this year.

o84.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Zach Charbonnet logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
Z. Charbonnet (RB) o9.5 Receiving Yards
13.50 OVER PROJECTION
+4.0 DIFFERENCE
23.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Zach Charbonnet logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
Z. Charbonnet (RB) o9.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

13.50 OVER PROJECTION
+4.0 DIFFERENCE
23.89% EV

ANALYSIS

The Seahawks may pass less this week (and call more carries) because they be rolling with backup QB Drew Lock.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. In regards to air yards, Zach Charbonnet grades out in the lofty 90th percentile among RBs since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 2.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more noteworthy than it appears since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).. The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has conceded the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (96.8%) versus RBs this year (96.8%).. The Raiders pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency against running backs this year, allowing 8.37 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-most in football.

o9.5 -110
BetMGM logo
RECEIVING YARDS
AJ Barner logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
A. Barner (TE) o21.5 Receiving Yards
26.02 OVER PROJECTION
+4.5 DIFFERENCE
20.27% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
AJ Barner logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
A. Barner (TE) o21.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

26.02 OVER PROJECTION
+4.5 DIFFERENCE
20.27% EV

ANALYSIS

The Seahawks may pass less this week (and call more carries) because they be rolling with backup QB Drew Lock.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Las Vegas's collection of LBs has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the NFL.

o20.5 -125
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Ashton Jeanty logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
A. Jeanty (RB) o23.5 Receiving Yards
25.92 OVER PROJECTION
+2.4 DIFFERENCE
9.72% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ashton Jeanty logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
A. Jeanty (RB) o23.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

25.92 OVER PROJECTION
+2.4 DIFFERENCE
9.72% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a -6.5-point underdog this week.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.

o23.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
AJ Barner logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
A. Barner (TE) u2.5 Receptions Made
2.46 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
14.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
AJ Barner logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
A. Barner (TE) u2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.46 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
14.77% EV

ANALYSIS

The Seahawks are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 52.6% of their downs: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.. The model projects this game to have the 2nd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 122.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

u3.5 -265
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Brock Bowers logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
B. Bowers (TE) o5.5 Receptions Made
6.15 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
14.57% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brock Bowers logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
B. Bowers (TE) o5.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

6.15 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
14.57% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a -6.5-point underdog this week.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. This year, the poor Seattle Seahawks pass defense has given up a monstrous 80.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 4th-largest rate in football.

o5.5 +110
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Tre Tucker logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
T. Tucker (WR) o2.5 Receptions Made
2.97 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
14.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Tre Tucker logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
T. Tucker (WR) o2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.97 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
14.34% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a -6.5-point underdog this week.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.

o2.5 +115
BetMGM logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Ashton Jeanty logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
A. Jeanty (RB) u4.5 Receptions Made
3.76 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
8.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ashton Jeanty logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
A. Jeanty (RB) u4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.76 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
8.93% EV

ANALYSIS

The predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 5th-least pass-oriented offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 56.9% pass rate.. The projections expect the Raiders to run the 2nd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 60.7 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. Opposing offenses have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 9th-fewest in football.. As it relates to pass protection (and the ramifications it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Raiders profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year.. The Seahawks safeties grade out as the 10th-best unit in football this year in covering receivers.

u4.5 -150
DraftKings logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Zach Charbonnet logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
Z. Charbonnet (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made
2.04 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
7.72% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Zach Charbonnet logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
Z. Charbonnet (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.04 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
7.72% EV

ANALYSIS

The Seahawks may pass less this week (and call more carries) because they be rolling with backup QB Drew Lock.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has conceded the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (96.8%) versus RBs this year (96.8%).. When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Las Vegas's collection of LBs has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the NFL.

o1.5 -150
BetRivers logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Jaxon Smith-Njigba logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
J. Smith-Njigba (WR) u7.5 Receptions Made
7.00 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
4.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jaxon Smith-Njigba logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
J. Smith-Njigba (WR) u7.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

7.00 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
4.52% EV

ANALYSIS

The Seahawks are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 52.6% of their downs: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.. The model projects this game to have the 2nd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 122.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (59.7%) to wideouts this year (59.7%).

u7.5 -125
DraftKings logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Ashton Jeanty logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
A. Jeanty (RB) u10.5 Rushing Attempts
9.69 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
13.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ashton Jeanty logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
A. Jeanty (RB) u10.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

9.69 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
13.16% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a -6.5-point underdog this week.. The projections expect the Raiders to run the 2nd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 60.7 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.

u10.5 -114
DraftKings logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Zach Charbonnet logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
Z. Charbonnet (RB) u14.5 Rushing Attempts
14.46 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-4.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Zach Charbonnet logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
Z. Charbonnet (RB) u14.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

14.46 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-4.18% EV

ANALYSIS

The Seahawks may pass less this week (and call more carries) because they be rolling with backup QB Drew Lock.. The model projects this game to have the 2nd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 122.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

u14.5 -120
bet365 logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Drew Lock logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
D. Lock (QB) o28.5 Passing Attempts
28.61 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-15.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Drew Lock logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
D. Lock (QB) o28.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

28.61 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-15.13% EV

ANALYSIS

The Seahawks may pass less this week (and call more carries) because they be rolling with backup QB Drew Lock.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

o27.5 -155
BetMGM logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Drew Lock logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
D. Lock (QB) o18.5 Passing Completions
19.27 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
-0.61% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Drew Lock logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
D. Lock (QB) o18.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

19.27 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
-0.61% EV

ANALYSIS

The Seahawks may pass less this week (and call more carries) because they be rolling with backup QB Drew Lock.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. Drew Lock grades out as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in the league this year with an excellent 70.6% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 90th percentile.. As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Las Vegas's CB corps has been terrible this year, ranking as the worst in the league.

o18.5 -130
bet365 logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Zach Charbonnet logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
Z. Charbonnet (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.67 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
22.15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Zach Charbonnet logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
Z. Charbonnet (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.67 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
22.15% EV

ANALYSIS

The Seahawks may pass less this week (and call more carries) because they be rolling with backup QB Drew Lock.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. Zach Charbonnet has been a big part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 20.0% this year, which puts him in the 99th percentile among RBs.. In regards to air yards, Zach Charbonnet grades out in the lofty 90th percentile among RBs since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 2.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more noteworthy than it appears since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).. The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has conceded the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (96.8%) versus RBs this year (96.8%).

+125
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Brock Bowers logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
B. Bowers (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.37 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
13.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brock Bowers logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
B. Bowers (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.37 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
13.26% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a -6.5-point underdog this week.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. This year, the poor Seattle Seahawks pass defense has given up a monstrous 80.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 4th-largest rate in football.

+210
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jaxon Smith-Njigba logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
J. Smith-Njigba (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.56 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
9.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jaxon Smith-Njigba logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
J. Smith-Njigba (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.56 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
9.83% EV

ANALYSIS

The Seahawks may pass less this week (and call more carries) because they be rolling with backup QB Drew Lock.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been an integral part of his team's offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 32.3% this year, which puts him in the 96th percentile among wide receivers.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba ranks in the 100th percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive volume) with a monstrous 90.9 figure this year.. With an excellent 76.2% Adjusted Catch% (96th percentile) this year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba stands among the best possession receivers in the league among wide receivers.

+110
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Tre Tucker logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
T. Tucker (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.19 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
8.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Tre Tucker logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
T. Tucker (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.19 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
8.67% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a -6.5-point underdog this week.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.

+500
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Ashton Jeanty logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
A. Jeanty (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.34 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-4.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Ashton Jeanty logo
Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail
A. Jeanty (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.34 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-4.55% EV

ANALYSIS

A throwing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a -6.5-point underdog this week.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. This year, the shaky Seahawks defense has been gouged for a monstrous 0.22 receiving TDs per game to opposing running backs: the 9th-highest rate in football.

+185
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
AJ Barner logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
A. Barner (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.22 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-15.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
AJ Barner logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
A. Barner (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.22 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-15.04% EV

ANALYSIS

The Seahawks may pass less this week (and call more carries) because they be rolling with backup QB Drew Lock.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. This year, the feeble Raiders defense has conceded a massive 0.89 receiving TDs per game to opposing TEs: the 3rd-largest rate in the league.

+285
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Drew Lock logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
D. Lock (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.44 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Drew Lock logo
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail
D. Lock (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.44 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.19% EV

ANALYSIS

The Seahawks are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 52.6% of their downs: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.. The model projects this game to have the 2nd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 122.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Drew Lock has logged just 0.02 interceptions per game this year, checking in at the 97th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.. Las Vegas's defense profiles as the 8th-best in the NFL this year when it comes to making interceptions, averaging 0.86 per game.

u1.5 -1000
theScore Bet logo

Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'ChiTownSteppers' picks Seattle vs Las Vegas to go Over (43.5)

ChiTownSteppers is #10 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (8-1-0) and +4800 units on the season.

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'ChiTownSteppers' is picking Seattle to cover (-3.5)

ChiTownSteppers is #10 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (8-1-0) and +4800 units on the season.

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'JEG53' picks Seattle vs Las Vegas to go Over (43.5)

JEG53 is #3 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (7-1-0) and +5900 units on the season.

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'JEG53' is picking Seattle to cover (-3.5)

JEG53 is #3 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (7-1-0) and +5900 units on the season.

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'seattle-8' is picking Seattle to cover (-3.0)

seattle-8 is #4 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (8-1-0) and +5850 units on the season.

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'seattle-8' picks Seattle vs Las Vegas to go Over (42.5)

seattle-8 is #4 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (8-1-0) and +5850 units on the season.

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'vwebb57' picks Seattle vs Las Vegas to go Under (43.5)

vwebb57 is #4 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +4850 units on the season.

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'vwebb57' is picking Seattle to cover (-6.0)

vwebb57 is #4 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +4850 units on the season.

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'Bass7672' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+3.5)

Bass7672 is #5 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (9-0-0) and +4850 units on the season.

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'StanMarsh' picks Seattle vs Las Vegas to go Over (43.5)

StanMarsh is #6 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (8-1-0) and +4800 units on the season.

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Under
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'StanMarsh' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+6.0)

StanMarsh is #6 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (8-1-0) and +4800 units on the season.

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'A_LowaEast' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+3.5)

A_LowaEast is #7 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (6-3-0) and +4800 units on the season.

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'bonny2bag' picks Seattle vs Las Vegas to go Over (43.5)

bonny2bag is #9 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (9-0-0) and +4800 units on the season.

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'bonny2bag' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+3.5)

bonny2bag is #9 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (9-0-0) and +4800 units on the season.

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