Las Vegas Raiders

4th in AFC West (2 - 14 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Jan 4 16:25 ET

KC @ LV Picks

NFL Picks
Score First Touchdown
Travis Kelce logo Travis Kelce Score First Touchdown (Yes: +950)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Sam Farley image
Sam Farley
Betting Analyst

If anyone is going to score for the Chiefs on Sunday, then it’s Travis Kelce, in what could be his last game for the franchise. He’s scored five touchdowns this season but also leads the team in red zone targets since Oladokun has been under center. 

Spread
Kansas City Chiefs logo KC -5.5 (-113)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 hours ago
Jason Ence image
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst

The Raiders ownership have made it very clear that the number one pick is their number one priority, and there's no reason to think they'll keep this game close enough to possibly win it. Geno Smith joins Brock Bowers and Maxx Crosby on the sidelines, and while the Chiefs are shorthanded as well they've played better of late. They gave the Broncos all they could handle last week, while the Giants trounced the Raiders. There's nothing for the Raiders to play for, and their players surely know they won't be given a winning gameplan. I'll take the team still competing to cover the spread. 

Score a Touchdown
Michael Mayer logo Michael Mayer Score a Touchdown (Yes: +380)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

This is a strong price in a game that could feature some of the lowest scoring on the Week 18 slate. It’s the Kenny Pickett version of a struggling Raiders offense, but Michael Mayer was heavily involved last week, with Brock Bowers shut down. He led the team with 10 targets, caught nine balls for 89 yards, and saw a red-zone look, even if it didn’t turn into a score. The matchup against Kansas City is tough, but the game being indoors helps, and the price more than accounts for the risk. For what could be the most involved pass catcher in this offense, it’s worth a look.

Passing Completions
CO
Chris Oladokun o16.5 Passing Completions (-120)
Projection 21.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Kansas City Chiefs may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup quarterback Chris Oladokun.. The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.5% pass rate.. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.. The Kansas City O-line profiles as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.. This year, the deficient Las Vegas Raiders defense has surrendered a monstrous 73.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 6th-biggest rate in the NFL.
Passing Attempts
CO
Chris Oladokun o27.5 Passing Attempts (+110)
Projection 31.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Kansas City Chiefs may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup quarterback Chris Oladokun.. The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.5% pass rate.. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.
Passing Attempts
Kenny Pickett logo
Kenny Pickett u30.5 Passing Attempts (-132)
Projection 27.34 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Raiders are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 62.7 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.. The 3rd-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Las Vegas Raiders this year (only 51.9 per game on average).. The leading projections forecast Kenny Pickett to throw 28.4 passes in this game, on average: the 3rd-fewest among all quarterbacks.
Passing Yards
CO
Chris Oladokun o143.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 227.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Kansas City Chiefs may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup quarterback Chris Oladokun.. The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.5% pass rate.. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.. The Kansas City O-line profiles as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.. This year, the deficient Las Vegas Raiders defense has surrendered a monstrous 73.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 6th-biggest rate in the NFL.
Passing Yards
Kenny Pickett logo
Kenny Pickett o169.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 178.92 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Raiders will be rolling out backup quarterback Kenny Pickett in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. The Raiders are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.. Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Raiders to pass on 60.3% of their downs: the 7th-greatest rate on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. This year, the deficient Kansas City Chiefs defense has surrendered a staggering 75.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 2nd-highest rate in the league.
Interceptions Thrown
Kenny Pickett logo
Kenny Pickett u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (-108)
Projection 0.4 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Raiders are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 62.7 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.. The 3rd-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Las Vegas Raiders this year (only 51.9 per game on average).. The leading projections forecast Kenny Pickett to throw 28.4 passes in this game, on average: the 3rd-fewest among all quarterbacks.. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year.. The Chiefs cornerbacks grade out as the 3rd-best collection of CBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
Receiving Yards
Travis Kelce logo
Travis Kelce o35.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 54.23 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Kansas City Chiefs may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup quarterback Chris Oladokun.. The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.5% pass rate.. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.. This week, Travis Kelce is forecasted by our trusted projection set to slot into the 96th percentile among TEs with 8.2 targets.. The projections expect Travis Kelce to be a much bigger part of his offense's pass game in this week's game (25.3% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (19.5% in games he has played).
Receiving Yards
Hollywood Brown logo
Hollywood Brown o33.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 49.47 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Kansas City Chiefs may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup quarterback Chris Oladokun.. The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.5% pass rate.. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.. In this contest, Marquise Brown is projected by the model to rank in the 76th percentile when it comes to WRs with 6.5 targets.. The predictive model expects Marquise Brown to be a much smaller piece of his team's passing offense in this game (11.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (16.6% in games he has played).
Receiving Yards
Michael Mayer logo
Michael Mayer o40.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 49.37 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Raiders will be rolling out backup quarterback Kenny Pickett in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. The Raiders are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.. Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Raiders to pass on 60.7% of their downs: the 6th-greatest rate on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. The Chiefs pass defense has been gouged for the highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (86.4%) vs. TEs this year (86.4%).
Receiving Yards
Tre Tucker logo
Tre Tucker o35.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 38.91 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Raiders will be rolling out backup quarterback Kenny Pickett in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. The Raiders are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.. Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Raiders to pass on 60.7% of their downs: the 6th-greatest rate on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. This year, the shaky Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has been gouged for a staggering 67.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 9th-largest rate in the NFL.
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Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

There are no Consensus Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Consensus to see all Consensus picks.

Consensus Picks

Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'bobalten5000' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+5.5)

bobalten5000 is #1 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +6400 units on the season.

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KC
LV
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'Jims Flying Eagles' picks Kansas City vs Las Vegas to go Under (36.0)

Jims Flying Eagles is #1 on picking games that Kansas City is in with a record of (10-6-0) and +7600 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'nogame' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+6.0)

nogame is #10 on picking games that Kansas City is in with a record of (11-4-0) and +6050 units on the season.

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KC
LV
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'nogame' picks Kansas City vs Las Vegas to go Under (35.5)

nogame is #10 on picking games that Kansas City is in with a record of (11-4-0) and +6050 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'bostonutah' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+5.5)

bostonutah is #10 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (10-4-0) and +4550 units on the season.

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KC
LV
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'bostonutah' picks Kansas City vs Las Vegas to go Over (36.5)

bostonutah is #10 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (10-4-0) and +4550 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'BeesandHeels' picks Kansas City vs Las Vegas to go Under (36.5)

BeesandHeels is #3 on picking games that Kansas City is in with a record of (6-3-0) and +6850 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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'rwatterworth' is picking Kansas City to cover (-5.5)

rwatterworth is #4 on picking games that Kansas City is in with a record of (12-1-0) and +6700 units on the season.

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KC
LV
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'rwatterworth' picks Kansas City vs Las Vegas to go Under (36.5)

rwatterworth is #4 on picking games that Kansas City is in with a record of (12-1-0) and +6700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'Busch Light' is picking Kansas City to cover (-5.5)

Busch Light is #5 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (9-7-0) and +5500 units on the season.

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KC
LV
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'SNID' is picking Kansas City to cover (-5.5)

SNID is #5 on picking games that Kansas City is in with a record of (10-4-0) and +6650 units on the season.

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KC
LV
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'SNID' picks Kansas City vs Las Vegas to go Over (36.5)

SNID is #5 on picking games that Kansas City is in with a record of (10-4-0) and +6650 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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'Busch Light' picks Kansas City vs Las Vegas to go Over (36.5)

Busch Light is #5 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (9-7-0) and +5500 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'MLBFan8848' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+5.5)

MLBFan8848 is #6 on picking games that Kansas City is in with a record of (12-4-0) and +6550 units on the season.

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KC
LV
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'MLBFan8848' picks Kansas City vs Las Vegas to go Under (36.0)

MLBFan8848 is #6 on picking games that Kansas City is in with a record of (12-4-0) and +6550 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'lsbellmom' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+5.5)

lsbellmom is #7 on picking games that Kansas City is in with a record of (14-2-0) and +6550 units on the season.

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KC
LV
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'lsbellmom' picks Kansas City vs Las Vegas to go Under (36.5)

lsbellmom is #7 on picking games that Kansas City is in with a record of (14-2-0) and +6550 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'Rebelair90' is picking Kansas City to cover (-5.5)

Rebelair90 is #7 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (3-1-0) and +4750 units on the season.

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KC
LV
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