Las Vegas Raiders
Picks

4th in AFC West (2 - 12 - 0)

Next Game

at

Sun, Dec 21 16:25 ET

LV @ HOU Picks

Score a Touchdown

Dalton Schultz Score a Touchdown (Yes: +240)

Best Odds

Pick made: 23 hours ago

There’s plenty of uncertainty in the Houston backfield, but this sets up as a game the Texans could control from start to finish. In the passing game, the volume is fairly concentrated, with Nico Collins and Dalton Schultz standing out as the primary options. Schultz led the team with nine targets last week and turned them into an 8/76/1 line. Since C.J. Stroud’s return, Schultz has seen 21 targets for 153 yards and a touchdown, along with three looks from inside the five-yard line. That kind of usage makes the price appealing in this matchup, and I’d play it up to +190.

Score a Touchdown

Woody Marks Score a Touchdown (Yes: -109)

Projection 0.7 (Yes)

Best Odds

Pick made: yesterday

EV Model Rating

The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.24 seconds per play.. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

-109 at Caesars

Receptions Made

Tre Tucker o2.5 Receptions Made (+105)

Projection 3.54 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

At a -14-point disadvantage, the Raiders are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 66.5% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Passing Completions

Geno Smith o19.5 Passing Completions (-105)

Projection 23.29 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 39 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

At a -14-point disadvantage, the Raiders are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 66.5% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The leading projections forecast Geno Smith to throw 38.5 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 4th-most among all QBs.

-104 at FanDuel

Passing Completions

C.J. Stroud o19.5 Passing Completions (-105)

Projection 21.98 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.24 seconds per play.. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. C.J. Stroud's 64.7% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a noteable improvement in his passing precision over last year's 61.0% figure.. This year, the porous Las Vegas Raiders defense has allowed a staggering 73.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 7th-highest rate in the NFL.. As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Las Vegas's group of safeties has been awful this year, ranking as the 4th-worst in football.

Passing Attempts

Geno Smith o31.5 Passing Attempts (-102)

Projection 36.83 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

At a -14-point disadvantage, the Raiders are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 66.5% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The leading projections forecast Geno Smith to throw 38.5 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 4th-most among all QBs.

-102 at FanDuel

Passing Yards

Geno Smith o190.5 Passing Yards (-110)

Projection 232.79 (Over)

Best Odds

o183.5 -111

Pick made: 19 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o183.5 -111

o190.5 -110

o186.5 -114

o190.5 -115

o186.5 -111

At a -14-point disadvantage, the Raiders are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 66.5% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The leading projections forecast Geno Smith to throw 38.5 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 4th-most among all QBs.

-111 at DraftKings

Passing Yards

C.J. Stroud o223.5 Passing Yards (-110)

Projection 256.35 (Over)

Best Odds

o223.5 -110

Pick made: 26 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o225.5 -111

o223.5 -110

o227.5 -114

o223.5 -115

o225.5 -118

The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.24 seconds per play.. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. C.J. Stroud's 64.7% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a noteable improvement in his passing precision over last year's 61.0% figure.. This year, the porous Las Vegas Raiders defense has allowed a staggering 73.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 7th-highest rate in the NFL.. This year, the anemic Raiders defense has been torched for the 7th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing offenses: a monstrous 7.95 yards.

Receiving Yards

Tre Tucker o26.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 44.66 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

At a -14-point disadvantage, the Raiders are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 66.5% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Receiving Yards

Woody Marks o5.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Projection 13.44 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 26 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.24 seconds per play.. The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.. This year, the deficient Las Vegas Raiders defense has yielded a massive 34.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing running backs: the 10th-worst in the NFL.. As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Las Vegas's group of safeties has been awful this year, ranking as the 4th-worst in football.

Receiving Yards

Brock Bowers o49.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 67.9 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

At a -14-point disadvantage, the Raiders are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 66.5% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

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69% picking Houston

31% 31%

69% 69%

Total Picks LV 173, HOU 380

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LV

HOU

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Top User Picks

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'ptrixie' is picking Houston to cover (-14.0)

ptrixie is #1 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (12-2-0) and +7700 units on the season.

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LV

HOU

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'ptrixie' picks Las Vegas vs Houston to go Under (38.0)

ptrixie is #1 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (12-2-0) and +7700 units on the season.

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Under

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'sweeton60' is picking Houston to cover (-12.5)

sweeton60 is #4 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (10-4-0) and +5710 units on the season.

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LV

HOU

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'sweeton60' picks Las Vegas vs Houston to go Under (37.5)

sweeton60 is #4 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (10-4-0) and +5710 units on the season.

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Under

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'bestfriendbb' picks Las Vegas vs Houston to go Over (38.0)

bestfriendbb is #5 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (10-3-0) and +5650 units on the season.

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Under

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'bestfriendbb' is picking Houston to cover (-14.0)

bestfriendbb is #5 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (10-3-0) and +5650 units on the season.

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LV

HOU

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'bobalten5000' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+14.0)

bobalten5000 is #6 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +5400 units on the season.

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LV

HOU

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'blueminer000' is picking Houston to cover (-14.0)

blueminer000 is #7 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (8-4-0) and +5150 units on the season.

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LV

HOU

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'blueminer000' picks Las Vegas vs Houston to go Over (38.0)

blueminer000 is #7 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (8-4-0) and +5150 units on the season.

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Over

Under

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'Jims Flying Eagles' picks Las Vegas vs Houston to go Over (38.0)

Jims Flying Eagles is #7 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (10-4-0) and +5600 units on the season.

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Over

Under

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'Jims Flying Eagles' is picking Houston to cover (-14.0)

Jims Flying Eagles is #7 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (10-4-0) and +5600 units on the season.

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LV

HOU

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'Rebelair90' is picking Houston to cover (-14.0)

Rebelair90 is #9 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (3-1-0) and +4800 units on the season.

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LV

HOU

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Pages Related to This Topic

Top Las Vegas Pick Leaders Season 2025-2026

Rank	Leader	L10	Units

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