Las Vegas Raiders

4th in AFC West (2 - 9 - 0)

Next Game

LVLas Vegas Las Vegas
at
Los Angeles LACL.A. Chargers
Sun, Nov 30 16:25 ET

LV @ LAC Picks

NFL Picks
Receptions Made
Tyler Lockett logo Tyler Lockett o3.5 Receptions Made (+152)
Best Odds
o2.5 -135 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 20 hours ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
o2.5  -141
These are quick bet odds
 -
o3.5  +152
These are quick bet odds
o2.5  -135
These are quick bet odds
o2.5  -152
These are quick bet odds

Tyler Lockett has averaged four catches over his last three games and led Vegas with four grabs for 62 yards last week, despite his quarterback taking 10 sacks against a tough Cleveland defense. Things get easier this week as the Raiders play indoors for the third straight time, this one against the Chargers. He’s now four games into his Raiders stint and saw a massive jump in usage last week, going from 28 snaps in Week 11 to 60. A big part of that is his new role in 2-WR sets, something he wasn’t included in previously. Books have been slow to react to his expanded role and the pass-heavy game scripts Vegas keeps finding itself in. There’s some ladder potential here, but his yardage looks like the best angle to attack for the aggressive Alt-Over bets.

Read Full Analysis
Score a Touchdown
Oronde Gadsden logo Oronde Gadsden Score a Touchdown (Yes: +210)
Best Odds
 +200 DraftKings
Pick made: yesterday
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
 +200
 +200
 +195
 -
 +196

The Chargers come out of the bye into a perfect indoor matchup against a Raiders team that just lost to Shadeur Sanders. Oronde Gadsden’s price drifted after quiet performances in Weeks 11 and 12, but getting his TD at +210 — compared to an average of +170 over his last four — is strong value in this spot. Even during his low-output weeks, the rookie tight end stayed active near the goal line with three red-zone targets. Since Week 8, he has double the red-zone looks of any other Chargers receiver. He’s rested, the matchup is soft, and the Raiders just let Harold Fannin command 30% of Cleveland’s targets, 36% of its receptions, and 20% of its receiving yards. A fair price here should be closer to +175.

Total
Las Vegas Raiders logo Los Angeles Chargers logo u41.5 (-112)
Best Odds
u41.0 -110 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
Sam Farley image
Sam Farley
Betting Analyst
u40.5  -108
These are quick bet odds
u40.5  -110
u40.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
u41.0  -110
These are quick bet odds
u40.5  -107
These are quick bet odds

The Raiders are the NFL's lowest scoring team, averaging just 15 points per game, and won't put up enough points to hit the Over on the total.

Passing Completions
Geno Smith logo
Geno Smith o20.5 Passing Completions (-108)
Projection 22.75 (Over)
Best Odds
o20.5 -108 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
EV Model Rating
o20.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
 -
o20.5  -108
These are quick bet odds
o20.5  -120
These are quick bet odds
o20.5  -120
An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being an enormous -9.5-point underdog in this game.. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 62.4% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
-108 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Passing Attempts
Justin Herbert logo
Justin Herbert u32.5 Passing Attempts (-118)
Projection 30.01 (Under)
Best Odds
u32.5 -114 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
u32.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
 -
u32.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
u31.5  -130
These are quick bet odds
u32.5  -127
This week's spread implies an extreme running game script for the Chargers, who are a heavy favorite by 9.5 points.. The projections expect this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 122.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The model projects Justin Herbert to throw 32.3 passes in this contest, on average: the 10th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
-114 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Passing Yards
Geno Smith logo
Geno Smith o201.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Projection 229.22 (Over)
Best Odds
o201.5 -112 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 35 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o201.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
 -
o203.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o205.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o203.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being an enormous -9.5-point underdog in this game.. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 62.4% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
-112 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Passing Yards
Justin Herbert logo
Justin Herbert o235.5 Passing Yards (-111)
Projection 245.76 (Over)
Best Odds
o235.5 -111 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o235.5  -111
These are quick bet odds
 -
o235.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o242.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o236.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
Right now, the 3rd-most pass-focused team in football (64.6% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Chargers.. The 7th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers this year (a massive 60.0 per game on average).. Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) usually prompt increased passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and lower rush volume.. Justin Herbert checks in as one of the leading QBs in the league this year, averaging an outstanding 236.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 83rd percentile.. This year, the weak Las Vegas Raiders defense has been gouged for the 6th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to the opposing side: a monstrous 7.92 yards.
-111 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Interceptions Thrown
Geno Smith logo
Geno Smith u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (+126)
Projection 0.44 (Under)
Best Odds
u0.5 +140 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
u0.5  +126
These are quick bet odds
 -
 -
u0.5  +140
These are quick bet odds
u0.5  +130
Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Raiders are projected by the projections to call only 61.2 offensive plays in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.. The Raiders have called the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 54.8 plays per game.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.. The Las Vegas offensive line ranks as the 9th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all pass game metrics across the board.. Los Angeles's defense profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL this year when it comes to causing interceptions, notching 0.86 per game.
+140 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Tre Tucker logo
Tre Tucker o37.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 52.03 (Over)
Best Odds
o37.5 -114 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
EV Model Rating
o37.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
 -
o37.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o42.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
o38.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being an enormous -9.5-point underdog in this game.. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 62.4% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
-114 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Oronde Gadsden logo
Oronde Gadsden o44.5 Receiving Yards (-111)
Projection 53.1 (Over)
Best Odds
o43.5 -114 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
o44.5  -111
These are quick bet odds
 -
o43.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o47.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o43.5  -117
These are quick bet odds
Right now, the 3rd-most pass-focused team in football (64.6% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Chargers.. The 7th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers this year (a massive 60.0 per game on average).. Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) usually prompt increased passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and lower rush volume.. The Las Vegas Raiders safeties profile as the 2nd-worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.
-114 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Brock Bowers logo
Brock Bowers o58.5 Receiving Yards (-111)
Projection 65.17 (Over)
Best Odds
o57.5 -118 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
o58.5  -111
These are quick bet odds
 -
o58.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o57.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
o58.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being an enormous -9.5-point underdog in this game.. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 62.4% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers profile as the 3rd-worst LB corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
-118 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Ashton Jeanty logo
Ashton Jeanty o23.5 Receiving Yards (-118)
Projection 28.35 (Over)
Best Odds
o23.5 -118 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
 -
o23.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
 -
An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being an enormous -9.5-point underdog in this game.. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 62.4% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.. The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers profile as the 3rd-worst LB corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
-118 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Ladd McConkey logo
Ladd McConkey o51.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 54.94 (Over)
Best Odds
o51.5 -114 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
EV Model Rating
o52.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
 -
o51.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o53.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o52.5  -117
These are quick bet odds
Right now, the 3rd-most pass-focused team in football (64.6% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Chargers.. The 7th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers this year (a massive 60.0 per game on average).. Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) usually prompt increased passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and lower rush volume.. The Raiders pass defense has been gouged for the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (68.9%) to wideouts this year (68.9%).. This year, the feeble Raiders defense has been gouged for the 6th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a staggering 8.83 yards.
-114 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds

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Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.
Spread

71% picking L.A. Chargers

29%
71%

Total Picks LV 182, LAC 449

Spread
LV
LAC
Spread
+10.5 -141
-8.5 -105

Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
Spread

'sweeton60' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+8.5)

sweeton60 is #1 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (9-2-0) and +5860 units on the season.

Spread
LV
LAC
Spread
+10.5 -141
-8.5 -105
Total

'sweeton60' picks Las Vegas vs L.A. Chargers to go Under (41.5)

sweeton60 is #1 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (9-2-0) and +5860 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.5 -107
41.5 -119
Spread

'skunty4' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (-9.5)

skunty4 is #1 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (10-1-0) and +6850 units on the season.

Spread
LV
LAC
Spread
+10.5 -141
-8.5 -105
Total

'skunty4' picks Las Vegas vs L.A. Chargers to go Over (40.5)

skunty4 is #1 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (10-1-0) and +6850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.5 -107
41.5 -119
Total

'robert78lodz' picks Las Vegas vs L.A. Chargers to go Over (41.5)

robert78lodz is #4 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (6-1-0) and +5350 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.5 -107
41.5 -119
Spread

'Hesonfie24' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (-9.5)

Hesonfie24 is #4 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (7-1-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Spread
LV
LAC
Spread
+10.5 -141
-8.5 -105
Total

'Hesonfie24' picks Las Vegas vs L.A. Chargers to go Over (41.0)

Hesonfie24 is #4 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (7-1-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.5 -107
41.5 -119
Spread

'peacy454' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (-8.5)

peacy454 is #5 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (10-1-0) and +4820 units on the season.

Spread
LV
LAC
Spread
+10.5 -141
-8.5 -105
Total

'peacy454' picks Las Vegas vs L.A. Chargers to go Under (41.5)

peacy454 is #5 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (10-1-0) and +4820 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.5 -107
41.5 -119
Spread

'Kozman06' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (-9.5)

Kozman06 is #6 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (8-3-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Spread
LV
LAC
Spread
+10.5 -141
-8.5 -105
Total

'Kozman06' picks Las Vegas vs L.A. Chargers to go Over (41.0)

Kozman06 is #6 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (8-3-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.5 -107
41.5 -119
Spread

'hungcodon' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (-8.5)

hungcodon is #8 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (6-3-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Spread
LV
LAC
Spread
+10.5 -141
-8.5 -105
Spread

'adamort22' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+8.5)

adamort22 is #8 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (6-5-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Spread
LV
LAC
Spread
+10.5 -141
-8.5 -105
Total

'adamort22' picks Las Vegas vs L.A. Chargers to go Under (41.5)

adamort22 is #8 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (6-5-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.5 -107
41.5 -119
Total

'hungcodon' picks Las Vegas vs L.A. Chargers to go Over (40.5)

hungcodon is #8 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (6-3-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.5 -107
41.5 -119
Spread

'bimmercando' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (-9.5)

bimmercando is #9 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (8-3-0) and +4570 units on the season.

Spread
LV
LAC
Spread
+10.5 -141
-8.5 -105
Total

'bimmercando' picks Las Vegas vs L.A. Chargers to go Under (40.5)

bimmercando is #9 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (8-3-0) and +4570 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.5 -107
41.5 -119

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