Las Vegas Raiders
Picks

4th in AFC West (2 - 14 - 0)

Next Game

at

Sun, Jan 4 16:25 ET

KC @ LV Picks

Score a Touchdown

Michael Mayer Score a Touchdown (Yes: +380)

Best Odds

Pick made: 2 hours ago

This is a strong price in a game that could feature some of the lowest scoring on the Week 18 slate. It’s the Kenny Pickett version of a struggling Raiders offense, but Michael Mayer was heavily involved last week, with Brock Bowers shut down. He led the team with 10 targets, caught nine balls for 89 yards, and saw a red-zone look, even if it didn’t turn into a score. The matchup against Kansas City is tough, but the game being indoors helps, and the price more than accounts for the risk. For what could be the most involved pass catcher in this offense, it’s worth a look.

Passing Completions

Chris Oladokun o16.5 Passing Completions (-117)

Projection 22.42 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 23 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

The Kansas City Chiefs may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup quarterback Chris Oladokun.. Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 59.0% of their plays: the 10th-highest frequency among all teams this week.. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.. The Kansas City O-line profiles as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.. This year, the deficient Las Vegas Raiders defense has surrendered a monstrous 73.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 6th-biggest rate in the NFL.

-117 at DraftKings

Passing Attempts

Chris Oladokun o26.5 Passing Attempts (-125)

Projection 32.86 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The Kansas City Chiefs may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup quarterback Chris Oladokun.. Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 59.0% of their plays: the 10th-highest frequency among all teams this week.. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.

Passing Attempts

Kenny Pickett u30.5 Passing Attempts (-132)

Projection 27.34 (Under)

Best Odds

Pick made: 23 hours ago

EV Model Rating

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Raiders are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 62.7 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.. The 3rd-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Las Vegas Raiders this year (only 51.9 per game on average).. The leading projections forecast Kenny Pickett to throw 28.4 passes in this game, on average: the 3rd-fewest among all quarterbacks.

-132 at FanDuel

Passing Yards

Chris Oladokun o146.5 Passing Yards (-110)

Projection 236.42 (Over)

Best Odds

o137.5 -114

Pick made: 16 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o140.5 -111

o146.5 -110

o137.5 -114

o146.5 -115

o138.5 -115

The Kansas City Chiefs may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup quarterback Chris Oladokun.. Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 59.0% of their plays: the 10th-highest frequency among all teams this week.. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.. The Kansas City O-line profiles as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.. This year, the deficient Las Vegas Raiders defense has surrendered a monstrous 73.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 6th-biggest rate in the NFL.

-114 at FanDuel

Passing Yards

Kenny Pickett o169.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Projection 178.92 (Over)

Best Odds

o169.5 -114

Pick made: 23 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o169.5 -114

The Raiders will be rolling out backup quarterback Kenny Pickett in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. The Raiders are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.. Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Raiders to pass on 60.3% of their downs: the 7th-greatest rate on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. This year, the deficient Kansas City Chiefs defense has surrendered a staggering 75.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 2nd-highest rate in the league.

-114 at FanDuel

Interceptions Thrown

Chris Oladokun o0.5 Interceptions Thrown (+180)

Projection 0.74 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The Kansas City Chiefs may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup quarterback Chris Oladokun.. Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 59.0% of their plays: the 10th-highest frequency among all teams this week.. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.. The Kansas City O-line profiles as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.. The Raiders have intercepted 0.55 targets per game this year, ranking as the 10th-worst defense in the league by this statistic

Interceptions Thrown

Kenny Pickett u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (-108)

Projection 0.4 (Under)

Best Odds

Pick made: 23 hours ago

EV Model Rating

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Raiders are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 62.7 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.. The 3rd-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Las Vegas Raiders this year (only 51.9 per game on average).. The leading projections forecast Kenny Pickett to throw 28.4 passes in this game, on average: the 3rd-fewest among all quarterbacks.. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year.. The Chiefs cornerbacks grade out as the 3rd-best collection of CBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

-108 at FanDuel

Consensus Picks

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There are no Consensus Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Consensus to see all Consensus picks.

Consensus Picks

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'bobalten5000' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+5.5)

bobalten5000 is #1 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +6400 units on the season.

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'nogame' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+6.0)

nogame is #10 on picking games that Kansas City is in with a record of (11-4-0) and +6050 units on the season.

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'nogame' picks Kansas City vs Las Vegas to go Under (35.5)

nogame is #10 on picking games that Kansas City is in with a record of (11-4-0) and +6050 units on the season.

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'rwatterworth' is picking Kansas City to cover (-5.5)

rwatterworth is #4 on picking games that Kansas City is in with a record of (12-1-0) and +6700 units on the season.

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'rwatterworth' picks Kansas City vs Las Vegas to go Under (36.5)

rwatterworth is #4 on picking games that Kansas City is in with a record of (12-1-0) and +6700 units on the season.

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'Busch Light' is picking Kansas City to cover (-5.5)

Busch Light is #5 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (9-7-0) and +5500 units on the season.

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'SNID' is picking Kansas City to cover (-5.5)

SNID is #5 on picking games that Kansas City is in with a record of (10-4-0) and +6650 units on the season.

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'Busch Light' picks Kansas City vs Las Vegas to go Over (36.5)

Busch Light is #5 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (9-7-0) and +5500 units on the season.

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'SNID' picks Kansas City vs Las Vegas to go Over (36.5)

SNID is #5 on picking games that Kansas City is in with a record of (10-4-0) and +6650 units on the season.

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'lsbellmom' is picking Las Vegas to cover (+5.5)

lsbellmom is #7 on picking games that Kansas City is in with a record of (14-2-0) and +6550 units on the season.

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'lsbellmom' picks Kansas City vs Las Vegas to go Under (36.5)

lsbellmom is #7 on picking games that Kansas City is in with a record of (14-2-0) and +6550 units on the season.

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'Rebelair90' is picking Kansas City to cover (-5.5)

Rebelair90 is #7 on picking games that Las Vegas are in with a record of (3-1-0) and +4750 units on the season.

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