Packers @ Bears Picks & Props

The Green Bay Packers may pass less this week (and call more rushes) given that they be starting backup QB Clayton Tune.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see just 127.5 plays on offense called: the 3rd-fewest among all games this week.. Josh Jacobs's 14.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) grades out among the best in the league: 83rd percentile for RBs.. This year, the shaky Chicago Bears defense has given up a massive 73.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the largest rate in the league.. The Chicago Bears defense has conceded the most TDs through the air in the league to RBs: 0.29 per game this year.

The leading projections forecast the Bears to call the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.9 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. The highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Bears this year (a whopping 60.7 per game on average).. The Packers defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (33.5 per game) this year.. The Chicago offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.. The Green Bay Packers pass defense has been torched for the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (67.2%) vs. wide receivers this year (67.2%).

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to see only 127.5 offensive plays called: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.. The highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Bears this year (a whopping 60.7 per game on average).. The Packers defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (33.5 per game) this year.. The Chicago offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 6th-highest rate in the NFL versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year (72.3% Adjusted Completion%).

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to see only 128.3 offensive plays called: the fewest on the slate this week.. The highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Bears this year (a whopping 60.7 per game on average).. The Packers defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (33.5 per game) this year.. The Chicago offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 6th-highest rate in the NFL versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year (72.3% Adjusted Completion%).

The Green Bay Packers may pass less this week (and call more rushes) given that they be starting backup QB Clayton Tune.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see just 127.5 plays on offense called: the 3rd-fewest among all games this week.. While Christian Watson has garnered 13.3% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Green Bay's offense near the goal line in this week's game at 18.7%.. Christian Watson has accrued far more air yards this season (99.0 per game) than he did last season (63.0 per game).. Christian Watson's 55.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 38.5.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to see only 128.3 offensive plays called: the fewest on the slate this week.. The highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Bears this year (a whopping 60.7 per game on average).. The Packers defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (33.5 per game) this year.. The Chicago offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.. The Green Bay Packers pass defense has been torched for the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (67.2%) vs. wide receivers this year (67.2%).

The Green Bay Packers may pass less this week (and call more rushes) given that they be starting backup QB Clayton Tune.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see just 127.5 plays on offense called: the 3rd-fewest among all games this week.. While Luke Musgrave has received 1.4% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Green Bay's offense near the end zone this week at 8.8%.. Luke Musgrave's 15.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 9.6.. This year, the deficient Bears pass defense has allowed a massive 81.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the largest rate in the league.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to see only 127.5 offensive plays called: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.. The highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Bears this year (a whopping 60.7 per game on average).. The Packers defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (33.5 per game) this year.. The Chicago offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 6th-highest rate in the NFL versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year (72.3% Adjusted Completion%).

The Green Bay Packers may pass less this week (and call more rushes) given that they be starting backup QB Clayton Tune.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see just 127.5 plays on offense called: the 3rd-fewest among all games this week.. Jordan Love has not rushed for any touchdowns this year.. This year, the shaky Chicago Bears defense has given up a massive 73.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the largest rate in the league.. The Chicago Bears defense has conceded the most passing touchdowns in the league: 1.82 per game this year.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bears to pass on 53.6% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.. The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.. The Packers safeties project as the 6th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

The leading projections forecast the Bears to call the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.9 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. The highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Bears this year (a whopping 60.7 per game on average).. The Packers defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (33.5 per game) this year.. The Chicago offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.. The Green Bay Packers pass defense has been torched for the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (67.2%) vs. wide receivers this year (67.2%).

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bears to pass on 53.6% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate on the slate this week.. The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.. The Packers safeties project as the 6th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

The projections expect the Packers to be the 2nd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The 4th-fewest plays in football have been called by the Packers this year (only 54.9 per game on average).. The weather report calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.. Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Chicago Bears, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 29.8 per game) this year.. The Green Bay offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass game stats across the board.

The projections expect the Packers to be the 2nd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The 4th-fewest plays in football have been called by the Packers this year (only 54.9 per game on average).. The weather report calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.. Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Chicago Bears, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 29.8 per game) this year.. The Green Bay offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass game stats across the board.

The Green Bay Packers may pass less this week (and call more rushes) given that they be starting backup QB Clayton Tune.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see just 128.3 plays on offense called: the fewest among all games this week.. The model projects Josh Jacobs to notch 3.2 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs.. With a top-tier 10.3% Target% (85th percentile) this year, Josh Jacobs rates among the pass-catching RBs with the highest volume in the NFL.. With a remarkable 2.2 adjusted receptions per game (85th percentile) this year, Josh Jacobs ranks as one of the best running backs in the pass game in the league.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to see only 127.5 offensive plays called: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.. The highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Bears this year (a whopping 60.7 per game on average).. The Packers defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (33.5 per game) this year.. With a remarkable 48.1% Route Participation Rate (83rd percentile) this year, D'Andre Swift rates as one of the pass-catching running backs with the biggest workloads in the league.. This week, D'Andre Swift is forecasted by the projections to place in the 78th percentile when it comes to RBs with 2.7 targets.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bears to pass on 53.6% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.. At the present time, the 8th-least pass-focused offense in football near the end zone (52.9% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Bears.. The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.. The Packers safeties project as the 6th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

The projections expect the Packers to be the 2nd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The Packers rank as the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year with a 48.5% red zone pass rate.. The 4th-fewest plays in football have been called by the Packers this year (only 54.9 per game on average).. The weather report calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.. Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Chicago Bears, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 29.8 per game) this year.

The projections expect the Packers to be the 2nd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The 4th-fewest plays in football have been called by the Packers this year (only 54.9 per game on average).. The weather report calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.. The leading projections forecast Jordan Love to attempt 32.2 passes this week, on balance: the 3rd-fewest out of all QBs.. Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Chicago Bears, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 29.8 per game) this year.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bears to pass on 53.6% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.. The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.. The Packers safeties project as the 6th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bears to pass on 53.6% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.. The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

The projections expect the Packers to be the 2nd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The 4th-fewest plays in football have been called by the Packers this year (only 54.9 per game on average).. The weather report calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.. The leading projections forecast Jordan Love to attempt 32.2 passes this week, on balance: the 3rd-fewest out of all QBs.. Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Chicago Bears, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 29.8 per game) this year.

The projections expect the Packers to be the 2nd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The 4th-fewest plays in football have been called by the Packers this year (only 54.9 per game on average).. The weather report calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.. The leading projections forecast Jordan Love to attempt 32.2 passes this week, on balance: the 3rd-fewest out of all QBs.. Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Chicago Bears, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 29.8 per game) this year.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bears to pass on 53.6% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.. The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.. Opposing offenses have thrown for the 7th-fewest yards in the NFL (just 196.0 adjusted yards per game) versus the Packers defense this year.. This year, the daunting Green Bay Packers defense has conceded the 5th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing teams: a paltry 7.1 yards.. The Packers safeties project as the 6th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

The projections expect the Packers to be the 2nd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 53.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The 4th-fewest plays in football have been called by the Packers this year (only 54.9 per game on average).. The weather report calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.. Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Chicago Bears, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 29.8 per game) this year.. Jordan Love has racked up a measly 0.38 interceptions per game this year, grading out in the 78th percentile among quarterbacks.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bears to pass on 53.6% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.. The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.. The Packers safeties project as the 6th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

The leading projections forecast the Bears to call the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.9 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. The highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Bears this year (a whopping 60.7 per game on average).. The Packers defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (33.5 per game) this year.. The Chicago offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.. The Green Bay Packers pass defense has been torched for the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (67.2%) vs. wide receivers this year (67.2%).

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to see only 128.3 offensive plays called: the fewest on the slate this week.. The highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Bears this year (a whopping 60.7 per game on average).. The Packers defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (33.5 per game) this year.. With a remarkable 48.1% Route Participation Rate (83rd percentile) this year, D'Andre Swift rates as one of the pass-catching running backs with the biggest workloads in the league.. This week, D'Andre Swift is forecasted by the projections to place in the 78th percentile when it comes to RBs with 2.7 targets.

The Green Bay Packers may pass less this week (and call more rushes) given that they be starting backup QB Clayton Tune.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see just 128.3 plays on offense called: the fewest among all games this week.. The model projects Josh Jacobs to notch 3.2 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs.. With a top-tier 10.3% Target% (85th percentile) this year, Josh Jacobs rates among the pass-catching RBs with the highest volume in the NFL.. With a stellar 18.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (86th percentile) this year, Josh Jacobs has been as one of the best pass-catching RBs in football.

The projections expect the Packers to be the 2nd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The 4th-fewest plays in football have been called by the Packers this year (only 54.9 per game on average).. The weather report calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.. Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Chicago Bears, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 29.8 per game) this year.. Christian Watson's talent in generating extra yardage have worsened this year, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 5.07 figure last year.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bears to pass on 53.6% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.. The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.. The Packers defense has given up the 9th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 41.0) vs. tight ends this year.. The Green Bay Packers pass defense has displayed strong efficiency vs. tight ends this year, allowing 6.04 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.. The Packers safeties project as the 6th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

The Green Bay Packers may pass less this week (and call more rushes) given that they be starting backup QB Clayton Tune.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see just 128.3 plays on offense called: the fewest among all games this week.. Luke Musgrave's 15.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 9.6.. Luke Musgrave's 17.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season illustrates an impressive progression in his receiving skills over last season's 6.0 rate.. The Bears defense has surrendered the 7th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (56.0) vs. TEs this year.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bears to pass on 53.6% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.. The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.. The Packers safeties project as the 6th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Chicago Bears to run on 46.4% of their chances: the 3rd-highest clip among all teams this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to see only 127.5 offensive plays called: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.. The highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Bears this year (a whopping 60.7 per game on average).. The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.. The Green Bay defensive tackles rank as the 2nd-worst DT corps in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Chicago Bears to run on 46.4% of their chances: the 2nd-highest clip among all teams this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to see only 128.3 offensive plays called: the fewest on the slate this week.. The highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Bears this year (a whopping 60.7 per game on average).. The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.. With an exceptional rate of 60.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (90th percentile), D'Andre Swift stands as one of the leading RBs in the NFL this year.

The predictive model expects the Green Bay Packers as the 2nd-most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 46.4% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see just 128.3 plays on offense called: the fewest among all games this week.. The weather report calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.. The predictive model expects Josh Jacobs to accumulate 20.6 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile when it comes to running backs.. The Chicago Bears defense has had the 4th-worst efficiency against opposing ground games this year, giving up 5.06 adjusted yards-per-carry.

The Green Bay Packers may pass less this week (and call more rushes) given that they be starting backup QB Clayton Tune.. The 4th-fewest plays in football have been called by the Packers this year (only 54.9 per game on average).. The projections expect Jordan Love to total 2.9 carries in this week's contest, on balance: the 3rd-fewest among all quarterbacks.

The Green Bay Packers may pass less this week (and call more rushes) given that they be starting backup QB Clayton Tune.. The 4th-fewest plays in football have been called by the Packers this year (only 54.9 per game on average).. The projections expect Jordan Love to total 2.9 carries in this week's contest, on balance: the 3rd-fewest among all quarterbacks.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Chicago Bears to run on 46.4% of their chances: the 2nd-highest clip among all teams this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to see only 128.3 offensive plays called: the fewest on the slate this week.. The highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Bears this year (a whopping 60.7 per game on average).. The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.. The model projects D'Andre Swift to garner 14.6 carries in this game, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile among running backs.

The Green Bay Packers may pass less this week (and call more rushes) given that they be starting backup QB Clayton Tune.. The 4th-fewest plays in football have been called by the Packers this year (only 54.9 per game on average).

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