Cardinals @ Bengals Picks & Props

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 61.4% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest clip on the slate this week. The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to be the most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.7% red zone pass rate. Our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to run the 2nd-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.2 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics. Mike Gesicki has totaled a staggering 36.0 air yards per game this year: 84th percentile when it comes to tight ends. Mike Gesicki rates in the 76th percentile when it comes to TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) with an astounding 24.8 figure this year.

The Cardinals are a heavy 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme passing game script. The model projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 3rd-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. Right now, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in the league in the red zone (64.6% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Cardinals. The projections expect the Cardinals offense to be the 3rd-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 26.67 seconds per snap. With an exceptional 32.0% Red Zone Target Share (99th percentile) this year, Trey McBride places among the tight ends with the highest volume near the goal line in football.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 61.4% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest clip on the slate this week. The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to be the most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.7% red zone pass rate. Our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to run the 2nd-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.2 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics. As it relates to air yards, Chase Brown ranks in the towering 94th percentile among running backs this year, accruing a striking 4.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more notable than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards). Chase Brown's 23.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 17.9.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 61.4% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest clip on the slate this week. The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to be the most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.7% red zone pass rate. Our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to run the 2nd-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.2 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics. The model projects Joe Burrow to throw 39.1 passes this week, on balance: the 2nd-most out of all QBs. Joe Burrow has been one of the leading touchdown passers in the NFL this year, averaging a fantastic 1.71 per game while checking in at the 94th percentile.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 61.4% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest clip on the slate this week. The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to be the most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.7% red zone pass rate. Our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to run the 2nd-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.2 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics. With a sizeable 25.7% Red Zone Target Rate (94th percentile) this year, Ja'Marr Chase places among the wideouts with the biggest workloads near the end zone in the league. Ja'Marr Chase has notched many more air yards this season (106.0 per game) than he did last season (90.0 per game).

The Cardinals are a heavy 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme passing game script. The model projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 3rd-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. Right now, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in the league in the red zone (64.6% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Cardinals. The projections expect the Cardinals offense to be the 3rd-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 26.67 seconds per snap. As it relates to air yards, Michael Carter ranks in the towering 98th percentile among running backs this year, accumulating an astounding 7.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more notable than it sounds since most RBs average negative air yards).

The Cardinals are a heavy 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme passing game script. The model projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 3rd-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. Right now, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in the league in the red zone (64.6% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Cardinals. The projections expect the Cardinals offense to be the 3rd-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 26.67 seconds per snap. Michael Wilson has totaled far more air yards this year (85.0 per game) than he did last year (51.0 per game).

The Cardinals are a heavy 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme passing game script. The model projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 3rd-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. Right now, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in the league in the red zone (64.6% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Cardinals. The projections expect the Cardinals offense to be the 3rd-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 26.67 seconds per snap. In this week's game, Jacoby Brissett is expected by the model to total the 5th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 38.2.