Jaxon Smith-Njigba has caught eight touchdowns this season from wide alignment, and the Colts have allowed 13 touchdowns to players from that exact alignment.
There are plenty of unknowns with this Indy offense, but all the wideouts are sitting at +450 or longer, which is hard to ignore whether it’s Riley Leonard or Philip Rivers starting. When Daniel Jones went down last week, Leonard stepped in and threw 10 of his 29 attempts to Michael Pittman. That’s serious volume. The matchup in Seattle isn’t ideal, but Leonard is expected to practice this week, and that level of target share paired with a +475 price is an easy play for me. Even Alec Pierce at +675 is appealing.
Shaheed starting to find his way in this Seahawks game plan after coming to Seattle at the trade deadline. He had his biggest receiving day against Atlanta last week, with four grabs on five catches for 67 yards but his results have been tempered by a schedule loaded with zone defenses – which is something the speedy Shaheed struggles against. Against Indy, however, he takes on man-centric schemes and his grades spike in one-on-one coverage. What’s more the Colts could be down both starting corners in Gardiner and Ward. With JSN drawing double, Shaheed is ripe to rip some backups for a TD in Week 15.
The projections expect the Colts to call the 3rd-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. The Indianapolis Colts have called the 9th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 54.8 plays per game.. This year, the strong Seattle Seahawks defense has yielded a mere 78.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 9th-lowest rate in the NFL.. As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Seattle's collection of safeties has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 6th-best in the NFL.
The Colts may pass less in this week's contest (and call more carries) given that they be rolling out backup QB Philip Rivers.. The Colts are a heavy 13.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.. The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 10th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 59.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (39.0 per game) this year.
The Colts may pass less in this week's contest (and call more carries) given that they be rolling out backup QB Philip Rivers.. The Colts are a heavy 13.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.. The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 10th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 59.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (39.0 per game) this year.. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Colts profiles as the best in the NFL this year.
The Colts may pass less in this week's contest (and call more carries) given that they be rolling out backup QB Philip Rivers.. The Colts are a heavy 13.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.. The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 10th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 59.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (39.0 per game) this year.. The projections expect Michael Pittman to total 7.8 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 87th percentile among wide receivers.
The Colts may pass less in this week's contest (and call more carries) given that they be rolling out backup QB Philip Rivers.. The Colts are a heavy 13.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.. The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 10th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 59.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (39.0 per game) this year.. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Colts profiles as the best in the NFL this year.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (39.2 per game) this year.. The Indianapolis Colts defense has been gouged for the 2nd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (68.0) to TEs this year.. This year, the weak Indianapolis Colts defense has allowed the 5th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing TEs: a massive 8.35 yards.. When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Indianapolis's collection of LBs has been very bad this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in football.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (39.2 per game) this year.. Kenneth Walker III's 7.2 adjusted yards per target this season represents a noteable boost in his receiving ability over last season's 6.1 figure.. When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Indianapolis's collection of LBs has been very bad this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in football.
An extreme running game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a giant 13.5-point favorite in this week's contest.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to pass on 50.6% of their downs: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see just 126.1 plays on offense called: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.. The Seahawks have run the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 53.1 plays per game.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year shows an impressive diminishment in his efficiency in the open field over last year's 4.6% figure.
The projections expect Jonathan Taylor to accrue 22.0 carries this week, on balance, placing him in the 100th percentile among RBs.. Jonathan Taylor has garnered 82.5% of his offense's rushing play calls this year, putting him in the 100th percentile among RBs.. With a fantastic record of 101.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (100th percentile), Jonathan Taylor places among the leading running backs in the league this year.. Jonathan Taylor's rushing effectiveness has gotten better this year, averaging 5.74 adjusted yards-per-carry vs just 4.61 rate last year.. Jonathan Taylor has made strides in picking up extra ground yardage this season, notching 3.94 yards-after-contact vs a 2.68 mark last season.
An extreme running game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a giant 13.5-point favorite in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Seahawks to run on 49.4% of their downs: the 4th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.. Sam Darnold's 6.93 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year marks a substantial growth in his running talent over last year's 5.20 figure.. The Indianapolis Colts defensive tackles profile as the 8th-worst unit in the league this year in regard to run defense.
Indianapolis Trends
Seattle Trends