Los Angeles @ Baltimore Picks & Props

The Baltimore Ravens will be forced to use backup quarterback Cooper Rush in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This game's line suggests an extreme passing game script for the Ravens, who are massive -7.5-point underdogs. The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics. Opposing teams have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game against the Rams defense this year: 10th-most in football. Mark Andrews's 36.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 87th percentile for tight ends.

The Baltimore Ravens will be forced to use backup quarterback Cooper Rush in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This game's line suggests an extreme passing game script for the Ravens, who are massive -7.5-point underdogs. The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics. Opposing teams have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game against the Rams defense this year: 10th-most in football. The projections expect Zay Flowers to be much more involved in his offense's passing attack near the end zone in this contest (20.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (10.0% in games he has played).

Our trusted projections expect the Rams to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.3% pass rate. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are anticipated by the projections to run 66.7 total plays in this contest: the 5th-most on the slate this week. Opposing teams have averaged 41.2 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in football. Kyren Williams has compiled a staggering 6.0 air yards per game this year: 93rd percentile when it comes to RBs. (That may not seem like very many, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage). Kyren Williams's 17.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 11.0.

Our trusted projections expect the Rams to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.3% pass rate. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are anticipated by the projections to run 66.7 total plays in this contest: the 5th-most on the slate this week. Opposing teams have averaged 41.2 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in football. While Puka Nacua has been responsible for 16.7% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more important option in Los Angeles's passing attack near the goal line in this contest at 27.4%. Puka Nacua has compiled many more air yards this year (108.0 per game) than he did last year (75.0 per game).

The Baltimore Ravens will be forced to use backup quarterback Cooper Rush in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. This game's line suggests an extreme passing game script for the Ravens, who are massive -7.5-point underdogs. The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics. Opposing teams have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game against the Rams defense this year: 10th-most in football. As it relates to air yards, Derrick Henry grades out in the towering 78th percentile among running backs this year, totaling an astounding 1.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more remarkable than it appears since most RBs have negative air yards).

Our trusted projections expect the Rams to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.3% pass rate. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are anticipated by the projections to run 66.7 total plays in this contest: the 5th-most on the slate this week. Opposing teams have averaged 41.2 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in football. With a fantastic rate of 0.33 per game through the air (89th percentile), Tyler Higbee has been as one of the best receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL when it comes to tight ends since the start of last season. The Ravens pass defense has conceded the highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (96.5%) vs. TEs this year (96.5%).