Kansas City @ Buffalo props

The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to be the most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 63.6% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The model projects Rashee Rice to accrue 10.1 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 95th percentile among wideouts. The model projects Rashee Rice to be a more integral piece of his offense's pass attack in this contest (27.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (18.7% in games he has played). When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Chiefs profiles as the 8th-best in football this year. With a stellar 5.2 adjusted catches per game (90th percentile) this year, Rashee Rice stands as one of the best WRs in the league in the NFL.

The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to be the most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 63.6% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. Isiah Pacheco's 44.9% Route Participation% this season represents a meaningful growth in his air attack utilization over last season's 19.3% rate. In this game, Isiah Pacheco is projected by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 96th percentile when it comes to running backs with 4.7 targets. When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Chiefs profiles as the 8th-best in football this year. Isiah Pacheco's pass-catching performance been refined this year, averaging 3.0 adjusted catches vs a mere 0.8 last year.

The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to be the most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 63.6% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect Travis Kelce to earn 9.3 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 100th percentile among tight ends. Travis Kelce's 50.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the best in football: 99th percentile for tight ends. When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Chiefs profiles as the 8th-best in football this year. Travis Kelce is positioned as one of the top pass-catching TEs this year, averaging a terrific 6.3 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 99th percentile.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to see 131.7 total plays called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week. In this contest, Dalton Kincaid is projected by the predictive model to rank in the 91st percentile among TEs with 6.5 targets. With a remarkable 17.8% Target Share (90th percentile) this year, Dalton Kincaid has been as one of the tight ends with the highest volume in the NFL. The Buffalo O-line grades out as the 10th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board. With a fantastic 4.5 adjusted catches per game (92nd percentile) this year, Dalton Kincaid has been among the top pass-catching TEs in the league.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to see 131.7 total plays called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week. The leading projections forecast Stefon Diggs to accumulate 9.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers. With an impressive 29.3% Target Rate (94th percentile) this year, Stefon Diggs rates among the wideouts with the biggest workloads in the NFL. The Buffalo O-line grades out as the 10th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board. Stefon Diggs is positioned as one of the top wide receivers in the league this year, averaging a terrific 6.3 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 96th percentile.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to see 131.7 total plays called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week. James Cook has gone out for more passes this season (47.1% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (19.1%). The leading projections forecast James Cook to earn 3.6 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 81st percentile among running backs. The Buffalo O-line grades out as the 10th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board. James Cook's receiving talent has improved this year, compiling 2.7 adjusted catches compared to just 1.3 last year.

Noah Gray has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Khalil Shakir has gone over 3.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Dawson Knox has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Trent Sherfield has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Mecole Hardman Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Justin Watson has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Deonte Harty has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Richie James has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.