Los Angeles 2nd NFC West10-7
Detroit 1st NFC North12-5

Los Angeles @ Detroit props

Ford Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Sam LaPorta Receptions Made Props • Detroit

S. LaPorta
tight end TE • Detroit
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.9
Best Odds
Over
-166

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to see 133.1 plays on offense called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The Detroit Lions have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 60.4 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. The projections expect Sam LaPorta to garner 5.4 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to TEs. The Detroit O-line grades out as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

Sam LaPorta

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.9
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.9

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to see 133.1 plays on offense called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The Detroit Lions have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 60.4 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. The projections expect Sam LaPorta to garner 5.4 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to TEs. The Detroit O-line grades out as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions Made Props • Detroit

J. Gibbs
running back RB • Detroit
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.6
Best Odds
Over
+128

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to see 133.1 plays on offense called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The Detroit Lions have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 60.4 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. Our trusted projections expect Jahmyr Gibbs to notch 4.8 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 97th percentile when it comes to RBs. The Detroit O-line grades out as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

Jahmyr Gibbs

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.6
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.6

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to see 133.1 plays on offense called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The Detroit Lions have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 60.4 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. Our trusted projections expect Jahmyr Gibbs to notch 4.8 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 97th percentile when it comes to RBs. The Detroit O-line grades out as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

Puka Nacua Receptions Made Props • L.A. Rams

P. Nacua
wide receiver WR • L.A. Rams
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Over
-152

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Rams are underdogs in this game, implying more of a reliance on passing than their usual game plan. The model projects the Rams to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The projections expect the Rams offense to be the 10th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.25 seconds per play. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. In this game, Puka Nacua is projected by the projections to finish in the 94th percentile among wideouts with 10.2 targets.

Puka Nacua

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6.4
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6.4

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Rams are underdogs in this game, implying more of a reliance on passing than their usual game plan. The model projects the Rams to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The projections expect the Rams offense to be the 10th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.25 seconds per play. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. In this game, Puka Nacua is projected by the projections to finish in the 94th percentile among wideouts with 10.2 targets.

Kyren Williams Receptions Made Props • L.A. Rams

K. Williams
running back RB • L.A. Rams
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.9
Best Odds
Over
-125

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Rams are underdogs in this game, implying more of a reliance on passing than their usual game plan. The model projects the Rams to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The projections expect the Rams offense to be the 10th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.25 seconds per play. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. Our trusted projections expect Kyren Williams to total 4.1 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 79th percentile among RBs.

Kyren Williams

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.9
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.9

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Rams are underdogs in this game, implying more of a reliance on passing than their usual game plan. The model projects the Rams to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The projections expect the Rams offense to be the 10th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.25 seconds per play. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. Our trusted projections expect Kyren Williams to total 4.1 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 79th percentile among RBs.

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions Made Props • Detroit

A. St. Brown
wide receiver WR • Detroit
Prop
7.5
Receptions Made
Projection
7.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
7.5 Receptions Made
Projection
7.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to see 133.1 plays on offense called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The Detroit Lions have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 60.4 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. In this week's game, Amon-Ra St. Brown is anticipated by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 98th percentile among WRs with 11.3 targets. The Detroit O-line grades out as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

Amon-Ra St. Brown

Prop: 7.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 7.8
Prop:
7.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
7.8

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to see 133.1 plays on offense called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The Detroit Lions have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 60.4 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. In this week's game, Amon-Ra St. Brown is anticipated by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 98th percentile among WRs with 11.3 targets. The Detroit O-line grades out as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

Jameson Williams Receptions Made Props • Detroit

J. Williams
wide receiver WR • Detroit
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.00
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-120
Under
+115

Jameson Williams has gone over 2.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Demarcus Robinson Receptions Made Props • L.A. Rams

D. Robinson
wide receiver WR • L.A. Rams
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
1.71
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-113
Under
+110

Demarcus Robinson has gone over 3.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

David Montgomery Receptions Made Props • Detroit

D. Montgomery
running back RB • Detroit
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
1.29
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-109
Under
-420

David Montgomery has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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