SoFi Stadium
The Rams are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a running game script. Kyren Williams's possession skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 80.0% to 65.9%.
At the moment, the 9th-fastest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Los Angeles Rams. The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. In this contest, Puka Nacua is anticipated by the projection model to rank in the 94th percentile among WRs with 9.3 targets. With an exceptional 29.7% Target Share (94th percentile) this year, Puka Nacua ranks among the WRs with the most usage in the league. With an impressive 6.2 adjusted receptions per game (94th percentile) this year, Puka Nacua stands among the best WRs in the NFL in the league.
This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Commanders, who are -6.5-point underdogs. The model projects the Commanders to be the most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 66.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The Los Angeles Rams defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (38.2 per game) this year. Antonio Gibson has run a route on 46.7% of his team's passing plays this year, placing him in the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs. Antonio Gibson is positioned as one of the leading pass-catching RBs this year, averaging a stellar 3.1 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 88th percentile.
This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Commanders, who are -6.5-point underdogs. The model projects the Commanders to be the most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 66.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The Los Angeles Rams defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (38.2 per game) this year. Logan Thomas has run a route on 75.0% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile when it comes to tight ends. With an impressive 3.6 adjusted catches per game (81st percentile) this year, Logan Thomas stands among the top pass-game TEs in football.
At the moment, the 9th-fastest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Los Angeles Rams. The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. In this game, Tyler Higbee is expected by the projections to finish in the 79th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.6 targets. When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Washington's unit has been terrible this year, projecting as the worst in football.
This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Commanders, who are -6.5-point underdogs. The model projects the Commanders to be the most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 66.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The Los Angeles Rams defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (38.2 per game) this year. In this game, Terry McLaurin is projected by the projections to land in the 87th percentile among wideouts with 8.0 targets. Terry McLaurin has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 20.9% this year, which ranks him in the 80th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
Curtis Samuel has gone over 3.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.
Cooper Kupp has gone over 5.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
Jahan Dotson has gone over 3.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.
Demarcus Robinson has gone over 2.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.
