Kansas City @ Las Vegas props

An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a huge -9.5-point underdog in this week's game. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. The predictive model expects Davante Adams to accrue 11.2 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs. Davante Adams's 82.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 75.0. When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Las Vegas Raiders grades out as the best in the NFL this year.

The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 63.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. The leading projections forecast Travis Kelce to garner 9.8 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 99th percentile among tight ends. With an outstanding 7.2 adjusted catches per game (100th percentile) this year, Travis Kelce places as one of the top pass-game tight ends in football. The Raiders pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (81.8%) vs. TEs this year (81.8%).

An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a huge -9.5-point underdog in this week's game. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. This week, Josh Jacobs is projected by the model to finish in the 89th percentile when it comes to RBs with 4.1 targets. Josh Jacobs's 21.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in football: 96th percentile for running backs. When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Las Vegas Raiders grades out as the best in the NFL this year.

An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Chiefs being a big 9.5-point favorite in this week's game. Isiah Pacheco's receiving reliability have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 100.0% to 84.3%.

An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Chiefs being a big 9.5-point favorite in this week's game.

An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a huge -9.5-point underdog in this week's game. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Michael Mayer has played on 63.4% of his team's snaps this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile among tight ends. The leading projections forecast Michael Mayer to accumulate 4.2 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 79th percentile when it comes to tight ends. When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Las Vegas Raiders grades out as the best in the NFL this year.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Hunter Renfrow has gone over 2.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Jakobi Meyers has gone over 3.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Justin Watson has gone over 2.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Noah Gray has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.