Houston @ Atlanta props

The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline. The projections expect Bijan Robinson to notch 6.1 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 98th percentile among running backs. Bijan Robinson has been an integral part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 19.6% this year, which ranks in the 100th percentile among running backs. Bijan Robinson has been among the top pass-game running backs this year, averaging a remarkable 4.8 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 100th percentile.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline. In this week's game, Drake London is forecasted by the projection model to secure a spot in the 80th percentile among WRs with 6.9 targets.

The Texans will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.2% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized). Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 57.7% pass rate. Dameon Pierce's ball-catching skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 82.5% to 69.0%. The Atlanta Falcons safeties project as the 5th-best safety corps in the league this year in pass coverage.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline. In this week's contest, Kyle Pitts is projected by the projection model to finish in the 90th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.8 targets. Kyle Pitts's sure-handedness have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 49.3% to 52.8%. The Texans pass defense has surrendered the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (84%) to TEs this year (84.0%).

The Texans will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.2% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized). Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 57.7% pass rate. The Atlanta Falcons safeties project as the 5th-best safety corps in the league this year in pass coverage.

Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.91 seconds per play. The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer. The leading projections forecast Dalton Schultz to accumulate 4.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 76th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Mack Hollins has gone over 2.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Robert Woods has gone over 3.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Tank Dell has gone over 3.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Jonnu Smith has gone over 2.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.