Arizona 4th NFC West4-13
San Francisco 1st NFC West12-5
FOX

Arizona @ San Francisco props

Levi's Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Marquise Brown Receptions Made Props • Arizona

M. Brown
wide receiver WR • Arizona
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5
Best Odds
Over
+135
Prop
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection
5
Best Odds
Over
+135
Projection Rating

The Arizona Cardinals will be rolling with backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing. The Cardinals are a giant 14.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme passing game script. The Arizona Cardinals have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 60.9 plays per game. Opposing teams have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in football. Marquise Brown has been among the leading WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 5.3 receptions per game while ranking in the 91st percentile.

Marquise Brown

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5

The Arizona Cardinals will be rolling with backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing. The Cardinals are a giant 14.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme passing game script. The Arizona Cardinals have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 60.9 plays per game. Opposing teams have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in football. Marquise Brown has been among the leading WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 5.3 receptions per game while ranking in the 91st percentile.

Zach Ertz Receptions Made Props • Arizona

Z. Ertz
tight end TE • Arizona
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.3
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
4.3
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

The Arizona Cardinals will be rolling with backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing. The Cardinals are a giant 14.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme passing game script. The Arizona Cardinals have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 60.9 plays per game. Opposing teams have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in football. The leading projections forecast Zach Ertz to garner 6.6 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 96th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Zach Ertz

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.3
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.3

The Arizona Cardinals will be rolling with backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing. The Cardinals are a giant 14.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme passing game script. The Arizona Cardinals have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 60.9 plays per game. Opposing teams have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in football. The leading projections forecast Zach Ertz to garner 6.6 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 96th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Christian McCaffrey Receptions Made Props • San Francisco

C. McCaffrey
running back RB • San Francisco
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.7
Best Odds
Over
-146
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
4.7
Best Odds
Over
-146
Projection Rating

The 49ers have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to lead to increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing attack effectiveness when facing better conditions in this game. Opposing teams have averaged 35.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the NFL. Our trusted projections expect Christian McCaffrey to total 5.7 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile among running backs. The leading projections forecast Christian McCaffrey to be a more integral piece of his offense's passing offense in this game (19.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (14.5% in games he has played). Christian McCaffrey has been among the top RB receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 3.1 receptions per game while ranking in the 90th percentile.

Christian McCaffrey

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.7
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.7

The 49ers have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to lead to increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing attack effectiveness when facing better conditions in this game. Opposing teams have averaged 35.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the NFL. Our trusted projections expect Christian McCaffrey to total 5.7 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile among running backs. The leading projections forecast Christian McCaffrey to be a more integral piece of his offense's passing offense in this game (19.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (14.5% in games he has played). Christian McCaffrey has been among the top RB receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 3.1 receptions per game while ranking in the 90th percentile.

George Kittle Receptions Made Props • San Francisco

G. Kittle
tight end TE • San Francisco
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
3.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

The 49ers have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to lead to increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing attack effectiveness when facing better conditions in this game. Opposing teams have averaged 35.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the NFL. George Kittle has run a route on 88.1% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 98th percentile among TEs. Our trusted projections expect George Kittle to accumulate 5.3 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 87th percentile among TEs. George Kittle has been among the best pass-game tight ends since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 4.0 receptions per game while ranking in the 91st percentile.

George Kittle

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.8
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.8

The 49ers have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to lead to increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing attack effectiveness when facing better conditions in this game. Opposing teams have averaged 35.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the NFL. George Kittle has run a route on 88.1% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 98th percentile among TEs. Our trusted projections expect George Kittle to accumulate 5.3 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 87th percentile among TEs. George Kittle has been among the best pass-game tight ends since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 4.0 receptions per game while ranking in the 91st percentile.

Deebo Samuel Receptions Made Props • San Francisco

D. Samuel
wide receiver WR • San Francisco
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.5
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
4.5
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

The 49ers have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to lead to increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing attack effectiveness when facing better conditions in this game. Opposing teams have averaged 35.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the NFL. The leading projections forecast Deebo Samuel to accrue 7.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 78th percentile among WRs. Deebo Samuel has been among the leading wide receivers in the league since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 4.5 receptions per game while ranking in the 81st percentile. The Cardinals cornerbacks rank as the 2nd-worst collection of CBs in the NFL since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.

Deebo Samuel

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.5
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.5

The 49ers have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to lead to increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing attack effectiveness when facing better conditions in this game. Opposing teams have averaged 35.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the NFL. The leading projections forecast Deebo Samuel to accrue 7.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 78th percentile among WRs. Deebo Samuel has been among the leading wide receivers in the league since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 4.5 receptions per game while ranking in the 81st percentile. The Cardinals cornerbacks rank as the 2nd-worst collection of CBs in the NFL since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.

James Conner Receptions Made Props • Arizona

J. Conner
running back RB • Arizona
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.5
Best Odds
Over
-113
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.5
Best Odds
Over
-113
Projection Rating

The Arizona Cardinals will be rolling with backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing. The Cardinals are a giant 14.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme passing game script. The Arizona Cardinals have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 60.9 plays per game. Opposing teams have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in football. James Conner has been among the top pass-game running backs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 3.3 receptions per game while ranking in the 93rd percentile.

James Conner

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.5
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.5

The Arizona Cardinals will be rolling with backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing. The Cardinals are a giant 14.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme passing game script. The Arizona Cardinals have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 60.9 plays per game. Opposing teams have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in football. James Conner has been among the top pass-game running backs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 3.3 receptions per game while ranking in the 93rd percentile.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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