The Big 12 title game is a rematch of a November 8 meeting in Lubbock, where the Red Raiders and their ferocious defensive line overwhelmed Bear Bachmeier and the Cougars in a 29-7 final. But that final score could easily have been 49-7. The Red Raiders' defense suffocated BYU, holding them to 2.5 yards per carry while limiting Bachmeier to 23-for-38 passing for 188 yards with a touchdown and a pick. I don't expect much to change this time around.
Tough matchup against TTU, a dominant defensive group surrendering just 258.9 total yards per game and 4.0 yards per play. They’ve been especially strong at stopping the run, allowing just 68.9 rushing yards per game on 2.3 yards per carry.
BYU is 2-5 O/U in its last seven games away from home and now faces an elite TTU defense that already put the clamps on once in the first matchup. The Cougars aren't at a big disadvantage when on defense, however, according to most analytics.
Texas Tech's defense has been one of the surest bets in college football season, and a star-studded defensive front should handle BYU's rush-first approach.
Texas Tech is 8-1 against the spread against Power Four competition, exceeding bookmakers’ expectations by an average of 13.3 points in those nine games, even including the ATS loss. Only three of those eight ATS wins were within one score of the spread. Oddsmakers have not caught up to Texas Tech.
Nittanymac5800 is #1 on picking games that BYU is in with a record of (9-1-0) and +6300 units on the season.
money455 is #10 on picking games that BYU is in with a record of (7-4-0) and +4150 units on the season.
trotter is #2 on picking games that Texas Tech is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +4900 units on the season.
big_tigger_505 is #2 on picking games that BYU is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +5350 units on the season.
AMOZONS is #5 on picking games that BYU is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +4350 units on the season.
uradonkey is #5 on picking games that Texas Tech is in with a record of (8-2-0) and +4750 units on the season.
deebo7348 is #6 on picking games that BYU is in with a record of (6-3-0) and +4250 units on the season.
kenpitch is #7 on picking games that Texas Tech is in with a record of (6-5-0) and +4700 units on the season.
SteveA2009 is #7 on picking games that BYU is in with a record of (8-2-0) and +4200 units on the season.