Nevada Wolf Pack Picks
6th in Mountain West
(3 - 4)
NEV @ UCLA Picks
NCAAF PicksGood down to 42.5. Ty Dieffenbach has more career turnover-worthy passes (14) than big-time throws (13). The Bruins will keep the ball on the ground (57.5% rush rate), and will do so at a leisurely pace. They snap the ball every 29.3 seconds, the 128th-fastest tempo.
Nevada is good down to +21. UCLA is averaging 20.7 ppg with Ty Dieffenbach at quarterback, so the offense is officially a concern. It managed just 0.032 EPA per play last week against a Michigan State defense absent several starters.
Nevada ranks 24th in defensive success rate and can provide some resistance against UCLA. The Bruins will control the tempo and be happy to survive and advance toward the playoffs without lighting up the scoreboard.
Consensus Picks
More Consensus
66% picking UCLA
Total Picks NEV 104, UCLA 199
NEV @ UCLA · Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PASSING YARDS
UCLA
T. Dieffenbach
(QB)
u215.5 Passing Yards
204.14 UNDER
PROJECTION
-11.4
DIFFERENCE
22.18%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
NEV
D. Kelley
(RB)
o44.5 Rushing Yards
53.99 OVER
PROJECTION
+9.5
DIFFERENCE
24.6%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
UCLA
T. Dieffenbach
(QB)
o12.5 Rushing Yards
17.19 OVER
PROJECTION
+4.7
DIFFERENCE
23.94%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
UCLA
W. Knight
(RB)
o84.5 Rushing Yards
86.76 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.3
DIFFERENCE
13.05%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
NEV
G. Givens III
(WR)
o39.5 Receiving Yards
45.19 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.7
DIFFERENCE
21.94%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UCLA
S. Morgan
(WR)
o52.5 Receiving Yards
59.70 OVER
PROJECTION
+7.2
DIFFERENCE
21.52%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UCLA
B. Rowe Jr.
(WR)
o33.5 Receiving Yards
34.52 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.0
DIFFERENCE
-17.23%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UCLA
B. Loftin
(TE)
o13.5 Receiving Yards
13.66 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-20.69%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
UCLA
W. Knight
(RB)
o1.5 Receptions
2.21 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
19.18%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
UCLA
B. Loftin
(TE)
u1.5 Receptions
1.14 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
17.68%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
UCLA
L. Ellis
(WR)
u2.5 Receptions
1.80 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
14.09%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
NEV
G. Givens III
(WR)
u3.5 Receptions
3.46 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
11.3%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
UCLA
B. Rowe Jr.
(WR)
o2.5 Receptions
2.54 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
7.27%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
UCLA
S. Morgan
(WR)
u4.5 Receptions
4.43 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
1.83%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
NEV
D. Kelley
(RB)
o12.5 Carries
14.93 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.4
DIFFERENCE
20.5%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
UCLA
T. Dieffenbach
(QB)
o5.5 Carries
5.99 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-2.01%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
UCLA
W. Knight
(RB)
u15.5 Carries
15.43 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-6.5%
EV
|
|||||||
|
COMPLETIONS
UCLA
T. Dieffenbach
(QB)
u17.5 Completions
16.35 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.2
DIFFERENCE
11.48%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
NEV @ UCLA · Trends
Top User Picks
More Picks
'DIEASU' is picking Nevada to cover (+21.5)
DIEASU is #1 on picking games that Nevada is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +3850 units on the season.
'vikings53098' is picking UCLA to cover (-22.5)
vikings53098 is #10 on picking games that UCLA is in with a record of (0-0-0) and +3500 units on the season.
'pipmove' is picking UCLA to cover (-22.5)
pipmove is #2 on picking games that Nevada is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +3350 units on the season.
'pardo3' is picking UCLA to cover (-22.5)
pardo3 is #3 on picking games that Nevada is in with a record of (6-0-0) and +3350 units on the season.
'CastlemontDB91' is picking Nevada to cover (+23.5)
CastlemontDB91 is #5 on picking games that Nevada is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +2800 units on the season.
'bowron' is picking Nevada to cover (+22.5)
bowron is #5 on picking games that UCLA is in with a record of (4-2-0) and +3900 units on the season.
'fat italian' is picking UCLA to cover (-21.5)
fat italian is #6 on picking games that Nevada is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +2800 units on the season.
'MrBaggins' is picking Nevada to cover (+21.5)
MrBaggins is #7 on picking games that Nevada is in with a record of (5-2-0) and +2800 units on the season.
'qlh' is picking UCLA to cover (-23.5)
qlh is #8 on picking games that Nevada is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +2800 units on the season.
'JFT1010' is picking Nevada to cover (+22.5)
JFT1010 is #8 on picking games that UCLA is in with a record of (4-3-0) and +3850 units on the season.
'Makanikeoe' is picking UCLA to cover (-22.5)
Makanikeoe is #9 on picking games that UCLA is in with a record of (0-0-0) and +3500 units on the season.