Florida State vs Pittsburgh Picks & Props
FSU vs PITT Picks
NCAAF PicksIf you're looking to get in and get out of this game, backing Pitt to lead by a field goal or more at halftime is well worth the sweat. If you're willing to pay the juice, take the Panthers to win the first half outright so you don't have to worry about covering a number.
Florida State has allowed nearly 16 points per half to opponents this season, while Pitt has done a great job keeping teams under two touchdowns. If the Panthers' defense can step up, they should be in a good position to secure a first-half lead of more than a field goal.
Both offenses play fast, but with Florida State potentially being a one-dimensional offense and its ground attack facing one of the best statistical rush defenses in the country, points will likely be at a premium.
Plus, Florida State could be in line for a looming letdown and reality check following its emotional win after the coaching change. Pitt should be able to keep the Seminoles in check from start to finish.
Pitt gets a favorable spot against a Florida State team playing its fourth road game in six weeks. The Panthers are coming off a bounce-back win over Georgia Tech and have extra time to prepare. I like Pitt to get the job done, even if it means paying the juice.
A 3.21x payout for the Panthers to secure the win, paired with their defense holding down the Seminoles' offense and this game staying well under the 53.5-point total, is absolutely worth adding to the card.
FSU vs PITT Consensus Picks
FSU vs PITT Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PASSING YARDS
PITT
H. Geriner
(QB)
o224.5 Passing Yards
246.77 OVER
PROJECTION
+22.3
DIFFERENCE
27.07%
EV
|
|||||||
|
PASSING YARDS
FSU
A. Daniels
(QB)
o226.5 Passing Yards
239.09 OVER
PROJECTION
+12.6
DIFFERENCE
24%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
FSU
A. Thomas
(RB)
o54.5 Rushing Yards
80.37 OVER
PROJECTION
+25.9
DIFFERENCE
27.2%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
PITT
D. Ferguson Jr.
(RB)
u76.5 Rushing Yards
76.35 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
4.27%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
FSU
A. Daniels
(QB)
u45.5 Rushing Yards
45.39 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
PITT
B. Hicks
(WR)
o51.5 Receiving Yards
65.06 OVER
PROJECTION
+13.6
DIFFERENCE
25.75%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
PITT
C. Kent
(TE)
o34.5 Receiving Yards
43.22 OVER
PROJECTION
+8.7
DIFFERENCE
25.18%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
FSU
J. Lopez
(WR)
o45.5 Receiving Yards
51.35 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.8
DIFFERENCE
24.45%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
FSU
M. Danzy
(WR)
o63.5 Receiving Yards
71.62 OVER
PROJECTION
+8.1
DIFFERENCE
22.96%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
PITT
M. Knight
(WR)
o29.5 Receiving Yards
35.38 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.9
DIFFERENCE
21.47%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
FSU
J. Boggs
(WR)
u37.5 Receiving Yards
37.30 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-28.82%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
FSU
J. Lopez
(WR)
u3.5 Receptions
3.43 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
14.95%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
FSU
J. Boggs
(WR)
u2.5 Receptions
2.41 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
13.51%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
FSU
M. Danzy
(WR)
u4.5 Receptions
4.36 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
4.11%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
FSU
A. Daniels
(QB)
o13.5 Carries
14.42 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
0.81%
EV
|
|||||||
|
COMPLETIONS
FSU
A. Daniels
(QB)
o17.5 Completions
18.50 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.0
DIFFERENCE
18.41%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Under is 5-0 in Panthers last 5 home games.
Over is 5-0 in Seminoles last 5 road games.
Panthers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 5-0 in Panthers last 5 games as a home favorite.
Over is 4-0 in Seminoles last 4 games overall.
Over is 4-0 in Seminoles last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 4-0 in Seminoles last 4 games as a road underdog.
Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.