UTSA vs Florida Atlantic Picks & Props
UTSA vs FAU Picks
NCAAF PicksI'm on the home team at +6 or better. UTSA's defense ranks 136th in passing explosiveness allowed since Week 5, which won't hold up against an FAU offense averaging 359.5 passing yards in that span.
The Owls are 7-1 O/U on the year, including a run of five consecutive Overs. The defense (134th in EPA per play and 137th in explosiveness allowed in their last four games) will be in over its head as always, while Caden Veltkamp, Easton Messer, and company take advantage of UTSA's secondary (119th in PFF's coverage grade).
FAU has topped this number in four of its last five games, with the lone miss coming against a triple option team (Army) that limits possessions. The Owls operate at the fastest tempo in the nation (21.0 seconds per snap) and have great efficiency numbers as well (ninth in standard downs success rate since Week 5).
For FAU to find the cover, it'll most likely have to rely on finding the end zone repeatedly. Since the defense hasn't proven capable of getting stops, surrendering 48+ points in three consecutive games, a high-scoring game from kickoff to conclusion seems likely.
UTSA vs FAU Consensus Picks
UTSA vs FAU Props
Recent Form Trends
Over is 5-0 in Owls last 5 games overall.
Over is 4-0 in Owls last 4 games as an underdog.
Over is 4-0 in Owls last 4 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Owls last 4 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 7-1 in Owls last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 6-1 in Owls last 7 games as a home underdog.
Owls are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Over is 4-0 in Owls last 4 conference games.