Buffalo vs Miami (OH) Picks & Props
BUFF vs M-OH Picks
NCAAF PicksBuffalo's Jason Wright averages 5.3 yards per attempt and has as many turnover-worthy passes (11) as big-time throws. A run-first approach can only go so far against a salty Miami front (17th in defensive line yards, 25th in stuff rate), holding opponents to 94.9 rushing yards per game on 3.3 yards per attempt. The RedHawks like to slow the tempo (118th in seconds per snap at 28.7), and per-play efficiency will be hard to come by against a tough Buffalo defense that has held each of its last five opponents below 345 total yards.
Caleb Heavner's lack of passing acumen makes Miami's offense one-dimensional, so I'm on Buffalo +6 or better. He's averaging just 6.0 yards per attempt with a 36.3% success rate and -3.14 CPOE, and the RedHawks have four consecutive concerning performances with him at the helm.
Things will get off to a tentative start as neither coaching staff trusts its inefficient passing attack. The run defenses will stand strong: Miami has held each of its last four opponents to 2.6 yards per rush or worse, while Buffalo has held each of its last four opponents below 4.0.
Miami hasn't accumulated 390 total yards in a game with Heavner at the help of the offense. The RedHawks have mostly been able to survive by the skin of their teeth otherwise, but things will be dicey in a low-scoring and tight first half.
BUFF vs M-OH Consensus Picks
BUFF vs M-OH Props
Recent Form Trends
Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Over is 5-0 in RedHawks last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf.
Over is 4-0 in RedHawks last 4 games following a straight up win.
Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Home team is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
RedHawks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite.
Over is 6-1 in RedHawks last 7 games as a home favorite.