Washington vs Purdue Picks & Props
WASH vs PUR Picks
NCAAF Picks
o23.5 Team Total (-120)
Purdue's defense is ranked 130th in net EPA per drive, and even with the QB uncertainty for Washington, I like its team total Over at 23.5 or better. The Huskies lean on their passing attack, and the Boilermakers are at their worst at stopping the pass, ranking 115th in pass success rate on defense (50%).
o51.5 (-115)
Purdue is 5-1 to the Over this season, and I like it to hit at 53.5 or better. The Boilermakers have one of the worst defenses in the country and won't be able to capitalize on Washington's offensive line issues (nor the Huskies' murky QB situation). The Boilermakers are tied for the sixth-fewest sacks in the P4 (7).
Washington has had an ugly start to the season, but I still like the Huskies to cover +3.5 or better. Purdue's defense is one of the worst in the country, ranking 128th in available yards percentage (60.2%). And against defenses ranked Top 40 by SP+, Purdue is 0-2 ATS. The Huskies' defense is ranked No. 32 by SP+.
Purdue hasn't been great against quality defenses. In two games against defenses ranked in the top 35 by SP+, the Boilermakers have lost by an average of 26.5 points. Washington's defense is ranked 32nd by SP+ and 26th nationally in net EPA per play. The Huskies should be able to score, too, with Purdue ranked 100th on defense by SP+.
WASH vs PUR Consensus Picks
WASH vs PUR Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PASSING YARDS
PUR
R. Browne
(QB)
u246.5 Passing Yards
235.48 UNDER
PROJECTION
-11.0
DIFFERENCE
20.87%
EV
|
|||||||
|
PASSING YARDS
WASH
E. Brown
(QB)
o244.5 Passing Yards
248.45 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.9
DIFFERENCE
-20.56%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
WASH
B. Bonner Jr.
(RB)
o63.5 Rushing Yards
76.03 OVER
PROJECTION
+12.5
DIFFERENCE
24.36%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
PUR
F. Ijeboi
(RB)
u94.5 Rushing Yards
94.02 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
WASH
B. Naone
(TE)
o24.5 Receiving Yards
31.10 OVER
PROJECTION
+6.6
DIFFERENCE
26.14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
PUR
C. Magwood
(WR)
o39.5 Receiving Yards
47.34 OVER
PROJECTION
+7.8
DIFFERENCE
25.9%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
WASH
D. Roebuck
(WR)
o64.5 Receiving Yards
78.51 OVER
PROJECTION
+14.0
DIFFERENCE
25.72%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
PUR
X. Townsend
(WR)
o39.5 Receiving Yards
50.99 OVER
PROJECTION
+11.5
DIFFERENCE
25.15%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
WASH
R. Williams
(WR)
o36.5 Receiving Yards
45.69 OVER
PROJECTION
+9.2
DIFFERENCE
24.29%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
WASH
C. Lawson
(WR)
o49.5 Receiving Yards
58.21 OVER
PROJECTION
+8.7
DIFFERENCE
23.96%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
WASH
D. DeGraaf
(TE)
o24.5 Receiving Yards
28.35 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.8
DIFFERENCE
20.11%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
PUR
A. Waseem
(WR)
o57.5 Receiving Yards
58.72 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.2
DIFFERENCE
3.46%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
WASH
B. Naone
(TE)
o1.5 Receptions
2.45 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.0
DIFFERENCE
11.92%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
PUR
C. Magwood
(WR)
o2.5 Receptions
3.52 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.0
DIFFERENCE
10.93%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
WASH
D. DeGraaf
(TE)
u2.5 Receptions
2.45 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
9.29%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
PUR
X. Townsend
(WR)
o3.5 Receptions
4.02 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
6.15%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
WASH
C. Lawson
(WR)
o3.5 Receptions
4.27 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
5.03%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
PUR
A. Waseem
(WR)
o3.5 Receptions
4.33 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
2.96%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
PUR
F. Ijeboi
(RB)
o1.5 Receptions
2.11 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-0.35%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
WASH
R. Williams
(WR)
o2.5 Receptions
3.20 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
-3.52%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
PUR
G. Burhenn
(TE)
o1.5 Receptions
1.51 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-20.96%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
PUR
F. Ijeboi
(RB)
o19.5 Carries
19.88 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.09%
EV
|
|||||||
|
COMPLETIONS
WASH
E. Brown
(QB)
u21.5 Completions
21.34 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
9.98%
EV
|
|||||||
|
COMPLETIONS
PUR
R. Browne
(QB)
o18.5 Completions
20.12 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.6
DIFFERENCE
9.36%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Over is 5-0 in Boilermakers last 5 home games.
Over is 5-0 in Boilermakers last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 6-0 in Boilermakers last 6 games on grass.
Over is 7-1 in Boilermakers last 8 games overall.
Over is 6-1 in Boilermakers last 7 games as an underdog.
Over is 5-0 in Boilermakers last 5 games following a straight up loss.
Under is 4-1 in Huskies last 5 road games.
Under is 5-1 in Boilermakers last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
ROI Trends
Check back shortly to see trends for each team.