Penn State vs Michigan Picks & Props
PSU vs MICH Picks
NCAAF Picks
PSU 1st Half +3.5 (-103)
With a lean toward the under and Penn State +6.5 for the full game, points should be at a premium in this matchup. Backing the Nittany Lions in the first half is well worth the squeeze. Penn State ranks 26th in first-half scoring, while Michigan sits 82nd, averaging just 11.6 first-half points.
Zero trust in Underwood. Penn State everything!
PSU +6.5 (-108)
Penn State has the offensive edge in this matchup, while Michigan continues to struggle to put games away. Bryce Underwood has thrown three interceptions over the Wolverines' last two losses, and their offense managed just 180 total yards against Minnesota. With a more efficient offense and plenty of room to compete, I'm backing the Nittany Lions to cover +6.5.
u42.5 (-111)
Penn State and Michigan are both desperate for a win, but their defensive units could make points hard to come by. The Wolverines rank second nationally in yards allowed per game, while both teams surrender fewer than 19 points per contest. With defenses leading the way, I'm backing the under 42.5.
With both teams boasting talented defenses, I lean toward the under in this matchup. It's also tough to back the favorite when its quarterback has been unreliable and continues to deal with turnover issues. The Nittany Lions are worth backing at +6.5, especially in a game that should feature plenty of defensive stops and limited scoring.
PSU vs MICH Consensus Picks
PSU vs MICH Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PASSING YARDS
R. Becht
(QB)
u199.5 Passing Yards
186.18 UNDER
PROJECTION
-13.3
DIFFERENCE
23%
EV
|
|||||||
|
PASSING YARDS
MICH
B. Underwood
(QB)
o174.5 Passing Yards
179.03 OVER
PROJECTION
+4.5
DIFFERENCE
9.31%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
PSU
J. Peoples
(RB)
o24.5 Rushing Yards
34.47 OVER
PROJECTION
+10.0
DIFFERENCE
27.2%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
MICH
B. Underwood
(QB)
o34.5 Rushing Yards
50.49 OVER
PROJECTION
+16.0
DIFFERENCE
27.04%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
PSU
C. Hansen
(RB)
o34.5 Rushing Yards
45.83 OVER
PROJECTION
+11.3
DIFFERENCE
26.59%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
MICH
S. Hiter
(RB)
o38.5 Rushing Yards
46.01 OVER
PROJECTION
+7.5
DIFFERENCE
23.79%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
MICH
J. Marshall
(RB)
o53.5 Rushing Yards
56.89 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.4
DIFFERENCE
20.65%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
MICH
H. Hansen
(TE)
o12.5 Receiving Yards
25.50 OVER
PROJECTION
+13.0
DIFFERENCE
26.21%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
MICH
A. Marsh
(WR)
o56.5 Receiving Yards
69.27 OVER
PROJECTION
+12.8
DIFFERENCE
25.29%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
MICH
J. Marshall
(RB)
o0.5 Receiving Yards
2.52 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.0
DIFFERENCE
25.25%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
PSU
B. Brahmer
(TE)
o25.5 Receiving Yards
31.81 OVER
PROJECTION
+6.3
DIFFERENCE
24.64%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
MICH
J. Buchanan
(WR)
o66.5 Receiving Yards
77.19 OVER
PROJECTION
+10.7
DIFFERENCE
24.3%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
PSU
A. Rappleyea
(TE)
o26.5 Receiving Yards
33.02 OVER
PROJECTION
+6.5
DIFFERENCE
24.02%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
PSU
B. Eskildsen
(WR)
o39.5 Receiving Yards
42.96 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.5
DIFFERENCE
17.54%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
PSU
C. Hansen
(RB)
o4.5 Receiving Yards
5.71 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.2
DIFFERENCE
16.32%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
PSU
C. Sowell
(WR)
o49.5 Receiving Yards
52.60 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.1
DIFFERENCE
8.39%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
MICH
A. Marsh
(WR)
u5.5 Receptions
4.94 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
9.07%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
MICH
J. Buchanan
(WR)
o4.5 Receptions
4.72 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
6.14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
MICH
H. Hansen
(TE)
o1.5 Receptions
1.99 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
5.85%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
PSU
B. Brahmer
(TE)
o2.5 Receptions
3.06 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
2.33%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
PSU
C. Sowell
(WR)
o3.5 Receptions
3.93 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.97%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
PSU
A. Rappleyea
(TE)
u3.5 Receptions
3.41 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-9.78%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
MICH
S. Hiter
(RB)
o9.5 Carries
10.70 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.2
DIFFERENCE
15.98%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
R. Becht
(QB)
o7.5 Carries
8.10 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
9.54%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
MICH
J. Marshall
(RB)
o11.5 Carries
11.80 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-3.58%
EV
|
|||||||
|
COMPLETIONS
MICH
B. Underwood
(QB)
u15.5 Completions
14.74 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
4.81%
EV
|
|||||||
|
COMPLETIONS
R. Becht
(QB)
u17.5 Completions
17.47 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-3.08%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Over is 5-0 in Nittany Lions last 5 games on fieldturf.
Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Over is 6-0 in Nittany Lions last 6 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 7-1 in Wolverines last 8 home games.
Under is 6-1 in Wolverines last 7 games as an underdog.
Under is 6-1 in Wolverines last 7 games as a home favorite.
Under is 4-1 in Wolverines last 5 games overall.
Under is 5-1 in Nittany Lions last 6 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
ROI Trends
Check back shortly to see trends for each team.