Kam Shanks Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Arkansas
K. Shanks
wide receiver WR • Arkansas
Missouri @ Arkansas Picks & Props
MIZZ vs ARK Picks
NCAAF Picks
MoneyLine
ARK (+120)
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst
Arkansas has been brutally unlucky, despite losing nine straight. Five of its last eight defeats have been by a field goal or less.
This is where they finally get over the hump. Missouri is coming off a grueling defeat to Oklahoma, and Beau Pribula isn't fully healthy. He's struggled in the second half of the season, and Missouri's passing attack has struggled as a result.
The Hogs rank 18th in EPA/rush and 14th in success rate, and can put up points on a Missouri defense that ranks middle of the pack in PPQD. The Tigers also rank 68th in line yards allowed per carry, and have been hurt at times by scrambling quarterbacks.
This Arkansas team hasn't quit, and this could be Bobby Petrino's final game at the helm. I'll back the home team to finally get the win it's deserved for a while.
Spread
MIZZ -2.5 (-118)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
Missouri under a field goal is a steal, with a top-15, schedule-controlling profile and an elite rush defense perfectly built to bottle up Arkansas' attack while Ahmad Hardy and the Tigers offense carve up a leaky Hogs defense over four quarters.
TD Passes
BP
Beau Pribula u1.5 TD Passes (-159)
Projection 1.2688 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Passing Yards
BP
Beau Pribula o187.5 Passing Yards (-113)
Projection 208.6013 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
KC
Kevin Coleman Jr. o59.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Projection 67.4201 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Rushing Yards
AH
Ahmad Hardy o115.5 Rushing Yards (-120)
Projection 123.3917 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
MIZZ vs ARK Consensus Picks
MIZZ vs ARK Props
Player
Prop
Season Avg.
Best Odds
O'Mega Blake Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Arkansas
O. Blake
wide receiver WR • Arkansas
CJ Brown Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Arkansas
C. Brown
wide receiver WR • Arkansas
Jude James Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Missouri
J. James
tight end TE • Missouri
Ahmad Hardy Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Missouri
A. Hardy
running back RB • Missouri
Joshua Manning Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Missouri
J. Manning
wide receiver WR • Missouri
Jaden Platt Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Arkansas
J. Platt
tight end TE • Arkansas
Mike Washington Jr. Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Arkansas
M. Washington Jr.
running back RB • Arkansas
Beau Pribula Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Missouri
B. Pribula
quarterback QB • Missouri
Jamal Roberts Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Missouri
J. Roberts
running back RB • Missouri
Taylen Green Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Arkansas
T. Green
quarterback QB • Arkansas
Marquis Johnson Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Missouri
M. Johnson
wide receiver WR • Missouri
Rohan Jones Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Arkansas
R. Jones
tight end TE • Arkansas
Donovan Olugbode Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Missouri
D. Olugbode
wide receiver WR • Missouri
Raylen Sharpe Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Arkansas
R. Sharpe
wide receiver WR • Arkansas
Marquise Davis Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Missouri
M. Davis
running back RB • Missouri
Brett Norfleet Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Missouri
B. Norfleet
tight end TE • Missouri
Kevin Coleman Jr. Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Missouri
K. Coleman Jr.
wide receiver WR • Missouri
KJ Jackson Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Arkansas
K. Jackson
quarterback QB • Arkansas
MIZZ vs ARK Trends
Missouri Trends
Missouri has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.70 Units / 40% ROI)
Missouri has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.00 Units / 5% ROI)
MIZZ
ARK
Missouri have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
MIZZ
ARK
Missouri has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 13 games (+1.20 Units / 2% ROI)
MIZZ
ARK
Missouri has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
Over
Under
Missouri has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.73 Units / 5% ROI)
Over
Under
Missouri has only hit the Team Total Over in 2 of their last 8 games (-4.85 Units / -53% ROI)
Missouri have only covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 13 games (-4.25 Units / -29% ROI)
MIZZ
ARK
Missouri has only hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 14 games (-2.80 Units / -18% ROI)
Over
Under
Missouri has not hit the 1H Game Total Over in any of their last 3 away games (-3.30 Units / -100% ROI)
Over
Under
Missouri has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 13 games (-2.65 Units / -17% ROI)
Over
Under
Missouri has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (-2.40 Units / -0% ROI)
MIZZ
ARK
Arkansas Trends
Arkansas have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 43% ROI)
MIZZ
ARK
Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.40 Units / 42% ROI)
Over
Under
Arkansas has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
Over
Under
Arkansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.85 Units / 34% ROI)
Over
Under
Arkansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.20 Units / 1% ROI)
MIZZ
ARK
Arkansas has only hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 12 games (-10.45 Units / -32% ROI)
MIZZ
ARK
Arkansas has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 13 games (-8.50 Units / -57% ROI)
Over
Under
Arkansas has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 13 games (-6.95 Units / -44% ROI)
Over
Under
Arkansas has only hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 13 games (-5.90 Units / -41% ROI)
Over
Under
Arkansas have only covered the Spread in 5 of their last 14 games (-4.90 Units / -32% ROI)
MIZZ
ARK
Arkansas have only covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 13 games (-4.80 Units / -30% ROI)
MIZZ
ARK
MIZZ vs ARK Top User Picks
Missouri Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MustangRally | 8-2-0 | +6900 |
| 2 | etrain25 | 9-1-0 | +5900 |
| 3 | Monsmon45 | 8-1-1 | +5400 |
| 4 | AlmightyDragon | 8-2-0 | +5350 |
| 5 | kaitospapa | 8-2-0 | +5250 |
| 6 | kowalabear | 9-1-0 | +5250 |
| 7 | redskins5 | 8-1-1 | +4900 |
| 8 | Come_On_Ref | 8-1-1 | +4400 |
| 9 | bigguy69 | 8-2-0 | +4250 |
| 10 | unique11 | 9-1-0 | +4200 |
| All Tigers Money Leaders | |||
Arkansas Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSL21 | 5-4-1 | +5200 |
| 2 | Squirrel74wkgn | 9-1-0 | +4850 |
| 3 | TDRO1 | 6-4-0 | +4650 |
| 4 | p_66 | 8-2-0 | +4400 |
| 5 | joe303 | 9-1-0 | +4350 |
| 6 | Lakerfan3232 | 8-2-0 | +4300 |
| 7 | Cubbybear21 | 5-5-0 | +4250 |
| 8 | april420 | 7-3-0 | +4250 |
| 9 | JCAV | 8-0-0 | +4000 |
| 10 | hotone | 7-3-0 | +3850 |
| All Razorbacks Money Leaders | |||