Taylen Green Pas and Rus Yards Props • Arkansas
T. Green
quarterback QB • Arkansas
Missouri @ Arkansas Picks & Props
MIZZ vs ARK Picks
NCAAF Picks
MoneyLine
ARK (+120)
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst
Arkansas has been brutally unlucky, despite losing nine straight. Five of its last eight defeats have been by a field goal or less.
This is where they finally get over the hump. Missouri is coming off a grueling defeat to Oklahoma, and Beau Pribula isn't fully healthy. He's struggled in the second half of the season, and Missouri's passing attack has struggled as a result.
The Hogs rank 18th in EPA/rush and 14th in success rate, and can put up points on a Missouri defense that ranks middle of the pack in PPQD. The Tigers also rank 68th in line yards allowed per carry, and have been hurt at times by scrambling quarterbacks.
This Arkansas team hasn't quit, and this could be Bobby Petrino's final game at the helm. I'll back the home team to finally get the win it's deserved for a while.
Spread
MIZZ -2.5 (-118)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
Missouri under a field goal is a steal, with a top-15, schedule-controlling profile and an elite rush defense perfectly built to bottle up Arkansas' attack while Ahmad Hardy and the Tigers offense carve up a leaky Hogs defense over four quarters.
MIZZ vs ARK Consensus Picks
MIZZ vs ARK Props
Player
Prop
Season Avg.
Best Odds
MIZZ vs ARK Trends
Missouri Trends
Missouri has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.70 Units / 40% ROI)
Missouri has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.00 Units / 5% ROI)
MIZZ
ARK
Missouri have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
MIZZ
ARK
Missouri has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 13 games (+1.20 Units / 2% ROI)
MIZZ
ARK
Missouri has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
Over
Under
Missouri has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.73 Units / 5% ROI)
Over
Under
Missouri has only hit the Team Total Over in 2 of their last 8 games (-4.85 Units / -53% ROI)
Missouri have only covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 13 games (-4.25 Units / -29% ROI)
MIZZ
ARK
Missouri has only hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 14 games (-2.80 Units / -18% ROI)
Over
Under
Missouri has not hit the 1H Game Total Over in any of their last 3 away games (-3.30 Units / -100% ROI)
Over
Under
Missouri has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 13 games (-2.65 Units / -17% ROI)
Over
Under
Missouri has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (-2.40 Units / -0% ROI)
MIZZ
ARK
Arkansas Trends
Arkansas have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 43% ROI)
MIZZ
ARK
Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.40 Units / 42% ROI)
Over
Under
Arkansas has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
Over
Under
Arkansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.85 Units / 34% ROI)
Over
Under
Arkansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.20 Units / 1% ROI)
MIZZ
ARK
Arkansas has only hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 12 games (-10.45 Units / -32% ROI)
MIZZ
ARK
Arkansas has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 13 games (-8.50 Units / -57% ROI)
Over
Under
Arkansas has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 13 games (-6.95 Units / -44% ROI)
Over
Under
Arkansas has only hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 13 games (-5.90 Units / -41% ROI)
Over
Under
Arkansas have only covered the Spread in 5 of their last 14 games (-4.90 Units / -32% ROI)
MIZZ
ARK
Arkansas have only covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 13 games (-4.80 Units / -30% ROI)
MIZZ
ARK