Free WNBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game May 17, 2026
LV
@
ATL
Sun, May 17 • 1:30 PM ET
Las Vegas is letting Carter cook when she’s on the court. Her usage rate is extremely high at 31.5%, and she ranks sixth in the league in terms of percentage of shots taken at 33.6%. Carter has scored at least 18 points in each of her last three games, and there’s no sign of her usage dipping anytime soon. Until I see a massive change in her scoring props, I’ll be taking the Over on Carter a lot moving forward.
Allisha Gray Score First Field Goal (Yes: +700)
Allisha Gray is a proven scorer who has averaged 15+ ppg in each of her last three seasons in Atlanta, and she’s off the mark fast in 2026, putting up 26 and 24 points in her first two games. Gray gets her hands on the ball during almost every possession, and leads the Dream in usage rate at 28.6%. She’s a bargain at +600 or better to score the first bucket of this game.
SEA
@
IND
Sun, May 17 • 6:00 PM ET
Caitlin Clark First Field Goal (Yes: +450)
With Dominique Malonga sidelined, Indiana should have the edge on the opening tip and the first possession of the game.
Caitlin Clark is also coming off a huge shooting performance, and Indiana will likely look to get her involved immediately against a shorthanded Seattle defense.
Whether it’s a quick pull-up three or an aggressive drive to the basket, Clark has a strong chance to score the game’s first points.
Caitlin Clark o20.5 Points Scored (-130)
Seattle’s perimeter defense has struggled early this season, allowing 48.4 points per game to opposing guards, which sets up well for a scorer and volume shooter like Clark.
The Fever are still searching for their first home win, and Clark should again carry a massive workload while playing at least 31 minutes per game.
We’re getting nearly even money for essentially her floor, and that value is difficult to pass up tonight.
CHI
@
MIN
Sun, May 17 • 7:00 PM ET
Natasha Howard o7.5 Total Rebounds (+120)
The Chicago Sky sport the lowest rebound percentage in the WNBA at a paltry 46%, and the visiting team has surrendered the third-most rebounds per game (35.3). With Napheesa Collier sidelined and Jessica Shepard and Alanna Smith in Dallas, Natasha Howard has emerged as Minnesota’s top rebounder at seven per tilt.
Among players with at least 25 minutes per game, Howard ranks 14th in total rebound percentage (12.8) and second in offensive rebound percentage (17.9). Howard’s rebound line comes in at 7.5 for +120 odds, and I like the value in this stellar matchup.
Kamilla Cardoso Score First Field Goal (Yes: +325)
Natasha Howard has lost three straight tips, and Kamilla Cardoso has won three straight. Cardoso has a five-inch height advantage that should result in the Sky getting the first possession again.
In each of Chicago’s first three games, Cardoso has attempted the first shot. She was fouled in the opener, blocked in the second game and missed a layup in her most recent outing. I’ll take Cardoso to finally connect on an opening bucket tonight after three close calls.
TOR
@
LA
Sun, May 17 • 7:00 PM ET
Kelsey Plum o30.5 Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists (+100)
Four-time All-Star Kelsey Plum is of to another fast start in 2026, averaging 26.3 points, 5.0 assists, and 1.7 rebounds per game for the Los Angeles Sparks. Plum has put up at least 25 points in each of her first three games this year, including in Friday’s win over the Toronto Tempo – Los Angeles’ first victory of the season. With another game against the Tempo on tap for Sunday, Plum should ride the efficient Sparks offense to the Over on her PRA total.
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