Dallas @ Indiana Picks & Props

Sophie Cunningham has gone past this number in four of her last six contests, including a 16-point effort in Saturday’s victory over the Chicago Sky, and she’s a steady third option next to Kelsey Mitchell and Aliyah Boston. The Dallas Wings defense could get even worse if Paige Bueckers (questionable) is ruled out, so I expect Cunningham to cash in.

Bueckers is the Wings' leading scorer (18.5 PPG) and is averaging 23.3 points per game on 53% shooting in her three appearances against Indiana. The Fever rank 11th across their previous five games in points in the paint (39.6) allowed and 36.4 points per game to forwards. Bueckers has cleared her scoring prop total in eight of her 10 previous contests. 

Indiana is 5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS in its last five games at Gainbridge, behind sharp ball movement and a defensive NET rating of 104.9 over its last 10. Dallas counters with Paige Bueckers, who has scored 20+ in each matchup with Indiana, but the Wings’ lower assist rate (17.8) and 11th-ranked defensive NET rating (106.6) leave them vulnerable on both ends of the floor. Even without Caitlin Clark in the lineup, Indiana is the better team, clipping Dallas in three straight, and should cover any number up to eight points comfortably.