New York @ Los Angeles picks

The Liberty have stayed under this number in five straight games, and their defensive integrity has picked up after a three-game spell to close out July, where they gave up 92+ in each game. The Sparks, while they've been winning with offense, have not played an elite defensive team in any of their last five games. I believe this number is a bit too high, so I'll take the Under in this spot. 

The Liberty boast the W’s fastest pace, and the Sparks rank fourth, meaning there should be plenty of scoring opportunities for Sabrina Ionescu. She’s averaging 18.6 points per game at home and 20.8 on the road, and she’s scored 20 or more points in 14 of 30 games, including both matchups with the Sparks.

Jonquel Jones has fallen short of this 15.5 O/U line in five of her past six games, and she only took 14 shots across the New York Liberty’s last two contests. The Los Angeles Sparks have decent size in the paint, led by the Dearica Hamby-Azura Stevens tag team, and they limited Jones to 14 points when the teams met in July. If L.A. can control the glass, it takes away the type of valuable second-chance opportunities that JJ thrives on.

The Over on 2.5 three-pointers offers nice value here, and Kelsey Plum has knocked down 3+ triples in six of her past nine contests while climbing to 37% from downtown this year. She made three of her six 3-pointers against the Liberty in last month’s matchup, and New York has looked a little more vulnerable defensively without Breanna Stewart.