Minnesota @ Dallas Picks & Props

Dereck Lively II has successfully made 86.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 15.5% more than he's sunk in all games this year. The 6th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). Dereck Lively II will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally raises player production for all stats.

When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should boost possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Mike Conley has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 14.4% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Compared to last year's 6.4 rate, Anthony Edwards's number of free throws has fallen this year to 4.1 free throws per game. Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, making it tough to get to the foul line. Anthony Edwards will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally lowers player performance across the board.

Among all players in the league, Rudy Gobert comes in at the 87th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 33.4 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should boost possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves. The matchup vs. Dereck Lively II is a favorable one for drawing fouls; when defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 3.8 free throws per game (89th percentile).

Julius Randle has tallied a mere 20.0 points per game this season, significantly lower than his 24.0 points per game last season. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). This year when they are on the road, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (3rd-fewest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, struggling to get to the free-throw line. Julius Randle stands to suffer a reduction in output in all stat categories on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

Naz Reid has successfully made 42.4% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 9.7% higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should boost possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Naz Reid has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 9.7% more than he's made in all games this year.

Out of all players in the league, Daniel Gafford registers in the 97th percentile for field goal effectiveness at home with an outstanding 73.0% rate this year. The 6th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). Daniel Gafford has attempted 5.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home. Daniel Gafford is expected to get a boost in effectiveness in all stat categories considering controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

P.J. Washington has converted 51.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 7.7% more than he's put through the net overall this year with the home court advantage. P.J. Washington has sunk 55.5% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games, 18.0% higher than he's sunk overall this year. P.J. Washington has averaged 31.1 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 79th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The 6th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Mavericks have been the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games at home in terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a hard one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SFs have compiled the 3rd-lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (40.6%). The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games, which should reduce possessions for the Dallas Mavericks. The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.4 free throws per game this year (10th-least in the league).

Jaden McDaniels has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (95th percentile). The matchup vs. Dallas is a tough one for 3-pointers; when the Dallas Mavericks are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the least shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (0.8). The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Jaden McDaniels will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens player performance across the board.

Kyrie Irving has attempted 16.2 field goals per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the league. Kyrie Irving has sunk 2.4 3-point shots per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 86th percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Kyrie Irving places in the 89th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 33.5 minutes per game playing at home this year. This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 2.6 3-pointers per game (4th-most in the league) against the Timberwolves, identifying this as a positive matchup. The 6th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

Luka Doncic has attempted 9.4 threes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 97th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic slots into the 93rd percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 34.8 minutes per game playing at home this year. The 6th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). Luka Doncic has attempted 6.9 free throws per game this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Donte DiVincenzo has gone over 8.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Maxi Kleber has gone over 1.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Spencer Dinwiddie has gone over 5.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Quentin Grimes has gone over 5.5 in 10 of his last 10 games.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has gone over 8.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Naji Marshall has gone over 5.5 in 10 of his last 10 games.