NBA Picks

Free NBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game March 12, 2026

Philadelphia 76ers logo PHI @ Detroit Pistons logo DET Thu, Mar 12 • 7:00 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Points Scored
Cameron Payne logo
Cameron Payne o12.5 Points Scored (-112)
Projection 15.48 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Cameron Payne has logged 12.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 more than he's logged overall this season.. The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court.. The matchup against the Pistons is a positive one; they have given up the 2nd-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs this year (21.2).. The 76ers have played at the 9th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.. This year, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 5.0 foul shots per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Detroit Pistons, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.
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Washington Wizards logo WAS @ Orlando Magic logo ORL Thu, Mar 12 • 7:00 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Total Assists
Jalen Suggs logo
Jalen Suggs u6.5 Total Assists (-125)
Projection 5.23 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Magic have played at the 7th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games at home.. Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Magic grade out 2ndworst in in the league while on their home court with only 8.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
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Phoenix Suns logo PHO @ Indiana Pacers logo IND Thu, Mar 12 • 7:00 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Andrew Nembhard logo
Andrew Nembhard u17.5 Points Scored (-115)
Projection 15.63 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have put up 12.2 points per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Suns, marking this as a challenging matchup for offensive output.. The Phoenix Suns have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Indiana Pacers.. Offensive rebounds save possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 8.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 2.1 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Suns, struggling to draw fouls.
3-Pointers Made
Andrew Nembhard logo
Andrew Nembhard u1.5 3-Pointers Made (+125)
Projection 1.46 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The matchup vs. Phoenix is a difficult one for 3-point shots; when the Suns are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PGs have tallied the least 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (1.6).. The Phoenix Suns have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Indiana Pacers.. Offensive rebounds save possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 8.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
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Brooklyn Nets logo BK @ Atlanta Hawks logo ATL Thu, Mar 12 • 7:30 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Nic Claxton logo
Nic Claxton o11.5 Points Scored (-109)
Projection 13.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Nets check in as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc.. The Hawks have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Brooklyn Nets.
Points Scored
Jalen Johnson logo
Jalen Johnson u23.5 Points Scored (-109)
Projection 21.33 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have logged 11.4 points per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Brooklyn Nets, designating this as a difficult matchup for offensive efficiency.. The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Atlanta Hawks.. The Hawks have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).. The matchup against Brooklyn is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 1.9 foul shots per game this year when the Nets are the visiting squad (least in the league).
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Milwaukee Bucks logo MIL @ Miami Heat logo MIA Thu, Mar 12 • 7:30 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Giannis Antetokounmpo logo
Giannis Antetokounmpo o25.5 Points Scored (-112)
Projection 28.66 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
With respect to treys, the Bucks's superb 38.7% rate of converted threes places 2nd-best in the NBA this year.. The matchup against Miami is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Miami Heat are on their home court, opposing starting PFs have put up the highest 3-point rate in the league this year (46.4%).. The Bucks are expected to see an increase in plays today from sharing the court with the fastest tempo team in the league this year (the Heat).
Points Scored
Tyler Herro logo
Tyler Herro u23.5 Points Scored (-114)
Projection 21.39 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Heat will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).
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Dallas Mavericks logo DAL @ Memphis Grizzlies logo MEM Thu, Mar 12 • 8:00 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 2 Computer Picks
Spread
Dallas Mavericks logo DAL -5.0 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

Memphis has lost five straight and will be missing as many as six regulars Thursday against Dallas

Points Scored
JW
Jaylen Wells u16.5 Points Scored (-105)
Projection 15.05 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
In regard to shooting, the Memphis Grizzlies's poor 46.3% field goal percentage rates 9th-worst in the league this year.. The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a hard one; they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SFs over the last 15 games (11.4).. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 1.6 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.
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Denver Nuggets logo DEN @ San Antonio Spurs logo SA Thu, Mar 12 • 9:00 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 6 Computer Picks
Spread
San Antonio Spurs logo SA -5.5 (-118)
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 hours ago
Trevor Knapp image
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor

San Antonio is 9-1 SU over its last 10 and has taken four of the last five head-to-head meetings against Denver. With the Nuggets on the second leg of a back-to-back, back the Spurs to cover at home.

Points Scored
Cameron Johnson logo
Cameron Johnson o8.5 Points Scored (-106)
Projection 11.84 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Nuggets check in as the highest scoring offense in the league when playing away from home this year.. The 3rd-fastest pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets.. The Spurs have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to more opportunities for the Nuggets.. The matchup vs. San Antonio is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a whopping 3.5 foul shots per game this year when the Spurs are playing at home (6th-most in the NBA).
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Boston Celtics logo BOS @ Oklahoma City Thunder logo OKC Thu, Mar 12 • 9:30 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 4 Computer Picks
Total Rebounds
Neemias Queta logo Neemias Queta o8.5 Total Rebounds (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Zak Hanshew image
Zak Hanshew
Betting Analyst

Neemias Queta is grabbing a career-high 8.3 rebounds per game, and he’s corralled at least nine in 23 appearances and exactly eight in 10 more. Quetta has averaged just 7.5 rebounds against Eastern Conference opponents but a whopping 9.6 against the West.

Over the last four games with Isaiah Hartenstein out or limited, the Oklahoma City Thunder have surrendered the second-most rebounds. Hartenstein is out again, and Queta should stay hot in this advantageous matchup after grabbing 9+ boards in two of his last three outings overall and three of his last six on the road.

Points Scored
Cason Wallace logo
Cason Wallace u8.5 Points Scored (-102)
Projection 7.23 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The matchup against Boston is a difficult one for field goals; when the Boston Celtics are away from home, opposing starting SGs have shot for the 4th-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (38.1%).. The 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Thunder.. The Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should decrease plays for the Thunder.. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).. The matchup against the Celtics is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 2.0 foul shots per game this year (6th-least in the league).
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Chicago Bulls logo CHI @ Los Angeles Lakers logo LAL Thu, Mar 12 • 10:30 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 5 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Matas Buzelis logo Matas Buzelis o18.5 Points Scored (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Zak Hanshew image
Zak Hanshew
Betting Analyst

Matas Buzelis posted a career-best 41 points on Tuesday against the Golden State Warriors, but I’m not chasing points after one big game. The second-year man has averaged 24 points across his last six outings, scoring 20+ in all five games in which he logged at least 30 minutes. 

In 35 games with 30+ minutes, he’s averaged 19 points, compared to just a 12-point average in games with fewer than 30 minutes. Buzelis averaged just 14.8 points across the first 50 games of the season, but he’s averaged 19.4 across his last 14.

Points Scored
Luke Kennard logo
Luke Kennard u10.5 Points Scored (-105)
Projection 8.11 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Lakers have played at the 8th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 10 games.. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers rank 1stworst in in the NBA with just 8.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
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