Free NBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game April 19, 2026
PHO
@
OKC
Sun, Apr 19 • 3:30 PM ET
OKC -13.0 (-110)
Oklahoma City had the best defensive rating in the NBA and allowed the second-fewest points per game in the league, despite not playing at an exceedingly slow pace. The Thunder essentially took the last week of the regular season off, benching 10 rotation players. That means a team that struggled with injury all year has had 11 days of rest.
ORL
@
DET
Sun, Apr 19 • 6:30 PM ET
Paolo Banchero o33.5 Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists (-115)
Banchero averaged 35.8 PRA for the season and surpassed his total for tonight’s game in four of his last five regular season games, including a 31-point, 37 PRA performance against the Detroit Pistons earlier this month. He'll need to put up similar performances for the Orlando Magic to have a chance in this series, and I expect the team to lean on their star starting tonight.
Ausar Thompson o17.5 Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists (-105)
Thompson’s stock went up in the 2025 postseason after a feisty effort guarding Jalen Brunson, and he could hit new heights in these playoffs, especially in an opening matchup that plays to his strengths. With averages of 9.9 PPG, 5.7 RPG and 3.1 APG this year, Thompson is already on pace to hit this combo Over as one of the Pistons’ key engines. He’s gone past this number in five of his past eight contests — and, if anything, his minutes should climb in more meaningful games. Thompson posted a 9-11-3 line against Orlando in March, so don’t be surprised if he has his fingerprints all over Game 1.
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POR
@
SA
Sun, Apr 19 • 9:00 PM ET
De'Aaron Fox o1.5 3-Pointers Made (-120)
We saw De'Aaron Fox shoot more freely from deep in the final few games of the season, hitting 2+ from beyond the arc in each of his last three games. And with the Portland Trail Blazers certain to focus their defensive efforts on not letting Wembanyama beat them singlehandedly, that should make it easier for Fox to get open and continue firing away from deep.
Victor Wembanyama o12.5 Total Rebounds (+105)
Wemby finished the regular season strong on the boards collecting 13+ rebounds in seven of his last eight contests. There’s no reason to expect anything less from the 22-year-old now that the Spurs are pushing to make a deep playoff run, especially since he'll likely play far more than the 29.2 minutes per game he averaged this season.
ATL
@
NY
Mon, Apr 20 • 8:00 PM ET
Dyson Daniels o11.5 Rebounds and Assists (-120)
Dyson Daniels enjoyed a second straight productive season with the Hawks, logging 33.2 minutes across 76 appearances while averaging career highs with 6.8 rebounds and 5.9 assists.
The do-it-all Australian cleared his combo line in 48 of 76 games, good for 63.2%. His implied probability to clear it again means his odds should be priced closer to -170 than -120, offering a solid value.
In four games against New York (regular and postseason), Daniels finished with assist+rebound totals of 20, 15, 14, and 17. He easily topped 11.5 in all four games, and he’ll need to be at his best to help his team compete for a win and split the first-round series heading back home.
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