NBA Picks

Free NBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game March 6, 2026

Dallas Mavericks logo DAL @ Boston Celtics logo BOS Fri, Mar 6 • 7:00 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Points Scored
Naji Marshall logo
Naji Marshall u14.5 Points Scored (-121)
Projection 12.59 (Under)
Best Odds
u14.5 -121 Caesars
Pick made: 43 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
u14.5  -128
 -
u14.5  -121
The Celtics have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.. Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 4thworst in in the NBA while playing away from home with only 9.3 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
-121 at Caesars
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Miami Heat logo MIA @ Charlotte Hornets logo CHA Fri, Mar 6 • 7:00 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Total Assists
Tyler Herro logo
Tyler Herro o3.5 Total Assists (+138)
Projection 4.24 (Over)
Best Odds
o2.5 -275 BetMGM
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
o3.5  +123
o3.5  +130
o3.5  +138
o2.5  -275
o3.5  +130
The Miami Heat have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.. The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
-275 at BetMGM
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Portland Trail Blazers logo POR @ Houston Rockets logo HOU Fri, Mar 6 • 8:00 PM ET
4 Computer Picks
3-Pointers Made
Scoot Henderson logo
Scoot Henderson u1.5 3-Pointers Made (+130)
Projection 1.33 (Under)
Best Odds
u1.5 +130 FanDuel
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u1.5  -121
u1.5  +115
u1.5  +130
 -
u1.5  +118
The Trail Blazers have been the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league on the road this year.. The Portland Trail Blazers are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-slowest tempo offense in the league this year (the Rockets).
+130 at FanDuel
Total Assists
Scoot Henderson logo
Scoot Henderson u4.5 Total Assists (+122)
Projection 3.98 (Under)
Best Odds
u4.5 +122 FanDuel
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u4.5  -130
u4.5  -120
u4.5  +122
 -
u4.5  +117
The Portland Trail Blazers are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-slowest tempo offense in the league this year (the Rockets).
+122 at FanDuel
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LA Clippers logo LAC @ San Antonio Spurs logo SA Fri, Mar 6 • 9:30 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Total Rebounds
De'Aaron Fox logo
De'Aaron Fox o3.5 Total Rebounds (+125)
Projection 4.1 (Over)
Best Odds
o3.5 +125 bet365
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
o3.5  +125
o3.5  +114
 -
o3.5  +113
The Spurs have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games as the home team.. The Spurs check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
+125 at bet365
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Indiana Pacers logo IND @ Los Angeles Lakers logo LAL Fri, Mar 6 • 10:30 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Luka Doncic logo
Luka Doncic u33.5 Points Scored (-114)
Projection 30.63 (Under)
Best Odds
u33.5 -114 FanDuel
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u31.5  -111
u32.5  -110
u33.5  -114
 -
u33.5  -121
This year, opposing starting PGs have tallied 4.6 3-point attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Pacers, resulting in a tough matchup.. The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with only 8.6 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.. Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 3.5 foul shots per game (5th-fewest in the league) against the Indiana Pacers, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.
-114 at FanDuel
3-Pointers Made
Luka Doncic logo
Luka Doncic u3.5 3-Pointers Made (+112)
Projection 3.13 (Under)
Best Odds
u3.5 +112 FanDuel
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u3.5  -124
u3.5  -110
u3.5  +112
 -
u3.5  +105
This year, opposing starting PGs have tallied 4.6 3-point attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Pacers, resulting in a tough matchup.. The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with only 8.6 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
+112 at FanDuel
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