Free NBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game April 30, 2026
NY
@
ATL
Thu, Apr 30 • 7:00 PM ET
OG Anunoby o7.5 Total Rebounds (+110)
So far, OG Anunoby hasn’t had fewer than eight rebounds in a game in the series, grabbing 10 in both Game 4 and Game 5. With Anunoby playing more in the postseason and Atlanta's struggles on the boards, I like him to continue that production and help lead the Knicks into the next round.
Karl-Anthony Towns o22.5 Points and Assists (-112)
Karl-Anthony Towns scored 14 points in the first half of Game 5 and the Hawks had no answer for the Knicks 7-footer. Then he managed only two more points in the 2H, as he logged limited minutes in the blowout. KAT continues to grow as a playmaker out of the high post, dishing out 16 total assists the past two contests. With Game 6 expected to be tighter, Towns logs major minutes and packs the box score with points and assists, going Over his combo prop of 22.5 O/U.
BOS
@
PHI
Thu, Apr 30 • 8:00 PM ET
BOS -5.5 (-120)
The Celtics have consistently bounced back in a big way, and that trend is hard to ignore here. They went an NBA-best 18-8 ATS after a loss during the regular season and are 8-2 ATS in that spot more recently. During their 2024 Finals run, they answered each defeat with wins by 20, 13 and 18 points. They’ve already dominated the Sixers twice in this series, and with Philly struggling to string together playoff wins in recent years, another letdown feels likely.
PHI +6.5 (-106)
We’re not asking for a win here—just for the Sixers to cover +6.5, which I believe is too many points. I make them closer to a 4-point underdog in this spot. Not only is Joel Embiid back, but he played 39 minutes in a game they won by 16, so this isn’t a minutes-restricted version of Embiid. He’s the key to this matchup when it comes to covering the spread. Neemias Queta is an elite shot-blocker and rim protector, but stepping out on the perimeter and dealing with Embiid’s pump fakes and post moves—where he excels at drawing fouls—is a completely different challenge. His backup, Nikola Vučević, is more of a drop defender, which is a tough matchup against Embiid. We know Tyrese Maxey and VJ Edgecombe will use their speed to pressure the Celtics’ defense, but having a fully healthy Embiid is the biggest factor in covering this number.
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DEN
@
MIN
Thu, Apr 30 • 9:30 PM ET
Jamal Murray o37.5 Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists (-115)
Over the first five games of the series, Jamal Murray is averaging 26.0 points, 6.0 assists, and 4.8 rebounds per game, and outside of a dip in Game 3, his numbers have been similar every night. With Minnesota dealing with injuries to Anthony Edwards and others, the Nuggets should put up big numbers tonight, and Murray will be at the center of the action.
Nikola Jokic u29.5 Points Scored (-112)
Nikola Jokic has yet to score more than 27 points in a game in this series, and with the Timberwolves needing to find their most aggressive defense of the series in this Game 6, there is no reason to think Jokic is suddenly going to find the energy reserves to score 30.
CLE
@
TOR
Fri, May 1 • 7:30 PM ET
Evan Mobley o16.5 Points Scored (-110)
The Cavs made an effort to feed Evan Mobley the ball in the second half of Game 5 and he scored 16 of his 23 points in those final two quarters. Toronto's frontcourt is limping into Game 6 with Barnes and Ingram hobbled. The Raptors frontcourt is running out of options against the versatile Mobley, who is projected for as many as 18 points. I believe his ceiling is much high considering the focused effort to feed the bigs and the injuries to Toronto's defenders.
The Cavaliers came out feeding their big men in the second half of Game 5. Toronto doesn’t have the bodies to battle that halfcourt attack, which will slow the pace of this game. The Raptors offense will also be disjointed with Brandon Ingram potentially out and Scottie Barnes limping around the court, unable to create his own shot.
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