The NBA championship odds saw yet another massive shakeup this morning, when the Minnesota Timberwolves dealt Naz Reid and a plethora of NBA draft picks for LaMelo Ball, who will play alongside Anthony Edwards.
This move has increased the Timberwolves' NBA championship odds to 8% (+1150), but where does that slot them among other contenders?
Let's take a look.
NBA Championship odds 2026-27
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of Covers' most trusted prediction market apps.
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Timberwolves NBA title odds at a glance
 |
Win Probability | |
|---|---|---|
 Timberwolves |
+1150 | 8% |
The LaMelo Ball trade moves the Timberwolves into a top 6 spot on the odds board, and their 8% win probability matches that of the Miami Heat, who just traded for Giannis Antetokounmpo.
Minnesota needed to make a move after trading Julius Randle, as reports came out that Anthony Edwards was frustrated with how things were going since the trade of Karl-Anthony Towns.
This move shows Edwards the Timberwolves are serious about building around him, and it gives them a true ball handler who can ease the brunt of the scoring off Ant much better than Randle could over the last two years.
Minnesota was spinning its tires, and our NBA expert Joe Osborne said it best: why not?
Worth the risk for the TWolves who needed a shakeup. https://t.co/jdrQY6v9jQ pic.twitter.com/2SoMjGNvfI
— Joe Osborne (@JTFOz) June 25, 2026
Only time will tell if that risk pays off...
Timberwolves projected starting lineup
| Position | Player |
|---|---|
| Point guard | LaMelo Ball |
| Shooting guard | Anthony Edwards |
| Small forward | Ayo Dosunmu |
| Power forward | Jaden McDaniels |
| Center | Rudy Gobert |
The headline of this starting lineup is clearly the backcourt. Ant and Melo instantly become one of the toughest duos to handle for opposing guards.
Their length and shooting ability give them a variety of ways to burn you. The only thing that may hold them back is Melo's inefficiency, but at some point, he has to mature. This is the best team Melo has played on at the pro level, and it may be what he needs to start taking this shit more seriously.
Outside of those two, Minnesota looks like a nightmare to play against defensively. McDaniels and Gobert will be key pieces defensively, and they won't be needed as much on offense with two killers on the team.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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