LA @ Phoenix Picks & Props
LAC vs PHO Picks
NBA Picks
Derrick Jones Jr.’s points prop has climbed from 11.5 to 13.5 since early this morning, but even at 13.5 (-105) for the Over, there’s still a small edge, as I believe the price should be closer to -125. There’s plenty of usage available in the Clippers’ offense tonight with Kawhi Leonard and James Harden sidelined, but what really boosts my confidence in Jones Jr. is his defensive role. Most of the Suns’ offense runs through their backcourt of Devin Booker and Jalen Green, so the Clippers will rely heavily on Jones Jr.’s perimeter defense — which should translate to increased minutes and more scoring opportunities.
Ivica Zubac is trading at -115 for the Over 2.5 assists at BetRivers, and I believe that price should be closer to -140. With Kawhi Leonard and James Harden sitting out for load management, the offense is definitely going to run through Zubac more frequently. While the sportsbooks are aware those two are out, I don’t think they’ve fully adjusted Zubac’s assist line to reflect his increased playmaking opportunities.
Mark Williams is a dominant figure at 7-foot-1, and he’s exactly what the Suns needed at the five. The Duke product is averaging 10.0 rebounds through seven games, giving Phoenix a reliable piece on the glass.
Bogdanovic has yet to cash the Over in points this season, even putting up a goose egg in his season debut across 21 minutes of action.
The Phoenix Suns may not be a legitimate contender out West, but they definitely have a special player in Devin Booker. The Kentucky product is showing out so far this season, averaging 31 points, 7.0 assists, and 3.9 rebounds per night.
LAC vs PHO Consensus Picks
65% picking Phoenix
Total Picks LAC 289, PHO 543
71% picking L.A. Clippers vs Phoenix to go Over
Total PicksLAC 443, PHO 182
LAC vs PHO Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
POINTS SCORED
RD
Ryan Dunn
(SF)
o8.5 Points Scored
10.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.8
DIFFERENCE
23.09%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Jalen Green
(SG)
o13.5 Points Scored
15.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.4
DIFFERENCE
22.01%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Nicolas Batum
(PF)
o5.5 Points Scored
7.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.7
DIFFERENCE
19.36%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Ivica Zubac
(C)
u17.5 Points Scored
16.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.1
DIFFERENCE
15.8%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Derrick Jones Jr.
(SF)
o12.5 Points Scored
14.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.5
DIFFERENCE
11.25%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Grayson Allen
(SG)
u14.5 Points Scored
12.9 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.6
DIFFERENCE
10.43%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Royce O'Neale
(SF)
o9.5 Points Scored
10.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
9.02%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Devin Booker
(SG)
u27.5 Points Scored
26.6 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.9
DIFFERENCE
6.49%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Collin Gillespie
(PG)
o9.5 Points Scored
10.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
4.03%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Kris Dunn
(PG)
o9.5 Points Scored
9.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
3.2%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Bradley Beal
(SG)
u14.5 Points Scored
14.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.0
DIFFERENCE
-1.5%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
John Collins
(PF)
u17.5 Points Scored
17.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-2.42%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Mark Williams
(C)
o13.5 Points Scored
13.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-6.12%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
RD
Ryan Dunn
(SF)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
5.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.0
DIFFERENCE
18.42%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Ivica Zubac
(C)
o10.5 Total Rebounds
12.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.5
DIFFERENCE
12.95%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Devin Booker
(SG)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
4.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
12.09%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Bradley Beal
(SG)
o1.5 Total Rebounds
2.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
10.68%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Kris Dunn
(PG)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
4.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
8.05%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Mark Williams
(C)
u10.5 Total Rebounds
9.7 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
6.96%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Collin Gillespie
(PG)
o2.5 Total Rebounds
3.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
2.38%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
John Collins
(PF)
o6.5 Total Rebounds
7.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
1.11%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Royce O'Neale
(SF)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
5.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-2.75%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Derrick Jones Jr.
(SF)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
3.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-3.39%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Grayson Allen
(SG)
u3.5 Total Rebounds
3.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-4.36%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Nicolas Batum
(PF)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
3.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.0
DIFFERENCE
-4.79%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Jalen Green
(SG)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
3.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-13.99%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
RD
Ryan Dunn
(SF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.0
DIFFERENCE
9.6%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Royce O'Neale
(SF)
o2.5 3-Pointers Made
2.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
9.54%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Nicolas Batum
(PF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
7.51%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Jalen Green
(SG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
2.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
7.12%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Collin Gillespie
(PG)
u2.5 3-Pointers Made
2.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
1.78%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Kris Dunn
(PG)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-6.35%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
John Collins
(PF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-8.29%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Bradley Beal
(SG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.0
DIFFERENCE
-9.37%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Devin Booker
(SG)
u2.5 3-Pointers Made
2.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.0
DIFFERENCE
-9.54%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Grayson Allen
(SG)
o2.5 3-Pointers Made
2.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-9.65%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Derrick Jones Jr.
(SF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.5 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-12.82%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Nicolas Batum
(PF)
u1.5 Total Assists
1.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
19.01%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Ivica Zubac
(C)
u3.5 Total Assists
2.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.0
DIFFERENCE
16.63%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Collin Gillespie
(PG)
o3.5 Total Assists
4.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.3
DIFFERENCE
14.04%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Bradley Beal
(SG)
u3.5 Total Assists
2.9 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
13.19%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
RD
Ryan Dunn
(SF)
o1.5 Total Assists
1.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.0
DIFFERENCE
7.88%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Mark Williams
(C)
o1.5 Total Assists
2.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
5.97%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Derrick Jones Jr.
(SF)
u1.5 Total Assists
1.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
4.2%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
John Collins
(PF)
u1.5 Total Assists
1.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.0
DIFFERENCE
2.37%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Royce O'Neale
(SF)
o2.5 Total Assists
3.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
2.08%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Kris Dunn
(PG)
u3.5 Total Assists
3.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
0.86%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Jalen Green
(SG)
o2.5 Total Assists
3.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
0.53%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Grayson Allen
(SG)
u3.5 Total Assists
3.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-2.24%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Devin Booker
(SG)
u7.5 Total Assists
7.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-2.9%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
LAC vs PHO Trends
LAC vs PHO Top User Picks
L.A. Clippers Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | fat italian | 4-6-0 | +10150 |
| 2 | CoachBlue | 7-3-0 | +9550 |
| 3 | buffalo2007 | 6-4-0 | +8850 |
| 4 | CJONES1068 | 8-2-0 | +8800 |
| 5 | hobo | 8-2-0 | +8600 |
| 6 | FoxyFoxes | 6-4-0 | +8500 |
| 7 | Technique | 6-4-0 | +7500 |
| 8 | Sakusa | 6-4-0 | +7250 |
| 9 | kingjames5 | 10-0-0 | +6950 |
| 10 | jnc3lb | 7-3-0 | +6800 |
| All Clippers Money Leaders | |||
Phoenix Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | whosat | 5-5-0 | +12850 |
| 2 | ThreeTops | 6-4-0 | +10900 |
| 3 | HOTTIE | 5-5-0 | +9750 |
| 4 | rhythmpants | 9-1-0 | +9000 |
| 5 | reddog6008 | 6-4-0 | +8400 |
| 6 | cashbb1030 | 4-6-0 | +8300 |
| 7 | Geo Lazos | 6-4-0 | +8300 |
| 8 | knuckleheadsmiths | 7-3-0 | +8150 |
| 9 | Leonoodle | 6-4-0 | +7800 |
| 10 | SportsFreak69 | 7-3-0 | +7750 |
| All Suns Money Leaders | |||