Minnesota @ Oklahoma City picks

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averaged just 1.4 triples in 12 playoff games and hit the Over on this line five times. He nailed multiple triples in 48 of 76 regular season games, including an average of 2.5 in four matchups with the Wolves in which he hit the Over three times. SGA failed to convert any of his four 3-point attempts in Game 1, but I expect an improved performance and additional attempts in Game 2. Minnesota is middle-of-the-pack in opponent 3-point percentage and opponent 3-point makes in the postseason, so the matchup certainly isn’t scary.

Out of all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert places in the 88th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 32.5 minutes per game this year.. The matchup with Isaiah Hartenstein rates in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs posting an enormous 14.0 points per game this year.. The Timberwolves will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).. The Timberwolves rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).. The clash with Isaiah Hartenstein with respect to getting to the charity stripe slots into only the 100th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs attempting a whopping 4.1 free throws per game this year.

Jaden McDaniels has made 53.6% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 5.8% more than he's converted overall this year.. Among all players in the NBA, Jaden McDaniels places in the 86th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 32.1 minutes per game this year.. The Timberwolves will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).. The Timberwolves rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).. Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year away from his home court.

Julius Randle has put up 5.3 defensive rebounds per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- among the best in the league by this metric.. Julius Randle has played 38.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 higher than he's played in all games this season.. The Timberwolves will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).. The Timberwolves rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Isaiah Hartenstein has tallied a terrific 7.4 defensive rebounds per game this season, significantly higher than his 4.9 defensive rebounds per game last season.. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 15 games playing at home.. Isaiah Hartenstein will likely see a rise in effectiveness across the board due to enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Out of all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert places in the 88th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 32.5 minutes per game this year.. The Timberwolves will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).. The Timberwolves rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).