LIVE 07:53 1st Dec 11
ATL 4 8.0 o238.0
NY 11 -8.0 u238.0
GS 2.5 o222.5
HOU -2.5 u222.5
Dallas 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE16-9
Golden State 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE14-9

Dallas @ Golden State props

Chase Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

De'Anthony Melton Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Melton
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, De'Anthony Melton comes in at the 8th percentile for field goal effectiveness with a subpar 36.4% rate since the start of last season. The Golden State Warriors are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 3rd-slowest tempo away offense in the NBA this year (the Dallas Mavericks). De'Anthony Melton has attempted 0.0 foul shots per game with the home court advantage since the start of last season, putting him in the 17th percentile among all players in the league. With respect to getting to the free-throw line, the Golden State Warriors's poor 19.9 foul shot attempts per game while on their home court places 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season. Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, making it tough to get to the foul line.

De'Anthony Melton

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.6
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.6

Among all players in the NBA, De'Anthony Melton comes in at the 8th percentile for field goal effectiveness with a subpar 36.4% rate since the start of last season. The Golden State Warriors are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 3rd-slowest tempo away offense in the NBA this year (the Dallas Mavericks). De'Anthony Melton has attempted 0.0 foul shots per game with the home court advantage since the start of last season, putting him in the 17th percentile among all players in the league. With respect to getting to the free-throw line, the Golden State Warriors's poor 19.9 foul shot attempts per game while on their home court places 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season. Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, making it tough to get to the foul line.

Trayce Jackson-Davis Points Scored Props • Golden State

T. Jackson-Davis
center C • Golden State
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

Trayce Jackson-Davis has made 67.7% of his field goals when playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 97th percentile among all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Trayce Jackson-Davis rates in the 19th percentile for personal fouls, registering a mere 1.3 fouls per game this year. When facing fellow starting Cs, Daniel Gafford slots into the 91st percentile with an enormous 12.7 shots from the field against him per game this year. The 7th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Warriors. The Warriors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Trayce Jackson-Davis

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.1
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.1

Trayce Jackson-Davis has made 67.7% of his field goals when playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 97th percentile among all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Trayce Jackson-Davis rates in the 19th percentile for personal fouls, registering a mere 1.3 fouls per game this year. When facing fellow starting Cs, Daniel Gafford slots into the 91st percentile with an enormous 12.7 shots from the field against him per game this year. The 7th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Warriors. The Warriors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props • Golden State

A. Wiggins
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds
Under
-115

Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting SFs have put up 11.4 points per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, identifying this as a difficult matchup for offensive output. The Golden State Warriors are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 3rd-slowest tempo away offense in the NBA this year (the Dallas Mavericks). With respect to getting to the free-throw line, the Golden State Warriors's poor 19.9 foul shot attempts per game while on their home court places 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season. The matchup against Dallas is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 1.6 free throws per game this year when the Mavericks are the visiting squad (2nd-least in the NBA).

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14

Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting SFs have put up 11.4 points per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, identifying this as a difficult matchup for offensive output. The Golden State Warriors are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 3rd-slowest tempo away offense in the NBA this year (the Dallas Mavericks). With respect to getting to the free-throw line, the Golden State Warriors's poor 19.9 foul shot attempts per game while on their home court places 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season. The matchup against Dallas is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 1.6 free throws per game this year when the Mavericks are the visiting squad (2nd-least in the NBA).

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.5
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
24.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.5
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Stephen Curry has tallied 26.0 points per game since the start of last season, ranking him among the best players in the league by this metric: 97th percentile. Among all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry rates in the 100th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, registering 11.5 per game since the start of last season. Among all players in the league, Stephen Curry lands in the 82nd percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 32.8 minutes per game while on his home court since the start of last season. The matchup vs. Dallas is a positive one for three-point shots; when the Mavericks are away from home, opposing starting PGs have totaled the 9th-most threes per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The 7th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Warriors.

Stephen Curry

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.5
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.5

Stephen Curry has tallied 26.0 points per game since the start of last season, ranking him among the best players in the league by this metric: 97th percentile. Among all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry rates in the 100th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, registering 11.5 per game since the start of last season. Among all players in the league, Stephen Curry lands in the 82nd percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 32.8 minutes per game while on his home court since the start of last season. The matchup vs. Dallas is a positive one for three-point shots; when the Mavericks are away from home, opposing starting PGs have totaled the 9th-most threes per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The 7th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Warriors.

Luka Dončić Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Dončić
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
31.3
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
28.5 Points Scored
Projection
31.3
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic measures in the 100th percentile for 3-pointers hit without the home court advantage, posting 4.2 per game since the start of last season. Luka Doncic has averaged 37.5 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 99th percentile. In regard to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's fantastic 117.4 points per game places 6th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. This year, the other team's starting PGs have shot 38.4% on 3-pointers (6th-highest in the NBA) against the Warriors, marking this as a strong matchup. The Warriors have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should increase possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.

Luka Dončić

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 31.3
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
31.3

Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic measures in the 100th percentile for 3-pointers hit without the home court advantage, posting 4.2 per game since the start of last season. Luka Doncic has averaged 37.5 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 99th percentile. In regard to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's fantastic 117.4 points per game places 6th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. This year, the other team's starting PGs have shot 38.4% on 3-pointers (6th-highest in the NBA) against the Warriors, marking this as a strong matchup. The Warriors have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should increase possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.

Dereck Lively Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively
center C • Dallas
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.5
Best Odds
Over
-111
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.5
Best Odds
Over
-111
Projection Rating

Dereck Lively II has sunk 70.5% of his field goal attempts when playing away from home since the start of last season, placing him in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA. In regard to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's fantastic 117.4 points per game places 6th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The Warriors have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should increase possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.

Dereck Lively

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.5
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.5

Dereck Lively II has sunk 70.5% of his field goal attempts when playing away from home since the start of last season, placing him in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA. In regard to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's fantastic 117.4 points per game places 6th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The Warriors have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should increase possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

Daniel Gafford has converted 71.1% of his field goals when playing away from home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA. In regard to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's fantastic 117.4 points per game places 6th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The Warriors have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should increase possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Daniel Gafford has converted 71.1% of his field goals when playing away from home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA. In regard to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's fantastic 117.4 points per game places 6th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The Warriors have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should increase possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.

Naji Marshall Points Scored Props • Dallas

N. Marshall
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Naji Marshall has sunk 5.2 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's made overall this season. In regard to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's fantastic 117.4 points per game places 6th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup against Golden State is a good one for shot attempts from the field; when the Golden State Warriors are at home, the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 2nd-most shot attempts per game in the league this year (15.8). The Warriors have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should increase possessions for the Dallas Mavericks. Compared to last year's 80.7% rate, Naji Marshall's free-throw ability has increased this year to 100.0%.

Naji Marshall

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

Naji Marshall has sunk 5.2 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's made overall this season. In regard to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's fantastic 117.4 points per game places 6th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup against Golden State is a good one for shot attempts from the field; when the Golden State Warriors are at home, the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 2nd-most shot attempts per game in the league this year (15.8). The Warriors have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should increase possessions for the Dallas Mavericks. Compared to last year's 80.7% rate, Naji Marshall's free-throw ability has increased this year to 100.0%.

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Klay Thompson has attempted 8.2 treys per game this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Klay Thompson lands in the 19th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a mere 1.3 fouls per game this year. In regard to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's fantastic 117.4 points per game places 6th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Warriors is a strong one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting SFs have compiled the highest three percentage in the league this year (47.0%). The Warriors have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should increase possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.

Klay Thompson

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.1
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.1

Klay Thompson has attempted 8.2 treys per game this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Klay Thompson lands in the 19th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a mere 1.3 fouls per game this year. In regard to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's fantastic 117.4 points per game places 6th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Warriors is a strong one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting SFs have compiled the highest three percentage in the league this year (47.0%). The Warriors have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should increase possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.

Draymond Green Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Green
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Draymond Green registers in the 87th percentile for three-point prowess with a terrific 45.8% rate this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 16.0 field goal attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, making this a positive matchup. The 7th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Warriors. The Warriors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). Draymond Green has attempted 4.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

Draymond Green

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8

Out of all players in the NBA, Draymond Green registers in the 87th percentile for three-point prowess with a terrific 45.8% rate this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 16.0 field goal attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, making this a positive matchup. The 7th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Warriors. The Warriors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). Draymond Green has attempted 4.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.5
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
24.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.5
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Kyrie Irving registers in the 98th percentile for field goals drained, logging a whopping 9.6 per game this year. Kyrie Irving has averaged 35.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 92nd percentile. In regard to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's fantastic 117.4 points per game places 6th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The Warriors have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should increase possessions for the Dallas Mavericks. Kyrie Irving has made 4.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's made in all games this year.

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.5
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.5

Out of all players in the league, Kyrie Irving registers in the 98th percentile for field goals drained, logging a whopping 9.6 per game this year. Kyrie Irving has averaged 35.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 92nd percentile. In regard to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's fantastic 117.4 points per game places 6th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The Warriors have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should increase possessions for the Dallas Mavericks. Kyrie Irving has made 4.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's made in all games this year.

Jonathan Kuminga Points Scored Props • Golden State

J. Kuminga
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Jonathan Kuminga has successfully made 6.6 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Jonathan Kuminga has successfully made 45.2% of his treys over the last 5 games, 17.6% more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season. The 7th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Warriors. The Warriors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). Jonathan Kuminga has attempted 4.4 foul shots per game this year, placing him in the 87th percentile out of all players in the league.

Jonathan Kuminga

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.5
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.5

Jonathan Kuminga has successfully made 6.6 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Jonathan Kuminga has successfully made 45.2% of his treys over the last 5 games, 17.6% more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season. The 7th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Warriors. The Warriors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). Jonathan Kuminga has attempted 4.4 foul shots per game this year, placing him in the 87th percentile out of all players in the league.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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