Milwaukee 2nd Eastern Conference49-32
Minnesota 2nd Western Conference56-25

Milwaukee @ Minnesota props

Target Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jae Crowder Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

J. Crowder
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

Jae Crowder has played 28.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 5.0 higher than he's played over the course of the season on the road. With respect to scoring, the Milwaukee Bucks's exceptional 122.0 points per game comes in as the 2nd-strongest in the league this year. The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Bucks. While playing at home, the Minnesota Timberwolves have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.7) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Jae Crowder

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.8
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.8

Jae Crowder has played 28.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 5.0 higher than he's played over the course of the season on the road. With respect to scoring, the Milwaukee Bucks's exceptional 122.0 points per game comes in as the 2nd-strongest in the league this year. The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Bucks. While playing at home, the Minnesota Timberwolves have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.7) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
+104
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
+104
Projection Rating

Naz Reid has converted 42.9% of his 3-point attempts on his home court this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. When it comes to scoring, the Minnesota Timberwolves's terrific 124.4 points per game places 3rd-best in the league over the last 5 games. The Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Bucks). When playing away from home, the Bucks have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Naz Reid will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually improves player production in all facets of the game.

Naz Reid

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Naz Reid has converted 42.9% of his 3-point attempts on his home court this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. When it comes to scoring, the Minnesota Timberwolves's terrific 124.4 points per game places 3rd-best in the league over the last 5 games. The Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Bucks). When playing away from home, the Bucks have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Naz Reid will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually improves player production in all facets of the game.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.8
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
27.5 Points Scored
Projection
25.8
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

Anthony Edwards has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league when it comes to technicals (98th percentile). The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.8
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.8

Anthony Edwards has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league when it comes to technicals (98th percentile). The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Damian Lillard Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

D. Lillard
point guard PG • Milwaukee
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.1
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
24.5 Points Scored
Projection
23.1
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

In contrast to last season's 32.2 mark, Damian Lillard's points per game have fallen this season to 24.6. Damian Lillard has attempted just 8.5 shots from downtown per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 11.3 rate last season. This year, the other team's starting PGs have shot 39.8% on field goals (15th-worst in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, designating this as a hard matchup. The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which should reduce plays for the Milwaukee Bucks. The Bucks have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Damian Lillard

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.1
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.1

In contrast to last season's 32.2 mark, Damian Lillard's points per game have fallen this season to 24.6. Damian Lillard has attempted just 8.5 shots from downtown per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 11.3 rate last season. This year, the other team's starting PGs have shot 39.8% on field goals (15th-worst in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, designating this as a hard matchup. The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which should reduce plays for the Milwaukee Bucks. The Bucks have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Brook Lopez Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Lopez
center C • Milwaukee
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Brook Lopez has attempted 6.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.9 more than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road. Brook Lopez has averaged 35.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 4.4 higher than he's averaged in all games this year on the road. With respect to scoring, the Milwaukee Bucks's exceptional 122.0 points per game comes in as the 2nd-strongest in the league this year. The matchup vs. Rudy Gobert is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when Gobert is on his home court and defending opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted an enormous 2.8 threes per game (100th percentile). The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Bucks.

Brook Lopez

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.8
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.8

Brook Lopez has attempted 6.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.9 more than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road. Brook Lopez has averaged 35.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 4.4 higher than he's averaged in all games this year on the road. With respect to scoring, the Milwaukee Bucks's exceptional 122.0 points per game comes in as the 2nd-strongest in the league this year. The matchup vs. Rudy Gobert is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when Gobert is on his home court and defending opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted an enormous 2.8 threes per game (100th percentile). The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Bucks.

Malik Beasley Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

M. Beasley
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Malik Beasley has sunk an impressive 43.1% of his attempts from beyond the arc this season, significantly higher than his 33.6 rate last season. With respect to scoring, the Milwaukee Bucks's exceptional 122.0 points per game comes in as the 2nd-strongest in the league this year. The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Bucks. While playing at home, the Minnesota Timberwolves have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.7) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Minnesota may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Timberwolves are on their home court (25th-most in the league).

Malik Beasley

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

Malik Beasley has sunk an impressive 43.1% of his attempts from beyond the arc this season, significantly higher than his 33.6 rate last season. With respect to scoring, the Milwaukee Bucks's exceptional 122.0 points per game comes in as the 2nd-strongest in the league this year. The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Bucks. While playing at home, the Minnesota Timberwolves have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.7) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Minnesota may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Timberwolves are on their home court (25th-most in the league).

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Mike Conley lands in the 89th percentile for 3-point effectiveness on his home court with a a terrific 45.8% rate this year. Mike Conley has averaged 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games at home, 5.1 more than he's averaged over the course of the season at home. When it comes to scoring, the Minnesota Timberwolves's terrific 124.4 points per game places 3rd-best in the league over the last 5 games. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have logged 21.7 points per game (30th-highest in the league) against the Milwaukee Bucks, designating this as a positive matchup for offensive performance. The Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Bucks).

Mike Conley

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

Among all players in the NBA, Mike Conley lands in the 89th percentile for 3-point effectiveness on his home court with a a terrific 45.8% rate this year. Mike Conley has averaged 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games at home, 5.1 more than he's averaged over the course of the season at home. When it comes to scoring, the Minnesota Timberwolves's terrific 124.4 points per game places 3rd-best in the league over the last 5 games. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have logged 21.7 points per game (30th-highest in the league) against the Milwaukee Bucks, designating this as a positive matchup for offensive performance. The Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Bucks).

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
+104
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
+104
Projection Rating

Jaden McDaniels has attempted 5.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.6 more than he's attempted overall this year at home. When it comes to scoring, the Minnesota Timberwolves's terrific 124.4 points per game places 3rd-best in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a strong one for scoring; when the Milwaukee Bucks are on the road, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 28th-most shots made from the field per game in the NBA this year (7.0). The Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Bucks). When playing away from home, the Bucks have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Jaden McDaniels has attempted 5.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.6 more than he's attempted overall this year at home. When it comes to scoring, the Minnesota Timberwolves's terrific 124.4 points per game places 3rd-best in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a strong one for scoring; when the Milwaukee Bucks are on the road, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 28th-most shots made from the field per game in the NBA this year (7.0). The Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Bucks). When playing away from home, the Bucks have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.3
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.3
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Karl-Anthony Towns has notched 28.6 points per game over the last 5 games at home, 7.1 more than he's notched in all games this year at home. Karl-Anthony Towns has made 3.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year when playing at home. Karl-Anthony Towns has played 32.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. When it comes to scoring, the Minnesota Timberwolves's terrific 124.4 points per game places 3rd-best in the league over the last 5 games. This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 1.8 3-pointers per game (24th-highest in the NBA) against the Bucks, identifying this as a favorable matchup.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.3
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.3

Karl-Anthony Towns has notched 28.6 points per game over the last 5 games at home, 7.1 more than he's notched in all games this year at home. Karl-Anthony Towns has made 3.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year when playing at home. Karl-Anthony Towns has played 32.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. When it comes to scoring, the Minnesota Timberwolves's terrific 124.4 points per game places 3rd-best in the league over the last 5 games. This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 1.8 3-pointers per game (24th-highest in the NBA) against the Bucks, identifying this as a favorable matchup.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

Rudy Gobert has sunk 72.9% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 7.8% more than he's put through the net in all games this year. When it comes to scoring, the Minnesota Timberwolves's terrific 124.4 points per game places 3rd-best in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup against Brook Lopez is a favorable one for shots from the field; when defending opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted an enormous 12.3 field goals per game (100th percentile). The Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Bucks). When playing away from home, the Bucks have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.8
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.8

Rudy Gobert has sunk 72.9% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 7.8% more than he's put through the net in all games this year. When it comes to scoring, the Minnesota Timberwolves's terrific 124.4 points per game places 3rd-best in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup against Brook Lopez is a favorable one for shots from the field; when defending opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted an enormous 12.3 field goals per game (100th percentile). The Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Bucks). When playing away from home, the Bucks have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bobby Portis Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Portis
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Bobby Portis has attempted 12.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 more than he's attempted in all games this season. With respect to scoring, the Milwaukee Bucks's exceptional 122.0 points per game comes in as the 2nd-strongest in the league this year. The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Bucks. While playing at home, the Minnesota Timberwolves have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.7) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). Bobby Portis has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 17.3% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

Bobby Portis

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

Bobby Portis has attempted 12.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 more than he's attempted in all games this season. With respect to scoring, the Milwaukee Bucks's exceptional 122.0 points per game comes in as the 2nd-strongest in the league this year. The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Bucks. While playing at home, the Minnesota Timberwolves have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.7) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). Bobby Portis has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 17.3% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

G. Antetokounmpo
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.2
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
27.5 Points Scored
Projection
28.2
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Giannis Antetokounmpo comes in at the 100th percentile for shots from the field hit, registering a massive 11.6 per game this year. With respect to scoring, the Milwaukee Bucks's exceptional 122.0 points per game comes in as the 2nd-strongest in the league this year. The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Bucks. While playing at home, the Minnesota Timberwolves have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.7) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.2
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.2

Out of all players in the league, Giannis Antetokounmpo comes in at the 100th percentile for shots from the field hit, registering a massive 11.6 per game this year. With respect to scoring, the Milwaukee Bucks's exceptional 122.0 points per game comes in as the 2nd-strongest in the league this year. The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Bucks. While playing at home, the Minnesota Timberwolves have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.7) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Alexander-Walker
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.05
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-125
Under
-105
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
8.05
Best Odds
Over
-125
Under
-105

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has gone over 5.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Monte Morris Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Morris
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.13
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-130
Under
+100
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
5.13
Best Odds
Over
-130
Under
+100

Monte Morris has gone over 4.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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