Final May 22
MIN 103 8.0 o218.0
OKC 118 -8.0 u218.0
Minnesota 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE56-26
Milwaukee 3rd EASTERN CONFERENCE49-33
BSN, NBALP

Minnesota @ Milwaukee props

Fiserv Forum

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Malik Beasley Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

Malik Beasley
M. Beasley
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds

Malik Beasley has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.8 more than he's averaged overall this year at home. This year, the other team's starting PGs have shot 39.8% on field goal attempts (15th-worst in the league) against the Timberwolves, resulting in a challenging matchup. The Bucks will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from sharing the court with the 3rd-most sluggish pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 3rdworst in in the league with only 7.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.3 free throws per game over the last 15 games (11th-least in the league).

Malik Beasley

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13

Malik Beasley has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.8 more than he's averaged overall this year at home. This year, the other team's starting PGs have shot 39.8% on field goal attempts (15th-worst in the league) against the Timberwolves, resulting in a challenging matchup. The Bucks will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from sharing the court with the 3rd-most sluggish pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 3rdworst in in the league with only 7.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.3 free throws per game over the last 15 games (11th-least in the league).

Damian Lillard Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

Damian Lillard
D. Lillard
point guard PG • Milwaukee
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.3
Best Odds

The Bucks will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from sharing the court with the 3rd-most sluggish pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 3rdworst in in the league with only 7.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Relative to last year's 9.6 clip, Damian Lillard's number of foul shot attempts has tailed off this year to 7.8 foul shot attempts per game.

Damian Lillard

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.3
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.3

The Bucks will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from sharing the court with the 3rd-most sluggish pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 3rdworst in in the league with only 7.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Relative to last year's 9.6 clip, Damian Lillard's number of foul shot attempts has tailed off this year to 7.8 foul shot attempts per game.

Bobby Portis Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

Bobby Portis
B. Portis
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.1
Best Odds

Bobby Portis has sunk 58.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 23.5% more than he's converted from three over the course of the year on his home court. Bobby Portis has attempted 4.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Bobby Portis has averaged 29.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 more than he's averaged overall this season. The most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Bucks. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have nabbed 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves (shortening possessions that could otherwise spark bonus chances for offense).

Bobby Portis

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.1
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.1

Bobby Portis has sunk 58.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 23.5% more than he's converted from three over the course of the year on his home court. Bobby Portis has attempted 4.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Bobby Portis has averaged 29.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 more than he's averaged overall this season. The most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Bucks. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have nabbed 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves (shortening possessions that could otherwise spark bonus chances for offense).

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

Anthony Edwards
A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
26
Best Odds

Anthony Edwards has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.0 more than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road. The 3rd-most sluggish pace away team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Timberwolves. The Timberwolves check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Anthony Edwards stands to suffer a reduction in production for all stats on account of being on the road in this matchup.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26

Anthony Edwards has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.0 more than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road. The 3rd-most sluggish pace away team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Timberwolves. The Timberwolves check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Anthony Edwards stands to suffer a reduction in production for all stats on account of being on the road in this matchup.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

Rudy Gobert
R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds

Rudy Gobert has played 33.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 89th percentile. The matchup vs. Brook Lopez is a strong one for shots from the field; when guarding other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 12.4 field goals per game (100th percentile). The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Milwaukee Bucks). Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have brought down 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (losing possessions that could otherwise produce added opportunities for offense). Rudy Gobert has attempted 7.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 more than he's attempted in all games this season.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.8
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.8

Rudy Gobert has played 33.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 89th percentile. The matchup vs. Brook Lopez is a strong one for shots from the field; when guarding other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 12.4 field goals per game (100th percentile). The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Milwaukee Bucks). Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have brought down 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (losing possessions that could otherwise produce added opportunities for offense). Rudy Gobert has attempted 7.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 more than he's attempted in all games this season.

Brook Lopez Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

Brook Lopez
B. Lopez
center C • Milwaukee
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.4
Best Odds

Brook Lopez has made 3.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season. Brook Lopez has tallied 31.9 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 84th percentile. The most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Bucks. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have nabbed 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves (shortening possessions that could otherwise spark bonus chances for offense). Brook Lopez has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 16.2% more than he's converted in all games this season.

Brook Lopez

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.4
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.4

Brook Lopez has made 3.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season. Brook Lopez has tallied 31.9 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 84th percentile. The most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Bucks. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have nabbed 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves (shortening possessions that could otherwise spark bonus chances for offense). Brook Lopez has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 16.2% more than he's converted in all games this season.

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

Giannis Antetokounmpo
G. Antetokounmpo
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
35.5
Points Scored
Projection
34.1
Best Odds

Giannis Antetokounmpo has been called for 2.9 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 14.5 points per game (15th-fewest in the league) against the Timberwolves, identifying this as a difficult matchup for offensive production. The Bucks will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from sharing the court with the 3rd-most sluggish pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 3rdworst in in the league with only 7.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Prop: 35.5 Points Scored
Projection: 34.1
Prop:
35.5 Points Scored
Projection:
34.1

Giannis Antetokounmpo has been called for 2.9 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 14.5 points per game (15th-fewest in the league) against the Timberwolves, identifying this as a difficult matchup for offensive production. The Bucks will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from sharing the court with the 3rd-most sluggish pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 3rdworst in in the league with only 7.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

Naz Reid
N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Naz Reid has attempted 4.7 3-pointers per game this season, a significant increase from his 3.2 mark last season. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Milwaukee Bucks). Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have brought down 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (losing possessions that could otherwise produce added opportunities for offense). As a team, the Minnesota Timberwolves have been great at getting to the free-throw line recently: 7th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games, tallying 23.6 foul shot attempts per game.

Naz Reid

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

Naz Reid has attempted 4.7 3-pointers per game this season, a significant increase from his 3.2 mark last season. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Milwaukee Bucks). Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have brought down 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (losing possessions that could otherwise produce added opportunities for offense). As a team, the Minnesota Timberwolves have been great at getting to the free-throw line recently: 7th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games, tallying 23.6 foul shot attempts per game.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Scored Props • Minnesota

Nickeil Alexander-Walker
N. Alexander-Walker
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Milwaukee Bucks). Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have brought down 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (losing possessions that could otherwise produce added opportunities for offense). Nickeil Alexander-Walker has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 28.7% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year. As a team, the Minnesota Timberwolves have been great at getting to the free-throw line recently: 7th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games, tallying 23.6 foul shot attempts per game.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.9
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.9

The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Milwaukee Bucks). Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have brought down 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (losing possessions that could otherwise produce added opportunities for offense). Nickeil Alexander-Walker has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 28.7% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year. As a team, the Minnesota Timberwolves have been great at getting to the free-throw line recently: 7th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games, tallying 23.6 foul shot attempts per game.

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

Jaden McDaniels
J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds

Jaden McDaniels has been on the court for 29.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 75th percentile. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Milwaukee Bucks). Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have brought down 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (losing possessions that could otherwise produce added opportunities for offense). Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 25.8% more than he's put through the net overall this season. As a team, the Minnesota Timberwolves have been great at getting to the free-throw line recently: 7th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games, tallying 23.6 foul shot attempts per game.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Jaden McDaniels has been on the court for 29.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 75th percentile. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Milwaukee Bucks). Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have brought down 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (losing possessions that could otherwise produce added opportunities for offense). Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 25.8% more than he's put through the net overall this season. As a team, the Minnesota Timberwolves have been great at getting to the free-throw line recently: 7th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games, tallying 23.6 foul shot attempts per game.

Pat Connaughton Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

Pat Connaughton
P. Connaughton
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds

Pat Connaughton has made 45.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games, 8.5% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year. This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 2.6 3-pointers per game (27th-most in the league) against the Timberwolves, making this a good matchup. The most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Bucks. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have nabbed 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves (shortening possessions that could otherwise spark bonus chances for offense). Pat Connaughton has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 16.7% higher than he's made over the course of the season on his home court.

Pat Connaughton

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.4
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.4

Pat Connaughton has made 45.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games, 8.5% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year. This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 2.6 3-pointers per game (27th-most in the league) against the Timberwolves, making this a good matchup. The most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Bucks. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have nabbed 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves (shortening possessions that could otherwise spark bonus chances for offense). Pat Connaughton has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 16.7% higher than he's made over the course of the season on his home court.

Jae Crowder Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

Jae Crowder
J. Crowder
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds

Out of all players in the league, Jae Crowder places in the 76th percentile for 3-point efficiency with a a phenomenal 38.3% rate this year. The most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Bucks. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have nabbed 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves (shortening possessions that could otherwise spark bonus chances for offense). In regard to getting to the charity stripe, the Bucks's superb 27.8 free throw attempts per game comes in as the best in the NBA over the last 10 games. Jae Crowder will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to raise player performance across the board.

Jae Crowder

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10

Out of all players in the league, Jae Crowder places in the 76th percentile for 3-point efficiency with a a phenomenal 38.3% rate this year. The most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Bucks. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have nabbed 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves (shortening possessions that could otherwise spark bonus chances for offense). In regard to getting to the charity stripe, the Bucks's superb 27.8 free throw attempts per game comes in as the best in the NBA over the last 10 games. Jae Crowder will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to raise player performance across the board.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

Mike Conley
M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds

Mike Conley has successfully made 2.3 threes per game this year, placing him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the league. Mike Conley has averaged 29.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 76th percentile. This year, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 8.0 shots made from the field per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, making this a good matchup. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Milwaukee Bucks). Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have brought down 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (losing possessions that could otherwise produce added opportunities for offense).

Mike Conley

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

Mike Conley has successfully made 2.3 threes per game this year, placing him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the league. Mike Conley has averaged 29.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 76th percentile. This year, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 8.0 shots made from the field per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, making this a good matchup. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Milwaukee Bucks). Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have brought down 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (losing possessions that could otherwise produce added opportunities for offense).

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

Karl-Anthony Towns
K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.6
Best Odds

Karl-Anthony Towns has compiled 27.0 points per game over the last 10 games, 4.3 higher than he's compiled over the course of the season. Karl-Anthony Towns has converted 3.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season. Karl-Anthony Towns has averaged 33.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 89th percentile. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 1.8 3-pointers per game (24th-most in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, creating a favorable matchup. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.6
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.6

Karl-Anthony Towns has compiled 27.0 points per game over the last 10 games, 4.3 higher than he's compiled over the course of the season. Karl-Anthony Towns has converted 3.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season. Karl-Anthony Towns has averaged 33.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 89th percentile. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 1.8 3-pointers per game (24th-most in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, creating a favorable matchup. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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