Chicago Cubs

2nd in National League Central (63 - 48)

Next Game

Sun, Aug 2 14:20 ET

NYY @ CHC Picks

MLB Picks
Total
New York Yankees logo Chicago Cubs logo u6.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 31 minutes ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Gerrit Cole has pitched like an ace over the last month, limiting runs effectively while posting a high K rate and excellent contact profile.

Colin Rea owns a 3.69 ERA in pitcher friendly conditions, and the strong winds will help him neutralize New York’s power.

Bet to -115.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-125)
Best Odds
Pick made: 32 minutes ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Gerrit Cole has allowed just 10 runs over his last five starts while posting a 2.78 xFIP and 11.57 K/9.

The New York Yankees have been up and down offensively, but should have their troubles eased against Colin Rea and his eighth percentile xERA.

Bet New York to -140.

Total Bases
Jazz Chisholm Jr. logo
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.43
Best Odds
Pick made: 30 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 81%.. Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an edge in today's matchup.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has a ton of pop (91st percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (28.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Colin Rea is a pitch-to-contact type (18th percentile K%) — great news for Chisholm Jr..
Total Bases
Trent Grisham logo
Trent Grisham o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Trent Grisham has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.6-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 93.7-mph.. Despite posting a .310 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Trent Grisham has suffered from bad luck given the .044 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .354.
Total Bases
Ben Rice logo
Ben Rice o1.5 Total Bases (+141)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ben Rice ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. In the last week, Ben Rice's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.7-mph over the course of the season to 101.6-mph lately.. Ben Rice's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, increasing from 51.8% on the season to 73.3% over the last 7 days.
Total Bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Pete Crow-Armstrong u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most favorable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls many of his flyballs (41.2% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.
Total Bases
Spencer Jones logo
Spencer Jones u1.5 Total Bases (-260)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Among all the teams playing today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs.. Spencer Jones will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
Total Bases
Michael Busch logo
Michael Busch o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.36
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Michael Busch is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 81%.. Hitting from the opposite that Gerrit Cole throws from, Michael Busch will have an advantage in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Strikeouts Thrown
Gerrit Cole logo
Gerrit Cole u6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-130)
Projection 5.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
It is likely that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Scott Barry) in charge of the strike zone today.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gerrit Cole in today's game.. In his last GS, Gerrit Cole struggled when it came to striking hitters out and only managed to tally 2 Ks.. Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Gerrit Cole has utilized his fastball a lot this year, though: 51.3% of the time, placing in the 100th percentile.
Total RBIs
Michael Busch logo
Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.53
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Michael Busch is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Over the last 14 days, Michael Busch's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.5-mph over the course of the season to 94.6-mph of late.. Michael Busch's launch angle recently (25.6° in the past 7 days) is significantly higher than his 14.6° seasonal mark.
Total RBIs
Jasson Dominguez logo
Jasson Dominguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+226)
Projection 0.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jasson Dominguez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jasson Dominguez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. The switch-hitting Jasson Dominguez will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Colin Rea.
Total RBIs
Ian Happ logo
Ian Happ o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
Projection 0.44
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Ian Happ is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Gerrit Cole.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Ian Happ will hold that advantage in today's game.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

45% picking NY Yankees

45%
55%

Total PicksNYY 106, CHC 129

Moneyline
NYY
CHC
Moneyline
Total

66% picking NY Yankees vs Chi. Cubs to go Over

66%
34%

Total PicksNYY 134, CHC 69

Total
Over
Under

NYY @ CHC · Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
MONEYLINE
New York Yankees logo
NYY -122 moneyline
NYY PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
2.38% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
New York Yankees logo
NYY -122 moneyline

PROJECTION

NYY PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
2.38% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-122
FanDuel logo
TOTAL
New York Yankees logo Chicago Cubs logo
Over 6.5 Total
8.48 PROJECTION
+2.0 DIFFERENCE
17.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
New York Yankees logo Chicago Cubs logo
Over 6.5 Total

PROJECTION

8.48 PROJECTION
+2.0 DIFFERENCE
17.81% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o6.5 -110
BetMGM logo
SPREAD
Chicago Cubs logo
CHC +1.5 spread
0.49 PROJECTION
-1.0 DIFFERENCE
0.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Chicago Cubs logo
CHC +1.5 spread

PROJECTION

0.49 PROJECTION
-1.0 DIFFERENCE
0.53% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+1.5 -165
Caesars logo
TOTAL HITS
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Busch (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Busch (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.81% EV

ANALYSIS

Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's RF dimensions are the 5th-deepest.. The weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most favorable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.. Michael Busch's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 21.9% to 18%.

u0.5 +120
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs logo
N. Hoerner (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs logo
N. Hoerner (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.05% EV

ANALYSIS

Nico Hoerner is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The weather forecast forecasts the 5th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 15.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Gerrit Cole will hold the platoon advantage against Nico Hoerner in today's matchup.. Nico Hoerner has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.

u0.5 +160
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Ben Rice logo
New York Yankees logo
B. Rice (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ben Rice logo
New York Yankees logo
B. Rice (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.05% EV

ANALYSIS

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. In today's game, Ben Rice is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.7% rate (86th percentile).. Among all the teams playing today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs.. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ben Rice today.. Ben Rice has been lucky this year, notching a .391 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .360 — a .031 deviation.

u0.5 +165
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs logo
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs logo
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.96% EV

ANALYSIS

The weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most favorable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls many of his flyballs (41.2% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Pete Crow-Armstrong's true offensive skill to be a .345, providing some evidence that he has been very fortunate this year given the .047 disparity between that mark and his actual .392 wOBA.

u0.5 +135
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs logo
I. Happ (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs logo
I. Happ (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.41% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Ian Happ is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 81%.. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Gerrit Cole.

o0.5 -112
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Jazz Chisholm Jr. logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Chisholm Jr. (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jazz Chisholm Jr. logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Chisholm Jr. (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.21% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run skill, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 81%.. Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an edge in today's matchup.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has a ton of pop (91st percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (28.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Colin Rea is a pitch-to-contact type (18th percentile K%) — great news for Chisholm Jr..

o1.5 +195
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Trent Grisham logo
New York Yankees logo
T. Grisham (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Trent Grisham logo
New York Yankees logo
T. Grisham (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.34% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Trent Grisham has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.6-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 93.7-mph.. Despite posting a .310 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Trent Grisham has suffered from bad luck given the .044 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .354.

o1.5 +165
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Ben Rice logo
New York Yankees logo
B. Rice (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
12.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ben Rice logo
New York Yankees logo
B. Rice (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
12.11% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ben Rice ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. In the last week, Ben Rice's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.7-mph over the course of the season to 101.6-mph lately.. Ben Rice's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, increasing from 51.8% on the season to 73.3% over the last 7 days.

o1.5 +141
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs logo
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.86 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
10.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs logo
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.86 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
10.54% EV

ANALYSIS

Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most favorable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls many of his flyballs (41.2% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.

u1.5 -190
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Spencer Jones logo
New York Yankees logo
S. Jones (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.67 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
9.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Spencer Jones logo
New York Yankees logo
S. Jones (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.67 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
9.01% EV

ANALYSIS

Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Among all the teams playing today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs.. Spencer Jones will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

u1.5 -260
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Busch (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Busch (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.6% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Michael Busch is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 81%.. Hitting from the opposite that Gerrit Cole throws from, Michael Busch will have an advantage in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

o1.5 +200
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Paul Goldschmidt logo
New York Yankees logo
P. Goldschmidt (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.85 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
6.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Paul Goldschmidt logo
New York Yankees logo
P. Goldschmidt (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.85 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
6.5% EV

ANALYSIS

Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Colin Rea will hold the platoon advantage against Paul Goldschmidt today.. Paul Goldschmidt has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will be challenged by baseball's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams playing today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs.

u1.5 -240
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Michael Conforto logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Conforto (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
1.05 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
4.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Michael Conforto logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Conforto (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.05 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
4.82% EV

ANALYSIS

Michael Conforto will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. Michael Conforto's launch angle recently (30° in the past 14 days) is a significant increase over his 19.3° seasonal figure.. Michael Conforto has notched a .351 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, ranking in the 90th percentile.

o1.5 +317
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Ryan McMahon logo
New York Yankees logo
R. McMahon (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.70 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
4.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ryan McMahon logo
New York Yankees logo
R. McMahon (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.70 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
4.66% EV

ANALYSIS

Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Among all the teams playing today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs.. Ryan McMahon will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

u1.5 -319
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs logo
A. Bregman (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.82 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
4.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs logo
A. Bregman (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.82 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
4.19% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 12th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Gerrit Cole will hold the platoon advantage against Alex Bregman in today's game.. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.

u1.5 -270
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Jose Caballero logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Caballero (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
0.70 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
4.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jose Caballero logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Caballero (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.70 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
4.12% EV

ANALYSIS

Jose Caballero is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most favorable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Among all the teams playing today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs.

u1.5 -340
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Austin Wells logo
New York Yankees logo
A. Wells (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
3.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Austin Wells logo
New York Yankees logo
A. Wells (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
3.75% EV

ANALYSIS

Austin Wells has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 6.8% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the last 7 days.. Austin Wells has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.2-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.8-mph mark.. Austin Wells has been unlucky this year, compiling a .241 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .303 — a .062 deviation.

o1.5 +314
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Jasson Dominguez logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Dominguez (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
3.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jasson Dominguez logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Dominguez (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
3.45% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jasson Dominguez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jasson Dominguez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. The switch-hitting Jasson Dominguez will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Colin Rea.

o1.5 +146
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs logo
S. Suzuki (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.86 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
2.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs logo
S. Suzuki (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.86 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
2.7% EV

ANALYSIS

Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Gerrit Cole will hold the platoon advantage against Seiya Suzuki in today's matchup.. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.. This season, Seiya Suzuki's Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 16.9% last year to just 9.7% this year.

u1.5 -270
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs logo
C. Kelly (C) 1.5 Total Bases
0.71 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
1.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs logo
C. Kelly (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.71 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
1.77% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 20th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most favorable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.

u1.5 -380
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs logo
N. Hoerner (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs logo
N. Hoerner (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.65% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his batting average talent, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Nico Hoerner will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Nico Hoerner has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 89.7-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal average of 86.7-mph.. Nico Hoerner's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 51.2% on the season to 69.8% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

o1.5 +215
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs logo
D. Swanson (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs logo
D. Swanson (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.02% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. The 6th-shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Wrigley Field.. Dansby Swanson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. In the past 14 days, Dansby Swanson's 27.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.7%.. Despite posting a .304 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Dansby Swanson has suffered from bad luck given the .033 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .337.

o1.5 +273
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Trent Grisham logo
New York Yankees logo
T. Grisham (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
6.14% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Trent Grisham logo
New York Yankees logo
T. Grisham (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
6.14% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Trent Grisham has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.6-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 93.7-mph.. Despite posting a .310 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Trent Grisham has suffered from bad luck given the .044 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .354.

o0.5 +557
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Busch (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Busch (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.68% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Michael Busch is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. Hitting from the opposite that Gerrit Cole throws from, Michael Busch will have an advantage in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Over the last 14 days, Michael Busch's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.5-mph over the course of the season to 94.6-mph of late.

o0.5 +760
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Austin Wells logo
New York Yankees logo
A. Wells (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Austin Wells logo
New York Yankees logo
A. Wells (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.86% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wells in the 85th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Austin Wells has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 6.8% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the last 7 days.. Austin Wells has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.2-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.8-mph mark.. Austin Wells has been unlucky this year, compiling a .241 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .303 — a .062 deviation.. Austin Wells has averaged 25.4 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 75th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

o0.5 +880
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs logo
N. Hoerner (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.02 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-2.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs logo
N. Hoerner (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.02 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-2.47% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his home run skill, Nico Hoerner ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nico Hoerner is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Gerrit Cole will hold the platoon advantage against Nico Hoerner in today's matchup.

u0.5 -2778
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jazz Chisholm Jr. logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Chisholm Jr. (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.69% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jazz Chisholm Jr. logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Chisholm Jr. (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.69% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run skill, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 81%.. Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an edge in today's matchup.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has a ton of pop (91st percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (28.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Colin Rea is a pitch-to-contact type (18th percentile K%) — great news for Chisholm Jr..

o0.5 +575
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs logo
A. Bregman (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs logo
A. Bregman (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.16% EV

ANALYSIS

Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Gerrit Cole will hold the platoon advantage against Alex Bregman in today's game.. Alex Bregman's average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 89.9-mph mark last season has lowered to 87.9-mph.. Alex Bregman's exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 91.4-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 88.1-mph over the last 7 days.

u0.5 -1205
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jose Caballero logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Caballero (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jose Caballero logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Caballero (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.18% EV

ANALYSIS

Jose Caballero is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most favorable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jose Caballero in today's matchup.

u0.5 -2222
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Spencer Jones logo
New York Yankees logo
S. Jones (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Spencer Jones logo
New York Yankees logo
S. Jones (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.52% EV

ANALYSIS

Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most favorable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Spencer Jones will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

u0.5 -952
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Paul Goldschmidt logo
New York Yankees logo
P. Goldschmidt (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Paul Goldschmidt logo
New York Yankees logo
P. Goldschmidt (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.53% EV

ANALYSIS

Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most favorable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Paul Goldschmidt has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will be challenged by baseball's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Paul Goldschmidt in today's game.

u0.5 -1205
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ben Rice logo
New York Yankees logo
B. Rice (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Ben Rice logo
New York Yankees logo
B. Rice (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.63% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ben Rice ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. In the last week, Ben Rice's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.7-mph over the course of the season to 101.6-mph lately.. Ben Rice has compiled a .422 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 100th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

o0.5 +450
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs logo
I. Happ (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.69% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs logo
I. Happ (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.69% EV

ANALYSIS

Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most favorable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Ian Happ pulls many of his flyballs (35.1% — 82nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-deepest RF fences today.. Ian Happ's average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 89.4-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 85.6-mph over the last week.

u0.5 -800
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs logo
D. Swanson (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.98% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs logo
D. Swanson (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.98% EV

ANALYSIS

Dansby Swanson is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Hitting from the same side that Gerrit Cole throws from, Dansby Swanson will have a tough challenge in today's game.. Dansby Swanson's average exit velocity has declined recently; his 89.3-mph seasonal average has dropped to 84.9-mph in the last week's worth of games.

u0.5 -1205
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs logo
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs logo
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.99% EV

ANALYSIS

Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The weather forecast forecasts the 5th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 15.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls many of his flyballs (41.2% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Pete Crow-Armstrong's true offensive skill to be a .345, providing some evidence that he has been very fortunate this year given the .047 disparity between that mark and his actual .392 wOBA.

u0.5 -599
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs logo
C. Kelly (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs logo
C. Kelly (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.19% EV

ANALYSIS

Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most favorable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Carson Kelly has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 5.9% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last two weeks.. Carson Kelly has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.9-mph dropping to 84.3-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

u0.5 -2000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs logo
S. Suzuki (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs logo
S. Suzuki (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.49% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Wrigley Field has the 8th-shallowest fences in Major League Baseball — generally good for dingers.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Seiya Suzuki will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Seiya Suzuki's launch angle in recent games (33.7° in the last week) is quite a bit better than his 18.8° seasonal angle.

o0.5 +750
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Michael Conforto logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Conforto (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.88% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Michael Conforto logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Conforto (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.88% EV

ANALYSIS

Michael Conforto is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's RF dimensions are the 5th-deepest.. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most favorable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.

u0.5 -1205
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jasson Dominguez logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Dominguez (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jasson Dominguez logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Dominguez (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.09% EV

ANALYSIS

Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's RF dimensions are the 5th-deepest.. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jasson Dominguez today.. Jasson Dominguez's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 92.3-mph mark last season has dropped to 89.3-mph.

u0.5 -952
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ryan McMahon logo
New York Yankees logo
R. McMahon (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ryan McMahon logo
New York Yankees logo
R. McMahon (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.09% EV

ANALYSIS

Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most favorable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Ryan McMahon will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

u0.5 -1099
bet365 logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Gerrit Cole logo
New York Yankees logo
G. Cole (SP) 6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
5.62 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
9.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Gerrit Cole logo
New York Yankees logo
G. Cole (SP) 6.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

5.62 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
9.51% EV

ANALYSIS

It is likely that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Scott Barry) in charge of the strike zone today.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gerrit Cole in today's game.. In his last GS, Gerrit Cole struggled when it came to striking hitters out and only managed to tally 2 Ks.. Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Gerrit Cole has utilized his fastball a lot this year, though: 51.3% of the time, placing in the 100th percentile.

u6.5 -130
bet365 logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Colin Rea logo
Chicago Cubs logo
C. Rea (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown
5.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Colin Rea logo
Chicago Cubs logo
C. Rea (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

5.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.2% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Colin Rea in the 17th percentile among all SPs in MLB.. It is likely that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Scott Barry) in charge of the strike zone today.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. The New York Yankees have 7 batters in the projected batting order that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Colin Rea in this game.. In his previous start, Colin Rea struggled when it came to striking batters out and was only able to post 2 Ks.

u5.5 -156
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Busch (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
17.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Busch (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
17.39% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Michael Busch is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Over the last 14 days, Michael Busch's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.5-mph over the course of the season to 94.6-mph of late.. Michael Busch's launch angle recently (25.6° in the past 7 days) is significantly higher than his 14.6° seasonal mark.

o0.5 +259
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jasson Dominguez logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Dominguez (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
15.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jasson Dominguez logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Dominguez (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
15.85% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jasson Dominguez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jasson Dominguez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. The switch-hitting Jasson Dominguez will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Colin Rea.

o0.5 +226
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs logo
I. Happ (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs logo
I. Happ (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.07% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Ian Happ is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Gerrit Cole.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Ian Happ will hold that advantage in today's game.

o0.5 +297
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs logo
A. Bregman (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs logo
A. Bregman (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.66% EV

ANALYSIS

Alex Bregman is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Alex Bregman pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.3% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Alex Bregman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Alex Bregman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, rising from 14.9% on the season to 27.8% in the past week's worth of games.

o0.5 +270
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jazz Chisholm Jr. logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Chisholm Jr. (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
14.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jazz Chisholm Jr. logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Chisholm Jr. (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
14.17% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run skill, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has a ton of pop (91st percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (28.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Colin Rea is a pitch-to-contact type (18th percentile K%) — great news for Chisholm Jr... Jazz Chisholm Jr. has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10% seasonal rate to 20% over the last 14 days.. Over the last 14 days, Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.3-mph over the course of the season to 100.5-mph of late.

o0.5 +225
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ben Rice logo
New York Yankees logo
B. Rice (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ben Rice logo
New York Yankees logo
B. Rice (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.04% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ben Rice ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. In the last week, Ben Rice's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.7-mph over the course of the season to 101.6-mph lately.. Ben Rice's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, increasing from 51.8% on the season to 73.3% over the last 7 days.

o0.5 +204
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Trent Grisham logo
New York Yankees logo
T. Grisham (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Trent Grisham logo
New York Yankees logo
T. Grisham (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.21% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Trent Grisham has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.6-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 93.7-mph.. Despite posting a .310 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Trent Grisham has suffered from bad luck given the .044 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .354.

o0.5 +248
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Austin Wells logo
New York Yankees logo
A. Wells (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Austin Wells logo
New York Yankees logo
A. Wells (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.05% EV

ANALYSIS

Hitting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Austin Wells will have an advantage today.. Austin Wells has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 6.8% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the last 7 days.. Austin Wells has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.2-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.8-mph mark.. Austin Wells has been unlucky this year, compiling a .241 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .303 — a .062 deviation.

o0.5 +360
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs logo
S. Suzuki (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs logo
S. Suzuki (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.97% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The 6th-shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Wrigley Field.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Seiya Suzuki will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Seiya Suzuki's launch angle in recent games (33.7° in the last week) is quite a bit better than his 18.8° seasonal angle.

o0.5 +284
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Michael Conforto logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Conforto (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Michael Conforto logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Conforto (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.93% EV

ANALYSIS

Michael Conforto will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. Michael Conforto's launch angle recently (30° in the past 14 days) is a significant increase over his 19.3° seasonal figure.. Michael Conforto has notched a .351 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, ranking in the 90th percentile.

o0.5 +346
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs logo
D. Swanson (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs logo
D. Swanson (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.78% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. The 6th-shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Wrigley Field.. High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 81%.. Dansby Swanson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. In the past 14 days, Dansby Swanson's 27.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.7%.

o0.5 +332
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs logo
N. Hoerner (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.28 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs logo
N. Hoerner (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.28 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.59% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his batting average talent, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Nico Hoerner will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Nico Hoerner has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 89.7-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal average of 86.7-mph.. Nico Hoerner's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 51.2% on the season to 69.8% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

o0.5 +326
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs logo
C. Kelly (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs logo
C. Kelly (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.12% EV

ANALYSIS

Carson Kelly has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The 6th-shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Wrigley Field.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Using Statcast data, Carson Kelly ranks in the 77th percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .340.. With a 1.56 K/BB rate this year, Carson Kelly has displayed strong plate discipline, checking in at the 85th percentile.

o0.5 +311
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Spencer Jones logo
New York Yankees logo
S. Jones (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-1.15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Spencer Jones logo
New York Yankees logo
S. Jones (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-1.15% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Spencer Jones is projected as the 12th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Spencer Jones has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (78% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Spencer Jones has a ton of pop (84th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (37.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Colin Rea is a pitch-to-contact type (1st percentile K%) — great news for Jones.. Spencer Jones has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o0.5 +263
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Pedro Ramirez logo
Chicago Cubs logo
P. Ramirez (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Pedro Ramirez logo
Chicago Cubs logo
P. Ramirez (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.44% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pedro Ramirez in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Pedro Ramirez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

o0.5 +270
FanDuel logo
TOTAL RBIS
Paul Goldschmidt logo
New York Yankees logo
P. Goldschmidt (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Paul Goldschmidt logo
New York Yankees logo
P. Goldschmidt (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.95% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 81%.. Paul Goldschmidt's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 12.4% to 19.3%.

o0.5 +205
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Busch (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
13.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Busch (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
13.76% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Michael Busch is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Over the last 14 days, Michael Busch's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.5-mph over the course of the season to 94.6-mph of late.. Michael Busch's launch angle recently (25.6° in the past 7 days) is significantly higher than his 14.6° seasonal mark.

o1.5 +138
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ben Rice logo
New York Yankees logo
B. Rice (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.22 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
13.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ben Rice logo
New York Yankees logo
B. Rice (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.22 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
13.42% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ben Rice ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Ben Rice will hold the platoon advantage against Colin Rea in today's matchup.. In the last week, Ben Rice's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.7-mph over the course of the season to 101.6-mph lately.

o1.5 +100
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs logo
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
11.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs logo
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
11.35% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Gerrit Cole throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the upper hand today.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of New York (#1-worst of the day).

o1.5 +108
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Trent Grisham logo
New York Yankees logo
T. Grisham (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
11.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Trent Grisham logo
New York Yankees logo
T. Grisham (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
11.07% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Trent Grisham has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.6-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 93.7-mph.. Despite posting a .310 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Trent Grisham has suffered from bad luck given the .044 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .354.

o1.5 +107
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jazz Chisholm Jr. logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Chisholm Jr. (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
11.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jazz Chisholm Jr. logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Chisholm Jr. (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
11.02% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run skill, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has a ton of pop (91st percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (28.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Colin Rea is a pitch-to-contact type (18th percentile K%) — great news for Chisholm Jr... Jazz Chisholm Jr. has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10% seasonal rate to 20% over the last 14 days.. Over the last 14 days, Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.3-mph over the course of the season to 100.5-mph of late.

o1.5 +120
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jasson Dominguez logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Dominguez (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
9.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jasson Dominguez logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Dominguez (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
9.4% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jasson Dominguez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jasson Dominguez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. The switch-hitting Jasson Dominguez will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Colin Rea.

o1.5 -101
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Michael Conforto logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Conforto (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Michael Conforto logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Conforto (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
9% EV

ANALYSIS

High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 81%.. Michael Conforto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gerrit Cole in today's game.. Michael Conforto will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. Michael Conforto's launch angle recently (30° in the past 14 days) is a significant increase over his 19.3° seasonal figure.. Michael Conforto has notched a .351 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, ranking in the 90th percentile.

o1.5 +221
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs logo
D. Swanson (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs logo
D. Swanson (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.44% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. The 6th-shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Wrigley Field.. Dansby Swanson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. In the past 14 days, Dansby Swanson's 27.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.7%.. Despite posting a .304 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Dansby Swanson has suffered from bad luck given the .033 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .337.

o1.5 +179
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs logo
A. Bregman (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs logo
A. Bregman (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.4% EV

ANALYSIS

Alex Bregman is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Alex Bregman pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.3% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Alex Bregman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Alex Bregman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, rising from 14.9% on the season to 27.8% in the past week's worth of games.

o1.5 +136
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs logo
N. Hoerner (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs logo
N. Hoerner (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.28% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his batting average talent, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Nico Hoerner will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Nico Hoerner has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 89.7-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal average of 86.7-mph.. Nico Hoerner's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 51.2% on the season to 69.8% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

o1.5 +140
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ryan McMahon logo
New York Yankees logo
R. McMahon (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
5.38% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ryan McMahon logo
New York Yankees logo
R. McMahon (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
5.38% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 82nd percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 81%.. Ryan McMahon will hold the platoon advantage over Colin Rea today.. Ryan McMahon has a ton of pop (82nd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (30.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Colin Rea struggles to strike batters out (9th percentile K%) — great news for McMahon.

o1.5 +150
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs logo
C. Kelly (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs logo
C. Kelly (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.68% EV

ANALYSIS

Carson Kelly has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The 6th-shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Wrigley Field.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Using Statcast data, Carson Kelly ranks in the 77th percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .340.. With a 1.56 K/BB rate this year, Carson Kelly has displayed strong plate discipline, checking in at the 85th percentile.

o1.5 +163
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Austin Wells logo
New York Yankees logo
A. Wells (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Austin Wells logo
New York Yankees logo
A. Wells (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.09% EV

ANALYSIS

Austin Wells has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 6.8% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the last 7 days.. Austin Wells has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.2-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.8-mph mark.. Austin Wells has been unlucky this year, compiling a .241 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .303 — a .062 deviation.

o1.5 +211
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Paul Goldschmidt logo
New York Yankees logo
P. Goldschmidt (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.63 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-4.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Paul Goldschmidt logo
New York Yankees logo
P. Goldschmidt (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.63 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-4.02% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Paul Goldschmidt's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 12.4% to 19.3%.. Paul Goldschmidt has averaged 29.5 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 85th percentile for power.

o1.5 +110
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jose Caballero logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Caballero (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-5.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jose Caballero logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Caballero (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-5.25% EV

ANALYSIS

Jose Caballero is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Colin Rea will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Caballero in today's game.. Among all the teams playing today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs.

u1.5 -180
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Spencer Jones logo
New York Yankees logo
S. Jones (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-16.46% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Spencer Jones logo
New York Yankees logo
S. Jones (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-16.46% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Spencer Jones is projected as the 12th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Spencer Jones has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (78% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 81%.. Hitting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Spencer Jones will have an advantage in today's matchup.

o1.5 +140
FanDuel logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
MONEYLINE
New York Yankees logo
NYY -122 moneyline
NYY PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
2.38% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
New York Yankees logo
NYY -122 moneyline

PROJECTION

NYY PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
2.38% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-122
FanDuel logo
TOTAL
New York Yankees logo Chicago Cubs logo
Over 6.5 Total
8.48 PROJECTION
+2.0 DIFFERENCE
17.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
New York Yankees logo Chicago Cubs logo
Over 6.5 Total

PROJECTION

8.48 PROJECTION
+2.0 DIFFERENCE
17.81% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o6.5 -110
BetMGM logo
SPREAD
Chicago Cubs logo
CHC +1.5 spread
0.49 PROJECTION
-1.0 DIFFERENCE
0.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Chicago Cubs logo
CHC +1.5 spread

PROJECTION

0.49 PROJECTION
-1.0 DIFFERENCE
0.53% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+1.5 -165
Caesars logo
TOTAL HITS
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Busch (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Busch (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.81% EV

ANALYSIS

Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's RF dimensions are the 5th-deepest.. The weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most favorable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.. Michael Busch's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 21.9% to 18%.

u0.5 +120
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs logo
N. Hoerner (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs logo
N. Hoerner (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.05% EV

ANALYSIS

Nico Hoerner is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The weather forecast forecasts the 5th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 15.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Gerrit Cole will hold the platoon advantage against Nico Hoerner in today's matchup.. Nico Hoerner has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.

u0.5 +160
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Ben Rice logo
New York Yankees logo
B. Rice (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ben Rice logo
New York Yankees logo
B. Rice (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.05% EV

ANALYSIS

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. In today's game, Ben Rice is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.7% rate (86th percentile).. Among all the teams playing today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs.. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ben Rice today.. Ben Rice has been lucky this year, notching a .391 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .360 — a .031 deviation.

u0.5 +165
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs logo
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs logo
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.96% EV

ANALYSIS

The weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most favorable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls many of his flyballs (41.2% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Pete Crow-Armstrong's true offensive skill to be a .345, providing some evidence that he has been very fortunate this year given the .047 disparity between that mark and his actual .392 wOBA.

u0.5 +135
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs logo
I. Happ (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs logo
I. Happ (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.41% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Ian Happ is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 81%.. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Gerrit Cole.

o0.5 -112
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Jazz Chisholm Jr. logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Chisholm Jr. (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jazz Chisholm Jr. logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Chisholm Jr. (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.21% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run skill, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 81%.. Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an edge in today's matchup.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has a ton of pop (91st percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (28.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Colin Rea is a pitch-to-contact type (18th percentile K%) — great news for Chisholm Jr..

o1.5 +195
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Trent Grisham logo
New York Yankees logo
T. Grisham (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Trent Grisham logo
New York Yankees logo
T. Grisham (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.34% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Trent Grisham has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.6-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 93.7-mph.. Despite posting a .310 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Trent Grisham has suffered from bad luck given the .044 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .354.

o1.5 +165
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Ben Rice logo
New York Yankees logo
B. Rice (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
12.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ben Rice logo
New York Yankees logo
B. Rice (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
12.11% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ben Rice ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. In the last week, Ben Rice's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.7-mph over the course of the season to 101.6-mph lately.. Ben Rice's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, increasing from 51.8% on the season to 73.3% over the last 7 days.

o1.5 +141
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs logo
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.86 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
10.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs logo
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.86 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
10.54% EV

ANALYSIS

Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most favorable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls many of his flyballs (41.2% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.

u1.5 -190
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Spencer Jones logo
New York Yankees logo
S. Jones (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.67 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
9.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Spencer Jones logo
New York Yankees logo
S. Jones (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.67 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
9.01% EV

ANALYSIS

Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Among all the teams playing today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs.. Spencer Jones will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

u1.5 -260
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Busch (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Busch (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.6% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Michael Busch is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 81%.. Hitting from the opposite that Gerrit Cole throws from, Michael Busch will have an advantage in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

o1.5 +200
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Paul Goldschmidt logo
New York Yankees logo
P. Goldschmidt (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.85 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
6.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Paul Goldschmidt logo
New York Yankees logo
P. Goldschmidt (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.85 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
6.5% EV

ANALYSIS

Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Colin Rea will hold the platoon advantage against Paul Goldschmidt today.. Paul Goldschmidt has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will be challenged by baseball's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams playing today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs.

u1.5 -240
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Michael Conforto logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Conforto (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
1.05 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
4.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Michael Conforto logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Conforto (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.05 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
4.82% EV

ANALYSIS

Michael Conforto will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. Michael Conforto's launch angle recently (30° in the past 14 days) is a significant increase over his 19.3° seasonal figure.. Michael Conforto has notched a .351 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, ranking in the 90th percentile.

o1.5 +317
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Ryan McMahon logo
New York Yankees logo
R. McMahon (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.70 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
4.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ryan McMahon logo
New York Yankees logo
R. McMahon (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.70 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
4.66% EV

ANALYSIS

Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Among all the teams playing today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs.. Ryan McMahon will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

u1.5 -319
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs logo
A. Bregman (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.82 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
4.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs logo
A. Bregman (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.82 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
4.19% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 12th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Gerrit Cole will hold the platoon advantage against Alex Bregman in today's game.. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.

u1.5 -270
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Jose Caballero logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Caballero (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
0.70 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
4.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jose Caballero logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Caballero (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.70 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
4.12% EV

ANALYSIS

Jose Caballero is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most favorable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Among all the teams playing today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs.

u1.5 -340
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Austin Wells logo
New York Yankees logo
A. Wells (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
3.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Austin Wells logo
New York Yankees logo
A. Wells (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
3.75% EV

ANALYSIS

Austin Wells has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 6.8% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the last 7 days.. Austin Wells has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.2-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.8-mph mark.. Austin Wells has been unlucky this year, compiling a .241 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .303 — a .062 deviation.

o1.5 +314
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Jasson Dominguez logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Dominguez (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
3.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jasson Dominguez logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Dominguez (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
3.45% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jasson Dominguez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jasson Dominguez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. The switch-hitting Jasson Dominguez will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Colin Rea.

o1.5 +146
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs logo
S. Suzuki (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.86 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
2.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs logo
S. Suzuki (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.86 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
2.7% EV

ANALYSIS

Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Gerrit Cole will hold the platoon advantage against Seiya Suzuki in today's matchup.. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.. This season, Seiya Suzuki's Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 16.9% last year to just 9.7% this year.

u1.5 -270
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs logo
C. Kelly (C) 1.5 Total Bases
0.71 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
1.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs logo
C. Kelly (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.71 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
1.77% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 20th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most favorable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.

u1.5 -380
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs logo
N. Hoerner (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs logo
N. Hoerner (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.65% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his batting average talent, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Nico Hoerner will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Nico Hoerner has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 89.7-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal average of 86.7-mph.. Nico Hoerner's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 51.2% on the season to 69.8% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

o1.5 +215
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs logo
D. Swanson (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs logo
D. Swanson (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.02% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. The 6th-shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Wrigley Field.. Dansby Swanson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. In the past 14 days, Dansby Swanson's 27.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.7%.. Despite posting a .304 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Dansby Swanson has suffered from bad luck given the .033 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .337.

o1.5 +273
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Trent Grisham logo
New York Yankees logo
T. Grisham (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
6.14% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
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Trent Grisham logo
New York Yankees logo
T. Grisham (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
6.14% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Trent Grisham has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.6-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 93.7-mph.. Despite posting a .310 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Trent Grisham has suffered from bad luck given the .044 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .354.

o0.5 +557
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Busch (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
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Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Busch (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.68% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Michael Busch is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. Hitting from the opposite that Gerrit Cole throws from, Michael Busch will have an advantage in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Over the last 14 days, Michael Busch's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.5-mph over the course of the season to 94.6-mph of late.

o0.5 +760
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Austin Wells logo
New York Yankees logo
A. Wells (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
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Austin Wells logo
New York Yankees logo
A. Wells (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.86% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wells in the 85th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Austin Wells has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 6.8% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the last 7 days.. Austin Wells has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.2-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.8-mph mark.. Austin Wells has been unlucky this year, compiling a .241 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .303 — a .062 deviation.. Austin Wells has averaged 25.4 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 75th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

o0.5 +880
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs logo
N. Hoerner (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.02 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-2.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
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Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs logo
N. Hoerner (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.02 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-2.47% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his home run skill, Nico Hoerner ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nico Hoerner is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Gerrit Cole will hold the platoon advantage against Nico Hoerner in today's matchup.

u0.5 -2778
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jazz Chisholm Jr. logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Chisholm Jr. (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.69% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
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Jazz Chisholm Jr. logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Chisholm Jr. (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.69% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run skill, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 81%.. Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an edge in today's matchup.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has a ton of pop (91st percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (28.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Colin Rea is a pitch-to-contact type (18th percentile K%) — great news for Chisholm Jr..

o0.5 +575
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TOTAL HOME RUNS
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs logo
A. Bregman (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
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Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs logo
A. Bregman (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.16% EV

ANALYSIS

Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Gerrit Cole will hold the platoon advantage against Alex Bregman in today's game.. Alex Bregman's average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 89.9-mph mark last season has lowered to 87.9-mph.. Alex Bregman's exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 91.4-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 88.1-mph over the last 7 days.

u0.5 -1205
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jose Caballero logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Caballero (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
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Jose Caballero logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Caballero (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.18% EV

ANALYSIS

Jose Caballero is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most favorable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jose Caballero in today's matchup.

u0.5 -2222
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TOTAL HOME RUNS
Spencer Jones logo
New York Yankees logo
S. Jones (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
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Spencer Jones logo
New York Yankees logo
S. Jones (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.52% EV

ANALYSIS

Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most favorable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Spencer Jones will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

u0.5 -952
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Paul Goldschmidt logo
New York Yankees logo
P. Goldschmidt (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
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Paul Goldschmidt logo
New York Yankees logo
P. Goldschmidt (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.53% EV

ANALYSIS

Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most favorable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Paul Goldschmidt has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will be challenged by baseball's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Paul Goldschmidt in today's game.

u0.5 -1205
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ben Rice logo
New York Yankees logo
B. Rice (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
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Ben Rice logo
New York Yankees logo
B. Rice (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.63% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ben Rice ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. In the last week, Ben Rice's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.7-mph over the course of the season to 101.6-mph lately.. Ben Rice has compiled a .422 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 100th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

o0.5 +450
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs logo
I. Happ (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.69% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
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Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs logo
I. Happ (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.69% EV

ANALYSIS

Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most favorable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Ian Happ pulls many of his flyballs (35.1% — 82nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-deepest RF fences today.. Ian Happ's average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 89.4-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 85.6-mph over the last week.

u0.5 -800
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs logo
D. Swanson (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.98% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
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Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs logo
D. Swanson (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.98% EV

ANALYSIS

Dansby Swanson is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Hitting from the same side that Gerrit Cole throws from, Dansby Swanson will have a tough challenge in today's game.. Dansby Swanson's average exit velocity has declined recently; his 89.3-mph seasonal average has dropped to 84.9-mph in the last week's worth of games.

u0.5 -1205
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs logo
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
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Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs logo
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.99% EV

ANALYSIS

Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The weather forecast forecasts the 5th-most favorable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 15.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls many of his flyballs (41.2% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Pete Crow-Armstrong's true offensive skill to be a .345, providing some evidence that he has been very fortunate this year given the .047 disparity between that mark and his actual .392 wOBA.

u0.5 -599
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TOTAL HOME RUNS
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs logo
C. Kelly (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
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Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs logo
C. Kelly (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.19% EV

ANALYSIS

Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most favorable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Carson Kelly has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 5.9% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last two weeks.. Carson Kelly has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.9-mph dropping to 84.3-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

u0.5 -2000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs logo
S. Suzuki (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
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Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs logo
S. Suzuki (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.49% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Wrigley Field has the 8th-shallowest fences in Major League Baseball — generally good for dingers.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Seiya Suzuki will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Seiya Suzuki's launch angle in recent games (33.7° in the last week) is quite a bit better than his 18.8° seasonal angle.

o0.5 +750
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Michael Conforto logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Conforto (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.88% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
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Michael Conforto logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Conforto (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.88% EV

ANALYSIS

Michael Conforto is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's RF dimensions are the 5th-deepest.. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most favorable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.

u0.5 -1205
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jasson Dominguez logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Dominguez (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
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Jasson Dominguez logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Dominguez (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.09% EV

ANALYSIS

Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's RF dimensions are the 5th-deepest.. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jasson Dominguez today.. Jasson Dominguez's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 92.3-mph mark last season has dropped to 89.3-mph.

u0.5 -952
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ryan McMahon logo
New York Yankees logo
R. McMahon (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
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Ryan McMahon logo
New York Yankees logo
R. McMahon (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.09% EV

ANALYSIS

Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most favorable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Ryan McMahon will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

u0.5 -1099
bet365 logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Gerrit Cole logo
New York Yankees logo
G. Cole (SP) 6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
5.62 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
9.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
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Gerrit Cole logo
New York Yankees logo
G. Cole (SP) 6.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

5.62 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
9.51% EV

ANALYSIS

It is likely that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Scott Barry) in charge of the strike zone today.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gerrit Cole in today's game.. In his last GS, Gerrit Cole struggled when it came to striking hitters out and only managed to tally 2 Ks.. Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Gerrit Cole has utilized his fastball a lot this year, though: 51.3% of the time, placing in the 100th percentile.

u6.5 -130
bet365 logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Colin Rea logo
Chicago Cubs logo
C. Rea (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown
5.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
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Colin Rea logo
Chicago Cubs logo
C. Rea (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

5.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.2% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Colin Rea in the 17th percentile among all SPs in MLB.. It is likely that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Scott Barry) in charge of the strike zone today.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. The New York Yankees have 7 batters in the projected batting order that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Colin Rea in this game.. In his previous start, Colin Rea struggled when it came to striking batters out and was only able to post 2 Ks.

u5.5 -156
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Busch (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
17.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
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Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Busch (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
17.39% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Michael Busch is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Over the last 14 days, Michael Busch's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.5-mph over the course of the season to 94.6-mph of late.. Michael Busch's launch angle recently (25.6° in the past 7 days) is significantly higher than his 14.6° seasonal mark.

o0.5 +259
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jasson Dominguez logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Dominguez (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
15.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
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Jasson Dominguez logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Dominguez (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
15.85% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jasson Dominguez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jasson Dominguez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. The switch-hitting Jasson Dominguez will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Colin Rea.

o0.5 +226
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs logo
I. Happ (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
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Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs logo
I. Happ (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.07% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Ian Happ is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Gerrit Cole.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Ian Happ will hold that advantage in today's game.

o0.5 +297
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs logo
A. Bregman (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
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Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs logo
A. Bregman (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.66% EV

ANALYSIS

Alex Bregman is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Alex Bregman pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.3% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Alex Bregman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Alex Bregman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, rising from 14.9% on the season to 27.8% in the past week's worth of games.

o0.5 +270
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jazz Chisholm Jr. logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Chisholm Jr. (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
14.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
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Jazz Chisholm Jr. logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Chisholm Jr. (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
14.17% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run skill, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has a ton of pop (91st percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (28.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Colin Rea is a pitch-to-contact type (18th percentile K%) — great news for Chisholm Jr... Jazz Chisholm Jr. has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10% seasonal rate to 20% over the last 14 days.. Over the last 14 days, Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.3-mph over the course of the season to 100.5-mph of late.

o0.5 +225
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ben Rice logo
New York Yankees logo
B. Rice (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
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Ben Rice logo
New York Yankees logo
B. Rice (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.04% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ben Rice ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. In the last week, Ben Rice's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.7-mph over the course of the season to 101.6-mph lately.. Ben Rice's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, increasing from 51.8% on the season to 73.3% over the last 7 days.

o0.5 +204
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Trent Grisham logo
New York Yankees logo
T. Grisham (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Trent Grisham logo
New York Yankees logo
T. Grisham (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.21% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Trent Grisham has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.6-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 93.7-mph.. Despite posting a .310 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Trent Grisham has suffered from bad luck given the .044 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .354.

o0.5 +248
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Austin Wells logo
New York Yankees logo
A. Wells (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Austin Wells logo
New York Yankees logo
A. Wells (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.05% EV

ANALYSIS

Hitting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Austin Wells will have an advantage today.. Austin Wells has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 6.8% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the last 7 days.. Austin Wells has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.2-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.8-mph mark.. Austin Wells has been unlucky this year, compiling a .241 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .303 — a .062 deviation.

o0.5 +360
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs logo
S. Suzuki (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs logo
S. Suzuki (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.97% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The 6th-shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Wrigley Field.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Seiya Suzuki will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Seiya Suzuki's launch angle in recent games (33.7° in the last week) is quite a bit better than his 18.8° seasonal angle.

o0.5 +284
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Michael Conforto logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Conforto (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Michael Conforto logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Conforto (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.93% EV

ANALYSIS

Michael Conforto will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. Michael Conforto's launch angle recently (30° in the past 14 days) is a significant increase over his 19.3° seasonal figure.. Michael Conforto has notched a .351 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, ranking in the 90th percentile.

o0.5 +346
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs logo
D. Swanson (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs logo
D. Swanson (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.78% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. The 6th-shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Wrigley Field.. High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 81%.. Dansby Swanson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. In the past 14 days, Dansby Swanson's 27.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.7%.

o0.5 +332
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs logo
N. Hoerner (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.28 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs logo
N. Hoerner (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.28 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.59% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his batting average talent, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Nico Hoerner will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Nico Hoerner has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 89.7-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal average of 86.7-mph.. Nico Hoerner's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 51.2% on the season to 69.8% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

o0.5 +326
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs logo
C. Kelly (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs logo
C. Kelly (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.12% EV

ANALYSIS

Carson Kelly has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The 6th-shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Wrigley Field.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Using Statcast data, Carson Kelly ranks in the 77th percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .340.. With a 1.56 K/BB rate this year, Carson Kelly has displayed strong plate discipline, checking in at the 85th percentile.

o0.5 +311
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Spencer Jones logo
New York Yankees logo
S. Jones (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-1.15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Spencer Jones logo
New York Yankees logo
S. Jones (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-1.15% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Spencer Jones is projected as the 12th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Spencer Jones has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (78% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Spencer Jones has a ton of pop (84th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (37.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Colin Rea is a pitch-to-contact type (1st percentile K%) — great news for Jones.. Spencer Jones has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o0.5 +263
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Pedro Ramirez logo
Chicago Cubs logo
P. Ramirez (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Pedro Ramirez logo
Chicago Cubs logo
P. Ramirez (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.44% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pedro Ramirez in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Pedro Ramirez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

o0.5 +270
FanDuel logo
TOTAL RBIS
Paul Goldschmidt logo
New York Yankees logo
P. Goldschmidt (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Paul Goldschmidt logo
New York Yankees logo
P. Goldschmidt (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.95% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 81%.. Paul Goldschmidt's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 12.4% to 19.3%.

o0.5 +205
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Busch (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
13.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Busch (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
13.76% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Michael Busch is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Over the last 14 days, Michael Busch's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.5-mph over the course of the season to 94.6-mph of late.. Michael Busch's launch angle recently (25.6° in the past 7 days) is significantly higher than his 14.6° seasonal mark.

o1.5 +138
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ben Rice logo
New York Yankees logo
B. Rice (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.22 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
13.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ben Rice logo
New York Yankees logo
B. Rice (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.22 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
13.42% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ben Rice ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Ben Rice will hold the platoon advantage against Colin Rea in today's matchup.. In the last week, Ben Rice's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.7-mph over the course of the season to 101.6-mph lately.

o1.5 +100
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs logo
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
11.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs logo
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
11.35% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Gerrit Cole throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the upper hand today.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of New York (#1-worst of the day).

o1.5 +108
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Trent Grisham logo
New York Yankees logo
T. Grisham (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
11.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Trent Grisham logo
New York Yankees logo
T. Grisham (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
11.07% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Trent Grisham has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.6-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 93.7-mph.. Despite posting a .310 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Trent Grisham has suffered from bad luck given the .044 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .354.

o1.5 +107
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jazz Chisholm Jr. logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Chisholm Jr. (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
11.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jazz Chisholm Jr. logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Chisholm Jr. (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
11.02% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run skill, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has a ton of pop (91st percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (28.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Colin Rea is a pitch-to-contact type (18th percentile K%) — great news for Chisholm Jr... Jazz Chisholm Jr. has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10% seasonal rate to 20% over the last 14 days.. Over the last 14 days, Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.3-mph over the course of the season to 100.5-mph of late.

o1.5 +120
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jasson Dominguez logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Dominguez (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
9.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jasson Dominguez logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Dominguez (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
9.4% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jasson Dominguez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jasson Dominguez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. The switch-hitting Jasson Dominguez will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Colin Rea.

o1.5 -101
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Michael Conforto logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Conforto (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Michael Conforto logo
Chicago Cubs logo
M. Conforto (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
9% EV

ANALYSIS

High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 81%.. Michael Conforto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gerrit Cole in today's game.. Michael Conforto will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. Michael Conforto's launch angle recently (30° in the past 14 days) is a significant increase over his 19.3° seasonal figure.. Michael Conforto has notched a .351 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, ranking in the 90th percentile.

o1.5 +221
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs logo
D. Swanson (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs logo
D. Swanson (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.44% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. The 6th-shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Wrigley Field.. Dansby Swanson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. In the past 14 days, Dansby Swanson's 27.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.7%.. Despite posting a .304 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Dansby Swanson has suffered from bad luck given the .033 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .337.

o1.5 +179
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs logo
A. Bregman (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs logo
A. Bregman (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.4% EV

ANALYSIS

Alex Bregman is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Alex Bregman pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.3% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Alex Bregman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Alex Bregman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, rising from 14.9% on the season to 27.8% in the past week's worth of games.

o1.5 +136
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs logo
N. Hoerner (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs logo
N. Hoerner (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.28% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his batting average talent, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Nico Hoerner will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Nico Hoerner has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 89.7-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal average of 86.7-mph.. Nico Hoerner's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 51.2% on the season to 69.8% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

o1.5 +140
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ryan McMahon logo
New York Yankees logo
R. McMahon (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
5.38% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ryan McMahon logo
New York Yankees logo
R. McMahon (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
5.38% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 82nd percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 81%.. Ryan McMahon will hold the platoon advantage over Colin Rea today.. Ryan McMahon has a ton of pop (82nd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (30.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Colin Rea struggles to strike batters out (9th percentile K%) — great news for McMahon.

o1.5 +150
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs logo
C. Kelly (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs logo
C. Kelly (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.68% EV

ANALYSIS

Carson Kelly has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The 6th-shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Wrigley Field.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Using Statcast data, Carson Kelly ranks in the 77th percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .340.. With a 1.56 K/BB rate this year, Carson Kelly has displayed strong plate discipline, checking in at the 85th percentile.

o1.5 +163
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Austin Wells logo
New York Yankees logo
A. Wells (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Austin Wells logo
New York Yankees logo
A. Wells (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.09% EV

ANALYSIS

Austin Wells has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 6.8% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the last 7 days.. Austin Wells has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.2-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.8-mph mark.. Austin Wells has been unlucky this year, compiling a .241 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .303 — a .062 deviation.

o1.5 +211
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Paul Goldschmidt logo
New York Yankees logo
P. Goldschmidt (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.63 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-4.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Paul Goldschmidt logo
New York Yankees logo
P. Goldschmidt (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.63 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-4.02% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Paul Goldschmidt's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 12.4% to 19.3%.. Paul Goldschmidt has averaged 29.5 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 85th percentile for power.

o1.5 +110
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jose Caballero logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Caballero (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-5.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jose Caballero logo
New York Yankees logo
J. Caballero (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-5.25% EV

ANALYSIS

Jose Caballero is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Colin Rea will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Caballero in today's game.. Among all the teams playing today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs.

u1.5 -180
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Spencer Jones logo
New York Yankees logo
S. Jones (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-16.46% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
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Spencer Jones logo
New York Yankees logo
S. Jones (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-16.46% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Spencer Jones is projected as the 12th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Spencer Jones has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (78% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. High humidity has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 81%.. Hitting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Spencer Jones will have an advantage in today's matchup.

o1.5 +140
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'Jerrybook' picks NY Yankees at (-139)

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'sportsdool1123' picks NY Yankees vs Chi. Cubs to go Under (6.5)

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'glen2003' picks Chi. Cubs at (105)

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'SPLASH666' picks Chi. Cubs at (105)

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'bamabilly' picks NY Yankees vs Chi. Cubs to go Over (6.5)

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'bamabilly' picks Chi. Cubs at (105)

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'norronpatron' picks NY Yankees vs Chi. Cubs to go Over (6.5)

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