Philadelphia @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

Taijuan Walker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miguel Andujar in today's matchup. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Miguel Andujar has had some very good luck this year. His .343 rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .294.

Taijuan Walker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Steer in today's matchup. When it comes to his batting average, Spencer Steer has had positive variance on his side this year. His .241 figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .223. Spencer Steer's maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to assess power) has been 106.5 mph this year, ranking in the 5th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best ballpark in the majors for righty batting average. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. Harrison Bader will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's game. Harrison Bader pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.7% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the 13th-weakest out of all the teams today.

Bryce Harper projects as the 12th-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #8 venue in the league for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. Bryce Harper has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best ballpark in the majors for righty batting average. Great American Ball Park has the 6th-shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. Edmundo Sosa will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best ballpark in the majors for righty batting average. Great American Ball Park has the 6th-shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 11th-worst among every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best ballpark in the majors for righty batting average. Great American Ball Park has the 6th-shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best ballpark in the majors for righty batting average. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. Tyler Stephenson has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 11th-worst among every team today.

In the past 7 days, Elly De La Cruz's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11% down to 0%. In the past 7 days, Elly De La Cruz's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.1%. Elly De La Cruz has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .350 rate is inflated compared to his .317 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best ballpark in the majors for righty batting average. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 11th-worst among every team today. Ke'Bryan Hayes will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 13th-best batter in the league. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #8 venue in the league for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. Kyle Schwarber pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.3% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Kemp in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best ballpark in the majors for righty batting average. Great American Ball Park has the 6th-shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Otto Kemp will have an advantage in today's game.

J.T. Realmuto's BABIP skill is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 4th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best ballpark in the majors for righty batting average. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. J.T. Realmuto will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best ballpark in the majors for righty batting average. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. Matt McLain has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 11th-worst among every team today.

TJ Friedl is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #8 venue in the league for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. Hitting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, TJ Friedl will have the upper hand in today's matchup. TJ Friedl pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.2% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

Gavin Lux's BABIP skill is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gavin Lux is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #8 venue in the league for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 8th-shallowest RF fences in the league are found in Great American Ball Park. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 8th-best ballpark in the majors for righty batting average. Great American Ball Park has the 6th-shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Weston Wilson will have the upper hand in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the 13th-weakest out of all the teams today.

Austin Hays has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.