LIVE Top 2nd Sep 13
TB 0 -106 o8.0
CHC 0 -102 u8.0
BAL +156 o8.5
TOR -170 u8.5
PIT -109 o9.0
WAS +101 u9.0
TEX +144 o9.0
NYM -157 u9.0
DET -126 o8.5
MIA +116 u8.5
NYY -148 o8.5
BOS +136 u8.5
KC +126 o9.5
PHI -137 u9.5
CHW +151 o7.5
CLE -165 u7.5
AZ +118 o8.5
MIN -128 u8.5
HOU -131 o8.5
ATL +121 u8.5
STL +142 o7.5
MIL -155 u7.5
COL +303 o8.0
SD -346 u8.0
LAD -104 o7.5
SF -104 u7.5
LAA +198 o7.5
SEA -219 u7.5
CIN -112 o9.0
ATH +104 u9.0

Atlanta @ Texas Picks & Props

ATL vs TEX Picks

MLB Picks
MoneyLine
Texas Rangers logo TEX (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Jason Ence image
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst

The Rangers are getting productivity at the plate, with 20 of their 41 hits since the All-Star break going to extra bases including eight home runs. And they’re facing an Atlanta team that has been abysmal on the road, is reeling from the losses in their pitching staff, and has a bullpen that continues to surrender leads. Grant Holmes hasn’t had a bad season, but he’s below the league average in nearly every advanced metric outside strikeouts and whiff rate. More importantly, he’s getting little run support with the Braves scoring two or fewer runs in four of his last five starts. Kumar Rocker’s ERA of 5.66 might scare you away from Texas here. But there’s a massive split between his home ERA — 1.84 in five starts — compared to what he’s done on the road — 9.91 in six starts — that must be taken into consideration. Opponents are also hitting just .187 against him at Globe Life Field.

Total RBIs
Sean Murphy logo
Sean Murphy o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 95th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Globe Life Field has the 6th-shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Sean Murphy has made big strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 9.6% rate last year to 14.6% this year.. With a .358 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Sean Murphy finds himself in the 84th percentile.. Sean Murphy has hit 42.6 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 98th percentile for power.
Total RBIs
Marcell Ozuna logo
Marcell Ozuna o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Globe Life Field has the 6th-shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. In notching a .343 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Marcell Ozuna finds himself in the 79th percentile for offensive ability.. Posting a 1.37 K/BB rate this year, Marcell Ozuna has displayed favorable plate discipline, grading out in the 91st percentile.
Total RBIs
Adolis Garcia logo
Adolis Garcia o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run skill, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. Globe Life Field has the 6th-shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's game.. Adolis Garcia's launch angle this year (18.3°) is considerably better than his 14.8° angle last year.
Total RBIs
Ozzie Albies logo
Ozzie Albies o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Globe Life Field has the 6th-shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Last year, Ozzie Albies had an average launch angle of 14.2° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 17.2°.. Despite posting a .278 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ozzie Albies has had bad variance on his side given the .039 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .317.
Total RBIs
Drake Baldwin logo
Drake Baldwin o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Drake Baldwin ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Drake Baldwin is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. Globe Life Field has the 6th-shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Hitting from the opposite that Kumar Rocker throws from, Drake Baldwin will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Drake Baldwin's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (25.1° over the last two weeks) is a considerable increase over his 11° seasonal angle.
Total RBIs
Michael Harris II logo
Michael Harris II o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Globe Life Field has the 6th-shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Batting from the opposite that Kumar Rocker throws from, Michael Harris II will have an edge today.. Michael Harris II has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.3-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 89-mph average.. Over the past 7 days, Michael Harris II's 57.9% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40.3%.
Total Bases
Adolis Garcia logo
Adolis Garcia u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Globe Life Field as the worst field in the game for run-scoring.. Among all stadiums, Globe Life Field's centerfield dimensions are the 7th-deepest.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -12° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching.. Grant Holmes will have the handedness advantage over Adolis Garcia in today's game.. Adolis Garcia's average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 92.4-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 88.1-mph in the last week.
Outs Recorded
Grant Holmes logo
Grant Holmes u17.5 Outs Recorded (+114)
Projection 16.8 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
The Texas Rangers have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in future games. Globe Life Field has the 6th-shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Grant Holmes in today's matchup.. Grant Holmes's 4th percentile BB% (11.2% this year) displays his weak control ability.. Placing 2nd-steepest in Major League Baseball this year, Texas Rangers bats as a unit have notched a 15.8° launch angle (a reliable standard to measure the ability to lift the ball for power).
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Jonah Heim logo
Jonah Heim o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-179)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Globe Life Field has the 6th-shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Jonah Heim will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 11.1% to 15.2%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Matt Olson logo
Matt Olson o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-130)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Matt Olson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Globe Life Field has the 6th-shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Hitting from the opposite that Kumar Rocker throws from, Matt Olson will have an advantage today.. Matt Olson has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last year's 91.3-mph mark.
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ATL vs TEX Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

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ATL vs TEX Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Corey Seager Total Hits Props • Texas

Corey Seager
C. Seager
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Globe Life Field projects as the #29 venue in the league for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all stadiums, Globe Life Field's centerfield dimensions are the 7th-deepest. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -12° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching. Corey Seager's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 21.5% to 15.7%. Corey Seager has been unlucky this year, posting a .372 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .379 — a .007 disparity.

Corey Seager

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Globe Life Field projects as the #29 venue in the league for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all stadiums, Globe Life Field's centerfield dimensions are the 7th-deepest. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -12° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching. Corey Seager's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 21.5% to 15.7%. Corey Seager has been unlucky this year, posting a .372 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .379 — a .007 disparity.

Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Michael Harris II
M. Harris II
center outfield CF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Batting from the opposite that Kumar Rocker throws from, Michael Harris II will have an edge today. Michael Harris II has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.3-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 89-mph average. Over the past 7 days, Michael Harris II's 57.9% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40.3%. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Michael Harris II has suffered from bad luck this year. His .247 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .293.

Michael Harris II

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Batting from the opposite that Kumar Rocker throws from, Michael Harris II will have an edge today. Michael Harris II has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.3-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 89-mph average. Over the past 7 days, Michael Harris II's 57.9% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40.3%. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Michael Harris II has suffered from bad luck this year. His .247 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .293.

Jurickson Profar Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Jurickson Profar
J. Profar
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Jurickson Profar has compiled a .358 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 91st percentile. In terms of plate discipline, Jurickson Profar's ability is quite good, sporting a 1.38 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 96th percentile.

Jurickson Profar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Jurickson Profar has compiled a .358 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 91st percentile. In terms of plate discipline, Jurickson Profar's ability is quite good, sporting a 1.38 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 96th percentile.

Josh Jung Total Hits Props • Texas

Josh Jung
J. Jung
third base 3B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Josh Jung will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Josh Jung

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Josh Jung will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Evan Carter Total Hits Props • Texas

Evan Carter
E. Carter
center outfield CF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Evan Carter is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Evan Carter will have the handedness advantage against Grant Holmes in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Evan Carter will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.5°, Evan Carter has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 39.3° angle in the past week's worth of games. Evan Carter has shown good plate discipline this year, grading out in the 76th percentile with a 2 K/BB rate.

Evan Carter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Evan Carter is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Evan Carter will have the handedness advantage against Grant Holmes in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Evan Carter will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.5°, Evan Carter has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 39.3° angle in the past week's worth of games. Evan Carter has shown good plate discipline this year, grading out in the 76th percentile with a 2 K/BB rate.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Matt Olson
M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Matt Olson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Kumar Rocker throws from, Matt Olson will have an advantage today. Matt Olson has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last year's 91.3-mph mark. Matt Olson's launch angle recently (21.8° over the last two weeks) is a significant increase over his 14.2° seasonal angle.

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Matt Olson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Kumar Rocker throws from, Matt Olson will have an advantage today. Matt Olson has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last year's 91.3-mph mark. Matt Olson's launch angle recently (21.8° over the last two weeks) is a significant increase over his 14.2° seasonal angle.

Drake Baldwin Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Drake Baldwin
D. Baldwin
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Drake Baldwin ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Drake Baldwin is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Kumar Rocker throws from, Drake Baldwin will have an advantage in today's matchup. Drake Baldwin's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (25.1° over the last two weeks) is a considerable increase over his 11° seasonal angle. Based on Statcast data, Drake Baldwin grades out in the 82nd percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .347.

Drake Baldwin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Drake Baldwin ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Drake Baldwin is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Kumar Rocker throws from, Drake Baldwin will have an advantage in today's matchup. Drake Baldwin's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (25.1° over the last two weeks) is a considerable increase over his 11° seasonal angle. Based on Statcast data, Drake Baldwin grades out in the 82nd percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .347.

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Ozzie Albies
O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Last year, Ozzie Albies had an average launch angle of 14.2° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 17.2°.

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Last year, Ozzie Albies had an average launch angle of 14.2° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 17.2°.

Marcus Semien Total Hits Props • Texas

Marcus Semien
M. Semien
second base 2B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Marcus Semien is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Marcus Semien will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Marcus Semien's launch angle this season (20.4°) is a considerable increase over his 16.7° figure last season. Marcus Semien's launch angle lately (31.6° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 20.4° seasonal mark.

Marcus Semien

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Marcus Semien is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Marcus Semien will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Marcus Semien's launch angle this season (20.4°) is a considerable increase over his 16.7° figure last season. Marcus Semien's launch angle lately (31.6° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 20.4° seasonal mark.

Wyatt Langford Total Hits Props • Texas

Wyatt Langford
W. Langford
left outfield LF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Wyatt Langford will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Wyatt Langford

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Wyatt Langford will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Marcell Ozuna
M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. In notching a .343 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Marcell Ozuna finds himself in the 79th percentile for offensive ability. Posting a 1.37 K/BB rate this year, Marcell Ozuna has displayed favorable plate discipline, grading out in the 91st percentile.

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. In notching a .343 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Marcell Ozuna finds himself in the 79th percentile for offensive ability. Posting a 1.37 K/BB rate this year, Marcell Ozuna has displayed favorable plate discipline, grading out in the 91st percentile.

Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Austin Riley
A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Austin Riley ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Austin Riley is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Austin Riley has had some very poor luck this year. His .327 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .351. Austin Riley's 15.4% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) grades out in the 92nd percentile this year. Austin Riley's 92.5-mph average exit velocity is among the best in baseball this year: 91st percentile.

Austin Riley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Austin Riley ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Austin Riley is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Austin Riley has had some very poor luck this year. His .327 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .351. Austin Riley's 15.4% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) grades out in the 92nd percentile this year. Austin Riley's 92.5-mph average exit velocity is among the best in baseball this year: 91st percentile.

Adolis Garcia Total Hits Props • Texas

Adolis Garcia
A. Garcia
right outfield RF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's game. Adolis Garcia's launch angle this year (18.3°) is considerably better than his 14.8° angle last year.

Adolis Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's game. Adolis Garcia's launch angle this year (18.3°) is considerably better than his 14.8° angle last year.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Ronald Acuna Jr.
R. Acuna Jr.
right outfield RF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks as the 5th-best batter in the majors. Ronald Acuna Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Ronald Acuna Jr. has made big gains with his Barrel%, improving his 9.5% rate last season to 19.2% this year. Ronald Acuna Jr. has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 19.2% seasonal rate to 26.3% in the past two weeks' worth of games. In the last week's worth of games, Ronald Acuna Jr.'s 30% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16%.

Ronald Acuna Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks as the 5th-best batter in the majors. Ronald Acuna Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Ronald Acuna Jr. has made big gains with his Barrel%, improving his 9.5% rate last season to 19.2% this year. Ronald Acuna Jr. has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 19.2% seasonal rate to 26.3% in the past two weeks' worth of games. In the last week's worth of games, Ronald Acuna Jr.'s 30% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16%.

Josh Smith Total Hits Props • Texas

Josh Smith
J. Smith
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Josh Smith is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Josh Smith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grant Holmes today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Josh Smith will hold that advantage today. Josh Smith has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, ranking in the 78th percentile with a 1.75 K/BB rate. Josh Smith has notched a .278 batting average this year, placing in the 82nd percentile.

Josh Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Josh Smith is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Josh Smith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grant Holmes today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Josh Smith will hold that advantage today. Josh Smith has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, ranking in the 78th percentile with a 1.75 K/BB rate. Josh Smith has notched a .278 batting average this year, placing in the 82nd percentile.

Jonah Heim Total Hits Props • Texas

Jonah Heim
J. Heim
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Jonah Heim will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 11.1% to 15.2%.

Jonah Heim

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Jonah Heim will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 11.1% to 15.2%.

Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Sean Murphy
S. Murphy
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. With a .357 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Sean Murphy finds himself in the 85th percentile.

Sean Murphy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. With a .357 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Sean Murphy finds himself in the 85th percentile.

Rowdy Tellez Total Hits Props • Texas

Rowdy Tellez
R. Tellez
first base 1B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Rowdy Tellez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grant Holmes in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Rowdy Tellez will hold that advantage today. The Barrel% of Rowdy Tellez has significantly improved, with an increase from 8.1% last year to 15.5% this season. Rowdy Tellez has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.3-mph average to last season's 92.1-mph EV. Compared to last year, Rowdy Tellez has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 12% to 17.6% this season.

Rowdy Tellez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Rowdy Tellez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grant Holmes in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Rowdy Tellez will hold that advantage today. The Barrel% of Rowdy Tellez has significantly improved, with an increase from 8.1% last year to 15.5% this season. Rowdy Tellez has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.3-mph average to last season's 92.1-mph EV. Compared to last year, Rowdy Tellez has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 12% to 17.6% this season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Last Meeting ( Jul 25, 2025 ) Atlanta 3, Texas 8

The Texas Rangers have won six of seven games since the All-Star break and will look to continue that roll when they clash with the sputtering Atlanta Braves on Saturday in the middle game of a three-game interleague series in Arlington, Texas.

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