Chicago @ New York Picks & Props

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 7th-best batter in the league. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Tucker has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Kyle Tucker pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the worst among every team today.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Pete Crow-Armstrong will probably have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees has just 1 same-handed RP. Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the worst among every team today.

Yankee Stadium projects as the #28 field in the league for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Yankee Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Chris Flexen will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Judge today. Aaron Judge hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 6th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Aaron Judge generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Chris Flexen.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Ian Happ is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the worst among every team today. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Ian Happ has had some very poor luck this year. His .313 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .339. In terms of plate discipline, Ian Happ's ability is quite impressive, putting up a 1.74 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 78th percentile.

Yankee Stadium projects as the #28 field in the league for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Yankee Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nico Hoerner today. Nico Hoerner's 2.2% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) is in the 6th percentile this year. This year, the hardest ball Nico Hoerner has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 104.7 mph (a reliable metric to measure power), placing in the 2nd percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dansby Swanson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon today. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the worst among every team today. Dansby Swanson's launch angle this season (14.2°) is quite a bit higher than his 10.2° figure last season. Dansby Swanson has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season's 27.82 ft/sec to 28.35 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Carson Kelly is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Carson Kelly will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon today. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the worst among every team today. Carson Kelly has made significant strides with his Barrel%, improving his 6.6% rate last season to 12% this season. This season, Carson Kelly has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.3 mph compared to last year's 91.4 mph mark.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Michael Busch ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Busch can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the worst among every team today. Michael Busch's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 18.1% to 22.9%. Michael Busch has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite well of late, compiling a 27° angle on such balls in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jon Berti in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Jon Berti will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's matchup. Jon Berti has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Jon Berti usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Carlos Rodon. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the worst among every team today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 19th-best hitter in the league. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Seiya Suzuki will have the upper hand today. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the worst among every team today. Seiya Suzuki has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 11.5% rate last year to 19.6% this season.

Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Matt Shaw will have an advantage today. Matt Shaw has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the worst among every team today. Matt Shaw has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .259 figure is a good deal lower than his .302 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the handedness advantage against Chris Flexen in today's matchup. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.8% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold that advantage today.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage today. Anthony Volpe has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite well recently, posting a 19.6° angle on such balls in the last 7 days. Anthony Volpe has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial talent for batting average), grading out in the 99th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ranking in the 75th percentile, Paul Goldschmidt has hit 40.4% of his balls in the air this year with a velocity of at least 100 mph. Paul Goldschmidt has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 17.4° angle is among the highest in the game this year (90th percentile). Paul Goldschmidt has recorded a .292 batting average this year, placing in the 91st percentile.

Hitting from the opposite that Chris Flexen throws from, J.C. Escarra will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and J.C. Escarra will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, J.C. Escarra has experienced some negative variance this year. His .302 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .335.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Ben Rice is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Batting from the opposite that Chris Flexen throws from, Ben Rice will have an advantage today. Ben Rice pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Ben Rice will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Austin Wells will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Flexen in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Austin Wells will hold that advantage today. Austin Wells's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 90.9-mph now compared to just 88.4-mph then. There has been a significant improvement in Austin Wells's launch angle from last year's 16.9° to 20.5° this season. Austin Wells has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite well of late, compiling a 21.8° angle on such balls in the past week.

Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Giancarlo Stanton will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. There has been a significant improvement in Giancarlo Stanton's launch angle from last season's 14.3° to 22.5° this season. By putting up a .334 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Giancarlo Stanton grades out in the 79th percentile for offensive ability.

Batting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Justin Turner will have the upper hand in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the worst among every team today. Compared to last year, Justin Turner has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 19.1% to 27.1% this season. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Justin Turner has had bad variance on his side this year. His .265 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .307. Justin Turner has exhibited favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 93rd percentile with a 1.56 K/BB rate.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Oswald Peraza will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.271) may lead us to conclude that Oswald Peraza has been unlucky this year with his .215 actual wOBA. Oswald Peraza's maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to study power) has been 111.8 mph since the start of last season, checking in at the 76th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Jasson Dominguez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (70% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. The switch-hitting Jasson Dominguez will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Chris Flexen. Jasson Dominguez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Jasson Dominguez's quickness has improved this year. His 28.03 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.78 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Cody Bellinger will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Flexen in today's matchup. Cody Bellinger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Cody Bellinger will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.