Philadelphia @ Miami Picks & Props

The #8 ballpark in the game for suppressing batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Hitting from the same side that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Nick Castellanos will have a tough challenge in today's game. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team in action today. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nick Castellanos in today's matchup.

The #8 ballpark in the game for suppressing batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Sandy Alcantara will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alec Bohm in today's game. Alec Bohm has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team in action today.

The #8 ballpark in the game for suppressing batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Batting from the same side that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Trea Turner encounters a tough challenge in today's game. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team in action today. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Trea Turner in today's matchup.

The #8 ballpark in the game for suppressing batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Mick Abel will hold the platoon advantage against Otto Lopez today. Otto Lopez has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-deepest RF fences today. In the past two weeks, Otto Lopez's 7.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers as the 10th-best batter in baseball when assessing his BABIP ability. The weather report expects the 4th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Dane Myers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Dane Myers are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Mick Abel. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense grades out as the 13th-best among every team in action today.

The weather report expects the 4th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Eric Wagaman hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense grades out as the 13th-best among every team in action today. Eric Wagaman will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Eric Wagaman has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.1-mph to 96.2-mph over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 8th-worst park in the league for left-handed batting average. LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Xavier Edwards has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.6%) and will be challenged by the game's 10th-deepest LF fences today. Xavier Edwards's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 87.1-mph mark last season has fallen off to 84.6-mph. Over the past week, Xavier Edwards's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal figure of 84.6 mph to 82.1 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. The weather report expects the 4th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage against Sandy Alcantara today. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Schwarber stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Connor Norby's BABIP skill is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). LoanDepot Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. The weather report expects the 4th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense grades out as the 13th-best among every team in action today. Connor Norby will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The weather report expects the 4th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Mick Abel throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an advantage today. Extreme flyball hitters like Jesus Sanchez are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Mick Abel.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The weather report expects the 4th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. J.T. Realmuto's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, rising from 44.7% on the season to 61.1% in the last week's worth of games. Despite posting a .300 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes J.T. Realmuto has had some very poor luck given the .032 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .332.

The weather report expects the 4th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Liam Hicks will hold the platoon advantage against Mick Abel in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense grades out as the 13th-best among every team in action today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Liam Hicks will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Kemp in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The weather report expects the 4th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Otto Kemp has hit one of the hardest balls in baseball over the past week — 109.1-mph — which is a favorable proxy for recent form and raw power. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Otto Kemp has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, compiling a 25.1° angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The weather report expects the 4th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Bryson Stott will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara today. Bryson Stott is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.2°, Bryson Stott has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 27.5° figure in the last two weeks.

Max Kepler is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The weather report expects the 4th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Max Kepler will hold the platoon advantage over Sandy Alcantara today. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Max Kepler can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. In the past 7 days, Max Kepler's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.1% up to 30.8%.

Agustin Ramirez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. LoanDepot Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. The weather report expects the 4th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense grades out as the 13th-best among every team in action today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Agustin Ramirez will hold that advantage in today's game.

Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report expects the 4th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Kyle Stowers will have the handedness advantage over Mick Abel today. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense grades out as the 13th-best among every team in action today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 5th-best batter in the league when it comes to his BABIP ability. The weather report expects the 4th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an edge in today's game. Brandon Marsh has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP. Brandon Marsh has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 8.9% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the past 7 days.