Boston @ Detroit Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Comerica Park as the 10th-worst park in the league for LHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces. In today's game, Jarren Duran is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 40.6% rate (98th percentile). Jarren Duran will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. In the past 7 days, Jarren Duran's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.2% down to 0%.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today at 83%. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 9th-weakest among all the teams today. Grading out in the 90th percentile, Connor Wong has posted a .331 BABIP since the start of last season.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 19th-best batter in the league. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today at 83%. Batting from the opposite that Keider Montero throws from, Rafael Devers will have an edge in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 6th-best batter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill. Riley Greene is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today at 83%. Because of Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Riley Greene will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell as the 11th-best hitter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP ability. Kristian Campbell is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today at 83%. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 9th-weakest among all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Kerry Carpenter is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today at 83%. Because of Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Kerry Carpenter will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today at 83%. David Hamilton will have the handedness advantage over Keider Montero in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 9th-weakest among all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today at 83%. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Gleyber Torres will hold that advantage today.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today at 83%. Trey Sweeney will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's game... and moreover, Bello has a large platoon split. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Trey Sweeney will hold that advantage in today's game. Trey Sweeney's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, rising from 40% on the season to 57.1% in the past week.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today at 83%. Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage against Keider Montero today.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today at 83%. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 9th-weakest among all the teams today. Ceddanne Rafaela has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 14.1% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the past 14 days. Ceddanne Rafaela has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.7-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 91.3-mph figure.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today at 83%. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 9th-weakest among all the teams today. In the last week, Carlos Narvaez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89-mph over the course of the season to 105.8-mph lately. Carlos Narvaez's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls lately (14.5° in the past 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 9.5° seasonal angle.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today at 83%. Hitters such as Spencer Torkelson with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brayan Bello who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Zach McKinstry is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today at 83%. Zach McKinstry will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Bello has a large platoon split. Zach McKinstry will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Colt Keith is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today at 83%. Given Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Colt Keith will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today at 83%. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 9th-weakest among all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today at 83%. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 9th-weakest among all the teams today. In the past week's worth of games, Trevor Story's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.6% up to 20%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Alex Bregman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today at 83%. Extreme groundball bats like Alex Bregman are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Keider Montero.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today at 83%. Dillon Dingler will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. In the last week's worth of games, Dillon Dingler's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93-mph over the course of the season to 101.6-mph lately. Dillon Dingler's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, going from 45.2% on the season to 62.5% over the past week.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today at 83%. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 9th-weakest among all the teams today. With a .261 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Nick Sogard finds himself in the 80th percentile.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today at 83%. Given Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Jace Jung will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Jace Jung will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. In the past 14 days, Jace Jung has averaged an impressive 99.7-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced indicator of home run potential.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today at 83%. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Javier Baez will hold that advantage in today's game.