Philadelphia @ New York Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the worst ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to worse offense. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bryce Harper today. Bryce Harper has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .382 mark is inflated compared to his .361 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the worst field in MLB for righty batting average. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to worse offense. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Taijuan Walker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Iglesias in today's game. Jose Iglesias's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 84-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 68.2-mph in the past week's worth of games.

When assessing his batting average ability, Trea Turner is projected as the 16th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in Citi Field. Among every team playing today, the 8th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Over the last week, Trea Turner's 64.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.8%.

Johan Rojas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Johan Rojas's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 86.2-mph over the course of the season to 91.9-mph recently.

When assessing his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brandon Marsh will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Severino today. Brandon Marsh has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among every team playing today, the 8th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Brandon Marsh has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 9.6% seasonal rate to 28.6% over the last week.

J.T. Realmuto's BABIP skill is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in Citi Field. Among every team playing today, the 8th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Over the last week, J.T. Realmuto's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10% up to 16.7%. J.T. Realmuto's launch angle of late (26.3° in the last two weeks) is significantly better than his 9.5° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. The shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in Citi Field. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 11th-weakest among every team on the slate today. J.D. Martinez will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. J.D. Martinez has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 15.4% seasonal rate to 30% over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Nick Castellanos is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in Citi Field. Among every team playing today, the 8th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Compared to last year, Nick Castellanos has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 15% to 18.8% this season.

The shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in Citi Field. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 11th-weakest among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past two weeks, Francisco Alvarez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.7-mph over the course of the season to 98.9-mph of late. Francisco Alvarez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 31.1% to 38.3%.

When estimating his batting average ability, Alec Bohm is projected as the 20th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alec Bohm is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. The shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in Citi Field. Among every team playing today, the 8th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. By putting up a .299 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Alec Bohm is positioned in the 97th percentile.

Tyrone Taylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (35% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 11th-weakest among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Tyrone Taylor has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.6-mph to 97.8-mph in the past 7 days. Tyrone Taylor's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 38.1% to 49.1%.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Pete Alonso ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. The shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in Citi Field. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 11th-weakest among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesse Winker in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Jesse Winker is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Jesse Winker will hold the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's game. Jesse Winker has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 11th-weakest among every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Batting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have the upper hand today. Kyle Schwarber hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 8th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Bryson Stott will have the handedness advantage over Luis Severino today. Bryson Stott has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among every team playing today, the 8th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Bryson Stott's launch angle this year (14.4°) is significantly better than his 9.9° figure last year.

Mark Vientos is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 11th-weakest among every team on the slate today. Mark Vientos will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Mark Vientos has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 102.1-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 96.4-mph.

Cal Stevenson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Severino today. Cal Stevenson hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 8th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Cal Stevenson's quickness has gotten better this year. His 26.18 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.22 ft/sec now.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Brandon Nimmo will hold the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's game. Brandon Nimmo has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 11th-weakest among every team on the slate today.

Starling Marte has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.