MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 14, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

SD logo
SD
SD

4.05 @ 4.12

CLE
CLE logo
CLE

Padres vs Guardians · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SD logo
SD
SD

4.05

+111

o6.5 -145

+1.5 -190

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.12

-115

u7.5 -125

-1.5 +188

Washington @ NY Mets
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

5.02 @ 4.51

NYM
NYM logo
NYM

Nationals vs Mets · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

5.02

+106

o8.5 -105

+1.5 -193

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.51

-114

u8.5 -102

-1.5 +165

Baltimore @ Tampa Bay
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

4.71 @ 4.90

TB
TB logo
TB

Orioles vs Rays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

4.71

+150

o8.0 -110

+1.5 -145

TB logo
TB
TB

4.90

-148

u8.5 -120

-1.5 +136

Top Projection Tyler O'Neill o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
o1.5+210
NY Yankees @ Toronto
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

5.13 @ 4.25

TOR
TOR logo
TOR

Yankees vs Blue Jays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

5.13

-142

o7.5 -115

-1.5 +120

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.25

+137

u8.0 -118

+1.5 -125

Top Projection Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
o1.5+170
Arizona @ Atlanta
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.31 @ 5.31

ATL
ATL logo
ATL

Diamondbacks vs Braves · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.31

+180

o7.5 -120

+1.5 -115

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

5.31

-190

u8.0 -107

-1.5 +110

Top Projection Tim Tawa o0.5 Total RBIs (+330)
o0.5+330
Seattle @ Houston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.29 @ 4.06

HOU
HOU logo
HOU

Mariners vs Astros · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.29

+112

o8.0 -112

+1.5 -180

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

4.06

-119

u8.5 -115

-1.5 +170

Top Projection Taylor Ward o0.5 Total Home Runs (+750)
o0.5+750
Kansas City @ LA Angels
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

KC logo
KC
KC

4.07 @ 4.29

LAA
LAA logo
LAA

Royals vs Angels · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

KC logo
KC
KC

4.07

-105

o6.0 -435

-1.5 +160

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

4.29

+100

u8.5 -105

+1.5 -170

Top Projection Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
o0.5+190
Texas @ Athletics
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.70 @ 4.78

ATH
ATH logo
ATH

Rangers vs Athletics · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.70

-103

o9.0 -118

+1.5 -235

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

4.78

-102

u9.5 -115

-1.5 +175

Top Projection Ezequiel Duran o0.5 Total RBIs (+198)
o0.5+198
Milwaukee @ LA Dodgers
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

3.46 @ 4.74

LAD
LAD logo
LAD

Brewers vs Dodgers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

3.46

+165

o7.5 -105

+1.5 -135

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

4.74

-168

u8.0 -125

-1.5 +125

Top Projection Andrew Vaughn o0.5 Total RBIs (+262)
o0.5+262
Colorado @ San Francisco
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

COL logo
COL
COL

3.83 @ 3.89

SF
SF logo
SF

Rockies vs Giants · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

COL logo
COL
COL

3.83

+125

o7.5 +100

+1.5 -170

SF logo
SF
SF

3.89

-130

u8.0 -120

-1.5 +160

Chi. White Sox @ Detroit
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.64 @ 4.53

DET
DET logo
DET

White Sox vs Tigers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.64

+130

o7.5 -115

+1.5 -155

DET logo
DET
DET

4.53

-140

u8.0 -105

-1.5 +160

St. Louis @ Chi. Cubs
Matchup Stats
NY Yankees @ Toronto
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

5.07 @ 3.93

TOR
TOR logo
TOR

Yankees vs Blue Jays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

5.07

--

--

--

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

3.93

--

--

--

Colorado @ San Francisco
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

COL logo
COL
COL

3.93 @ 4.49

SF
SF logo
SF

Rockies vs Giants · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

COL logo
COL
COL

3.93

+165

o7.5 -110

+1.5 -125

SF logo
SF
SF

4.49

-175

u8.0 -118

-1.5 +126

Washington @ NY Mets
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

3.83 @ 4.45

NYM
NYM logo
NYM

Nationals vs Mets · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

3.83

--

--

--

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.45

--

--

--

Baltimore @ Tampa Bay
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

4.22 @ 4.23

TB
TB logo
TB

Orioles vs Rays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

4.22

+133

o7.5 +105

+1.5 -160

TB logo
TB
TB

4.23

-136

u7.5 -115

-1.5 +170

Miami @ Cincinnati
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

5.69 @ 5.32

CIN
CIN logo
CIN

Marlins vs Reds · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

5.69

+100

o9.0 -120

-1.5 +160

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

5.32

-110

u9.5 -115

+1.5 -170

San Diego @ Cleveland
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SD logo
SD
SD

4.55 @ 4.42

CLE
CLE logo
CLE

Padres vs Guardians · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SD logo
SD
SD

4.55

--

o8.0 -125

+1.5 -190

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.42

--

u8.0 +105

-1.5 +155

Philadelphia @ Minnesota
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

4.91 @ 3.99

MIN
MIN logo
MIN

Phillies vs Twins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

4.91

-143

o8.0 -110

-1.5 +120

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

3.99

+135

u8.5 -120

+1.5 -130

Seattle @ Houston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.38 @ 4.52

HOU
HOU logo
HOU

Mariners vs Astros · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.38

+110

o8.0 -125

+1.5 -180

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

4.52

-118

u8.5 -105

-1.5 +170

Boston @ Pittsburgh
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.62 @ 4.27

PIT
PIT logo
PIT

Red Sox vs Pirates · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.62

-115

o7.5 -115

-1.5 +145

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.27

+110

u8.0 -119

+1.5 -155

Arizona @ Atlanta
Matchup Stats
Milwaukee @ LA Dodgers
Matchup Stats
Kansas City @ LA Angels
Matchup Stats
Texas @ Athletics
Matchup Stats
Baltimore @ Tampa Bay
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Orioles vs Rays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

--

--

--

--

TB logo
TB
TB

--

--

--

--

Boston @ Pittsburgh
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Red Sox vs Pirates · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

--

--

--

--

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

--

--

--

--

Arizona @ Atlanta
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Diamondbacks vs Braves · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

--

--

--

--

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

--

--

--

--

NY Yankees @ Toronto
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Yankees vs Blue Jays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

--

--

--

--

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

--

--

--

--

Miami @ Cincinnati
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Marlins vs Reds · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

--

--

--

--

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

--

--

--

--

San Diego @ Cleveland
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Padres vs Guardians · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SD logo
SD
SD

--

--

--

--

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

--

--

--

--

Washington @ NY Mets
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Nationals vs Mets · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

--

--

--

--

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

--

--

--

--

Chi. White Sox @ Detroit
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

White Sox vs Tigers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

--

--

--

--

DET logo
DET
DET

--

--

--

--

Philadelphia @ Minnesota
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Phillies vs Twins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

--

--

--

--

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

--

--

--

--

St. Louis @ Chi. Cubs
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Cardinals vs Cubs · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

STL logo
STL
STL

--

--

--

--

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

--

--

--

--

Colorado @ San Francisco
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Rockies vs Giants · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

COL logo
COL
COL

--

--

--

--

SF logo
SF
SF

--

--

--

--

Texas @ Athletics
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Rangers vs Athletics · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

--

--

--

--

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

--

--

--

--

Kansas City @ LA Angels
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Royals vs Angels · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

KC logo
KC
KC

--

--

--

--

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

--

--

--

--

Milwaukee @ LA Dodgers
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Brewers vs Dodgers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

--

--

--

--

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

--

--

--

--

San Diego Padres logo SD @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Fri, Aug 14 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Jake Cronenworth logo
Jake Cronenworth o1.5 Total Bases (+220)
Projection 1.28
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. Progressive Field grades out as the #2 venue in the game for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to better offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an advantage in today's game.. Jake Cronenworth has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Manny Machado logo
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 45 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Progressive Field grades out as the #2 venue in baseball for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 2nd-shallowest LF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Progressive Field.. Manny Machado has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.1-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 90.6-mph mark.
View 11 Picks
Washington Nationals logo WAS @ New York Mets logo NYM Fri, Aug 14 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Jose Tena logo
Jose Tena o1.5 Total Bases (+220)
Projection 1.41
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 4th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°.. Because of Robert Stock's large platoon split, Jose Tena will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.. Jose Tena has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Among every team playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Mets.
Total Bases
Daylen Lile logo
Daylen Lile o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Daylen Lile's batting average ability is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Daylen Lile is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 4th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°.. Daylen Lile will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Robert Stock today... and the cherry on top, Stock has a large platoon split.. Daylen Lile has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
View 10 Picks
Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Fri, Aug 14 • 7:10 PM ET
Game Prop
Baltimore Orioles logo o1.5 Team Total (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Baltimore Orioles offense is in an excellent spot to attack the Tampa Bay Rays' pitching plan tonight. Tampa Bay is expected to use Steven Matz as the opener before handing the ball to Jesse Scholtens, creating a matchup worth targeting. Baltimore ranks 17th in first-five scoring at roughly 2.44 runs per game, while the offense has been much better lately, posting a 123 wRC+, .349 wOBA, .795 OPS and .209 ISO over its last six games. The Orioles are also generating a 47.7% hard-hit rate and 10.5% barrel rate during that stretch. With Scholtens carrying the worst Batters-Box pitcher rating, two runs looks very attainable.

Total Home Runs
Tyler O'Neill logo Tyler O'Neill o0.5 Total Home Runs (+388)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Ethan Diamandas image
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst

Since June 1, O’Neill is hitting .357 against left-handers with an .875 slugging percentage and eight home runs in just 62 plate appearances. Matz is the ideal target for him, as the Rays' lefty has allowed 12 home runs this year, with 10 coming against righties. His sinker, which he throws nearly half the time, carries a -9 Statcast run value.

View 14 Picks
New York Yankees logo NYY @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Fri, Aug 14 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+575)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Dustin Saracini image
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

Vladdy owns an elite .590 xSLG against Cole over the course of his career, and has already taken him deep twice. It's the perfect storm for Toronto's boy to hit his first homer at the Rogers Centre.

Total Bases
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Dustin Saracini image
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

If Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is trying to get right, seeing Gerrit Cole on the bump might be exactly what the doctor ordered. Not only is Vladdy seeing the ball well right now (he's on a six-game hit streak), but he owns a 1.043 OPS in this specific matchup and has six extra-base hits against Cole across 35 at-bats.

View 13 Picks
Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Fri, Aug 14 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Mike Yastrzemski logo Mike Yastrzemski o0.5 Total Home Runs (+475)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Mike Yastrzemski leads the Atlanta Braves in batting average, wOBA, ISO, and SLG over the past 15 games.

He has posted a strong 17.4% barrel rate during that span, and hit 13 balls at least 300 feet. 

Bet to +450.

Total
Arizona Diamondbacks logo Atlanta Braves logo u8.0 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Brandon Pfaadt’s ability to limit barrels makes it very difficult to hit for power, and his 80th percentile ranking in ground ball rate helps him limit damage when he does give up contact.

Chris Sale has struck out more than 37% of opposing batters the past month and, perhaps even more incredibly, he’s only been taken yard in one of his last 13 starts. 

This has Under written all over it, and I’d play it to -130.

View 13 Picks
Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Houston Astros logo HOU Fri, Aug 14 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Julio Rodriguez logo Julio Rodriguez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+474)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Dustin Saracini image
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

Rodriguez has the most success out of everyone on the Mariners against Lambert. The three-time All-Star is 3-for-5 with an xSLG of .942 in his small sample size. It helps that Daikan Park has given up the fifth-most homers in all of baseball. Rodriguez has found his power stroke, too, hitting a long ball in three of his last eight games. 

Total
Seattle Mariners logo Houston Astros logo u8.5 (-121)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Dustin Saracini image
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

No surprises here - runs are going to be few and far between tonight with this pitching matchup. Lambert, while he doesn't have as large a sample size in this matchup as Kirby, has still done a great job of suppressing runs here. Across 42 plate appearances, he's striking this Mariners team out at a 33% clip, limiting them to an overall .187 xBA.

View 14 Picks
Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Fri, Aug 14 • 9:38 PM ET
Earned Runs Allowed
Grayson Rodriguez logo Grayson Rodriguez o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-106)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Kansas City Royals find themselves in an extremely favorable matchup against Los Angeles Angels right-hander Grayson Rodriguez, who owns the worst pitcher rating on Batters-Box today. Rodriguez has struggled throughout the season, posting a 7.36 ERA and 1.64 WHIP while allowing a 45.66% hard-hit rate and 10.4% barrel rate. That becomes even more concerning against a Kansas City lineup featuring five elite-rated bats and plenty of left-handed hitters, against whom Rodriguez owns a 6.35 xERA this season. Despite Kansas City’s disappointing season, this lineup is in a great spot to make some noise. The Royals are playable down to -110, or consider their F5 team total over 2.5 at plus money.

Total Home Runs
Jac Caglianone logo Jac Caglianone o0.5 Total Home Runs (+307)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Jac Caglianone finds himself in an excellent spot to go deep against Angels right-hander Grayson Rodriguez. The Royals slugger owns an elite rating on Batters-Box's current-season dataset, covering 100% of Rodriguez's pitch mix and homering on 30.43% of his 23 elite ratings this season. Caglianone has also been locked in against right-handed pitching, posting a .333 BA, .667 SLG and 1.034 OPS over his last 30 plate appearances while generating a 58% hard-hit rate and 12% barrel rate. He has also produced an 18% barrel rate over his last five games. With Rodriguez's struggles against left-handed hitters, Caglianone is worth a look at +275 or better.

View 12 Picks
Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Fri, Aug 14 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Jake Burger logo
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.95
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Jake Burger is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.. Sutter Health Park ranks as the #1 stadium in the league for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all stadiums, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°.
Total Bases
Corey Seager logo
Corey Seager o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Corey Seager projects as the 14th-best batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corey Seager is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Sutter Health Park grades out as the #1 stadium in the majors for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all stadiums, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°.
View 10 Picks
Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Fri, Aug 14 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Shohei Ohtani logo Shohei Ohtani o0.5 Total Home Runs (+291)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Shohei Ohtani draws a favorable matchup against Brewers southpaw Robert Gasser, who owns the second-worst pitcher rating on Batters-Box. Ohtani, meanwhile, has the highest matchup rating while covering 100% of Gasser's arsenal. Across 335 elite ratings over the last three seasons, Ohtani has homered in nearly 30% of those games. He has also dominated left-handed pitching recently, batting .429 with a .857 SLG and 1.324 OPS over his last 30 at-bats against lefties, while producing a 47.6% hard-hit rate and 23.8% barrel rate. Gasser has limited lefties overall, but his last 60 opponents own a .332 xBA and .511 xSLG, giving Ohtani another opportunity to go deep.

Total Home Runs
Teoscar Hernandez logo Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+474)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
JD Yonke image
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst

Teoscar Hernandez has a 121 wRC+ and .179 ISO against southpaws. With the wind blowing out (8-10 mph) to dead center, he has a good chance of doing damage against Robert Gasser, who allows 1.8 home runs per nine innings against righties.

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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Fri, Aug 14 • 10:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Mickey Moniak logo
Mickey Moniak o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mickey Moniak is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 18.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters.. Mickey Moniak will have the handedness advantage over Landen Roupp in today's game.. Mickey Moniak pulls many of his flyballs (39.3% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 38 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Rafael Devers ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. In MLB, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 18.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters.. Rafael Devers will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Mon, Aug 17 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
JJ Wetherholt logo
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.03
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.
Total RBIs
Nolan Gorman logo
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+153)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nolan Gorman is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.. Because of Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Nolan Gorman will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

How To Use MLB Computer Picks

You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.

Moneyline

This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

Run line

The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

More MLB Picks & Betting Tools

NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.

If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.

MLB Player Props

Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

MLB Futures Picks

Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.