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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 29, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.07 |
+168 
|
o6.5 -120 
|
+1.5 -127 
|
|
4.70 |
-190
|
u7.5 -179 
|
-1.5 +125 
|
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 Wild Card Round games.
- Over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 7-2 in Phillies last 9 road games.
- Over is 7-2 in Phillies last 9 vs. National League East.
Atlanta
- Over is 6-0-1 in Braves last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Braves last 6 vs. National League East.
Top Projection
Trea Turner o0.5 Total RBIs (+350)
o0.5+350
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.57 |
+110 
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -175
|
|
4.44 |
-122
|
u8.5 -118
|
-1.5 +163
|
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 6-0 in White Sox last 6 road games.
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 7-1 in White Sox last 8 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 games following a win.
Houston
- Under is 6-0 in Astros last 6 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 5-0 in Astros last 5 Wild Card Round games.
- Under is 8-1 in Astros last 9 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Astros last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+157)
o0.5+170
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.11 |
+122
|
o6.0 -125
|
+1.5 -175
|
|
3.82 |
-134
|
u6.5 -115
|
-1.5 +172
|
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a road underdog.
NY Yankees
- Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 home games.
- Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 vs. American League East.
- Over is 8-0-1 in Yankees last 9 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Yankees are 5-0 in Schlittlers last 5 starts as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Trevor Story o0.5 Total RBIs (+380)
o0.5+380
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.83 |
+110
|
o7.0 -115
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.51 |
-124
|
u7.5 -124
|
-1.5 +175
|
Chi. Cubs
- Under is 7-0 in Cubs last 7 Wild Card Round games.
- Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cubs last 6 games following a win.
- Over is 7-1 in Cubs last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
San Diego
- Over is 8-0 in Padres last 8 home games.
- Over is 6-0 in Padres last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Kings last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Padres are 4-0 in Kings last 4 starts as a favorite.
Top Projection
Austin Hays o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
o0.5+302
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.61 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.72 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 Wild Card Round games.
- Over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 7-2 in Phillies last 9 road games.
- Over is 7-2 in Phillies last 9 vs. National League East.
Atlanta
- Over is 6-0-1 in Braves last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Braves last 6 during game 2 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.61 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.88 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 6-0 in White Sox last 6 road games.
- Over is 5-0 in White Sox last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- White Sox are 6-2 in their last 8 overall.
Houston
- Under is 6-0 in Astros last 6 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 5-0 in Astros last 5 Wild Card Round games.
- Under is 8-1 in Astros last 9 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Astros last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.72 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.05 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a road favorite.
NY Yankees
- Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 home games.
- Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 vs. American League East.
- Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Yankees last 4 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.06 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.57 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. Cubs
- Under is 7-0 in Cubs last 7 Wild Card Round games.
- Over is 7-1 in Cubs last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cubs are 8-2 in their last 10 vs. National League West.
- Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 during game 2 of a series.
San Diego
- Over is 8-0 in Padres last 8 home games.
- Over is 6-0 in Padres last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 Wild Card Round home games.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
PHI
@
ATL
Tue, Sep 29 • 2:00 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Trea Turner u1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-160)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Trea Turner did not fare well against high-end southpaws during the regular season.
He faced nine left-handed starters who ranked in the 70th percentile or better in xwOBA vs. right-handed hitters. Turner cleared 1.5 HRR in just one of those nine games, and averaged an underwhelming 0.7 HRR along the way.
Turner also hit .181 against fastballs and sliders thrown by lefties this year, which he'll see plenty of from Chris Sale.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-120)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ronald Acuna Jr. led the Atlanta Braves with a .370 OBP, .406 wOBA, and .562 SLG over the final 25 games of the regular season.
He enjoyed plenty of success against lefties, trailing only Matt Olson in wOBA during that span. That’s noteworthy as he could see a couple of at bats against Jesus Luzardo out of the gate.
Acuna also has a career .310 average over 187 at-bats against Philadelphia Phillies relievers.
CHW
@
HOU
Tue, Sep 29 • 5:00 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total Home Runs (+286)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Of Munetaka Murakami’s last 10 batted balls, six have had an exit velocity above 102.3 mph, with only three going for extra bases. Hitting the ball that hard will eventually find the bleachers.
With Astros opener AJ Blubaugh being 51% fastballs and Murakami feasting on them all season, this is a great spot to back the slugger at such a great price.
Total
o8.5 (+103)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
The White Sox and Astros are both swinging hot bats at the right time, making the market’s low-scoring expectation intriguing. Houston posted a 117 wRC+, .338 wOBA and .776 OPS during the final week of the regular season, while Chicago posted a 131 wRC+, .358 wOBA and .806 OPS. The White Sox’s pitching situation remains uncertain, and whoever takes the mound won’t exactly inspire confidence. Chicago’s bullpen also owns a 3.55 ERA and 4.59 xERA over its last 21 games while allowing a 42% hard-hit rate. With both offenses clicking, I’m expecting plenty of scoring in this matchup.
BOS
@
NYY
Tue, Sep 29 • 8:00 PM ET
Walks Allowed
Payton Tolle u1.5 Walks Allowed (-145)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play up to 63%. Payton Tolle’s recent command has been excellent, with just 1.93 BB/9 over the last month. He’s issued only three walks across 13 innings against the Yankees this season, and New York’s aggressive approach against left-handed pitching should help keep the free passes down again.
Total Hits
Ben Rice o0.5 Total Hits (-153)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play up to 63%. Ben Rice closed the regular season swinging a hot bat, collecting six hits across his final four games. He’s also making consistently loud contact, posting a 61.5% hard-hit rate and 23.1% barrel rate over his last six contests. One hit is a very manageable target in Game 1.
CHC
@
SD
Tue, Sep 29 • 10:00 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Michael King o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-120)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Chicago lineup will be facing King for the first time, and the go-to righty has fanned five or more batters in four of his past six starts while holding opposing hitters to a minuscule .295 wOBA and 7.0 barrel percentage. As a result, I’m anticipating King pitching deep enough into the series opener to pick up at least five strikeouts tonight and recommend this prop to -135.
Total
o7.5 (+107)
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst
San Diego ranks second in OPS over the past two weeks and first against lefties. The Padres have a combined .839 OPS in 108 at-bats against Matthew Boyd and smacked him around him for eight earned runs in two games this season. Chicago’s lineup has a combined .906 OPS against Michael King, and the Cubs have been especially dangerous on the road and against righties. Both bullpens have been average at best lately, and the Over hit in five of six regular-season meetings.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
