Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 24, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
DET
@
CIN
Fri, Apr 24 • 6:40 PM ET
YRFI/NRFI (No: -115)
Both the Tigers and Reds rank below average in wOBA against left-handed pitchers and percentage of games scoring a run in the first inning. Detroit lefty Framber Valdez has been sharp in four of five starts (3.30 ERA and 3.28 xERA), and Cincy starter Andrew Abbott’s 5.84 ERA and 1.74 WHIP are miles above his respective 3.42 and 1.24 marks through the first 75 starts of his career, so he’s a statistical correction candidate beginning Friday.
BOS
@
BAL
Fri, Apr 24 • 7:05 PM ET
CLE
@
TOR
Fri, Apr 24 • 7:07 PM ET
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+510)
It’s a good matchup for Guerrero, too, as Williams gives up a lot of hard contact with a 48.3% hard-hit rate, while ranking in the 7th percentile in average exit velocity.
Additionally, Williams has given up one home run in four of his five starts this season.
CLE (-121)
Cleveland righty Gavin Williams has held opposing bats to a .133 average and .258 wOBA alongside a strong 2.12 ERA and 3.11 xFIP, and it’s just the opposite for Toronto veteran Max Scherzer. The 41-year-old righty’s 5.42 xFIP and 6.11 xERA don’t paint a pretty picture for improvement, either. So, with the Guardians and Blue Jays respectively ranking 23rd and 22nd in wOBA and 21st and 25th in ISO, I’m confidently backing the superior pitcher tonight in Toronto.
MIN
@
TB
Fri, Apr 24 • 7:10 PM ET
Taj Bradley u2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-145)
It's been an excellent start to the season for Bradley who still hasn't allowed more than two earned runs in a start yet, with one or fewer allowed in four of his five starts. He'll face his former team this evening, and Tampa's offense is on an unimpressive stretch that has them ranked 27th in OPS vs righties over the last week. With Bradley cruising and having the extra motivation of a revenge game, the juice is worth the squeeze here.
YRFI/NRFI (No: -125)
Tampa Bay righty Drew Rasmussen has been sharp in three of four starts and sports a tidy 2.75 ERA, 0.66 WHIP while holding opposing hitters to a .141 average and .220 wOBA. Minny counters with Taj Bradley, and he’s posted a similarly solid line with a 1.63 ERA, 3.55 xFIP and has limited opponents to a .226 average and .276 wOBA. Scoring in the opening frame also hasn’t been a calling card for either club. The Twins have plated a first-inning run in just 32% of their games, and the Rays are even lower at 29.2%.
COL
@
NYM
Fri, Apr 24 • 7:10 PM ET
PHI
@
ATL
Fri, Apr 24 • 7:15 PM ET
o9.5 (-101)
Four Philadelphia relievers have thrown more than 20 pitches in the last three games, and three are over 30. The Braves have three relievers at 19 or more. The Braves have had a game total of 10+ runs in three of the last four—and the fourth had a total of nine.
ATL -1.5 (+144)
The Atlanta Braves swept three from the Philadelphia Phillies on the road last week. Atlanta has covered the run line in each of their last seven wins. The Braves’ run differential is seven better than the Dodgers. Their run line record is 17-9, just one worse than their straight-up mark.
PIT
@
MIL
Fri, Apr 24 • 7:40 PM ET
o7.0 (-110)
The pitchers are going to have their hands full. Woodruff’s struggles keeping the ball on the ground could lead to problems, especially facing several hard-hitting lefties who profile well against his stuff.
This is not the Pirates offense of old. They rank seventh in stolen bases, eighth in runs, 8th in OBP, and 10th in homers. They are balanced and can hurt pitchers in a lot of different ways.
Meanwhile, the Brewers sit third in OPS vs. right-handed pitching at home. While Paul Skenes should be able to prevent the Brew Crew from a ceiling performance, they don’t need one with such a low total.
PIT (-130)
Brandon Woodruff is not generating many whiffs or strikeouts and he’s not keeping the ball on the ground. His current 30.9% ground ball rate is the lowest of any season in his major league career.
Woodruff’s barrel rate against lefties is also more than three times as high as righties.
None of that is ideal against a Pirates team that ranks 10th in homers and features a ton of potent left-handed bats, including Oneil Cruz, Brandon Lowe, Bryan Reynolds, and Ryan O’Hearn.
Look for the Pirates to give Paul Skenes some run support en route to victory.
WAS
@
CHW
Fri, Apr 24 • 7:40 PM ET
Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total Home Runs (+320)
Munetaka Murakami just had his five-game homer streak snapped, but this may be the best matchup of that stretch. He’s 12-for-27, and every extra-base hit has left the yard. Mikolas has been one of the worst HR/FB pitchers in baseball, and his early-season struggles have pushed that even lower. The only thing that can slow Murakami is swing-and-miss, which isn’t a major concern against Mikolas.
LAA
@
KC
Fri, Apr 24 • 7:40 PM ET
LAA (+100)
ATH
@
TEX
Fri, Apr 24 • 8:05 PM ET
o8.5 (-105)
Luis Severino has been crushed by Rangers hitters, allowing a .333/.407/.646 lifetime slash line. With Nathan Eovaldi also owning a hard-hit rate that sits in just the 23rd percentile per Baseball Savant, expect plenty of runs at Globe Life Field.
NYY
@
HOU
Fri, Apr 24 • 8:10 PM ET
SEA
@
STL
Fri, Apr 24 • 8:15 PM ET
MIA
@
SF
Fri, Apr 24 • 10:15 PM ET
MIA (-110)
u7.5 (-110)
Three of the last four meetings have hit the Under, and San Fran just scored six total runs across three games against the Dodgers. Alcantara is hard to hit when he's on, and the Giants have one of the worst offenses in the MLB. The Marlins do score runs, and Houser is struggling.
CHC
@
LAD
Fri, Apr 24 • 10:15 PM ET
o8.5 (-140)
With the wind forecasted to be blowing out modestly at Dodger Stadium, and a pair of deep and potent lineups, I’m expecting both the Cubs and Dodgers to have success at the dish. Los Angeles righty Emmet Sheehan has struggled early this season (5.85 ERA and 4.01 xFIP), and the Cubs have gone Over their team total in 12 of the past 15 games (+9.10 Units / 52% ROI) with the game total also going Over the number in 12 of the past 17 Chicago games (+7.60 Units / 40% ROI).
Michael Busch o0.5 Total Home Runs (+520)
It took some time, but Michael Busch has found his power stroke, going deep in back-to-back games and entering a strong matchup tonight at Dodger Stadium. The No. 2 hitter for the Chicago Cubs still profiles as a 30-HR bat in a favorable hitting environment with winds blowing out to center. Emmet Sheehan is a solid target for home runs, ranking near the bottom of MLB starters in Blast Contact% while allowing plenty of fly balls — with nearly 20% leaving the yard this year.
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