Baltimore @ Chicago Picks & Props

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hurlers. The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Chris Flexen Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hurlers. Gunnar Henderson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Despite posting a .396 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gunnar Henderson has had positive variance on his side given the .039 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .357.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hurlers. Hitting from the same side that Chris Flexen throws from, Jordan Westburg will have a tough challenge in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jordan Westburg in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jordan Westburg's true offensive ability to be a .321, providing some evidence that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .027 difference between that figure and his actual .348 wOBA.

HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the shallowest among all parks. This game is expected to have the most humidity on the schedule today (82%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. When it comes to his batting average, Jorge Mateo has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .226 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .268. Jorge Mateo can really hit the ball hard. If you were to take the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (109.2 mph) rank him as one of MLB's best: in the 75th percentile since the start of last season. Jorge Mateo is very athletic, ranking in the 100th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.98 ft/sec this year.

Andrew Benintendi's batting average ability is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This game is expected to have the most humidity on the schedule today (82%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Andrew Benintendi will have an edge in today's matchup. Andrew Benintendi has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hurlers. Hitting from the same side that Chris Flexen throws from, Ryan Mountcastle faces a tough challenge in today's game. Ryan Mountcastle will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. When it comes to plate discipline, Ryan Mountcastle's ability is quite bad, putting up a 3.9 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 20th percentile.

HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the shallowest among all parks. This game is expected to have the most humidity on the schedule today (82%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. By putting up a .321 BABIP since the start of last season, Austin Hays has performed in the 82nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Andrew Vaughn is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. This game is expected to have the most humidity on the schedule today (82%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Andrew Vaughn has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.

HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the shallowest among all parks. This game is expected to have the most humidity on the schedule today (82%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles. Korey Lee will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

This game is expected to have the most humidity on the schedule today (82%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Nicky Lopez will hold the platoon advantage over Corbin Burnes today. Nicky Lopez has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles. Nicky Lopez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

This game is expected to have the most humidity on the schedule today (82%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Danny Mendick has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Danny Mendick will hold that advantage in today's game. Danny Mendick's footspeed has improved this season. His 25.55 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.31 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Tommy Pham is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the shallowest among all parks. This game is expected to have the most humidity on the schedule today (82%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.

Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. This game is expected to have the most humidity on the schedule today (82%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Gavin Sheets will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corbin Burnes today. Gavin Sheets pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.

This game is expected to have the most humidity on the schedule today (82%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Chris Flexen throws from, Cedric Mullins II will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins II pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Despite posting a .256 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Cedric Mullins II has experienced some negative variance given the .054 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .310. Cedric Mullins II's 21.7° launch angle (a reliable metric to measure a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in the game: 99th percentile.

Paul DeJong is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. This game is expected to have the most humidity on the schedule today (82%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Paul DeJong pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Paul DeJong will hold that advantage today.

HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the shallowest among all parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Dominic Fletcher will have an edge in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles. Dominic Fletcher will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

This game is expected to have the most humidity on the schedule today (82%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. James McCann has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. As it relates to his batting average, James McCann has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .219 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .248. James McCann's maximum exit velocity (an advanced standard to evaluate power) has been 112.1 mph since the start of last season, checking in at the 79th percentile. James McCann is in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (19.2% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. This game is expected to have the most humidity on the schedule today (82%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Chris Flexen throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have the upper hand in today's game. Ryan O'Hearn has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.

Corey Julks is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. This game is expected to have the most humidity on the schedule today (82%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Corey Julks pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles. Corey Julks will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Anthony Santander is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. This game is expected to have the most humidity on the schedule today (82%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Anthony Santander pulls many of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Anthony Santander's 90.6-mph average exit velocity is one of the best in baseball since the start of last season: 76th percentile. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Anthony Santander ranks in the 95th percentile with a 20.1° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in Major League Baseball.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. This game is expected to have the most humidity on the schedule today (86%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Chris Flexen throws from, Colton Cowser will have an advantage in today's matchup. Colton Cowser has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Colton Cowser has put up a .352 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile.