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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 12, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.38 |
+148 
|
o8.5 -105 
|
+1.5 -137
|
|
5.01 |
-170
|
u8.5 -104
|
-1.5 +130
|
Colorado
- Under is 4-0-1 in Rockies last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Rockies last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-0 in Gordons last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Gordons last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Detroit
- Under is 6-0-2 in Tigers last 8 vs. National League West.
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+250)
o1.5+250
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.93 |
+160
|
o8.0 -113 
|
+1.5 -135 
|
|
4.92 |
-174 
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +125 
|
NY Mets
- Over is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 6-0 in Mets last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 6-0 in Mets last 6 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 overall.
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 home games.
- Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Coles last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.21 |
+105
|
o8.5 -130
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
5.37 |
-122
|
u9.0 -115 
|
-1.5 +165
|
Pittsburgh
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-0-1 in Pirates last 8 games following a loss.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Holmes' last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total Home Runs (+550)
o0.5+550
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.34 |
-105
|
o8.0 -124
|
-1.5 +160
|
|
4.49 |
-104
|
u8.5 -113
|
+1.5 -170
|
Baltimore
- Under is 4-0-1 in Bradishs last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Bradishs last 4 starts vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as a road underdog.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Blue Jays are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Blue Jays are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
George Springer o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
o0.5+203
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.74 |
-155
|
o7.5 -125
|
-1.5 +110 
|
|
3.88 |
+136
|
u8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -120
|
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Kings last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Kings last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
San Francisco
- Over is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0-2 in Giants last 6 games following a loss.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 vs. National League West.
Top Projection
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
o0.5+220
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.74 |
+100
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
4.48 |
-115
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +165
|
LA Angels
- Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Urenas last 5 interleague starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Urenas last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Washington
- Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Alvarezs last 4 starts as a favorite.
Top Projection
Jose Siri u0.5 Total Hits (+145)
u0.5+145
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.60 |
-190
|
o7.5 -118
|
-1.5 -105
|
|
3.80 |
+165
|
u8.0 -118
|
+1.5 -108
|
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 8-0 in their last 8 overall.
- Dodgers are 8-0 in their last 8 games on grass.
- Dodgers are 7-0 in their last 7 games following a win.
- Over is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Miami
- Over is 6-0 in Marlins last 6 overall.
- Over is 6-0 in Marlins last 6 home games.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Marlins last 6 on grass.
Top Projection
Griffin Conine o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
o0.5+260
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.24 |
-108
|
o8.5 -118
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
4.34 |
-108
|
u9.0 -118
|
-1.5 +150
|
Cleveland
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Guardians are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Guardians last 7 games as an underdog.
Minnesota
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Twins last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Jo Adell o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
o1.5+125
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.73 |
+160
|
o8.0 -125
|
+1.5 -130
|
|
5.53 |
-186
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +115
|
Kansas City
- Under is 5-0-1 in Royals last 6 overall.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Royals last 6 on grass.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Dobnaks last 5 starts overall.
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Suarezs last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Suarezs last 5 home starts.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in Suarezs last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
- Over is 4-0 in Suarezs last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Top Projection
Randy Dobnak u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-111)
u5.5-900
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.77 |
+125
|
o7.5 -125
|
+1.5 -164
|
|
4.65 |
-140
|
u8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +145
|
Houston
- Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a favorite.
- Astros are 11-1 in their last 12 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 8-2 in Astros last 10 overall.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+170
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.34 |
+155
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -132
|
|
5.08 |
-170
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +116
|
Cincinnati
- Over is 5-0-1 in Singers last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Singers last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Singers last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Singers last 4 road starts.
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.69 |
+100
|
o7.0 -215
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
4.66 |
-110
|
u8.5 -115
|
-2.0 +225
|
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 7-2-1 in White Sox last 10 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
St. Louis
- Over is 6-0-1 in Cardinals last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Leahys last 6 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Leahys last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 6-0-2 in Leahys last 8 home starts.
Top Projection
Joshua Baez o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
o0.5+260
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.07 |
+110
|
o7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -215
|
|
4.04 |
-115 
|
u7.5 +100
|
-1.5 +170
|
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 7-0 in Luzardos last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Phillies are 6-0 in Luzardos last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
Atlanta
- Under is 3-0-1 in Braves last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Braves last 9 games as an underdog.
- Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Braves are 4-1 in Mahles last 5 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
o0.5+202
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.05 |
+124
|
o8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -166
|
|
4.83 |
-140
|
u8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +145
|
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 games following a loss.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Rangers last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Arizona
- Under is 4-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 games following a win.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 8 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.80 |
-170
|
o9.5 -110
|
-1.5 -110
|
|
4.74 |
+152
|
u10.5 -160
|
+1.5 +100
|
Seattle
- Mariners are 5-0 in Woos last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Mariners are 4-0 in Woos last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Mariners are 4-0 in Woos last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Mariners are 4-0 in Woos last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Athletics
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 vs. American League West.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Jumps last 8 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. American League West.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Zack Gelof o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
o0.5+185
COL
@
DET
Sat, Sep 12 • 1:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
John Peck o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.44
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects John Peck in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Among all parks, Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height.. Extreme flyball bats like John Peck are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Tanner Gordon.. John Peck will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Total Bases
Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+250)
Projection 1.28
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Among all parks, Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Sears throws from, Ezequiel Tovar will have an advantage in today's matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ezequiel Tovar's true offensive skill to be a .293, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .034 deviation between that mark and his actual .259 wOBA.. Posting a .271 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Ezequiel Tovar finds himself in the 77th percentile.
NYM
@
NYY
Sat, Sep 12 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Ben Rice o0.5 Total Home Runs (+300)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Total
o8.5 (+103)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
PIT
@
CHC
Sat, Sep 12 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Bases
Brandon Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.82
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 88th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.8-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Total Bases
Henry Davis o1.5 Total Bases (+240)
Projection 1.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.8-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Henry Davis pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.4% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Henry Davis has been unlucky this year, notching a .258 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .310 — a .052 gap.
BAL
@
TOR
Sat, Sep 12 • 3:07 PM ET
Total RBIs
George Springer o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. George Springer is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. Rogers Centre ranks as the #5 stadium in the majors for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. George Springer hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. George Springer will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-129)
Projection 2.31
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 3rd-best batter in MLB when it comes to his batting average talent.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Rogers Centre ranks as the #5 stadium in the majors for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
SD
@
SF
Sat, Sep 12 • 4:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryce Eldridge in the 90th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Bryce Eldridge is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Oracle Park has the shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 19-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats.. Bryce Eldridge will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael King in today's game.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Jake Cronenworth o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+120)
Projection 1.83
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. Oracle Park has the shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 19-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jake Cronenworth's true offensive skill to be a .303, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .038 deviation between that mark and his actual .265 wOBA.
LAA
@
WAS
Sat, Sep 12 • 4:05 PM ET
Total Hits
Jose Siri u0.5 Total Hits (+145)
Projection 0.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Nationals Park as the worst stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits.. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to worse offense.. Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jose Siri today.. Jose Siri has put up a .204 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 6th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Jose Siri has compiled a .092 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total Hits
Kyren Paris u0.5 Total Hits (+105)
Projection 0.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Kyren Paris's batting average skill is projected to be in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyren Paris is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Nationals Park as the worst stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits.. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to worse offense.. Kyren Paris will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.
LAD
@
MIA
Sat, Sep 12 • 4:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Mookie Betts o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Mookie Betts's batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mookie Betts is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Mookie Betts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today.. Mookie Betts has been hot recently, cracking 2 HRs in the last week.. Despite posting a .320 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mookie Betts has had some very poor luck given the .018 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .338.
Total RBIs
Otto Lopez o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.46
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his batting average ability, Otto Lopez is projected as the 8th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Otto Lopez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.. Otto Lopez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. Posting a .282 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Otto Lopez is ranked in the 88th percentile.
CLE
@
MIN
Sat, Sep 12 • 4:10 PM ET
Moneyline
CLE (-120)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Gavin Williams and Bailey Ober offer an even starting duel, but Cleveland possesses baseball's most dominant active bullpen (2.83 SIERA, 5.9% walk rate over the last 14 days). In a tight matchup, I trust Cleveland's late-inning shutdown arms with the better bats to secure the win.
Total Bases
Jo Adell o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.79
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Jo Adell ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jo Adell is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Batting from the opposite that Connor Prielipp throws from, Jo Adell will have the upper hand today.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.
KC
@
BOS
Sat, Sep 12 • 4:10 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Ranger Suarez o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+107)
Projection 6.11
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Kansas City Royals have 4 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Luke Maile, Matthew Lugo, Jac Caglianone, Carter Jensen).. Jim Wolf projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be calling pitches in today's game.. According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Adley Rutschman (the Red Sox's expected catcher in today's game) projects as a good pitch framer.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.
Total RBIs
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+120)
Projection 0.91
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage against Randy Dobnak in today's game.
HOU
@
TB
Sat, Sep 12 • 6:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the best field in the league for left-handed home runs.. Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest RF fences among all major league stadiums.. Utilizing Statcast data, Yordan Alvarez grades out in the 98th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .384.
Total Bases
Jeremy Pena o1.5 Total Bases (+131)
Projection 1.91
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jeremy Pena's batting average talent is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.. Tropicana Field grades out as the #1 park in the league for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Ian Seymour throws from, Jeremy Pena will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Jeremy Pena pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
CHW
@
STL
Sat, Sep 12 • 7:15 PM ET
Moneyline
CHW (-105)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Total RBIs
JB
Joshua Baez o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Joshua Baez ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Joshua Baez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 90°.. Joshua Baez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.
PHI
@
ATL
Sat, Sep 12 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Alec Bohm o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Alec Bohm is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #4 park in the league for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Trea Turner o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.92
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average ability, Trea Turner is projected as the 19th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The #4 park in the league for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
TEX
@
AZ
Sat, Sep 12 • 8:10 PM ET
Moneyline
TEX (+125)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Total Bases
Corey Seager o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.03
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Corey Seager projects as the 13th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Chase Field profiles as the #3 field in the majors for overall lefty offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Corey Seager will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Pfaadt in today's matchup.. Corey Seager may have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.
SEA
@
ATH
Sat, Sep 12 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Jeff McNeil o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.76
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jeff McNeil has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (73% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Sutter Health Park grades out as the #3 park in the majors for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league parks, Sutter Health Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the hottest weather of all games today at 93°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.
Total Bases
Cal Raleigh o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.1
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Cal Raleigh projects as the 4th-best home run hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting home runs to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Among all major league parks, Sutter Health Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the hottest weather of all games today at 93°.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
